ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK ......Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi”...

15
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018 „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007 ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK MANAGEMENT ON THE VALUE OF FIRMS LISTED ON THE BUCHAREST STOCK EXCHANGE MIHAELA BRÎNDUȘA TUDOSE LECTURER PHD, FACULTY OF TEXTILE AND LEATHER ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT, ”GHEORGHE ASACHI” TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY, IASI, ROMANIA e-mail:[email protected], [email protected] VALENTINA DIANA RUSU RESEARCHER PHD, DEPARTMENT OF INTERDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH IN SOCIAL SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES, ”ALEXANDRU IOAN CUZA” UNIVERSITY, IASI, ROMANIA e-mail: [email protected] Abstract The paper aims to assess the effects of financing and risk management on firm value of companies and to provide additional evidence in the area of empirical debates. For these purposes, we performed a regression analysis (based on the fixed-effects model), which reflects the effects of the two policies (i.e. financing and risk management) on the value of the firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. The dependent variable was value of the firm; we used Tobin’s Q as a proxy. Independent variables were: financial structure, risk management, financial return and firm size. The findings reveal that two of the four examined variables yield significant positive effects on the value of firms (financing structure and return on assets); for the other two independent variables analysed (risk management and firm size), the hypotheses were rejected. Keywords: financial structure, risk management, return on assets, firm size, firm value. Clasificare JEL: G32 1. Introduction A review of the diverse range of debates that seek to reveal the real effects of financing will clearly show that the attention of researchers is focused on performance and on firm value, respectively. Investigating the relationship between capital structure and firm performance/value is particularly important given that the maximisation of shareholder wealth depends on the link between debt level and the firm’s performance. In the same context, of key interest are the theoretical arguments and empirical evidence on corporate risk management as a lever for creating value for shareholders. In particular, we refer to studies that suggest that shareholders’ wealth can be enhanced by hedging against capital risks and taking advantage of capital market imperfections that lead to underinvestment and asset substitution problems. In the area of theoretical debates, universally and unconditionally, it is acknowledged that financing policy is essential to ensuring the long-term survival of the firm and that risk management is required due to the potential impact of risk factors on the firm’s performance. Empirical studies show that there is mixed (conflicting) evidence regarding the effects of financing and that there is not yet sufficient evidence for the effects of risk management. The experience has showen that firms that are still using a traditional risk management approach are not able to sustain their performance because of the complexity and fast changing business environment. To help the firms, the traditional risk management model has been replaced by an enterprise-wide view of risk rapidly, enterprise risk management (ERM) system. The difference between ERM and traditional ways of managing risks is in how the entity centralizes comprehensive risk management structure and processes at strategic level as an extension of its 44

Transcript of ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK ......Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi”...

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK MANAGEMENT ON THE

    VALUE OF FIRMS LISTED ON THE BUCHAREST STOCK EXCHANGE

    MIHAELA BRÎNDUȘA TUDOSE

    LECTURER PHD, FACULTY OF TEXTILE AND LEATHER ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL

    MANAGEMENT, ”GHEORGHE ASACHI” TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY, IASI, ROMANIA

    e-mail:[email protected], [email protected]

    VALENTINA DIANA RUSU

    RESEARCHER PHD, DEPARTMENT OF INTERDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH IN SOCIAL

    SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES, ”ALEXANDRU IOAN CUZA” UNIVERSITY, IASI, ROMANIA

    e-mail: [email protected]

    Abstract

    The paper aims to assess the effects of financing and risk management on firm value of companies and to

    provide additional evidence in the area of empirical debates. For these purposes, we performed a regression analysis

    (based on the fixed-effects model), which reflects the effects of the two policies (i.e. financing and risk management) on

    the value of the firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. The dependent variable was value of the firm; we used

    Tobin’s Q as a proxy. Independent variables were: financial structure, risk management, financial return and firm size.

    The findings reveal that two of the four examined variables yield significant positive effects on the value of firms

    (financing structure and return on assets); for the other two independent variables analysed (risk management and firm

    size), the hypotheses were rejected.

    Keywords: financial structure, risk management, return on assets, firm size, firm value.

    Clasificare JEL: G32

    1. Introduction

    A review of the diverse range of debates that seek to reveal the real effects of financing will

    clearly show that the attention of researchers is focused on performance and on firm value,

    respectively. Investigating the relationship between capital structure and firm performance/value is

    particularly important given that the maximisation of shareholder wealth depends on the link

    between debt level and the firm’s performance.

    In the same context, of key interest are the theoretical arguments and empirical evidence on

    corporate risk management as a lever for creating value for shareholders. In particular, we refer to

    studies that suggest that shareholders’ wealth can be enhanced by hedging against capital risks and

    taking advantage of capital market imperfections that lead to underinvestment and asset substitution

    problems.

    In the area of theoretical debates, universally and unconditionally, it is acknowledged that

    financing policy is essential to ensuring the long-term survival of the firm and that risk

    management is required due to the potential impact of risk factors on the firm’s performance.

    Empirical studies show that there is mixed (conflicting) evidence regarding the effects of financing

    and that there is not yet sufficient evidence for the effects of risk management.

    The experience has showen that firms that are still using a traditional risk management

    approach are not able to sustain their performance because of the complexity and fast changing

    business environment. To help the firms, the traditional risk management model has been replaced

    by an enterprise-wide view of risk rapidly, enterprise risk management (ERM) system. The

    difference between ERM and traditional ways of managing risks is in how the entity centralizes

    comprehensive risk management structure and processes at strategic level as an extension of its

    44

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    control system. ERM is a comprehensive and integrated approach that calls for high-level oversight

    of the firm entire risk portfolio aligned with the strategic objectives of the firm, instead of having

    many different individual managers to oversee specific risks in isolation.

    The main objective of this paper was to examine the effects of financing and risk

    management on the value of companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange and to provide

    additional evidence in the area of empirical debates.

    The study is structured as follows: section two presents the state of knowledge about the

    effects of financing and of risk management (outlining the main areas of research and conclusions

    reached); the database and the methodology of the research are detailed in section 3; section 4 lists

    the findings of the research, while the last section summarises the conclusions.

    2. Literature review

    2.1 Effects of financing. Most researchers agree that the assessment of financing effects is

    dependent on the input of information into the measurement system and the tools employed. In

    addition to the classical indicators used in financial analysis (return on investment, leverage, capital

    efficiency, liquidity, cash flow), the so-called modern indicators of value creation come into play.

    Special attention is given to proxy variables for estimating firm value. The most relevant example

    is the use of Tobin’s Q variable to estimate firm value; the indicator features consistently in recent

    major research.

    Although the ultimate purpose of research on the topic was the same (to identify an optimal

    debt levels that generates the estimated effects), findings have been contradictory:

    - some studies have provided empirical evidence in favour of the positive correlation

    between capital structure and firm performance/value [12; 20; 40; 41; 1];

    - other studies have provided evidence supporting a negative correlation [29; 27; 2];

    - other studies have shown that below a certain debt level, the firm’s performance tends to be

    negatively correlated with its share of debt [10];

    - other studies have delivered mixed evidence given that, to assess the financial structure,

    debt was examined in terms of maturities or depending on whether firms belong to various sectors

    or industries, having different growth opportunities [37; 24; 28].

    2.2 Risk management. Cases when derivatives are used are premised on the assumption of the

    existing positive theories, which contend that risk management at firm level, amid capital market

    imperfections, is beneficial to company shareholders. Although these theories suggest various ways

    in which hedging against corporate risks can enhance shareholder value (for instance, reducing the

    costs of financial distress), empirical evidence remains controversial and a common view has not

    been reached.

    In order to assess the effects of risk management on firm value, proxy variables (such as the

    Tobin’s Q variable) are used frequently, factoring in the fact that a firm should invest up to the

    point where its market value becomes equal to its book value. Empirical studies have provided

    conflicting evidence.

    As we have shown in the case of the financing of firms, empirical tests of the effects of

    hedging on the firm’s value are affected by endogeneity problems; in other words, the impact of

    risk management on firm value is largely dependent on the range of hedging instruments selected

    and the sample selection models. For instance, Bartram et al. (2011) studied a global sample of

    6896 non-financial firms in 47 countries and provided rigorous evidence that the use of financial

    derivatives reduces the risk to the firm, but also some evidence that the use of derivatives is

    correlated with higher firm value [6].

    To sum up, positive theories of value creation through corporate risk management and their

    corresponding extensive body of empirical evidence suggest, as a backdrop, that the derivatives

    used occupy a central place in research. For example, Bartram et al. (2009) showed that the use of

    45

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    derivatives is part of the company’s financial strategy, which requires knowledge of the following

    aspects [8]: the type and magnitude of financial risks, the availability of risk management tools, and

    the firm’s operating environment. Studies have also shown that the use of derivatives is linked to

    debt levels and maturity, dividend policy, the liquidity of operating assets and the extent of hedging

    [5] At the same time, it is worth recalling that not all companies use derivatives, but rather rely on

    traditional instruments hedging [7; 22].

    To meet the risk, nowadays, the enterprises implement enterprise risk management (ERM)

    systems. There are some studies that have empirically analyzed the impact of ERM systems on

    performance of companies. Thus, Gordon et al (2009), based on a sample of 112 US firms, showed

    that organizations are improving their performance by employing the ERM concept [15]. The basic

    argument presented in this paper is that the relation between ERM and firm performance depends

    on a series of factors which are affecting the firm: environmental uncertainty, industry competition,

    firm size, firm complexity, and board of directors’ monitoring.

    Quon et al. (2012) have explored 156 non-financial firms and have analyzed the relationship

    between Enterprise Risk Management and firm performance, during 2007 and 2008. Their results

    showed that ERM information did not predict or have any appreciable effect on business

    performance. So, their conclusion is that the assessed levels of economic or market risk exposure or

    consequences are related to firm performance.

    Ping and Muthuveloo (2015) examined the implementation of Enterprise Risk Management

    (ERM) on firm performance of Public Listed Companies on main market in Bursa Malaysia using a

    questionnaire survey [35]. Their results showed that the implementation of ERM have significant

    positive influence on firm performance. Other variables, such as firm size and firm complexity,

    were also found to significantly influence the relationship between ERM implementation and firm

    performance.

    More recent studies, Florio and Leoni (2017) have investigated if there is a relationship

    between the implementation of enterprise risk management (ERM) systems and the performance of

    Italian listed companies [13]. The results show that firms with advanced levels of ERM

    implementation present higher performance, both as financial performance and market evaluation.

    They also highlight that the relationship between ERM implementation and firm performance in an

    under-investigated context in many countries. The paper of Kopia et al (2017) show that there is

    diversity in scientific literature of how to measure performance in the ERM-context. They try to

    develop a unified view of how ERM influences performance of organizations.

    3. Matherial and methods

    3.1 Establishing the coordinates of the sample being researched

    Sample. To ensure relevant outcomes, we aimed for the research to be based on companies

    subject to comparable tax treatments, common bankruptcy rules, comparable market rules, similar

    financial traditions. Prompted by these considerations, we decided to perform the empirical

    research on a sample of 90 non-financial companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange.

    As regards the time frame of the analysis, we considered the 2006-2011 interval, precisely in

    order to capture the particular evolution of the examined phenomena before and during the crisis.

    • The sources underpinning the database that was used in the empirical research. The data

    were collected from two sources: a) the annual financial statements and the related explanatory

    notes (available both on the website of the Ministry of Finance, in the business operators

    information section, and on the website of each individual firm); b) the information available on

    website of the Bucharest Stock Exchange and other investment firms.

    • Nature of the data. Initially, we considered market values for the purposes of the analysis;

    however, given that for many variables market values are not available (or difficult to secure within

    reasonable timeframe) we turned to a mix between book values and market values.

    46

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    • Identifying the theoretical underpinnings of the research. Researching how financing is

    secured by firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange and their attitudes on risk, we found

    arguments to associate these companies with pecking order theory.

    3.2 Presenting the examined variables and defining the hypotheses

    The dependent variable - firm value. We used Tobin’s Q as a proxy for firm value. In

    agreement with the purpose of this research, we used as benchmark the following determination

    formula: TA

    DVPfTobin'sQ , where: VPf – the firm’s market value (resulting from multiplying the

    market value of the share and the number of shares); D – debts (book value); TA – book value of

    total assets.

    Independent variables – financial structure, risk management, financial return and firm size.

    a) Financial structure. To control for the relationship between capital structure and firm

    value variable, we used leverage (LEV) as variable (assessed in terms of the ratio between total

    debt and equity). Introducing this variable in the analysis is justified for two reasons:

    • it provides a picture of how the firm succeeds in combining the two sources of financing

    (own and borrowed) to fund investments; the advisability of resorting to various financing sources

    depends on the benefits that each situation in part offers; for example, taking on debt provides the

    opportunity to make investment much easier than financing through issuing new shares; as an effect

    of the tax advantages that it provides, debt offers the opportunity to create value for parties

    involved;

    • there is empirical evidence that the financial leverage may enhance firm value:

    - Aggarwal and Kyaw (2008), who constructed their arguments based on the idea that debt

    compels managers to channel the cash flows towards “productive” goals, thus avoiding “wasteful,

    petty” spending [3];

    - Kayo and Kymura (2011) have shown that the concerns of companies to optimise their

    financial structure (in the context of minimising financing costs) translate into a beneficial impact

    on firm value [20].

    Although we associated the financing behaviour of firms in the sample with pecking order

    theory (which estimates a negative correlation between the debt level and firm performance/value),

    in view of the low debt level (total and short-term) of firms in the sample, we considered as more

    relevant the option for the positive correlation; we hypothesised:

    H1: Leverage yields positive effects on the value of the firm.

    b) Risk management. To control for the relationship between risk management and firm

    value, we used a dummy variable, for which we defined the following values: 1 - for companies

    that implemented risk management programs and 0 - for companies without interests in the area of

    risk management.

    The option to include this variable in the analysis is justified on two grounds:

    • it addresses the objective of the research (by highlighting the effects of risk management on

    firm value);

    • it is frequently used in scientific research in the field, for example:

    - Pagach and War (2010) have argued (and have provided empirical evidence) that risk

    management creates value as it reduces the volatility of net cash flows [30];

    - Liebenberg and Sommer (2008) have shown a positive and significant correlation between

    managing risks and firm value [23];

    - Hoyt and Liebenberg (2011) have provided evidence of increased firm value through risk

    management (with the rise ranging between 3.6% and 17%) [18].

    - Allayannis and Weston (2001) estimated this increase at 4% [4].

    In light of the remarks made above, we formulate the second hypothesis:

    H2: Risk management results in enhanced firm value.

    47

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    c) Return on assets. In finance, the return on assets reflects the firm’s capacity to generate

    profit; in other words, the return on assets reflects the extent of the effective use and management

    of assets. The return on assets (ROA) was calculated using the ratio of current profit to total assets.

    Accepting profitability as an independent variable is justified on the following grounds:

    - it incorporates the cumulative effect of using the two financing sources;

    - it is dependent on the extent to which the firm hedges against risks;

    - it highlights both sides of profit: a source of compensating equity providers (shareholders)

    and evidence of the remuneration capacity of debts;

    - it is consistent with Tobin’s Q general theory, which suggests that if a firm is able to

    generate net income, then value is created;

    - there is empirical evidence for the positive impact of return on assets on firm value [25; 16;

    14; 32; 39].

    In view of the arguments above, we put forward a third hypothesis:

    H3: A positive relationship exists between return on assets and firm value (i.e. the cumulative

    effects of financing and risk management reflect first on profitability and then on firm value).

    d) Firm size, assessed in terms of the size of its assets. Two reasons supported the inclusion

    of this variable in the analysis.

    On the one hand, firm size is a factor that exerts a large influence on the financial structure of

    firms. Regarding the theoretical underpinnings, in early research there are common views on the

    relationship between firm size and leverage (trade-off theory and pecking order theory).

    Subsequently, examining the link between firm size and leverage, some authors (Prahalathan,

    2010) reported conflicting points of view [36]. Acknowledging that large firms may have a higher

    debt-carrying capacity, Byoun (2008) argues that large firms, being generally more transparent,

    tend to have higher debt levels, while the diversification of debt alternatives may enable a reduction

    in debt issuance costs [11]. On the contrary, for smaller firms, as financial institutions must allocate

    more resources towards monitoring them, they may “penalise” them, by demanding higher interest

    rates [33]. Starting from the assumption that, for large firms, size is positively correlated with

    leverage, other authors [9], based on empirical research, have concluded that, in the case of small

    firms, firm size is negatively correlated with leverage. The results of research done by Hidayah

    (2014) shows that firm size have positive and significant impact on the firm value [16]. A big

    company is able to access the capital market more easily, thus the company is flexible and has an

    ability to obtain funds. Other studies [34; 19] have also highlited that firm size has a week positive

    impact on the value of the firm.

    On the other hand, firm size is closely correlated with the firm’s ability to implement risk

    management programs; empirical evidence (arguing that large firms are more likely to engage in

    risk management programs as they are more complex, face a wider range of risks and possess the

    institutional dimension to be able to bear the costs of risk management programs) has been

    presented by Hoyt and Liebenberg (2011). [18]

    Given that most of the companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange fall under the large

    company heading, the fourth hypothesis that we submit is the following:

    H4: A positive relationship exists between the size and value of the firm.

    3.3 Defining the statistical model

    To illustrate the effects of financing and risk management on firm value, we shall use the

    following regression:

    TOBIN’S Qi = β0 + β1 x ERMi + β2 x LEVi + β3 x ROAi + β4 x SIZEi + εi,

    where: TOBIN’S Qi – dependent variable, proxy for firm value; ERMi – extent of engagement

    in risk management policies; LEVi – leverage (as illustration of the financial structure); ROAi –

    return on assets; SIZEi – firm size; εi – error term.

    48

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    4. Results and discussions

    4.1 Descriptive statistics. The first step of the modelling was to analyse the distribution of

    values for the examined variables (table 1).

    Table no. 1 Descriptive statistical indicators

    Variable Median Average Mode Standard error Coefficient of

    skewness

    Coefficient of

    kurtosis

    SIZE 118298 631673 1878 2895878.321 8.840 84.451

    ROA 0.01980 0.04883 0.0000 0.1268313 12.357 206.251

    LEV 0.665 1.311 0.18 2.57464 6.799 63.817

    Tobin’s_Q 0.9577 1.3370 0.8239 1.3176781 3.829 20.968

    Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    Examining the results in Table 1, one can notice that the values of the three fundamental

    average measurements (average, median, mode) are not equal; consequently, we consider that the

    data series is skewed. For the analysed variables, the standard error is higher than the average. In

    this situation, there is a lower concentration of data around the mean, the distributions being non-

    homogeneous. The skewness coefficient has positive values. These positive values indicate the

    presence of positively skewed distributions, skewed to the right. For the kurtosis coefficient too,

    values above 0 were recorded. They indicate the presence of leptokurtic distributions. Because

    Skewness and Kurtosis statistics are sensitive to distribution anomalies, we deem appropriate to

    examine the histogram and the normal Q-Q Plot (Figure 1); this step is required to confirm the

    validity of the previous assessments.

    Figure no. 1 Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the values of the

    analysed variables (SIZE, ROA) Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    49

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    Figure no. 1 (continued) Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the

    values of the analysed variables (LEV, Tobin’s Q) Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    As the values of some of the examined variables do not have a normal distribution,

    logarithmisation must be employed. The outcomes of logarithmisation are presented in Figure 2.

    Figure no. 2 Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the logarithm values

    of the analysed variables

    50

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    Figure no. 2 (continued) Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the

    logarithm values of the analysed variables Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    The graphical analysis of the histograms confirms the presence of skewed distributions and

    leptokurtic distributions for the analysed variables.

    The second step of the research was to verify the nature of the average value of the “Tobin’s

    Q” indicator (whether it is representative during the entire period or differs one year to another);

    such examination enables us to identify whether the influence of independent variables on

    dependent variable is constant or varies during the period. To get an insight into the distribution of

    the variable values ”Tobin’s Q” of the firms under review, during the 2006-2011 period, we built

    the Box-Plot diagram for the 2006-2011 period (Figure 3).

    Figure 3 Box Plot

    Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    We observed that the Box-Plots are different in size and that there are some outliers. This

    indicates that there are significant differences in the values for the “Tobin’s Q” variable in the first

    part of the examined period. The median for the year 2006 is significantly different from the

    medians of other years. It also shows that the medians of the last 3 years (2009, 2010, 2011) are

    equal. In other words, we can argue that there are significant differences between the average

    values of the “Tobin’s Q” variable at the start of the period (2006, 2007, 2008). The variation in the

    average value of the “Tobin’s Q” indicator can be assigned to the dynamism of the business

    51

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    environment in the period prior to the crisis; in a dynamic environment, influences not only

    multiply, but also amplify; once the crisis set in, the business environment became more rigid,

    reducing the amplitude of changes in the examined variable.

    4.2 Regression analysis. To perform the analysis of the effect of independent variables

    (ERM, LEV, ROA, SIZE) on the dependent variable (Tobin’s Q), we opted for the LMEM (Linear

    Mixed Effects Models). The arguments supporting the decision to use this model were: a)

    compared to other models, the model captures more effectively the effects of independent variables

    on the dependent variable and b) it allows not only the identification of effects but also their

    quantification.

    The estimation of this model was carried out taking into account the ownership structure of

    the examined firms, assessed in terms of the proportion of share capital held; given the low

    homogeneity of the shareholder structure of the Romanian companies listed on the Bucharest Stock

    Exchange, to assess the shareholder structure we considered that a holding of at least 30% of the

    shares issued denotes a majority shareholder (which is why we defined the following values: 1 for

    majority shareholder firm; 0 for firms with unrepresentative (fragmented) shareholding. The results

    of the estimated model are summarised in Table 2.

    Table no. 2 Detailed of the estimated model Coefficients Estimate Std. Error DF t value Pr (>|t|)

    Intercept -0.1413299 0.05607981 534 -2.520157 0.0120

    SIZE 0.0000000 0.00000001 534 -0.612129 0.5407

    ROA 0.7531134 0.24028599 534 3.134238 0.0018

    LEV 0.0604353 0.01185574 534 5.097556 0.0000

    ERM 0.1392702 0.06420670 534 2.169092 0.0305

    AIC 1210.723 σu = 0.04526406 BIC 1240.699 σe = 0.7014136 logLik -598.3613

    Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    The preliminary results (produced by processing the original variables) show that return on

    assets (ROA), leverage (LEV) and the extent to which firms are engaged in implementing risk

    management policies (ERM) exert a significant effect on firm value (Tobin’s Q). Based on these

    findings, the first three hypotheses are verified.

    H1. Considering the results presented in table 2, one can note that the financial structure has

    a significant and positive effect on the value of firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange

    (6.04% of the variation in firm value being attributed to the financial structure). Compared to the

    other examined independent variables, this variable yields much more significant effects.

    Consequently, the first hypothesis (Leverage yields positive effects on the value of the firm) can be

    accepted.

    H2. The results in table 2 show that risk management policies present a positive and

    significant correlation with firm value (13.92%). Therefore, the second hypothesis is also validated

    (risk management results in enhanced firm value).

    H3. Based on the data in the table referenced to validate the previous hypotheses, the third

    hypothesis too is accepted as valid. Return on assets has a significant and positive effect on firm

    value. As a result, the third hypothesis too is accepted (a positive relationship exists between return

    on assets and firm value).

    H4. Compared to the other hypothesis, the one stating that a positive relationship exists

    between the size and the value of the firm is rejected, since the findings of the analysis reveal a

    negative and insignificant correlation.

    To identify the model that best accounts for the data structure (and estimated effects), we

    propose to also analyse the correlation between the independent variables (SIZE, ROA, LEV and

    52

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    ERM) and the dependent variable using a joint factor model (ROA-SIZE, ROA-LEV and ROA-

    ERM). The results for this new model are presented in Table 3. The following interdependent

    arguments served to steer the analysis towards this model: a) the ultimate goal of such analyses is

    forecasting; b) the quality of predictive formulas depends on the quality of research results; c) the

    aim of enhancing the scientific value of the research.

    Table no. 3 Details of the model that incorporates joint factors Coefficients Estimate Std. Error DF t value Pr(>|t|)

    Intercept -0.1438220 0.0484419 531 -2.968962 0.0031

    SIZE 0.0000000 0.0000000 531 -1.342086 0.1801

    ROA 0.5587218 0.2978546 531 1.875820 0.0512

    LEV 0.0636463 0.0122183 531 5.209114 0.0000

    ERM 0.0976228 0.0762785 531 1.279822 0.2012

    ROA*SIZE 0.0000003 0.0000003 531 1.169872 0.2426

    ROA*LEV 0.1246861 0.3076311 531 0.405310 0.6854

    ROA*ERM 0.7100372 0.6968657 531 1.018901 0.3087

    AIC 1241.356 σu = 0.02665756

    BIC 1284.122 σe = 0.7015454 logLik -610.678

    Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    According to the second estimated model, the results yielded indicated that the return on

    assets (ROA) and leverage (LEV) alone have a positive and significant effect on firm value (Tobin’s

    Q). In this case, only two of the four hypotheses are accepted:

    H1: Leverage yields positive effects on the value of the firm – validated hypothesis;

    H2: Risk management results in enhanced firm value – rejected hypothesis;

    H3: A positive relationship exists between return on assets and firm value – validated

    hypothesis;

    H4: A positive relationship exists between the size and the value of the firm – rejected

    hypothesis.

    We use the ANOVA function to determine which of the two models (the first, which

    processes the original variables and the second, which processes the associated variables) better

    explains the data structure. The results are presented in Table 4.

    Table no. 4 The results yielded by the comparison of the two models Model df AIC BIC logLik Test L.Ratio p-value

    Model 1 7 1210.723 1240.698 -598.3613 - - -

    Model 2 10 1241.356 1284.122 -610.6780 1 vs 2 24.63339

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    Figure no. 4 Plots used to verify the normality of errors for the chosen model Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)

    The condition of normality of the distribution of errors within the groups can be verified

    using the third plot. The plot indicates that the normality condition for the distribution of errors is

    met.

    The last representation in Figure 4 allows the examination and assessment of the distribution

    of the corresponding random effects. The chart does not indicate any deviation from the normality

    condition of the distribution of random effects.

    4.3 Estimating the compatibility of the findings of the study with the findings of previous

    research. Because, during the documentation, we did not identify any studies exploring Romanian

    enterprises exclusively (and those listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange, respectively), we will

    refer to the findings of studies of firms listed on the stock exchanges of other countries. A useful

    54

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    tool in this respect was the summary drawn up by Aretz and Bartram (2010) [5], comprising the

    theoretical arguments and the empirical evidence in the literature on the financial structure and

    corporate risk management as levers for value creation.

    a) The hypothesis which states that the financial structure (interpreted in terms of leverage)

    yields positive effects on firm value has also been confirmed by:

    - Highland Global (2008), which showed that capitalising on the beneficial effects of

    leverage (in the context of financial structure adequacy) aims to minimise the weighted average

    cost of capital; as a result, high leverage enhances firm value [17];

    - Chowdhury and Chowdhury (2010), who investigated the impact of the various variables

    (including capital structure) on firm value, yielding evidence in support of the positive effect of

    leverage on firm value [12];

    -Tongkong (2012) who has observed that higher profitability firms tend to have less debt and

    firms with higher growth opportunities tend to have greater leverage [41];

    - Adenugba, et al. (2016) have highlighted the positive significant relationship between

    financial leverage and firms’ value for Nigerian listed firms [1].

    b) The hypothesis stating that risk management results in enhanced firm value has been

    confirmed by:

    - Hoyt and Liebenberg (2011) confirmed this correlation for a sample of 275 U.S. firms (over

    a period of 11 years) [18];

    - Woon et al. (2011) demonstrated that the implementation of risk management programs

    contributes to boosting firm value (through the low cost of capital thanks to the decreasing risk

    premium) [42];

    - Pagach and Warr (2011) showed that firms embark on risk management programs as they

    grow aware of direct economic benefits (and not necessarily to comply with any particular rules)

    [31];

    - other authors examining the correlation between risk management and firm performance

    have found evidence in support of the positive correlation [18];

    - Ping and Muthuveloo (2015) showed that the implementation of a risk manangement

    system has significant positive influence on firm performance [35];

    - more recent studies [13; 21] show that firms with advanced levels of ERM implementation

    present higher performance, both as financial performance and market evaluation.

    In light of the fact that, by using the second model (based on joint factors), the second

    hypothesis was rejected, we emphasise that similar results (i.e. rejection of the hypothesis) were

    reported by Tahir and Razali (2011) and also by Quon et al (2012).

    c) The positive relationship between return on assets (ROA) and firm value has been proven

    empirically as part of the following studies: Andersen (2008), who analysed the performance of

    multinational firms (premised on low financial leverage); Mohamad and Saad (2010); Hidayah

    (2014); Gamayuni (2015); Paminto et al (2016); Sudiyatno et al. (2017) [25; 16; 14; 32; 39]. This

    result is in keeping with Tobin’s Q general theory, which suggests that if a firm is able to generate

    net revenue, then value is created.

    d) The positive relationship between size and firm value has also been invalidated by

    Allayannis and Weston (2001) [4] and Mule et al (2015) [26].

    5. Conclusions

    The analysis of the effect of independent variables (ERM, LEV, ROA, SIZE) on the dependent

    variable (Tobin’s Q) was performed based on linear mixed effects model (LMEM). The findings of

    the analysis resulted in the confirmation of the first three hypotheses and rejection of the fourth.

    Subsequently, to identify the model that best accounts for the data structure, we analysed the

    relationship between the independent variables (SIZE, ROA, LEV and ERM) and the dependent

    55

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    variable, using a model that incorporates a combination of factors (ROA-SIZE, ROA-LEV and ROA-

    ERM). The results of this new model showed that only the first and third hypotheses were

    validated, while the other two were rejected.

    To determine which of the two models better explains the structure of data, we used the

    ANOVA function, which showed that the second model (incorporating factors and joint factors)

    better explains the data structure. We tested the normality conditions of errors for the joint factor

    model and showed that the normal distribution condition of errors is met (which validated the

    second model). Analysing the distribution of random effects, we have shown that there are no

    deviations from the normal distribution condition of random effects (which marked the second

    validation of the second model).

    The findings reveal that two of the four examined variables yield significant positive effects

    on the value of firms (financing structure and return on assets); for the other two independent

    variables analysed (risk management and firm size), the hypotheses were rejected.

    Although we encountered difficulties in observing economic phenomenon, the causes and

    factors that determine it, we sought to ensure that this aspect should not act a limit to our research.

    The paper serves as a starting point for conducting researches future, more extensive.

    6. Bibliography

    [1] Adenugba, A.A., Ige, A.A., Kesinro, O. R. (2016), Financial Leverage and Firms’ Value: A

    Study of Selected Firms in Nigeria, European Journal of Research and Reflection in Management

    Sciences, no. 4(1), pp. 14-32;

    [2] Abeywardhana, Y., Krishanthi, D. (2016), Impact of Capital Structure on Firm Performance:

    Evidence from Manufacturing Sector SMEs in UK, available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=

    2816499;

    [3] Aggarwal, R., Kyaw, N. (2008), Internal Capital Networks as a Source of MNC Competitive

    Advantage: Evidence from Foreign Subsidiary Capital Structure Decisions, International Business

    and Finance, no. 22, pp. 409-439;

    [4] Allayannis, G., Weston, J. P. (2001), The use of foreign currency derivatives and firm market

    value, Review of Financial Studies, no. 14, pp. 243-276;

    [5] Aretz, K., Bartram, S. M., (2010), Corporate hedging and shareholder value, The Journal of

    Financial Research, 4, 317-371;

    [6] Bartram, S. M., Brown, G.W., Conrad, J. (2011), The effects of derivatives on firm risk and

    value, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, no. 46(4), pp. 967-999;

    [7] Bartram, S. M., Brown, G. W., Minton, B. (2010), Resolving the exposure puzzle: The many

    facets of foreign exchange exposure, Journal of Financial Economics, no. 95, pp. 148-73;

    [8] Bartram, S. M., Brown, G. W., Fehle, F. (2009), International evidence on financial

    derivatives usage, Financial Management, no. 38, pp. 185-206;

    [9] Bas, T., Muradoglu, G., Philaktis, K. (2010), Determinants of Capital Structure in Emerging

    Markets, European Financial Management Symposium, First draft, Cass Business School, London,

    U.K;

    [10] Boodhoo, R. (2009), Capital structure and ownership structure: a review of literature; The

    Journal of On line Education, January Edition, pp. 1-8;

    [11] Byoun, S. (2008), How and when do firms adjust their capital structures toward targets?; The

    Journal of Finance, no. 63(6), pp. 3069-3096;

    [12] Chowdhury, A., Chowdhury, S.P. (2010), Impact of capital structure on firm’s value:

    Evidence from Bnagladesh, Business and Economic, Horizonts, vol. 3(1), pp. 111-122;

    [13] Florio, C., Leoni, G. (2017), Enterprise risk management and firm performance: The Italian

    case, The British Accounting Review, no. 49(1), pp. 56–74;

    56

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    [14] Gamayuni, R.R. (2015), The Effect Of Intangible Asset, Financial Performance And

    Financial Policies On The Firm Value, International Journal Of Scientific & Technology Research,

    no. 4(1), pp. 202-212;

    [15] Gordon, L.A., Loeb, M.P., Tseng, C. (2009), Enterprise risk management and firm

    performance: A contingency perspective, Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, no. 28(4), pp.

    301-327;

    [16] Hidayah, N. (2014), The Effect of Company Characteristic toward Firm Value in the Property

    and Real Estate Company in Indonesia Stock Exchange, International Journal of Business,

    Economics and Law, no. 5(1), pp. 1-8;

    [17] Highland Global (2008), Financial Leverage and WACC: How Small, Overleveraged

    Businesses can inflate the Value of the Firm with an Abnormally Low Weighted Average Cost of

    capital, available at: www.HighlandGlobal.com;

    [18] Hoyt, R. E., Liebenberg, A. P. (2011), The Value of Enterprise Risk Management, Journal of

    Risk and Insurance, no. 78(4), pp. 795-822;

    [19] Ilaboya, O.J., Ohiokha, I.F. (2016), Firm Age, Size and Profitability Dynamics: A Test of

    Learning by Doing and Structural Inertia Hypotheses, Business and Management Research, no.

    5(1), pp. 29-39;

    [20] Kayo, E. K., Kimura, H. (2011), Hierarchical determinants of capital structure, Journal of

    Banking, Finance, no. 35(2), pp. 358-371;

    [21] Kopia, J., Just, V., Geldmacher, W., Bußian, A. (2017), Organization Performance and

    Enterprise Risk Management, Ecoforum, no. 6(1);

    [22] Lai, F. W., Samad, A. (2010), Enterprise Risk Management Framework and The Empirical

    Determinants of Its Implementation, in: 2010 International Conference on Information and Finance,

    26-28, November 2010, KualaLumpur;

    [23] Liebenberg, A. P., Sommer, D. W. (2008), Effects of Corporate Diversification: Evidence

    from the Property-Liability Insurance Industry; Journal of Risk and Insurance, no. 75, pp. 893-919;

    [24] Margaritis, D., Psillaki, M. (2010), Capital structure, equity ownership and firm

    performance, Journal of Banking, Finance, no. 34(3), pp. 621-632;

    [25] Mohamad, N., Mohd Saad, N. (2010), Working Capital Management: The Effect of Market

    Valuation and Profitability in Malaysia, International Journal of Business and Management, no.

    5(10), pp. 140-147;

    [26] Mule, R.K., Mukras, M.S., Nzioka, O.M. (2015), Corporate Size, Profitability and Market

    Value: An Econometric Panel Analysis of Listed Firms in Kenya, European Scientific Journal, no.

    11(13), pp. 376-396;

    [27] Mwangi, L. W., Makau, M. S., Kosimbei, G. (2014), Relationship between Capital Structure

    and Performance of NonFinancial Companies Listed In the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya,

    Global Journal of Contemporary Research in Accounting, Auditing and Business Ethics (GJCRA),

    no. 1(2), pp. 72-90;

    [28] Ogbulu, O. M., Emeni, F. K. (2012), Capital Structure and Firm Value: Empirical Evidence

    from Nigeria, International Journal of Business and Social SciencE, 3(19), 252-261;

    [29] Onaolapo, A. A., Kajola, S. O. (2010), Capital Structure and Firm Performance: evidence

    from Nigeria, European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences, no. 25, pp.

    70-82;

    [30] Pagach, D., Warr, R. (2010), The Effects of Enterprise Risk Management on Firm

    Performance, JenkinsGraduate School of Management, North Carolina State University;

    [31] Pagach, D., Warr, R. (2011), The characteristics of firms that hire chief risk officers, Journal

    of Risk and Insurance, no. 78(1), pp. 185-211;

    [32] Paminto, A., Setyadi, D., Sinaga, J. (2016), The Effect of Capital Structure, Firm Growth

    and Dividend Policy on Profitability and Firm Value of the Oil Palm Plantation Companies in

    Indonesia, European Journal of Business and Management, no. 8(33), pp. 123-134;

    57

  • Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018

    „ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007

    [33] Pereira Alves P. F., Ferreira, M. A. (2011), Capital structure and law around the world,

    Journal of Multinational Financial Management, no. 21, pp. 119-150;

    [34] Pervan, M., Višić, J. (2012), Influence of Firm Size on its Business Success, Croatian

    Operational Research Review (CRORR), no. 3, pp. 213-223;

    [35] Ping, T.A., Muthuveloo, R., (2015), The Impact of Enterprise Risk Management on Firm

    Performance: Evidence from Malaysia, Asian Social Science, no. 11(22), pp. 149-159;

    [36] Prahalathan, B. (2010), The Determinants of Capital Structure: An empirical Analysis of

    Listed Manufacturing Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange Market in SriLanka, Sri Lanka:

    University of Kelaniya;

    [37] Prahalathan, B., Ranjany, R.P. (2011), The Impact of Capital Structure-Choice on Firm

    Performance: Empirical Investigation Of listed Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange, Srilanka,

    International Journal of Research in Commerce, Management, no. 2(4), pp. 12-16;

    [38] Quon, T., Zeghal, D., Maingot, M. (2012), Enterprise Risk Management and Firm

    Performance, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, no. 62, pp. 263-267;

    [39] Sudiyatno, B., Puspitasari, E., Sudarsi, S. (2017), Working Capital, Firm Performance, and

    Firm Value: An Empirical Study in Manufacturing Industry on Indonesia Stock Exchange,

    Economics World, no. 5(5), pp. 444-450;

    [40] Tahir, I. M., Razali, A.R. (2011), The Relationship Between Enterprise Risk Management,

    (ERM) and Firm Value: Evidence from Malaysian Public Listed Companies, International Journal

    of Economics and Management Sciences, no. 1(2), pp. 32-41;

    [41] Tongkong, S. (2012), Key factors influencing capital structure decision and its speed of

    adjustment of Thai listed real estate companies, Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, no. 40,

    pp. 716 – 720;

    [42] Woon, L. F., Azizan, N. A., Samad, M. F. A. (2011), A Strategic Framework For Value

    Enhancing Enterprise Risk Management, Journal of Global Business and Economics, 2, 23-48.

    58