An Index of Labour Market Well-being for Canada and the United States Lars Osberg Economics...
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Transcript of An Index of Labour Market Well-being for Canada and the United States Lars Osberg Economics...
An Index of Labour Market Well-being for Canada and the United States
Lars Osberg
Economics Department, Dalhousie University
Andrew Sharpe & Jeremy Smith
Center for the Study of Living Standards
Are workers better or worse off ?
Previous work has constructed “Index of Economic Well Being” for society as a whole consumption flows accumulation of wealth Inequality economic security
Individuals have multiple roles – but in their capacity as workers, same problems of dimensionality and aggregation of “returns from work” exist
Dimensions of Well Being
Concept Present
Representative
Agent /
Worker
Average
Current Returns
from work
- e.g. average wage/earnings
Dimensions of Well Being
Concept Present Future
Representative
Agent /
Worker
Average
Current Returns
from work
- e.g. average wage/earnings
Average Accumulation of Human Capital
Dimensions of Well Being
Concept Present
Representative
Agent /
Worker
Average
Current Returns
from work
- e.g. average wage/earnings
Diverse Population
Inequality of current returns from work
Dimensions of Well Being
Concept Present Future
Representative
Agent /
Worker – Central Tendency
Average
Current Returns
from work
- e.g. average wage/earnings
Average Accumulation of Human Capital
Diverse Population
Inequality of current returns from work
Uncertainty / Insecurity of future returns
Labour Market Compensation per workerIncome
Compensation per hour
Average years of schooling
HumanCapital
Hourly wage inequality
Labour Market Incidence of low wage employmentEquality
Index of Labour Market Well-being
Risk imposed by unemployment - average of unemployment rate and long-term unemployment rate - UI coverage rate - UI benefits replacement rate - employment protection legislation
Risk to health imposed byemployment - workplace death rate - time loss rate from workplace injuries
Risk imposed by poverty at the Labour Market end of working lifeSecurity - elderly poverty intensity
- social security replacement rate - employer pension coverage rate - incidence of defined benefit pension plan membership
Summary Table 1: Labour Market Income in Canada and the United States, 1976-2001
Canada United States
Index of Compen-sation per Employee
(A)
Index of Compen-sation per hour (B)
Index of Labour Market
Income = (A)*0.5 + (B)*0.5
Index of Compen-sation per Employee
(A)
Index of Compen-sation per hour (B)
Index of Labour Market
Income = (A)*0.5 + (B)*0.5
1976 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1981 0.969 0.967 0.968 0.955 0.967 0.961
1989 1.007 0.965 0.986 1.028 1.004 1.016
1995 1.020 1.009 1.014 1.044 1.022 1.033
2001 1.094 1.084 1.089 1.173 1.149 1.161
Source: Tables 1 and 9.
Summary Table 2: Human Capital in Canada and the United States, 1976-2001
Canada United States
Average Years of
Schooling (human capital)
Index of Human Capital
Average Years of
Schooling (human capital)
Index of Human Capital
1976 11.73 1.000 11.84 1.000
1981 12.20 1.040 12.21 1.031
1989 12.68 1.081 12.62 1.066
1995 13.00 1.108 13.01 1.099
2001 13.44 1.146 13.25 1.119
Summary Table 3: Labour Market Equality in Canada and the United States, 1976-2001
Canada United States
Ratio of 9th to 1st
Earnings Deciles (A)
Index of Earnings
Inequality (B)=index of
(A)*-1
Index of Labour Market Equality
(C)=(B)+2
Ratio of 9th to 1st
Earnings Deciles (A)
Index of Earnings
Inequality (B)=index of
(A)*-1
Index of Labour Market Equality
(C)=(B)+2
1976 3.832 -1.000 1.000 4.922 -1.000 1.000
1981 4.010 -1.046 0.954 4.911 -0.998 1.002
1989 4.424 -1.155 0.845 5.550 -1.128 0.872
1995 4.195 -1.095 0.905 5.746 -1.167 0.833
2001 4.195 -1.095 0.905 5.746 -1.167 0.833
Summary Table 7: Labour Market Security in Canada and the United States, 1976-2001
Canada
United States
Index of Security from the
Risk Imposed
by Unemp-loyment
(A)
Index of Security from the Risk to Health
Imposed by
Employ-ment(B)
Index of Security from the
Risk Imposed
by Poverty in
Retire-ment (C)
Index of Labour Market
Security = [(A)+(B)+
(C)]/3
Index of Security from the
Risk Imposed by
Unemp-loyment (A)
Index of Security from the Risk to Health
Imposed by
Employ-ment (B)
Index of Security from the
Risk Imposed by Poverty in
Retire-ment (C)
Index of Labour Market
Security = [(A)+(B)+
(C)]/3
1976 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
1981 0.593 1.001 1.114 0.903 0.871 1.111 1.058 1.013
1989 0.638 0.930 1.226 0.931 1.012 1.247 1.085 1.115
1995 -0.015 1.159 1.239 0.794 0.982 1.316 1.095 1.131
2001 0.472 1.190 1.209 0.957 1.446 1.433 1.034 1.304
Summary Table 9: Relative Levels of Labour Market Well-being, United States=100, 2001
Canada United States
Labour Market Income (A) 86.2 100.0
Human Capital (B) 101.5 100.0
Labour Market Equality (C) 127.0 100.0
Labour Market Security (D) 96.4 100.0
Labour Market Well-being =[(A)+(B)+(C)+(D)]/4
102.8 100.0
Caveats
Preliminary work – better component sub-indices are possible and desirable
Countries differ in “social wage” – I.e.range of issues determined in labour market varies E.g. employer paid health plans in USA vs tax-financed,
universal Medicare in Canada Implies overstatement of US Labour Market Well Being
Sensitivity to alternative weightings not yet explored
Implications
Are workers better or worse off ? Answer depends on range of issues considered &
method of aggregation across workers Average wage/earnings is a poor indicator
What is the gap between groups of workers (e.g. males / females) ? May similarly depend on aggregation