Analysis of the 2008-09 Budget Bill

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LA O Analysis of the 2008-09 Budget Bill Legislative Analyst’s Office February 2008 www.lao.ca.gov

description

Analysis of the 2008-09 Budget Bill. Legislative Analyst’s Office February 2008. www.lao.ca.gov. Key LAO Findings. Lower Revenues Larger Budget Problem Structural Shortfall After 2008-09 Failure to Set Priorities. 1. Taxable Sales Growth to Trail Personal Income. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Analysis of the 2008-09 Budget Bill

Page 1: Analysis of the 2008-09 Budget Bill

LAO

Analysis of the 2008-09 Budget Bill

Legislative Analyst’s Office

February 2008

www.lao.ca.gov

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Key LAO Findings

Lower Revenues

Larger Budget Problem

Structural Shortfall After 2008-09

Failure to Set Priorities

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Taxable Sales Growth to Trail Personal IncomeAnnual Percentage Change

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Weakness in CaliforniaCorporate Profits ExpectedAnnual Percentage Change

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Operating Shortfalls Return After 2008-09 Under Governor’s BudgetGeneral Fund (In Billions)

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LAO Alternative

Targeted Approach to Spending

Balanced Approach Includes Revenues

Balanced Budget Through 2012-13

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Targeted Program Reductions

Core Services at Current Levels

Eliminate/Modify Ineffective Programs

Use Other Funding Sources for Services

Local Administrative Flexibility

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Better Proposition 98 Approach

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Add Revenues in a Reasonable Manner

Reduce Dependent Credit

Limit R&D Credit

Limit NOL Carryforwards

No Broad-Based Tax Rate Increases

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LAO Alternative:Other Key Elements

Rethink State Responsibilities

No Additional Borrowing or Debt

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Budgetary Reform Alternative

Build Upon Proposition 58 Reserve Framework

Rethink State’s Budgetary Formulas

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LAO Alternative:A Starting Point

Tough Decisions Ahead

Legislative Priorities Will Set Framework

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