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JAMB 2012: JAMB 2012: JAMB 2012: JAMB 2012: Analysis of Applicants’

Choices

JAMBJAMBJAMBJAMB 2012201220122012 rrrregistration started Nov. 2011,

and ended Mar. 12th 2012 after a 1 week

postponement.

TotalTotalTotalTotal ApplicantApplicantApplicantApplicant ==== 1111,,,,503503503503,,,,889889889889

1.5million Candidates will be vying for about

500,000 admission spaces in Nigeria tertiary

institutions.

1,503,889

500,00030303030%%%%˜

____

So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?

13 Years History of

JAMB Applicants[2000 – 2012]

History of Applications 2000 – 2012

Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

416,381 749,417 994,380 1,132,392 841,878 916,371 803,472 911,653 1,054,060 1,182,381 1,375,652 1,493,604 1,503,889

416,381

749,417

994,380

1,132,392

841,878

916,371

803,472

911,653

1,054,060

1,182,381

1,375,652

1,493,604 1,503,889

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Year / Total Applicants

% Growth of Applications ‘00 – ‘12

Year Count% Growth

2000 416,381

2001 749,417 79.98%

2002 994,380 32.69%

2003 1,132,392 13.88%

2004 841,878 -25.65%

2005 916,371 8.85%

2006 803,472 -12.32%

2007 911,653 13.46%

2008 1,054,060 15.62%

2009 1,182,381 12.17%

2010 1,375,652 16.35%

2011 1,493,604 8.57%

2012 1,503,889 0.69%

79.98%

32.69%

13.88%

-25.65%

8.85%

-12.32%

13.46% 15.62%12.17%

16.35%

8.57%

0.69%

-40.00%

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

% Growth

Base on the growth trend above, JAMB

2013 may experience a decline. Could

this imply applicants are getting less

interested in Tertiary education?

…but why?

Application by

Institution Owners

Federal – State – Private

Owner % of Applicants

Federal 68.56%

State 29.87%

Private 1.57%

Surprisingly, there are

more Private Institutions

than Federal or State.

Owner No. of Institution

Federal 36

State 37

Private 50

This means, Federal Schools will admit 68.56% ((((342,800342,800342,800342,800))))

Candidates, State Schools – 29.87% ((((149,350149,350149,350149,350)))) and Private

Schools – 1.57% (7,850)(7,850)(7,850)(7,850).

In other words, our schools are availableavailableavailableavailable but not

affordableaffordableaffordableaffordable. In fact, with the growth rate of the

establishment of private institutions, it has been

predicted that by 2015, Private institutions will

far out-number all other types of institutions in

Africa.

The implication is that Tertiary Education will be

more expensive just as the Government owned

will be over-stretched beyond capacity.

Federal – State - Private

Application by

Institutions[Highest – Lowest]

Some schools consistently enjoy high patronage

even though over 90% of their applicants are

never offered admission space.

About 94,000+ candidates applied to UNILAG in

2011, only 8000+ were offered admission. This is

just about 8.5% success rate.

This year, 84,000+ applied to UNILAG as first

choice institution, how many will be admitted?

7148.93617021276595745 Applicants!About….

Why are some schools consistently over

subscribed while others are short of Students?

2012 Application by InstitutionBelow are top 10 Institutions with highest patronage

– University, Poly and College of Education

84,32482,382

80,216 79,84078,264

65,651

60,684

48,84845,851

43,500

94,078

80,275

74,269

82,043

64,261

69,498

89,310

64,160

42,086

14,029

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

UNILAG NAU UNIBEN UNN UNILORIN OAU ABU UNIPORT UNIUYO EVANS

2012

2011

Institutions like UNILAG, ABU, UNIPORT dropped in patronage, it

could be as a result of the establishments of new schools or

Applicants decide to try their luck elsewhere after several

disappointments.

Particularly surprised at EVANS, with over 200% increase in

patronage and ABU dropping down to 7th position on the list,

definitely besides the above mentioned reasons, political/religious

instability could be a culprit.

Total applicants to this 10 schools form about 45% of the total

candidates that apply for JAMB 2012.

Only one of these Schools is owned by a State government, none by

Private establishments; hence government remains the highest

investor in Nigeria Education.

One obvious fact is Federal schools are cheaper, but the truth is that

infrastructures in these schools are over-stretched. Still there are

some Federal schools with few applicants, with competitive

infrastructures that are less used.

Polytechnic and College of Education

163,836

116,412

99,818

83,785

71,517

59,827 57,08055,804

47,790 45,235

145,173

119,011

101,806

52,607

98,704

59,301

51,34151,111

47,017

38,102

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

NEKEDE YABA AUCHI OKO KADUNA RIVERS IBADAN NASARAWA AKWA-IBOM KWARA

2012

2011

162,642

101,294

97,693

72,377

67,88963,533

45,696

42,615 40,955 40,699

141,111

104,530

98,517

69,756

74,781 80,113

45,437

42,25444,883

39,423

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

A-IKOKU ADEYEMI ADENIRAN AKOKA PH ZARIA AKWA-IBOM ZUBA EKIADOLO NSUGBE

2012

2011

Polytechnic

College of education

Application by

Faculty

295858

277815

264959

197836

177570

87385

6005451494

26113

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

Social Science Administration Medical Engineering Science Law Arts Education Agriculture

Shown below is applicants’ first choices based

on Faculty

Social Sciences and Administration are clear leaders

showing Applicants have higher preference for courses

listed in these faculties. This has been the usual trend.

According to JobermanJobermanJobermanJoberman SalarySalarySalarySalary SurveySurveySurveySurvey 2012201220122012; Accounting/Finance &

Administrative skills ranked as the two most employed skills in Nigeria.

What does this infer for the competitiveness of the Nigeria Economy

and the future of the Sciences?

249928

184210

160466 157460

117905

68434 67851

36590

11216

275208

198572

179056174409

139129

7524483009

44346

13408

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

Social Science Administration Medical Engineering Science Law Arts Education Agriculture

20

08

20

09

Country’s economy are usually divided into ServiceServiceServiceService,

IndustryIndustryIndustryIndustry & AgricultureAgricultureAgricultureAgriculture sectors. Most developed

countries are more into Services (driven by Technology & the

Sciences) and less of Agriculture & Industry.

The World Economy is: Service(63636363%%%%),,,, Industry(31313131%%%%)

& Agriculture(6666%%%%) while the Nigeria economy is:

Service(35353535%%%%), Industry(33333333%%%%) & Agriculture (32323232%%%%)

This shows that in order for the Nigeria economy to

measure up and deliver prosperity to its citizens,

careers choices should be more of courses that

offers intangible services that are exportable.

Courses that lead to the production & adaptation of

Information, generation & application of Knowledge,

improvement of Productivity, Performance, Potential

and Sustainability should be pursued intently.

Application by

Course of Study[Highest – Lowest]

Which are the future Profession and

Professionals, and which ones are going to be

no more?

We have courses that have existed for ages, are

they still relevant in the 21st Century and beyond.

Also, there are emerging Professions and

Professionals, can they stand the test of

innovation?

A school of thought believes ‘it doesn’t matter

what you study, just get a good grade’ and jobs

will find you out. The other believe the only

courses worth studying are ‘professional

courses’?

2012 Application by CourseTop 10 Courses with highest patronage – University

Law Business Admin. Mass Comm.

87,385 82,551 69,836

Biochemistry

37,318

Med. & Surgery Accounting Economics

116,037 101,877 98,967

Political Sci. Computer Sci. Microbiology

69,047 67,996 47,097

More than 50% (778778778778,,,,111111111111) of total Candidates applied for

these top 10 courses.

No Engineering or Arts/Humanities course made the top

10. Mechanical (32323232,,,,493493493493) & Civil Engineering (32323232,,,,223223223223) came

in 13th & 14th positions respectively; despite, we do not

have mechanized industries and our roads are deplorable.

Nursing & Pharmacy ranks 11th and 12th on the list;

together with Biochemistry, Microbiology and Medicine &

Surgery, they totaled 266,117 candidates, yet Life

Expectancy in Nigeria is about 47yrs.

By these facts; there should be more Doctors,

Accountants, Economist, Lawyers, etc. than all other

professionals.

But the reality is that most of these Applicants do not

really get to study their first choice for many reasons; so

they opt for less known courses, if you like ‘the non-

professional courses’.

Beside Law and Medicine & Surgery, getting employed in

any of the other profession could just be a matter of

earning a good first degree, corresponding 2nd degree and

professional certifications

The Labour market is biased towards Grade than Course

of Study, a good grade appears better than a good course.

Also true is the fact that lots of Graduate do not work with

what they study – some Doctors, Lawyers, Engineers,

abandon their profession for other fields they find

interesting – financially or fulfilling.

Institution With

Most Subscribed

Course

Why would a Candidate prefer to study a course in School

A instead of B? Is this true for all courses?

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Accounting Med &

Surgery

Biz Admin Law Economics Mass Comm Nursing Elect/Elect Petroleum

Eng

Pharmacy Political Sci Computer

Sci

1st

2nd

3rd

UN

ILO

RIN

OA

UU

NIL

AG

UN

NO

AU

UN

ILO

RIN

UN

ILO

RIN

UN

ILA

GU

NIB

EN

UN

NU

NIB

EN

OA

U

NA

UU

NN

EV

AN

S UN

ILO

RIN

UN

ILA

GN

AU

UN

NO

AU

LAU

TE

CH

FU

TO

UN

IBE

NF

UTA

FU

TO

UN

IPO

RT

UN

IBE

N

UN

NA

BU

UN

IBE

N

UN

IBE

NU

NIP

OR

TB

SU

UN

ILO

RIN

FU

TO

UN

ILA

G

Illustration: Accounting is the most preferred course, with UNILORIN as the 1st institution of choice, then OAU & UNILAG

First Course 1st 2nd 3rd

Accounting 10,192 9,406 7,616

Med & Surgery 10,131 9,184 8,694

Biz Admin 9,423 7,741 7,343

Law 6,634 6,469 6,042

Economics 6,071 5,057 4,684

Mass Comm. 6,315 5,966 5,459

Nursing 5,056 4,441 3,581

Elect/Elect 4,948 2,790 2,507

Petroleum Eng 4,663 3,904 3,140

Pharmacy 4,397 4,091 4,076

Political Sci 4,367 3,255 3,120

Computer Sci 4,201 2,921 2,846

Statistically; UNN seems to be the institution of choice for

Medicine & Surgery, Law, Nursing, Pharmacy, etc.

Though there are no enough evidence to conclude UNN is

the best in these courses, but there it gives high indication

that it might be the best in Medical sciences.

UNILORIN could be considered tops for Administrative

courses – Accounting and Business Administration

FUTO stood out as the institution of choice for Engineering

courses, coming tops in Elect/Elect & Petroleum

Engineering

EVANS (Imo) – Economics, LAUTECH (Osun) - Nursing &

BSU (Benue) – Political Science & Business Management

are the only 3 States Universities on the list

Where are the

Teachers?[Education]

One of the greatest resource for the achievement of a

Nation’s developmental goals is the availability of quality

Teachers.

The Teaching professional is not well embraced as

evidenced in Candidates’ choice of study; for obvious

reasons, teachers are one of the least paid professionals.

Even those that deliberately chose Education as course of

study are poached by organization (Banks, Telecoms, Oil &

Gas, InfoTech.) once they graduate with enviable grades –

2nd class upper & 1st class.

Yearly, graduates of Education are produced but very few

practice the profession. Why?

Some of those graduates took to Education because it

offers them easier opportunity for tertiary education.

A total of 51515151,,,,494494494494 candidates applied for courses in

Education. This is just 3333....42424242%%%% of total applicants.

Based on 500500500500,,,,000000000000 (30% of applicants) carrying capacity of

our Tertiary institutions; only 15151515,,,,488488488488 (i.e. 30303030%%%% ofofofof 51515151,,,,494494494494)

potential teachers would be produced in the year 2017.

See

distribution of

applicants per

Subject areas:

Admin &

Planning, 7764

Adult & Child,

1968

Arts, 18674

commercial,

11054

Sciences, 12034

Students performance in WAEC, NECO & JAMB in the

Sciences have been discouraging, could it be due to

insufficient manpower in the Sciences?

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

The Sciences trail behind except Biology & Agric. It is also

worrisome that Mathematics unlike English Language is

not a subject of choice for Education applicants.

Core Subjects & Applicants’ Interests

ArtsArtsArtsArts

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

English IRS Hausa CRS History Yoruba Arabic French Igbo Govt Music Nig Lang Edo Lang

Core Subjects & Applicants’ Interests

CommercialsCommercialsCommercialsCommercials

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

Economics Business Education Accounting

Core Subjects & Applicants’ Interests

SciencesSciencesSciencesSciences

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Biology Agric Math Physics Chemistry

Will There Be Food

For All?[Agriculture]

Only 3 university of Agriculture exist. UNAAB, MAKURDI &

UMUDIKE. Some of the non-Agric. institutions have faculty

of Agriculture.

A total of 26262626,,,,113113113113 candidates applied for courses in

Agriculture. This is just 1111....74747474%%%% of total applicants.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Agric - Biz Food Sci & Tech Agric Agric-econs &

Ext

Agric Eng Agric Econs Agric Sci & Edu

Courses with high

interest

Plant Sci. & Microbiology 0

Home Science, Nutrition And Dietetics 0

Home Economics And Food Management 0

Forestry 0

Soil Science Management 0

Agriculture/Mechanization And Technology 0

Soil Science And Agro-climatology 0

Courses with no interest as first choice

Though food business is a serious business, most

Agriculture graduates prefer white collar jobs to farm

management and the likes.

With Nigeria population at about 2% growth rate;

importation of food – both raw and processed – are

definitely going to be on the increase.

Benue state is known as the “FoodFoodFoodFood BasketBasketBasketBasket ofofofof thethethethe NationNationNationNation”

and claimed to have the weather condition of 5 South-

American countries making it indeed a potential food

producer for the Nation.

Though Lagos is congested; Nigeria is filled with lots of

virgin forests and thick bushes uninhabited but very useful

for Agricultural produce.

Food for all is possible in Nigeria; a clarion call to the

Government for the sustenance of the future generation.

StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©

Freely share, freely use and freely quote the source

– © Wale Micaiah

Data source:

- JAMB results as announced in the dailies

- WAEC results as announced in the dailies

Analysis by: WaleWaleWaleWale MicaiahMicaiahMicaiahMicaiah

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