American Bar Association Ipsos Data

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Transcript of American Bar Association Ipsos Data

Page 1: American Bar Association Ipsos Data

© 2014 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.

American Bar AssociationDecember 2014

December 2014

Page 2: American Bar Association Ipsos Data

Methodology and Technical Details

This poll comprises findings from an Ipsos online poll: Fieldwork period: December 4-8, 2014

The first wave was conducted February 21-24, 2014

The survey interviewed a national sample of 1,004 adults The first wave included 1,005 adults

These slides also contain some data filtered on just those respondents reporting that they know ‘A great deal’, ‘A fair amount’, or ‘ A little bit’ about the ICC at Q1 (cutting out those who say they know ‘Nothing at all’). This reduced the filtered base size to 338, and is referred to in the data as ‘Aware of ICC’ audience.

─ The first wave included 379 of these respondents

Weighting then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the U.S. adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe.

Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio.

All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

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Knowledge of International Criminal Court

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1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

7%

8%

21%

64%

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

Base: All Respondents (n=1005)

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Knowledge of International Criminal Court- TREND

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1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

4%

8%

28%

60%

7%

8%

21%

64%

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

Feb-14

Dec-14

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Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

5Base: All Respondents (n=1005); All at least aware of ICC (338)

35%

63%

60%

69%

23%

36%

48%

59%

20%

30%

6%

13%

11%

18%

40%

50%

16%

23%

45%

54%

59%

24%

29%

14%

38%

14%

36%

18%

35%

16%

Agree Disagree Don't know

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

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Attitudes towards US participation in ICC-TREND

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28%

35%

60%

60%

24%

23%

47%

48%

21%

20%

8%

6%

11%

11%

37%

40%

18%

16%

43%

45%

64%

59%

29%

29%

39%

38%

34%

36%

36%

35%

Agree Disagree Don't know

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

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Joining the International Criminal Court

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37%

25%

38%

59%

24%

17%

The US should become moreinvolved in or fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

All

Aware of ICC

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

Base: All Respondents (n=1005); All at least aware of ICC (338)

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Joining the International Criminal Court - TREND

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34%

24%

42%

37%

25%

38%

The US should become more involved inor fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

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Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

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47%

56%

28%

37%

31%

49%

25%

41%

18%

28%

30%

42%

27%

31%

32%

37%

35%

16%

41%

21%

41%

20%

43%

22%

Agree Disagree Don't knowThe US should continue to dedicate

moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally

joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an

area of interest to the ICC

Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation

The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental resources

available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

ALLAware of ICC

Base: All Respondents (n=1005); All at least aware of ICC (338)

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

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Attitudes towards US participation in ICC- TREND

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44%

47%

26%

28%

28%

31%

22%

25%

19%

18%

31%

30%

29%

27%

31%

32%

37%

35%

43%

41%

43%

41%

47%

43%

Agree Disagree Don't know

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting

some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing

satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC

Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation

The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental

resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

All-Feb 2014

All-Dec 2014

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ISIS in the Courts: United States Involvement

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42%

20%

39%

55%

28%

17%

All

Aware of ICC

The US should amend US laws to allow funding to assist the ICC in prosecuting

individuals who have committed atrocity crimes as part of ISIS/The Islamic State

The US should not get involved in prosecuting individuals who have committed

atrocity crimes as part of ISIS/The Islamic State

Don't know

5A. The International Criminal Court (ICC) is investigating whether charges could be brought against individual citizens or nationals of ICC member countries, such as the United Kingdom, France, Jordan, and Tunisia, who may have committed international atrocity crimes in support of ISIS/The Islamic State. The US is not an ICC member country, which means it is not obligated to cooperate and assist the ICC on these potential cases against Islamic State, although it may volunteer to help. US law, however, currently forbids the United States from allocating money to assist the ICC, voluntarily or otherwise.

Which of the following comes closer to your personal opinion?

Base: All Respondents (n=1005); All at least aware of ICC (338)

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ISIS in the Courts: United States Involvement

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39%

22%

39%

55%

27%

18%

All

Aware of ICC

5B. Some people oppose US cooperation and assistance with the International Criminal Court and its cases out of concern that the International Criminal Court may one day also target American citizens or citizens of our allies (such as Israel). However, the ICC is now considering charges against individuals who have committed international atrocity crimes as part of ISIS/The Islamic State and who are citizens of ICC member countries (such as France or Jordan), yet US law makes it hard to support these cases with financial assistance.

With this in mind, which of the following comes closer to your personal opinion?

The US should amend US laws to allow funding to assist the ICC in prosecuting

individuals who have committed atrocity crimes as part of ISIS/The Islamic State

The US should not get involved in prosecuting individuals who have committed

atrocity crimes as part of ISIS/The Islamic State

Don't know

Base: All Respondents (n=1005); All at least aware of ICC (338)

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Ipsos Contacts

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Clifford YoungManaging Director, Polling and Public Sector Practice 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410Washington, DC 20006Phone: +1 202.420.2016eMail: [email protected]

Julia ClarkVice President222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4919eMail: [email protected]

Elizabeth BrasharesResearch Associate222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4744eMail: [email protected]