ANALISIS Setiembre 13

7/29/2019 ANALISIS Setiembre 13

1/12

Almblrjh trgmsaurrh h`tdhjpl js almvhmadilhst h` Hstgil agpdtg`dstghspgl` ih cgohr vhmadil

ihbdmdtdvgjhmth `g ogtg``gih `g ardsds Tg tlil pgrhahmlrjg`, hs aljl sd gquh-``ls quh hm hstls jljhm-tls pgrhahm ihthmtgr jgylrdmadihmadg hm `gs a`gshstrgogkgilrgs, yg ml tdhmhmmgig js quh ihadr L tg` vhz ml`l pgrhzag, sdml quh hs gs Muhs-trls DX, ^QLH, AALL, XEY ygquh``ls ltrls jlvdjdhmtls hs-

plmtmhls, shjdhsplmtmhls y th-

`hidrdedils, cgm geltgil tlig susgodiurg h dmehmdls pgrg hmbrhm-tgrsh g umg rhg`digi sladg`, quh`hkls ih thmhr vdsls ih thrjdmgrhm h` tdhjpl, sh cg almvhrtdil yghm umg blrjg ih hxdsthmadg shj-

pdthrmg

@ls igtls quh rhedstrgm `gs armd-ags slm a`grls y almtumihmths@ls quh jgmigm hm h` jumilgalmshkgm prlbumidzgr hm `g rh-

blrjg `golrg`, quh sh rhiuzagm`ls sg`grdls um 7>( js ih `lquh cg jhmeugil hm hstls gls@ls hjprhsgrdls pdihm plihragjodgr almtrgtls g tdhjpl alj-

p`htl plr tdhjpl pgradg` Jdhm-trgs, h` elodhrml djplmh jhidigsquh blrtg`hahm g `ls hjprhsgrdls,hm tg` shmtdil sh hstgo`hahm quh`ls H_HQ ml hstm sukhtls g `hy,sdhmil plthstgi ih` hjprhsgrdlgp`dagr`l aumil y ajl `h vhmeghm egmg T gihjs, aljl hm umgmlvh`g ih thrrlr, sh tdhmh g` puh-

o`l hm vd`l rhsphatl ih `g gp`dag-adm ih muhvgs brju`gs pgrg dj-

phidr h` gaahsl g `g kuod`gadm

H` trgtl ih `ls hjprhsgrdlscgadg sus trgogkgilrhs, ih-juhstrgm augm sheurls ybuhrths sh hmauhmtrgm g`almtgr alm dmstdtuadlmhs al-

jl `g kustdadg, tgm ohmhvl-`hmths alm h``ls y tgm drgs-ado`hs alm `ls trgogkgilrhsHm hstg idrhaadm hs cgrtlh`lauhmth `g ihmumadg quhrhg`dzg um aljpghrl ih`BX^, Qharhtgrdl ih `g AYG

ih Qhvd``g;

Jgrals ^rgil Bhrmmihz;Ylil um shlr dmsphatlr ih trg-ogkl jh cg hsphtgil hstg jgg-

mg #`dthrg`jhmth$ quh qu sh pdhm-sg um trgogkgilr hxdedhmil sualmtdmudigi hm su puhstl ih trg-ogkl, augmil h` puhstl ih trgogklhs prlpdhigi ih` hjp`hgilr ymumag ih` trgogkgilr gs quh h`hjprhsgrdl hs h` quh ihadihaumil ihoh trgogkgr h` hjp`hg-il y aumil ml

@ls pgrsdtls y su shaugahs shsdhmthm buhrths, ml plr su plthm-

adg`, quh `l tdhmhm, sdml plr `g ih-od`digi ih `g idrhaadm ih` puh-o`l, quh ihsih quh aljhmz `gardsds idl juhstrgs ih ml sgohrau` hs `g vhrigihrg agusg quhehmhrg `ls jg`hs ih` puho`l g`quh idahm ihbhmihr, y sh cg phrid-il plr agjdmls hxtrgvdgils quhml ``hegm g mdmem `gil T `gauhstdm hs juy shmad``g, `g ardsds`g ehmhrg h` agpdtg`dsjl, plr tgm-tl, tlil `l quh ml shg `uacgr pgrg

AJL @XACG_ ALMY_GHQYH _EDJHMHS^@LYGIL_ GLQ IH @GJXH_YH IHG@@HMIH

/@g mhegadm ih `g idatgiurgih` prl`htgrdgil ihmltg umg

a`grg jdlpg rhvdsdlmdstg, umgdmaljprhmsdm jgmdbdhstg ih`g adhmadg jgrxdstg-`hmdmdstg

^hrl h``l ml hxdjh g `ls al-jumdstgs ih` ihohr ih sl`dig-rdzgrmls alm `ls jlvdjdhmtlsgmtddjphrdg`dstgs y prlerhsds-

tgs ih @gtdmlgjrdag/


4/12

@g cdstlrdg ih` jlvdjdhmtllorhrl jumidg` cg puhstl ih rh-`dhvh `g ju`tdp`dadigi ih blrjgshm `g ùacg pl`tdag ih` prl`htgrdg-il; Ihsih `g pgrtdadpgadm hm `gsh`haadlmhs g` pgr gjhmtl, g `lsgyumtgjdhmtls l g ltrls regmlsih` Hstgil cgstg `gs jgmdbhstg-

adlmhs ih jgsgs ihsih `g utd`dzg-adm pgabdag ih `g trdoumg pgr`g-jhmtgrdg cgstg `g ùacgrhvlùadlmgrdg plr h` plihr

@ls aljumdstgs sdhjprh chjlsgijdtdil y gahptgil hstg idvhrsd-igi ih blrjgs ^hrl h``l ml mlscg hxdjdil ih ihadidr, hm agigalyumturg pl`tdag, au` ih hstgsblrjgs ihoh shr utd dzgig aljl

prhplmihrgmth y ajl lregmdzgr`gs ihjs blrjgs pgrg gplygr gstg

Ihsih Jgrx cgstg jhidgils ih`ls admauhmtg ih` sde`l pgsgil,`ls aljumdstgs utd`dzgrlm h` pgr-`gjhmtl aljl umg trdoumg ihsih`g aug` prla`gjgogm `gs rhdvdmid-agadlmhs ih `g a`gsh lorhrg, sl-jhtgm g artdag h` redjhm our-

eus y sh idrdegm g `gs gjp`dgsjgsgs G` jdsjl tdhjpl quh ih-bhmigm, brhmth g `ls gmgrqudstgs,`g mhahsdigi ih shrvdrsh ih `g ù-acg pgr`gjhmtgrdg, `ls aljumdstgsihmumadgogm `gs dùsdlmhs pgr`g-jhmtgrdgs ih `ls h`hjhmtls rhblr-jdstgs, almblrjh g `gs aug`hs, `gstgrhgs ih `g trgmsblrjgadm sladg-`dstg pligm rhsl`vhrsh plr jh-idls pgr`gjhmtgrdls

^hrl ihsih jhidgils ih `ls adm-auhmtg, y g` ag`lr ih `gs ``gjgigsvgs pgabdags g` sladg`dsjl, hstg

plsdadm buh sustgmadg`jhmth jl-idbdagig plr `g pgrth hurlaadihm-tg` ih` jlvdjdhmtl aljumdstg

Ihsih hmtlmahs cg prhvg`hadil,hm hsg pgrth ih` jlvdjdhmtl al-jumdstg dmthrmgadlmg`, `g thsds ihquh h` pgr`gjhmtl, quh sured al-jl dmstrujhmtl ih iljdmgadmih `g oureuhsg y ih gbdgmzgjdhm-tl ih` redjhm agpdtg`dstg, pligutd`dzgrsh hm h` phrlil ih ardsdsehmhrg` ih` agpdtg`dsjl y ogklihthrjdmgigs almidadlmhs #umdmhmtrh sladg dstgs y aljumdstgs,hxdsthmadg ih um plihrlsl jlvd-jdhmtl hxtrgpgr`gjhmtgrdl y ih

jgsg idrdedil plr h` pgrtdil ih `ga`gsh lorhrg y `g dmthmsdbdagadmih `g ùacg plr h` sladg`dsjl y `g

pgz$ pgrg rhsl`vhr `gs tgrhgs rhvl-ùadlmgrdgs, pgrg ``hvgr g agol `gtrgmsblrjgadm sladg dstg ih `gsladhigi @g gaadm pgr`gjhmtg-rdg cg almstdtudil hm `gs `tdjgsiagigs `g blrjg prdmadpg` ih `gùacg pl`tdag hjp`hgig plr `g

pgrth ih` jlvdjdhmtl aljumdstg

hurlaadihmtg` Xmg blrjg quh sdmgogmilmgr su agrathr prdmadpg`,hm h` aursl ih `ls gls, cg dilegmgmil prhplmihrgmadg rhsphatlg ltrgs, cgstg h` pumtl ih suolrid-mgr gs goslùtgjhmth h dmaùslsuprdjdr`gs

Cly, `g vg pgr`gjhmtgrdg almstd-tuyh h` pumtl ih aldmadihmadg hs-trgtedag aljm g tlil h` jlvd-

jdhmtl aljumdstg hurlaadihmtgàlm dmihphmihmadg ih quh gèu-mls ih sus pgrtdils aljplmhmthssh prla`gjhm ih` sladg`dsjl ih`sde`l SSD, jgrxdstgs rhvlùadl-mgrdls l jgrxdstgs-`hmdmdstgs @gidbhrhmadg hmtrh umls y ltrls alm-sdsth hm quh pgrg `ls prdjhrls h`

pgr`gjhmtl oureus yg hxprhsg `gvlùmtgi ih `g jgylrg ih` puh-

o`l, `l aug` cgah dmmhahsgrdl

@GBG@GADGIH@^G_@GJHMYG_DQJL

/@ls aljumdstgs sdhjprhchjls gijdtdil y gahptgil

hstg idvhrsdigi ih blrjgs^hrl h``l ml mls cg hxdjdilih ihadidr, hm agig alyumtu-

rg pl`tdag, au` ih hstgsblrjgs ihoh shr utd`dzgig

aljl prhplmihrgmth y ajllregmdzgr `gs ihjs blrjgspgrg gplygr g stg/


5/12

mdmem tdpl ih idatgiurg ih` prl-`htgrdgil, jdhmtrgs quh pgrg `ls`tdjls `g utd dzgadm ih `g vg

pgr`gjhmtgrdg hm `g jgracg cgadgh` sladg`dsjl puhih almiuadr g `g

arhgadm ih muhvgs blrjgs ih `gidatgiurg ih `g a`gsh lorhrg, ogkl`gs aug`hs h` pgr`gjhmtl, trgmsblr-jgil hm h` aursl ih `g ùacg rhvl-ùadlmgrdg, shg h` plrtgvlz ih `gjgylrg ih` puho`l

^lr muhstrg pgrth, ml mhegjls `gvg`dihz quh hm ihthrjdmgils jl-jhmtls cgyg plidil thmhr `g ùacg

pgr`gjhmtgrdg pgrg `ls dmthrhshsih` prl`htgrdgil, md hxaùdjls `gidvhrsdigi ih blrjgs ih `g ùacg

pl`tdag Qdm hjogrel, hxdsth umgidbhrhmadg mltgo`h hmtrh mlsltrls y`g jgylr pgrth ih` jlvdjdhmtlaljumdstg hurlaadihmtg` rhsphatlg `g blrjg prdmadpg` ih ùacg pl`-tdag quh ihohjls hjp`hgr `ls al-jumdstgs hm `ls pgshs laadihmtg-`hs ih Hurlpg

Hstdjgjls quh md h` pgr`gjhmtl

oureus -ihbhmidil plr `ls hxpl-mhmths rhblrjdstgs y rhvdsdlmdstgsih` jlvdjdhmtl lorhrl almthj-

plrmhl- hxprhsg `g vlùmtgi pl-pu`gr, md arhhjls quh `g vg pgr`g-jhmtgrdg cgadg h` sladg`dsjl - quhihbdhmihm `ls pgrtdils quh sh rh-a`gjgm ih` jgrxdsjl-`hmdmdsjl-

puhig almiuadr g mdmeumg blrjgih idatgiurg ih` prl`htgrdgil, hm`g aug` h` pgr`gjhmtl puhig trgms-

blrjgrsh hm plrtgvlz ih` puho`l^grg h` ÂLH `g utd`dzgadm ih `gvg pgr`gjhmtgrdg aljl blrjg

prhplmihrgmth ih `g ùacg ml alm-

iuah md g `g idatgiurg ih` prl`htg-rdgil md g` sladg`dsjl Hsg vg mlsalmiuah g` rhblrjdsjl y g `g p`h-mg dmthergadm hm um sdsthjg pl`-tdal quh, phsh g rhprhshmtgr `g blr-

jg js gvgmzgig ih` plihroureus, cg ``hegil g` `jdth ih suhvlùadm cdstrdag sdm phrihr sumgturg`hzg a`gsdstg y gbhatgig ihumg prlbumig ardsds quh tdhmh hm `grhg`digi ih` ^gr`gjhmtl su jgylrhvdihmadg

Ih chacl, `g dmstdtuadm pgr`gjhm-tgrdg quh mls prhshmtgm cly aljlh` regml quh hxprhsg `g vlùmtgi

plpu`gr y ltrls aljl h` regmlquh hm h` aursl ih `g ùacg plr h`sladg`dsjl puhih trgmsblrjgrsh hm

plrtgvlz ih hsg vlùmtgi plpu`gr,ml hs js quh umg rhg`digi jl-rdoumig quh ig g ig sh rhvh`gjs djplthmth pgrg hvdtgr `g rh-iuaadm ih sus ihrhacls y bumadl-

mhs g `g jhrg blrjg`digi Xmg blr-jg`digi quh sh hxprhsg almmdtdihz jhrdidgmg hm gquh``ls pg-shs hurlphls ilmih h` ihsgrrl``l

agpdtg dstg cg gàgmzgil um g`tlmdvh`

Hm hsls pgshs, hmtrh `ls quh dmh-vdtgo`hjhmth cgy quh dmaùdr g Hs-

pgg, g` arhahr h` rhg ih dmthrvhm-adm ih` Hstgil hm `gs hsbhrgshalmjdag y sladg`, h` Elodhrmlcg dil gsujdhmil agig vhz jgyl-rhs bgau`tgihs pgrg idatgr mlrjgs

kuridags quh dmvgihm ih blrjgarhadhmth, agjpls quh hm ltrgs bg-shs ih `g cdstlrdg ih` pgr`gjhmtg-rdsjl pgrhagm galtgigs plr h` su-

prhjl plihr ih` ^gr`gjhmtl

Cly, `gs lpadlmhs hm quh sh hx-prhsg rhg`jhmth h` plihr pl`tdal#ihadsdlmhs ih dmvhrsdm, ehstdmih shrvdadls, pl`tdags sg`grdg`hs yrh`gadlmhs dmthrmgadlmg`hs$ alrrhs-

plmihm g` Elodhrml y hsagpgm hm`g jgylrg ih `ls agsls g `g idsau-sdm y almtrl` ih` ^gr`gjhmtl Hsh

plihr rhg` ih` Elodhrml hs trgms-bhrdil g `g hstruaturg ourlartdagquh sh hxtdhmih ihsih `g gijdmds-trgadm hstgtg` cgstg `g hjprhsg

po`dag

@g ourlargadg hstgtg`, agig igjs augmtdlsg, sh cg gsheurgil ghsag`g agig vhz js vgstg bumadl-mhs ih idrhaadm y almtrl`, halm-jdag y sladg` Idsplmh ih umls

plihrhs hbhatdvls ih tg` hmvhreg-iurg, quh prhadsgjhmth su hxds-thmadg y gatdvdigi idrdehmth y lr-egmdzgilrg tdhmih g shr h` jlil

js hsphabdal ih ihsgutlrdzgadmih` ^gr`gjhmtl h dmaùsl, hm `td-jg dmstgmadg, ih` prlpdl Elodhr-ml

/Hstdjgjls quh md h` pgr`g-jhmtl oureus -ihbhmidil plr

`ls hxplmhmths rhblrjdstgs yrhvdsdlmdstgs ih` jlvdjdhmtl

lorhrl almthjplrmhl- hx-prhsg `g vlùmtgi plpu`gr, mdarhhjls quh `g vg pgr`gjhm-tgrdg cgadg h` sladg`dsjl - quhihbdhmihm `ls pgrtdils quh shrha`gjgm ih` jgrxdsjl-`hmd-mdsjl- puhig almiuadr g mdm-eumg blrjg ih idatgiurg ih`

prl`htgrdgil, hm `g aug` h` pgr-`gjhmtl puhig trgmsblrjgrsh

hm plrtgvlz ih` puho`l/

Q`l `ls ordolmhs l `ls tlmtls puhihm arhhr quh h` prl`htgrdgilihoh prdjhrl almqudstgr `g jgylrg hm `gs vltgadlmhs rhg`dzgigsogkl h` yuel ih `g oureuhsg, ogkl h` yuel ih `g hsa`gvdtuigsg`grdgig, y quh s`l ihspus ihoh almqudstgr h` ^lihr Hstl hs hàl`jl ih `g hstu`tdadg l ih `g cdplarhsg, hstl hs sustdtudr `g ùacg iha`gshs y `g rhvlùadm plr vltgadlmhs ogkl h` vdhkl redjhm, ogkl h`

vdhkl ^lihr @HMDM


6/12

^lr ltrg pgrth, y aljl rhalmlahaug`qudhr kurdstg shrdl, umg `heds`g-adm aljp`dagig - agregig ih tha-mdadsjls rhbdmgils h dmgshqudo`hs

pgrg `g jgylrg ih `ls aduigigmls

y, tgjodm, pgrg gquh``ls pgr g-jhmtgrdls quh ml thmegm umg s`d-ig blrjgadm kuridag -hs h`golrg-ig y rhe`gjhmtgig plr aljdts ihhxphrtls, quh gtrdmachrgils hm r-egmls ih `g Gijdmdstrgadm, hkhr-ahm um plihr rhg` quh hsagpg g tl-il almtrl` pl`tdal Qureh gs umghsphadh ih ihspltdsjl thamlartd-al quh hxprhsg h` gutlrdtgrdsjlih` Hstgil oureus y quh rhiuah g

`g blrjg`digi `gs bumadlmhs alm-trl`gilrgs ih` pgr`gjhmtl @gsjgmdbhstgadlmhs js mltlrdgs ihhsth bhmjhml almsdsthm hm h` hs-agsl pgrhmthsal hxdsthmth hmtrh `ls

prlergjgs ehmhrg`hs l `g dihl-`leg ih `gs buhrzgs pl`tdags y h`hkhradadl rhg` ih` plihr hstgtg`

Deug`jhmth, `gs bumadlmhs ih alm-trl` ih` ^gr`gjhmtl slorh h` El-

odhrml slm cly js blrjg`hs quhmumag, aljl `l cg ihjlstrgil `galjpgrhahmadg `tdjg ih _gkly hmh` shmgil pgrg igr hxp`dagadlmhsslorh su dmlahmadg l djp`dagadmhm `gs alrrupadlmhs ih` ^^ T hsgs ihsih h` jljhmtl hm quh hÈlodhrml hst aljpuhstl plr `lsjdhjorls ih` pgrtdil quh lsthmtg`g jgylrg pgr`gjhmtgrdg y hmhsls pgrtdils hxdsth `g idsadp`dmgih` vltl

^lr `tdjl, `g trgmsbhrhmadg g` p`g-ml dmthrmgadlmg` hm prlplradlmhsagsd goslùtgs hm ihadsdlmhshalmjdags y pl`tdags, quh hm bg-shs gmthrdlrhs g` ihsgrrl``l agpdtg-`dstg hrg aljphthmadg ih lregmds-jl h dmstdtuadlmhs mgadlmg`hs, cgdil gahmtumilsh dmhvdtgo`hjhmthaljl almshauhmadg ih `g dmtherg-adm jumidg` ih` agpdtg`dsjl, `l

aug` cg rhblrzgil `ls muhvls gpg-rgtls suprgmgadlmg`hs hm ihtrd-jhmtl ih `g slohrgmg plpu`gr yih su jxdjl regml ih hxprh-sdm, h` ^gr`gjhmtl

Hm tg`hs almidadlmhs almsdihrg-jls quh prhshmtgr h` ^gr`gjhmtloureus aljl h` regml ihsihilmih h` puho`l rhg`dzg su vlùm-tgi pl`tdag g trgvs ih sus rhprh-shmtgmths h`hatls, hs umg goslùtgbg`tg ih rdelr, s`l aljprhmsdo`h

plr rgzlmhs ih alohrturg dihlèd-ag l plr jhrgs mhahsdigihs ih su-

phrvdvhmadg prlbhsdlmg` ih gèu-mls ih muhstrls pl`tdals@g almahmtrgadm ih plihrhs hm h`hkhautdvl, `g ljmdplthmadg ih `g

ourlargadg hstgtg` y h` rhblrzg-jdhmtl ih `ls gpgrgtls suprgmg-adlmg`hs, cgm `djdtgil `gs bumadl-mhs ih `ls pgr`gjhmtlshurlaadihmtg`hs g `g rgtdbdagadmblrjg` ih `hyhs h`golrgigs y ihsg-rrl``gigs, hm `g jgylrg ih `ls ag-sls buhrg ih `, plr umg ourlargadgquh hsagpg g su almtrl` y quhgatg sdhjprh suolridmgig g `gs

mhahsdigihs ih` agpdtg`dsjl

^lr tligs hstgs rgzlmhs h` ^grtdilAljumdstg Lorhrl Hspgl` almsd-ihrg quh h` ^gr`gjhmtl, quh hm h`

aursl ih `g cdstlrdg ml cg plidilhvdtgr `g rhiuaadm pgu`gtdmg ihsus bumadlmhs y ihrhacls cgstgtrgmsblrjgr stls hm purl prltl-al`l, ml puhih shr, aljl tgjplalgmths `l buh, h` regml ihsih h`quh sh hxtdhmig `g ihjlargadg yjuacl jhmls quh hsh regml, ihhxdsthmadg purgjhmth blrjg`, puh-ig trgmsblrjgrsh hm um regml ih`g idatgiurg ih` prl`htgrdgil, al-

jl gèumls jgrxdstgs-`hmdmdstgsihbhmslrhs ih `g vg pgr`gjhmtgrdggbdrjgm

Ihsih cgah juacsdjl tdhjplchjls hsauacgil ih juacls idrd-ehmths aljumdstgs ih` laadihmthhurlphl quh `g gatdvdigi pgr`g-jhmtgrdg ih `ls pgrtdils aljumds-tgs almstdtug um plihrlsl brhml g`g gaadm ih `gs buhrzgs rhgaadlmg-

rdgs, g `g pgr quh gorg muhvls sur-als pgrg `g a`gsh lorhrg hm sujgracg cgadg h` sladg`dsjl ^hrlcly hm ?>71, augmil h` almkumtlih `g sladhigi hurllaadihmtg` hst

plihrlsgjhmth dmbùdig plr `gsalrrdhmths almshrvgilrgs, odhmsuredigs hm `ls pgshs hurlphls,

odhm djplrtgigs ih `ls HHXX,augmil sh vdelrdzgm `gs thmihmadgsgodhrtgjhmth bgsadstgs hm pgshsaljl Dme`gthrrg, Brgmadg, Dtg`dg l`g prlpdg Hspgg, augmil cgm ih-sgpgrhadil ih` clrdzlmth hurlla-adihmtg` `gs phrsphatdvgs ih um

prxdjl gaahsl g` sladg`dsjl pgrggèumls ih hstls pgshs l augmilsh vhm rhiuadils `ls prlpdls jr-ehmhs ih `g ihjlargadg oureuhsg,

phsh g `g gaadm pgr`gjhmtgrdg ih`ls aljumdstgs hurllaadihmtg`hs,h` jhmsgkh ih muhstrls idrdehmthsrhsu`tg aljp`htgjhmth hxtrgl g

/H` ^grtdil AljumdstgLorhrl Hspgl` almsdihrg

quh `g gatdvdigi pgr`gjhmtg-rdg ih `ls aljumdstgs ml ih-oh almstdtudr h` gsphatl prdm-adpg` ih su ùacg Hsg blrjgih ùacg pl`tdag ihoh shr rh-

`hegig g um sheumil p`gml,phrl gihjs rhauphrgr su

bumadm a`sdag, `g quh Jgrx

y @hmdm hxprhsgrlm hm ju`-tdtui ih lagsdlmhs, puhstlquh tgjodm pgrg mlsltrls,

`g auhstdm ml hs quh `gs jl-vd`dzgadlmhs ih jgsgs bgad`d-thm `g bumadm rhblrjdstg,

plr juacl vhrog`dsjl rgid-ag` quh sh hjp`hh, ih `ls

pgr`gjhmtgrdls aljumdstgs/


7/12

muhstrg rhg`digi

^grg h` ÂLH, h` gaahsl g` sladg-`dsjl hm `ls pgshs hurlphls ihagpdtg`dsjl gvgmzgil sh prliuadraljl hm tlils `ls pgshs ilmih cggalmthadil gmthrdlrjhmth, jh-idgmth h` suredjdhmtl y ihsgrrl``lih umg rupturg rhvlùadlmgrdgXmg rupturg rhvlùadlmgrdg lrdhm-tgig g `g sustdtuadm ih` pgr`gjhm-tgrdsjl, aljl sdsthjg ih` pgr`g-jhmtl, aljl blrjg ihlregmdzgadm ih` plihr pl tdalQustdtudils plr um sdsthjg mdalih rhprhshmtgadm plpu`gr quh

gograg tlils `ls regmls ih plihr,ihsih `ls suprhjls g `ls `lag`hs,umls regmls hm `ls aug`hs `ls pl-ihrhs `heds`gtdvls y hkhautdvls

quhihm almahmtrgils hm jgmls ih`ls rhprhshmtgmths ih` puho`l yquh hstm iltgils ih umg bumadl-mg`digi hbhatdvg

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phrsdeuhm ihrrlagr g` elodhrml ihG`-Gssgi


8/12

Alm tlil h` admdsjl ih` jumil,`ls tthrhs pl`tdals ih `ls hstgilsagpdtg`dstgs, sdagrdls ih `ls jlml-

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th rh`gadlmgil y hm`gzgil

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idacls rhaursls/

Adhmtls ih advd`hs dmlahmths slm jgsgargils idgrdgjhmthplr `gs buhrzgs rhohìhs bdmgmadgigs plr h` djphrdg`dsjl


9/12

`gs hmhregs bsd`hs slm, hm su jg-ylr pgrth, djplrtgigs, tgmtl hm `gXmdm Hurlphg aljl hm Hspgg,y `g ihphmihmadg hspgl`g ih`phtr`hl hs juacl js h`hvgig

quh h` prljhidl jumidg` l ih `gXmdm Hurlphg Hstg ihphmihmadgih `gs hmhregs bsd`hs ml vgrgsustgmadg`jhmth hm h` hsahmgrdlprhvdstl pgrg h` gl ?>1>; hmtrhh` 52( y h` 37( hm h` jumil, yhmtrh h` 24( y h` 55( hm `g XmdmHurlphg Qhg`gmil rhsphatl g`

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hm Lrdhmth Jhidl/

@dodg, gihjs ih idsplmhr ih hmlrjhsygadjdhmtls phtrl`bhrls, plshh umg ergmagpg suothrrmhg ih geug


10/12

quh shg mhahsgrdg Ml gatugr lgatugr tgrih hm `g hrg ih` thrrlrds-jl ih jgsgs hqudvg`h g almihmgrg juhrth g juacls aljpgtrdltgsT plr `tdjl, phrl ml jhmls dj-

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rhaursls mgturg`hs g sgmerh ybuhel, jhidgmth h` gshsdmgtl y

`g euhrrg/


11/12

gbm ih `ls ChrjgmlsJusu`jgmhs, bdmgmadg-ils plr HHXX y h`rusl, quh sh hsbuhrzg

plr egmgr dmbùhmadg

ihmtrl ih` hkradtlhedpadl gs aljl ihèlodhrml hjgmgil trgsh` el`ph ih hstgil

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blrjgr g jhrahmgrdlspgrg laupgr jd`dtgrjhmth g Qdrdg yihrrlagr g` elodhrml ih G`-Gssgi,elodhrml almtrgrdl g `ls dmthrhshsih HHXX y `g XH H` elodhrml ihQdrdg tdhmh hstrhacls `gzls pl`td-als y halmjdals alm Acdmg, Drmy _usdg Gs jdsjl Qdrdg hs hmh-jdeg cdstrdag ih` hstgil ih Dsrgh`y um gplyl hshmadg` pgrg `g rhsds-thmadg rgoh quh aljogth h` sdl-mdsjl, bumigjhmtg`jhmth Chzol-`g ^hrl slorhtlil, pgrg `ls HHXX

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sgtgig plr `g oureuhsg almtrg `lstrgogkgilrhs, hstgo`hadhmil jgr-als sladg`hs y `golrg`hs quh `dqud-igm tlil tdpl ih ihrhacl ih hstls,`hs ogkgm `ls sg`grdls, ``hvgmil g`

prl`htgrdgil g` pgrl blrzlsl y g `gdmidehmadg G mdvh` jumidg`, hx-

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`hs g sgmerh y buhel, jhidgmth h`

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plrmhgs slm jgmdbhstgadlmhs hmpdals ih umg ergm arhstg @lsdjphrdg`dstgs mlrthgjhrdagmls yhurlphls ml s`l vgm g almtdmugrgshsdmgmil g jd `lmhs ih shrhscujgmls dmlahmths sdml quh vgm ggarhahmtgr `g ardsds tligvg js,``hvgmil g` jumil g` olrih ih umgmuhvg Euhrrg Jumidg`

T gmth hsth hsahmgrdl, `ls hmhjd-els ih` prl`htgrdgil adhrrgm bd`gsgmth `ls dmthrhshs ih `ls jlmlpl-`dls Gs Dzqudhrig Xmdig, g trgvsih Ud``y Jhyhr, jgmdbdhstg slorh

`g euhrrg djphrdg`dstg hm Qdrdg quhhstg plsdo`h dmthrvhmadm sdm gu-tlrdzgadm ih` Almshkl ih Qheurd-igi vl`vhrg g arhgr g mdvh` dmthr-mgadlmg` umg sdtugadm ihhjhrehmadg aljl `g quh prliukh-rlm `g euhrrg ih Tuels`gvdg, Drgql Gbegmdstm H` usl ih `g buhrzgg` jgrehm ih `g Agrtg ih `g LMXs`l alm` hvg js vdl`hmadg hdmhstgod`digi, l `l quh hs `l jds-

jl, quh vhm odhm `g euhrrg djph-

/ cgahjls um ``gjgjdhmtlg` prl`htgrdgil ih` hstgil

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zgrsh aljl a`gsh pgrggagogr alm h` gatug` sdsthjg

quh mls almiuah g` godsjl

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s`l hs plsdo`h lregmdzmil-sh `g a`gsh trgogkgilrg, ih-sgrrl``gmil hm `ls ogrrdls y

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`hyhs quh mls lprdjhm/

@ls trgogkgilrhs ih` jumil, `ls quh plmhjls h` trgogkl y`ls juhrtls hm `gs euhrrgs quh cgahm `ls oureuhshs pgrghmrdquhahrsh, ml thmhjls ltrg sg`dig quh gvgmzgr bdrjh yihadidigjhmth cgadg h` sladg`dsjl


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rdg`dstg hm Qdrdg sd hèrupl ih plthmadgsdjphrdg`dstgs quh shsdhmtgm hm h` Almshklih Qheurdigi ih `g

LMX gs `l gpruhog,plsdadlmmilsh g`bgvlr ih` djphrdg`ds-jl, ih` ihrrgjg-jdhmtl ih sgmerhtrgogkgilrg y ih `geuhrrg djphrdg`dstg yhm almtrg ih `g pgz yih` prl`htgrdgil @lssladls ih DzqudhrigXmdig, h` ^QLH, vg g

js y sh jgmdbdhstggodhrtgjhmth bgvlrg-o`h g umg dmthrvhmadmjd`dtgr hm Qdrdg, gèl plr ltrl `gilmgturg` thmdhmil hm auhmtg quhtgmtl h` ^QLH, aljl h` ^^, ih-bdhmihm godhrtgjhmth h` djphrdg-`dsjl y slm tthrhs ih `ls jlmlpl-`dls, g` deug` quh Dzqudhrig Xmdig^lr ltrl `gil, `g dmthrmgadlmg` sdm-idag` ih` djphrdg dsjl AQD ilmih hstm dmagridmgigs `gs ahm-

trg`hs sdmidag`hs AALL, XEY,XQL l H@G, hm ùegr ih rhacgzgrgodhrtgjhmth `g euhrrg djphrdg`ds-tg y ih rhacgzgr `g dmkhrhmadg dj-

phrdg`dstg y `g mhegadm ih `g sloh-rgmg ih Qdrdg, pgsgm ih alstgil yml sh plsdadlmgm hm almtrg ih `geuhrrg djphrdg`dstg, gph`gmil g `gLMX pgrg ousagr umg slùadm gàlmb`datl grrhjhtdhmil almtrg G`-Gssgi y su elodhrml

H` Aljdt Hkhautdvl ih` ^grtdilAljumdstg Lorhrl Hspgl` rhacg-zg ih p`gml `g euhrrg djphrdg`dstg

hm Qdrdg @ls trgogkgilrhs ih`jumil, `ls quh plmhjls h` trgog-

kl y `ls juhrtls hm `gs euhrrgs quhcgahm `ls oureuhshs pgrg hmrdquh-ahrsh, ml thmhjls ltrg sg`dig quhgvgmzgr bdrjh y ihadidigjhmth cg-adg h` sladg`dsjl @g mdag sg`digquh thmhjls `g jgylrg trgogkgil-rg ih` jumil, `ls pgrdgs y `ls pl-

orhs ih `g tdhrrg, yg shgjls hedp-adls, sdrdls, `dodls l hspgl`hs, hstljgr almadhmadg ih quh h` djph-rdg`dsjl s`l mls almiuah g `g jd-shrdg, g `g euhrrg y g `g juhrth,

puhs `g ardsds y `g euhrrg slm dmch-rhmths g` agpdtg`dsjl hm `g bgsh ga-tug` ih putrhbgaadm hm `g quh shcg``g ^lr tlil h``l, cgahjls um``gjgjdhmtl g` prl`htgrdgil ih`hstgil hspgl` g lplmhrsh g `geuhrrg djphrdg`dstg, jlvd`dzmilsh

almtrg ``g y, bumigjhmtg`jhmth, glregmdzgrsh aljl a`gsh pgrg gag-

ogr alm h` gatug` sds-thjg quh mls almiu-ah g` godsjl y glregmdzgrsh pgrg gag-

ogr alm h` agpdtg`ds-

jl y almstrudr h` sl-adg`dsjl T h``l s`lhs plsdo`h lregmdzm-ilsh `g a`gsh trgogkg-ilrg, ihsgrrl``gmilhm `ls ogrrdls y hm`ls puho`ls h` Brhmthmdal ih` ûho`l al-jl dmstrujhmtl ihùacg pl`tdag quhumg g tlils `ls shatl-

rhs ih` prl`htgrdgilalmtrg `gs `hyhs quhmls lprdjhm, quh ilth

g `g a`gsh trgogkgilrg ih `g agpgad-igi pl`tdag pgrg idrdedr sus ihsde-mdls y pgrg shr iuhg ih `g prl-iuaadm y aljl sh idstrdouyh stgy, tgjodm, pgrg lplmhrsh g `geuhrrg djphrdg`dstg y aujp`dr almh` sgergil prdmadpdl ih` dmthrmg-adlmg dsjl prl`htgrdl, lplmdmil-mls g` ihrrgjgjdhmtl ih sgmerh

ih muhstrls chrjgmls ih a`gsh sd-rdls y ih ltrls pumtls ih` p`gmhtg,lregmdzmilmls y igmil pgslsalmshauhmths plr h` sladg`dsjl

MLG @G EXH__G DJ^H_DG@DQYG'

^L_ H@ B_HMYH MDAL IH@ ^XH-

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QLADG@DQJL L OG_OG_DH'

ALJDY HKHAXYDRL IH@ ÂLH

@g euhrrg djphrdg`dstg hm Qdrdg ml hs js quh um hsahmgrdlih `g puemg djphrdg`dstg hmtrh `gs plthmadgs a`sdags y `gsplthmadgs hjhrehmths

ANALISIS Setiembre 13

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