Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free...

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Transcript of Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free...

Page 1: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space
Page 2: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Analysing the potential trade and

investment impact of the expanded

Nacala Port and Logistics Corridor

Page 3: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Structure of the Presentation

1. Continental Context : Regional Integration

2. Regional GDP, Population and Imports Exports

3. Projects, Trade and Investment View per

Country

4. Key Projects in the Region

Page 4: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Regional Integration

1. Africa does not trade with itself

2. There is no intra-regional trade, less than 5%

3. SADC Regional Trade also very low.

4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area.

NTB’s

5. Competing Logistics Options:

- North South Corridor

- Walvis Bay Corridor – Gateway

- Lobito Corridor

- Dar es Salaam

- Beira/Maputo

- Durban/Richards Bay

Page 5: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Size of the Regional Market: GDP

Regional GDP (2017)

1. Zimbabwe : USD 17 Bn

2. Zambia : USD 25 Bn

3. DRC : USD 37 Bn

4. Malawi : USD 6 Bn

5. Tanzania : USD 52 Bn

Total GDP : USD 137 Bn (SADC USD 600

mn)

Page 6: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Size of the Regional Market: Population

Population

1. Zimbabwe : 13 m

2. Zambia : 14 m

3. DRC : 80 m

4. Malawi : 13 m

5. Tanzania : 45 m

Total : 165 m (SADC 350 m)

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Size of the Regional Market: Imports

Page 8: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Size of the Regional Market: Exports

Page 9: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Size of the Regional Market: Exports

Page 10: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Value of Projects listed for Zimbabwe by Africa

House

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Zimbabwe – Sample of Projects

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Value of Projects listed for Zambia by Africa

House

Page 13: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Zambia – Sample of Projects

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Value of Projects listed for Malawi by Africa

House

Page 15: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Malawi – Sample of Projects

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Way forward: Align with key development Drivers in

Africa: “New Drivers”

Urbanisation & Rising Incomes

Modern Towns and Cities, expanded formal areas:

Property Development (all types), Healthcare,

Wholesale and Retail space (incl. Franchise and

distribution), IDZ, urban transport infrastructure

Lack of urban Masterplan, Legal environment, property ownership, Built environment

capacity – congestion and roads;

IndustrialLack of Finance, Market access , scale, foreign

competition, skills, lack of reliable utilities (esp. power

and transport), lack of roads;

Reduce Dependence on Imports: Rapidly developing cement, building materials

industries, downstream agri-industrial, value-added

mineral processing;

ICT, Telecoms &

Power

Lack of Finance, Need for ancillary infrastructure,

Market access and prohibitive regulatory

environments, low income levels,

Provide Enabling Environment for Other

Sectors: Rapidly developing cell networks, SOE & IPP

activity, corporate and private electronics consumption

Sector Historical Blockage Aspiration

Su

sta

ina

ble

Jo

bs

Page 17: Analysing the potential trade and · SADC Regional Trade also very low. 4. Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement. SADC Free Trade Area. ... Healthcare, Wholesale and Retail space

Thank You!

Roelof van Tonder

082 573 1639

[email protected]

www.africainfo.co.za