ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK ......Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi”...
Transcript of ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK ......Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi”...
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF FINANCING AND RISK MANAGEMENT ON THE
VALUE OF FIRMS LISTED ON THE BUCHAREST STOCK EXCHANGE
MIHAELA BRÎNDUȘA TUDOSE
LECTURER PHD, FACULTY OF TEXTILE AND LEATHER ENGINEERING AND INDUSTRIAL
MANAGEMENT, ”GHEORGHE ASACHI” TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY, IASI, ROMANIA
e-mail:[email protected], [email protected]
VALENTINA DIANA RUSU
RESEARCHER PHD, DEPARTMENT OF INTERDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH IN SOCIAL
SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES, ”ALEXANDRU IOAN CUZA” UNIVERSITY, IASI, ROMANIA
e-mail: [email protected]
Abstract
The paper aims to assess the effects of financing and risk management on firm value of companies and to
provide additional evidence in the area of empirical debates. For these purposes, we performed a regression analysis
(based on the fixed-effects model), which reflects the effects of the two policies (i.e. financing and risk management) on
the value of the firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange. The dependent variable was value of the firm; we used
Tobin’s Q as a proxy. Independent variables were: financial structure, risk management, financial return and firm size.
The findings reveal that two of the four examined variables yield significant positive effects on the value of firms
(financing structure and return on assets); for the other two independent variables analysed (risk management and firm
size), the hypotheses were rejected.
Keywords: financial structure, risk management, return on assets, firm size, firm value.
Clasificare JEL: G32
1. Introduction
A review of the diverse range of debates that seek to reveal the real effects of financing will
clearly show that the attention of researchers is focused on performance and on firm value,
respectively. Investigating the relationship between capital structure and firm performance/value is
particularly important given that the maximisation of shareholder wealth depends on the link
between debt level and the firm’s performance.
In the same context, of key interest are the theoretical arguments and empirical evidence on
corporate risk management as a lever for creating value for shareholders. In particular, we refer to
studies that suggest that shareholders’ wealth can be enhanced by hedging against capital risks and
taking advantage of capital market imperfections that lead to underinvestment and asset substitution
problems.
In the area of theoretical debates, universally and unconditionally, it is acknowledged that
financing policy is essential to ensuring the long-term survival of the firm and that risk
management is required due to the potential impact of risk factors on the firm’s performance.
Empirical studies show that there is mixed (conflicting) evidence regarding the effects of financing
and that there is not yet sufficient evidence for the effects of risk management.
The experience has showen that firms that are still using a traditional risk management
approach are not able to sustain their performance because of the complexity and fast changing
business environment. To help the firms, the traditional risk management model has been replaced
by an enterprise-wide view of risk rapidly, enterprise risk management (ERM) system. The
difference between ERM and traditional ways of managing risks is in how the entity centralizes
comprehensive risk management structure and processes at strategic level as an extension of its
44
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
control system. ERM is a comprehensive and integrated approach that calls for high-level oversight
of the firm entire risk portfolio aligned with the strategic objectives of the firm, instead of having
many different individual managers to oversee specific risks in isolation.
The main objective of this paper was to examine the effects of financing and risk
management on the value of companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange and to provide
additional evidence in the area of empirical debates.
The study is structured as follows: section two presents the state of knowledge about the
effects of financing and of risk management (outlining the main areas of research and conclusions
reached); the database and the methodology of the research are detailed in section 3; section 4 lists
the findings of the research, while the last section summarises the conclusions.
2. Literature review
2.1 Effects of financing. Most researchers agree that the assessment of financing effects is
dependent on the input of information into the measurement system and the tools employed. In
addition to the classical indicators used in financial analysis (return on investment, leverage, capital
efficiency, liquidity, cash flow), the so-called modern indicators of value creation come into play.
Special attention is given to proxy variables for estimating firm value. The most relevant example
is the use of Tobin’s Q variable to estimate firm value; the indicator features consistently in recent
major research.
Although the ultimate purpose of research on the topic was the same (to identify an optimal
debt levels that generates the estimated effects), findings have been contradictory:
- some studies have provided empirical evidence in favour of the positive correlation
between capital structure and firm performance/value [12; 20; 40; 41; 1];
- other studies have provided evidence supporting a negative correlation [29; 27; 2];
- other studies have shown that below a certain debt level, the firm’s performance tends to be
negatively correlated with its share of debt [10];
- other studies have delivered mixed evidence given that, to assess the financial structure,
debt was examined in terms of maturities or depending on whether firms belong to various sectors
or industries, having different growth opportunities [37; 24; 28].
2.2 Risk management. Cases when derivatives are used are premised on the assumption of the
existing positive theories, which contend that risk management at firm level, amid capital market
imperfections, is beneficial to company shareholders. Although these theories suggest various ways
in which hedging against corporate risks can enhance shareholder value (for instance, reducing the
costs of financial distress), empirical evidence remains controversial and a common view has not
been reached.
In order to assess the effects of risk management on firm value, proxy variables (such as the
Tobin’s Q variable) are used frequently, factoring in the fact that a firm should invest up to the
point where its market value becomes equal to its book value. Empirical studies have provided
conflicting evidence.
As we have shown in the case of the financing of firms, empirical tests of the effects of
hedging on the firm’s value are affected by endogeneity problems; in other words, the impact of
risk management on firm value is largely dependent on the range of hedging instruments selected
and the sample selection models. For instance, Bartram et al. (2011) studied a global sample of
6896 non-financial firms in 47 countries and provided rigorous evidence that the use of financial
derivatives reduces the risk to the firm, but also some evidence that the use of derivatives is
correlated with higher firm value [6].
To sum up, positive theories of value creation through corporate risk management and their
corresponding extensive body of empirical evidence suggest, as a backdrop, that the derivatives
used occupy a central place in research. For example, Bartram et al. (2009) showed that the use of
45
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
derivatives is part of the company’s financial strategy, which requires knowledge of the following
aspects [8]: the type and magnitude of financial risks, the availability of risk management tools, and
the firm’s operating environment. Studies have also shown that the use of derivatives is linked to
debt levels and maturity, dividend policy, the liquidity of operating assets and the extent of hedging
[5] At the same time, it is worth recalling that not all companies use derivatives, but rather rely on
traditional instruments hedging [7; 22].
To meet the risk, nowadays, the enterprises implement enterprise risk management (ERM)
systems. There are some studies that have empirically analyzed the impact of ERM systems on
performance of companies. Thus, Gordon et al (2009), based on a sample of 112 US firms, showed
that organizations are improving their performance by employing the ERM concept [15]. The basic
argument presented in this paper is that the relation between ERM and firm performance depends
on a series of factors which are affecting the firm: environmental uncertainty, industry competition,
firm size, firm complexity, and board of directors’ monitoring.
Quon et al. (2012) have explored 156 non-financial firms and have analyzed the relationship
between Enterprise Risk Management and firm performance, during 2007 and 2008. Their results
showed that ERM information did not predict or have any appreciable effect on business
performance. So, their conclusion is that the assessed levels of economic or market risk exposure or
consequences are related to firm performance.
Ping and Muthuveloo (2015) examined the implementation of Enterprise Risk Management
(ERM) on firm performance of Public Listed Companies on main market in Bursa Malaysia using a
questionnaire survey [35]. Their results showed that the implementation of ERM have significant
positive influence on firm performance. Other variables, such as firm size and firm complexity,
were also found to significantly influence the relationship between ERM implementation and firm
performance.
More recent studies, Florio and Leoni (2017) have investigated if there is a relationship
between the implementation of enterprise risk management (ERM) systems and the performance of
Italian listed companies [13]. The results show that firms with advanced levels of ERM
implementation present higher performance, both as financial performance and market evaluation.
They also highlight that the relationship between ERM implementation and firm performance in an
under-investigated context in many countries. The paper of Kopia et al (2017) show that there is
diversity in scientific literature of how to measure performance in the ERM-context. They try to
develop a unified view of how ERM influences performance of organizations.
3. Matherial and methods
3.1 Establishing the coordinates of the sample being researched
Sample. To ensure relevant outcomes, we aimed for the research to be based on companies
subject to comparable tax treatments, common bankruptcy rules, comparable market rules, similar
financial traditions. Prompted by these considerations, we decided to perform the empirical
research on a sample of 90 non-financial companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange.
As regards the time frame of the analysis, we considered the 2006-2011 interval, precisely in
order to capture the particular evolution of the examined phenomena before and during the crisis.
• The sources underpinning the database that was used in the empirical research. The data
were collected from two sources: a) the annual financial statements and the related explanatory
notes (available both on the website of the Ministry of Finance, in the business operators
information section, and on the website of each individual firm); b) the information available on
website of the Bucharest Stock Exchange and other investment firms.
• Nature of the data. Initially, we considered market values for the purposes of the analysis;
however, given that for many variables market values are not available (or difficult to secure within
reasonable timeframe) we turned to a mix between book values and market values.
46
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
• Identifying the theoretical underpinnings of the research. Researching how financing is
secured by firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange and their attitudes on risk, we found
arguments to associate these companies with pecking order theory.
3.2 Presenting the examined variables and defining the hypotheses
The dependent variable - firm value. We used Tobin’s Q as a proxy for firm value. In
agreement with the purpose of this research, we used as benchmark the following determination
formula: TA
DVPfTobin'sQ , where: VPf – the firm’s market value (resulting from multiplying the
market value of the share and the number of shares); D – debts (book value); TA – book value of
total assets.
Independent variables – financial structure, risk management, financial return and firm size.
a) Financial structure. To control for the relationship between capital structure and firm
value variable, we used leverage (LEV) as variable (assessed in terms of the ratio between total
debt and equity). Introducing this variable in the analysis is justified for two reasons:
• it provides a picture of how the firm succeeds in combining the two sources of financing
(own and borrowed) to fund investments; the advisability of resorting to various financing sources
depends on the benefits that each situation in part offers; for example, taking on debt provides the
opportunity to make investment much easier than financing through issuing new shares; as an effect
of the tax advantages that it provides, debt offers the opportunity to create value for parties
involved;
• there is empirical evidence that the financial leverage may enhance firm value:
- Aggarwal and Kyaw (2008), who constructed their arguments based on the idea that debt
compels managers to channel the cash flows towards “productive” goals, thus avoiding “wasteful,
petty” spending [3];
- Kayo and Kymura (2011) have shown that the concerns of companies to optimise their
financial structure (in the context of minimising financing costs) translate into a beneficial impact
on firm value [20].
Although we associated the financing behaviour of firms in the sample with pecking order
theory (which estimates a negative correlation between the debt level and firm performance/value),
in view of the low debt level (total and short-term) of firms in the sample, we considered as more
relevant the option for the positive correlation; we hypothesised:
H1: Leverage yields positive effects on the value of the firm.
b) Risk management. To control for the relationship between risk management and firm
value, we used a dummy variable, for which we defined the following values: 1 - for companies
that implemented risk management programs and 0 - for companies without interests in the area of
risk management.
The option to include this variable in the analysis is justified on two grounds:
• it addresses the objective of the research (by highlighting the effects of risk management on
firm value);
• it is frequently used in scientific research in the field, for example:
- Pagach and War (2010) have argued (and have provided empirical evidence) that risk
management creates value as it reduces the volatility of net cash flows [30];
- Liebenberg and Sommer (2008) have shown a positive and significant correlation between
managing risks and firm value [23];
- Hoyt and Liebenberg (2011) have provided evidence of increased firm value through risk
management (with the rise ranging between 3.6% and 17%) [18].
- Allayannis and Weston (2001) estimated this increase at 4% [4].
In light of the remarks made above, we formulate the second hypothesis:
H2: Risk management results in enhanced firm value.
47
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
c) Return on assets. In finance, the return on assets reflects the firm’s capacity to generate
profit; in other words, the return on assets reflects the extent of the effective use and management
of assets. The return on assets (ROA) was calculated using the ratio of current profit to total assets.
Accepting profitability as an independent variable is justified on the following grounds:
- it incorporates the cumulative effect of using the two financing sources;
- it is dependent on the extent to which the firm hedges against risks;
- it highlights both sides of profit: a source of compensating equity providers (shareholders)
and evidence of the remuneration capacity of debts;
- it is consistent with Tobin’s Q general theory, which suggests that if a firm is able to
generate net income, then value is created;
- there is empirical evidence for the positive impact of return on assets on firm value [25; 16;
14; 32; 39].
In view of the arguments above, we put forward a third hypothesis:
H3: A positive relationship exists between return on assets and firm value (i.e. the cumulative
effects of financing and risk management reflect first on profitability and then on firm value).
d) Firm size, assessed in terms of the size of its assets. Two reasons supported the inclusion
of this variable in the analysis.
On the one hand, firm size is a factor that exerts a large influence on the financial structure of
firms. Regarding the theoretical underpinnings, in early research there are common views on the
relationship between firm size and leverage (trade-off theory and pecking order theory).
Subsequently, examining the link between firm size and leverage, some authors (Prahalathan,
2010) reported conflicting points of view [36]. Acknowledging that large firms may have a higher
debt-carrying capacity, Byoun (2008) argues that large firms, being generally more transparent,
tend to have higher debt levels, while the diversification of debt alternatives may enable a reduction
in debt issuance costs [11]. On the contrary, for smaller firms, as financial institutions must allocate
more resources towards monitoring them, they may “penalise” them, by demanding higher interest
rates [33]. Starting from the assumption that, for large firms, size is positively correlated with
leverage, other authors [9], based on empirical research, have concluded that, in the case of small
firms, firm size is negatively correlated with leverage. The results of research done by Hidayah
(2014) shows that firm size have positive and significant impact on the firm value [16]. A big
company is able to access the capital market more easily, thus the company is flexible and has an
ability to obtain funds. Other studies [34; 19] have also highlited that firm size has a week positive
impact on the value of the firm.
On the other hand, firm size is closely correlated with the firm’s ability to implement risk
management programs; empirical evidence (arguing that large firms are more likely to engage in
risk management programs as they are more complex, face a wider range of risks and possess the
institutional dimension to be able to bear the costs of risk management programs) has been
presented by Hoyt and Liebenberg (2011). [18]
Given that most of the companies listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange fall under the large
company heading, the fourth hypothesis that we submit is the following:
H4: A positive relationship exists between the size and value of the firm.
3.3 Defining the statistical model
To illustrate the effects of financing and risk management on firm value, we shall use the
following regression:
TOBIN’S Qi = β0 + β1 x ERMi + β2 x LEVi + β3 x ROAi + β4 x SIZEi + εi,
where: TOBIN’S Qi – dependent variable, proxy for firm value; ERMi – extent of engagement
in risk management policies; LEVi – leverage (as illustration of the financial structure); ROAi –
return on assets; SIZEi – firm size; εi – error term.
48
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
4. Results and discussions
4.1 Descriptive statistics. The first step of the modelling was to analyse the distribution of
values for the examined variables (table 1).
Table no. 1 Descriptive statistical indicators
Variable Median Average Mode Standard error Coefficient of
skewness
Coefficient of
kurtosis
SIZE 118298 631673 1878 2895878.321 8.840 84.451
ROA 0.01980 0.04883 0.0000 0.1268313 12.357 206.251
LEV 0.665 1.311 0.18 2.57464 6.799 63.817
Tobin’s_Q 0.9577 1.3370 0.8239 1.3176781 3.829 20.968
Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
Examining the results in Table 1, one can notice that the values of the three fundamental
average measurements (average, median, mode) are not equal; consequently, we consider that the
data series is skewed. For the analysed variables, the standard error is higher than the average. In
this situation, there is a lower concentration of data around the mean, the distributions being non-
homogeneous. The skewness coefficient has positive values. These positive values indicate the
presence of positively skewed distributions, skewed to the right. For the kurtosis coefficient too,
values above 0 were recorded. They indicate the presence of leptokurtic distributions. Because
Skewness and Kurtosis statistics are sensitive to distribution anomalies, we deem appropriate to
examine the histogram and the normal Q-Q Plot (Figure 1); this step is required to confirm the
validity of the previous assessments.
Figure no. 1 Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the values of the
analysed variables (SIZE, ROA) Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
49
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
Figure no. 1 (continued) Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the
values of the analysed variables (LEV, Tobin’s Q) Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
As the values of some of the examined variables do not have a normal distribution,
logarithmisation must be employed. The outcomes of logarithmisation are presented in Figure 2.
Figure no. 2 Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the logarithm values
of the analysed variables
50
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
Figure no. 2 (continued) Histograms and Normal Q-Q Plots illustrating the distribution of the
logarithm values of the analysed variables Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
The graphical analysis of the histograms confirms the presence of skewed distributions and
leptokurtic distributions for the analysed variables.
The second step of the research was to verify the nature of the average value of the “Tobin’s
Q” indicator (whether it is representative during the entire period or differs one year to another);
such examination enables us to identify whether the influence of independent variables on
dependent variable is constant or varies during the period. To get an insight into the distribution of
the variable values ”Tobin’s Q” of the firms under review, during the 2006-2011 period, we built
the Box-Plot diagram for the 2006-2011 period (Figure 3).
Figure 3 Box Plot
Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
We observed that the Box-Plots are different in size and that there are some outliers. This
indicates that there are significant differences in the values for the “Tobin’s Q” variable in the first
part of the examined period. The median for the year 2006 is significantly different from the
medians of other years. It also shows that the medians of the last 3 years (2009, 2010, 2011) are
equal. In other words, we can argue that there are significant differences between the average
values of the “Tobin’s Q” variable at the start of the period (2006, 2007, 2008). The variation in the
average value of the “Tobin’s Q” indicator can be assigned to the dynamism of the business
51
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
environment in the period prior to the crisis; in a dynamic environment, influences not only
multiply, but also amplify; once the crisis set in, the business environment became more rigid,
reducing the amplitude of changes in the examined variable.
4.2 Regression analysis. To perform the analysis of the effect of independent variables
(ERM, LEV, ROA, SIZE) on the dependent variable (Tobin’s Q), we opted for the LMEM (Linear
Mixed Effects Models). The arguments supporting the decision to use this model were: a)
compared to other models, the model captures more effectively the effects of independent variables
on the dependent variable and b) it allows not only the identification of effects but also their
quantification.
The estimation of this model was carried out taking into account the ownership structure of
the examined firms, assessed in terms of the proportion of share capital held; given the low
homogeneity of the shareholder structure of the Romanian companies listed on the Bucharest Stock
Exchange, to assess the shareholder structure we considered that a holding of at least 30% of the
shares issued denotes a majority shareholder (which is why we defined the following values: 1 for
majority shareholder firm; 0 for firms with unrepresentative (fragmented) shareholding. The results
of the estimated model are summarised in Table 2.
Table no. 2 Detailed of the estimated model Coefficients Estimate Std. Error DF t value Pr (>|t|)
Intercept -0.1413299 0.05607981 534 -2.520157 0.0120
SIZE 0.0000000 0.00000001 534 -0.612129 0.5407
ROA 0.7531134 0.24028599 534 3.134238 0.0018
LEV 0.0604353 0.01185574 534 5.097556 0.0000
ERM 0.1392702 0.06420670 534 2.169092 0.0305
AIC 1210.723 σu = 0.04526406 BIC 1240.699 σe = 0.7014136 logLik -598.3613
Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
The preliminary results (produced by processing the original variables) show that return on
assets (ROA), leverage (LEV) and the extent to which firms are engaged in implementing risk
management policies (ERM) exert a significant effect on firm value (Tobin’s Q). Based on these
findings, the first three hypotheses are verified.
H1. Considering the results presented in table 2, one can note that the financial structure has
a significant and positive effect on the value of firms listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange
(6.04% of the variation in firm value being attributed to the financial structure). Compared to the
other examined independent variables, this variable yields much more significant effects.
Consequently, the first hypothesis (Leverage yields positive effects on the value of the firm) can be
accepted.
H2. The results in table 2 show that risk management policies present a positive and
significant correlation with firm value (13.92%). Therefore, the second hypothesis is also validated
(risk management results in enhanced firm value).
H3. Based on the data in the table referenced to validate the previous hypotheses, the third
hypothesis too is accepted as valid. Return on assets has a significant and positive effect on firm
value. As a result, the third hypothesis too is accepted (a positive relationship exists between return
on assets and firm value).
H4. Compared to the other hypothesis, the one stating that a positive relationship exists
between the size and the value of the firm is rejected, since the findings of the analysis reveal a
negative and insignificant correlation.
To identify the model that best accounts for the data structure (and estimated effects), we
propose to also analyse the correlation between the independent variables (SIZE, ROA, LEV and
52
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
ERM) and the dependent variable using a joint factor model (ROA-SIZE, ROA-LEV and ROA-
ERM). The results for this new model are presented in Table 3. The following interdependent
arguments served to steer the analysis towards this model: a) the ultimate goal of such analyses is
forecasting; b) the quality of predictive formulas depends on the quality of research results; c) the
aim of enhancing the scientific value of the research.
Table no. 3 Details of the model that incorporates joint factors Coefficients Estimate Std. Error DF t value Pr(>|t|)
Intercept -0.1438220 0.0484419 531 -2.968962 0.0031
SIZE 0.0000000 0.0000000 531 -1.342086 0.1801
ROA 0.5587218 0.2978546 531 1.875820 0.0512
LEV 0.0636463 0.0122183 531 5.209114 0.0000
ERM 0.0976228 0.0762785 531 1.279822 0.2012
ROA*SIZE 0.0000003 0.0000003 531 1.169872 0.2426
ROA*LEV 0.1246861 0.3076311 531 0.405310 0.6854
ROA*ERM 0.7100372 0.6968657 531 1.018901 0.3087
AIC 1241.356 σu = 0.02665756
BIC 1284.122 σe = 0.7015454 logLik -610.678
Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
According to the second estimated model, the results yielded indicated that the return on
assets (ROA) and leverage (LEV) alone have a positive and significant effect on firm value (Tobin’s
Q). In this case, only two of the four hypotheses are accepted:
H1: Leverage yields positive effects on the value of the firm – validated hypothesis;
H2: Risk management results in enhanced firm value – rejected hypothesis;
H3: A positive relationship exists between return on assets and firm value – validated
hypothesis;
H4: A positive relationship exists between the size and the value of the firm – rejected
hypothesis.
We use the ANOVA function to determine which of the two models (the first, which
processes the original variables and the second, which processes the associated variables) better
explains the data structure. The results are presented in Table 4.
Table no. 4 The results yielded by the comparison of the two models Model df AIC BIC logLik Test L.Ratio p-value
Model 1 7 1210.723 1240.698 -598.3613 - - -
Model 2 10 1241.356 1284.122 -610.6780 1 vs 2 24.63339
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
Figure no. 4 Plots used to verify the normality of errors for the chosen model Source: Data processed by the author (R-program)
The condition of normality of the distribution of errors within the groups can be verified
using the third plot. The plot indicates that the normality condition for the distribution of errors is
met.
The last representation in Figure 4 allows the examination and assessment of the distribution
of the corresponding random effects. The chart does not indicate any deviation from the normality
condition of the distribution of random effects.
4.3 Estimating the compatibility of the findings of the study with the findings of previous
research. Because, during the documentation, we did not identify any studies exploring Romanian
enterprises exclusively (and those listed on the Bucharest Stock Exchange, respectively), we will
refer to the findings of studies of firms listed on the stock exchanges of other countries. A useful
54
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
tool in this respect was the summary drawn up by Aretz and Bartram (2010) [5], comprising the
theoretical arguments and the empirical evidence in the literature on the financial structure and
corporate risk management as levers for value creation.
a) The hypothesis which states that the financial structure (interpreted in terms of leverage)
yields positive effects on firm value has also been confirmed by:
- Highland Global (2008), which showed that capitalising on the beneficial effects of
leverage (in the context of financial structure adequacy) aims to minimise the weighted average
cost of capital; as a result, high leverage enhances firm value [17];
- Chowdhury and Chowdhury (2010), who investigated the impact of the various variables
(including capital structure) on firm value, yielding evidence in support of the positive effect of
leverage on firm value [12];
-Tongkong (2012) who has observed that higher profitability firms tend to have less debt and
firms with higher growth opportunities tend to have greater leverage [41];
- Adenugba, et al. (2016) have highlighted the positive significant relationship between
financial leverage and firms’ value for Nigerian listed firms [1].
b) The hypothesis stating that risk management results in enhanced firm value has been
confirmed by:
- Hoyt and Liebenberg (2011) confirmed this correlation for a sample of 275 U.S. firms (over
a period of 11 years) [18];
- Woon et al. (2011) demonstrated that the implementation of risk management programs
contributes to boosting firm value (through the low cost of capital thanks to the decreasing risk
premium) [42];
- Pagach and Warr (2011) showed that firms embark on risk management programs as they
grow aware of direct economic benefits (and not necessarily to comply with any particular rules)
[31];
- other authors examining the correlation between risk management and firm performance
have found evidence in support of the positive correlation [18];
- Ping and Muthuveloo (2015) showed that the implementation of a risk manangement
system has significant positive influence on firm performance [35];
- more recent studies [13; 21] show that firms with advanced levels of ERM implementation
present higher performance, both as financial performance and market evaluation.
In light of the fact that, by using the second model (based on joint factors), the second
hypothesis was rejected, we emphasise that similar results (i.e. rejection of the hypothesis) were
reported by Tahir and Razali (2011) and also by Quon et al (2012).
c) The positive relationship between return on assets (ROA) and firm value has been proven
empirically as part of the following studies: Andersen (2008), who analysed the performance of
multinational firms (premised on low financial leverage); Mohamad and Saad (2010); Hidayah
(2014); Gamayuni (2015); Paminto et al (2016); Sudiyatno et al. (2017) [25; 16; 14; 32; 39]. This
result is in keeping with Tobin’s Q general theory, which suggests that if a firm is able to generate
net revenue, then value is created.
d) The positive relationship between size and firm value has also been invalidated by
Allayannis and Weston (2001) [4] and Mule et al (2015) [26].
5. Conclusions
The analysis of the effect of independent variables (ERM, LEV, ROA, SIZE) on the dependent
variable (Tobin’s Q) was performed based on linear mixed effects model (LMEM). The findings of
the analysis resulted in the confirmation of the first three hypotheses and rejection of the fourth.
Subsequently, to identify the model that best accounts for the data structure, we analysed the
relationship between the independent variables (SIZE, ROA, LEV and ERM) and the dependent
55
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
variable, using a model that incorporates a combination of factors (ROA-SIZE, ROA-LEV and ROA-
ERM). The results of this new model showed that only the first and third hypotheses were
validated, while the other two were rejected.
To determine which of the two models better explains the structure of data, we used the
ANOVA function, which showed that the second model (incorporating factors and joint factors)
better explains the data structure. We tested the normality conditions of errors for the joint factor
model and showed that the normal distribution condition of errors is met (which validated the
second model). Analysing the distribution of random effects, we have shown that there are no
deviations from the normal distribution condition of random effects (which marked the second
validation of the second model).
The findings reveal that two of the four examined variables yield significant positive effects
on the value of firms (financing structure and return on assets); for the other two independent
variables analysed (risk management and firm size), the hypotheses were rejected.
Although we encountered difficulties in observing economic phenomenon, the causes and
factors that determine it, we sought to ensure that this aspect should not act a limit to our research.
The paper serves as a starting point for conducting researches future, more extensive.
6. Bibliography
[1] Adenugba, A.A., Ige, A.A., Kesinro, O. R. (2016), Financial Leverage and Firms’ Value: A
Study of Selected Firms in Nigeria, European Journal of Research and Reflection in Management
Sciences, no. 4(1), pp. 14-32;
[2] Abeywardhana, Y., Krishanthi, D. (2016), Impact of Capital Structure on Firm Performance:
Evidence from Manufacturing Sector SMEs in UK, available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=
2816499;
[3] Aggarwal, R., Kyaw, N. (2008), Internal Capital Networks as a Source of MNC Competitive
Advantage: Evidence from Foreign Subsidiary Capital Structure Decisions, International Business
and Finance, no. 22, pp. 409-439;
[4] Allayannis, G., Weston, J. P. (2001), The use of foreign currency derivatives and firm market
value, Review of Financial Studies, no. 14, pp. 243-276;
[5] Aretz, K., Bartram, S. M., (2010), Corporate hedging and shareholder value, The Journal of
Financial Research, 4, 317-371;
[6] Bartram, S. M., Brown, G.W., Conrad, J. (2011), The effects of derivatives on firm risk and
value, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, no. 46(4), pp. 967-999;
[7] Bartram, S. M., Brown, G. W., Minton, B. (2010), Resolving the exposure puzzle: The many
facets of foreign exchange exposure, Journal of Financial Economics, no. 95, pp. 148-73;
[8] Bartram, S. M., Brown, G. W., Fehle, F. (2009), International evidence on financial
derivatives usage, Financial Management, no. 38, pp. 185-206;
[9] Bas, T., Muradoglu, G., Philaktis, K. (2010), Determinants of Capital Structure in Emerging
Markets, European Financial Management Symposium, First draft, Cass Business School, London,
U.K;
[10] Boodhoo, R. (2009), Capital structure and ownership structure: a review of literature; The
Journal of On line Education, January Edition, pp. 1-8;
[11] Byoun, S. (2008), How and when do firms adjust their capital structures toward targets?; The
Journal of Finance, no. 63(6), pp. 3069-3096;
[12] Chowdhury, A., Chowdhury, S.P. (2010), Impact of capital structure on firm’s value:
Evidence from Bnagladesh, Business and Economic, Horizonts, vol. 3(1), pp. 111-122;
[13] Florio, C., Leoni, G. (2017), Enterprise risk management and firm performance: The Italian
case, The British Accounting Review, no. 49(1), pp. 56–74;
56
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
[14] Gamayuni, R.R. (2015), The Effect Of Intangible Asset, Financial Performance And
Financial Policies On The Firm Value, International Journal Of Scientific & Technology Research,
no. 4(1), pp. 202-212;
[15] Gordon, L.A., Loeb, M.P., Tseng, C. (2009), Enterprise risk management and firm
performance: A contingency perspective, Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, no. 28(4), pp.
301-327;
[16] Hidayah, N. (2014), The Effect of Company Characteristic toward Firm Value in the Property
and Real Estate Company in Indonesia Stock Exchange, International Journal of Business,
Economics and Law, no. 5(1), pp. 1-8;
[17] Highland Global (2008), Financial Leverage and WACC: How Small, Overleveraged
Businesses can inflate the Value of the Firm with an Abnormally Low Weighted Average Cost of
capital, available at: www.HighlandGlobal.com;
[18] Hoyt, R. E., Liebenberg, A. P. (2011), The Value of Enterprise Risk Management, Journal of
Risk and Insurance, no. 78(4), pp. 795-822;
[19] Ilaboya, O.J., Ohiokha, I.F. (2016), Firm Age, Size and Profitability Dynamics: A Test of
Learning by Doing and Structural Inertia Hypotheses, Business and Management Research, no.
5(1), pp. 29-39;
[20] Kayo, E. K., Kimura, H. (2011), Hierarchical determinants of capital structure, Journal of
Banking, Finance, no. 35(2), pp. 358-371;
[21] Kopia, J., Just, V., Geldmacher, W., Bußian, A. (2017), Organization Performance and
Enterprise Risk Management, Ecoforum, no. 6(1);
[22] Lai, F. W., Samad, A. (2010), Enterprise Risk Management Framework and The Empirical
Determinants of Its Implementation, in: 2010 International Conference on Information and Finance,
26-28, November 2010, KualaLumpur;
[23] Liebenberg, A. P., Sommer, D. W. (2008), Effects of Corporate Diversification: Evidence
from the Property-Liability Insurance Industry; Journal of Risk and Insurance, no. 75, pp. 893-919;
[24] Margaritis, D., Psillaki, M. (2010), Capital structure, equity ownership and firm
performance, Journal of Banking, Finance, no. 34(3), pp. 621-632;
[25] Mohamad, N., Mohd Saad, N. (2010), Working Capital Management: The Effect of Market
Valuation and Profitability in Malaysia, International Journal of Business and Management, no.
5(10), pp. 140-147;
[26] Mule, R.K., Mukras, M.S., Nzioka, O.M. (2015), Corporate Size, Profitability and Market
Value: An Econometric Panel Analysis of Listed Firms in Kenya, European Scientific Journal, no.
11(13), pp. 376-396;
[27] Mwangi, L. W., Makau, M. S., Kosimbei, G. (2014), Relationship between Capital Structure
and Performance of NonFinancial Companies Listed In the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya,
Global Journal of Contemporary Research in Accounting, Auditing and Business Ethics (GJCRA),
no. 1(2), pp. 72-90;
[28] Ogbulu, O. M., Emeni, F. K. (2012), Capital Structure and Firm Value: Empirical Evidence
from Nigeria, International Journal of Business and Social SciencE, 3(19), 252-261;
[29] Onaolapo, A. A., Kajola, S. O. (2010), Capital Structure and Firm Performance: evidence
from Nigeria, European Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Sciences, no. 25, pp.
70-82;
[30] Pagach, D., Warr, R. (2010), The Effects of Enterprise Risk Management on Firm
Performance, JenkinsGraduate School of Management, North Carolina State University;
[31] Pagach, D., Warr, R. (2011), The characteristics of firms that hire chief risk officers, Journal
of Risk and Insurance, no. 78(1), pp. 185-211;
[32] Paminto, A., Setyadi, D., Sinaga, J. (2016), The Effect of Capital Structure, Firm Growth
and Dividend Policy on Profitability and Firm Value of the Oil Palm Plantation Companies in
Indonesia, European Journal of Business and Management, no. 8(33), pp. 123-134;
57
-
Annals of the „Constantin Brâncuşi” University of Târgu Jiu, Economy Series, Issue 2/2018
„ACADEMICA BRÂNCUŞI” PUBLISHER, ISSN 2344 – 3685/ISSN-L 1844 - 7007
[33] Pereira Alves P. F., Ferreira, M. A. (2011), Capital structure and law around the world,
Journal of Multinational Financial Management, no. 21, pp. 119-150;
[34] Pervan, M., Višić, J. (2012), Influence of Firm Size on its Business Success, Croatian
Operational Research Review (CRORR), no. 3, pp. 213-223;
[35] Ping, T.A., Muthuveloo, R., (2015), The Impact of Enterprise Risk Management on Firm
Performance: Evidence from Malaysia, Asian Social Science, no. 11(22), pp. 149-159;
[36] Prahalathan, B. (2010), The Determinants of Capital Structure: An empirical Analysis of
Listed Manufacturing Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange Market in SriLanka, Sri Lanka:
University of Kelaniya;
[37] Prahalathan, B., Ranjany, R.P. (2011), The Impact of Capital Structure-Choice on Firm
Performance: Empirical Investigation Of listed Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange, Srilanka,
International Journal of Research in Commerce, Management, no. 2(4), pp. 12-16;
[38] Quon, T., Zeghal, D., Maingot, M. (2012), Enterprise Risk Management and Firm
Performance, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, no. 62, pp. 263-267;
[39] Sudiyatno, B., Puspitasari, E., Sudarsi, S. (2017), Working Capital, Firm Performance, and
Firm Value: An Empirical Study in Manufacturing Industry on Indonesia Stock Exchange,
Economics World, no. 5(5), pp. 444-450;
[40] Tahir, I. M., Razali, A.R. (2011), The Relationship Between Enterprise Risk Management,
(ERM) and Firm Value: Evidence from Malaysian Public Listed Companies, International Journal
of Economics and Management Sciences, no. 1(2), pp. 32-41;
[41] Tongkong, S. (2012), Key factors influencing capital structure decision and its speed of
adjustment of Thai listed real estate companies, Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences, no. 40,
pp. 716 – 720;
[42] Woon, L. F., Azizan, N. A., Samad, M. F. A. (2011), A Strategic Framework For Value
Enhancing Enterprise Risk Management, Journal of Global Business and Economics, 2, 23-48.
58