AMATS 2035 Metropolitan

Transportation Plan (MTP) Update

Project Technical Advisory Committee (TAC+) Meeting

June 9, 2011

Today’s Agenda

Activities Since Last Meeting

Workshop Results on Modal Deficiencies

MTP Financial Plan Methodology

MTP Revenue & Cost Projection Approach

Next Steps

Activities Since Last Meeting

Document Preparation

– Public Review Draft of Chapters 1 &

3 on project website

– Draft of Chapters 4 & 5 under review

Modeling

– Refinement of modeling scenarios

MTP Evaluation Framework/Performance Measures

– Directly tied to MTP Goals & Objectives

MTP Chapter Titles 1. Introduction 2. Public Involvement 3. Goals & Objectives 4. AMATS System Today 5. AMATS 2035 6. Recommendations 7. Financial Plan 8. Implementation

Activities Since Last Meeting

Deficiency Analysis

– “Get the Red Out” – roadway network capacity issues

– Modal Needs Workshops

Project Cost Estimate Refinements

– Updating of LRTP projects

Revenue Sources Estimate

Public Involvement

– Continuing Boards and Commissions Meetings

– Newspaper insert under final review

Schedule

January – August 2011

– Public engagement & information sharing

– Plan development & draft document preparation

September 2011 – March 2012

– Public review period of draft MTP

– Planning & Zoning Commission hearing

– MOA Assembly hearing

April 2012 – June 2012

– AMATS TAC & PC adoption

– Review and approval by FHWA/FTA of Air Quality Conformity and Fiscal Constraint

Document Completion Schedule

Chapter Due Date

1 – Introduction Draft on website

2 – Public Involvement August 2011

3 – Plan Goals & Objectives Draft on website

4 – AMATS Transportation System Today Draft under review

5 – AMATS in 2035 June 2011

6 – Recommendations June/July 2011

7 – Financial Plan July 2011

8 – Implementation August 2011

Appendix – Air Quality Conformity October 2011

Appendix - Environmental Justice August 2011

Public Review Plan (Draft) September 2011

MTP Process

MTP Process

2035 Scenarios

Deficiency analysis &

identify needs

Financial constraint analysis

Costs = Funding

MTP

Projects Programs Policies

2035 Scenarios

2035 Base Model Parameters

Consistency with Adopted Plans

– 2027 Chugiak-Eagle River Long-range Transportation Plan

– 2027 Anchorage Bowl Long-range Transportation Plan

Conservative Assumptions for Worst-case

– Consistent with Knik Arm Crossing forecast

2035 Base Model Parameters

90 Roadway Projects

– Highway to Highway

– Knik Arm Crossing

– Glenn Highway widening

54 Sidewalk/Bicycle/Pathway Projects

– 83 miles of new sidewalks

– 77 miles of new multi-use pathways

2035 Base Model Parameters

Transit Service

– Increased Peak Hour service on seven routes – 15 minute

headways

– Express Bus Service between Mat-Su/Eagle River and

Downtown Anchorage, U-Med District, and Mid-town District

Non-Motorized Facilities

– Anchorage Pedestrian Plan

– Anchorage Bicycle Plan

2035 Base+ Model Parameters

Starts with 2035 Base Model

– All Roadway, Pedestrian, Bicycle, Multi-use Pathways, and

Public Transportation Projects/Strategies

Contains projects from recently adopted plans

– Anchorage Downtown Comprehensive Plan

– Eagle River Central Business District (CBD) and Residential

Core Circulation Study

– Hillside District Plan

– People Mover Blueprint Plan

2035 Base + Model Parameters

Anchorage Downtown Plan

– 3rd Avenue/6th Avenue one-way couplet

– Convert 5th Avenue to two-way operations

Eagle River CBD & Residential Core Study

– Glenn Highway/Farm Avenue Partial Interchange

– Farm Avenue realignment with Eagle River Loop Road

– New Artillery Road off ramp to Eagle River Road

– Business Boulevard extension to Eagle River Road

– Two new traffic signals on Old Glenn Highway between Eagle

River Loop Road and North Eagle River Interchange

2035 Base + Model Parameters

Hillside District Plan

– Huffman Road Extension: Birch Road to Hillside Drive

– Elmore Road Extension: O’Malley Road to Abbott Road

– Hillside District Park-n-Ride Lot

People Mover Blueprint Plan

– South Anchorage Express Route

– Klatt/Southport Circulator Route

– Abbott/Elmore Circulator Route

– International/UAA Crosstown Route

Source: CH2M HILLSource: CH2M HILL

Under Capacity

Approaching Capacity

At or Over Capacity

Under Capacity

Approaching Capacity

At or Over Capacity

2035 Base + Model Results

1 Northern Lights

2 Fireweed Lane

3 36th Avenue

4 Tudor Road

1

4

3

2

Partial List of Deficiencies (no ranking indicated)

Source: CH2M HILLSource: CH2M HILL

Under Capacity

Approaching Capacity

At or Over Capacity

Under Capacity

Approaching Capacity

At or Over Capacity

1 Eagle River Road

2 Hiland Road

2035 Base + Model Results

1

2

Partial List of Deficiencies (no ranking indicated)

Deficiency Analysis & Identify Needs

Deficiency Analysis

Public Transportation

Connections Freight

Land Use

ITS/TSM/TDMSecurity

Non- Motorized

Roadway Capacity

“Get the Red Out”

Midtown District Plan

36th Avenue

Fireweed Lane

U-Med Access Study – Phase II

Northern Lights Boulevard

Eagle River Road

Glenn Highway Corridor Study

Connections/Freight

Update Freight Mobility Study

Port of Anchorage Access Study

Glenn Highway/Muldoon Interchange

– Frontage road between Muldoon and Boniface

76th or 79th Corridor instead of 84th

– Possible new east-west corridor to mitigate environmental

concerns in the 84th Avenue project corridor

Railroad Grade Separations

ITS/TSM/TDM/Security *

Freeway Incident Management Plan

Emergency Access Study

ITS Committee

Traffic Signal Operations Plan

Operations and Safety Improvements Program

Travel Options Report Recommendations

* Notes: ITS – Intelligent Transportation Systems TSM – Transportation System Management TDM – Transportation Demand Management

Public Transportation

Increased service on existing routes

Extend Route 45G to Takatnu Commons/VA

Hospital/Heritage Center

Dimond Transit Center Recommendations

Muldoon Transit Center Relocation Study

Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Routes Study – New Start

Program

Regional Transportation Authority (RTA)

Recommendations

Public Transportation

Human Services/Coordinated Transportation Plan

Joint Base Elmendorf Richardson (JBER)

Transportation Coordination Plan

Paratransit/Taxi/Hotel Shuttle Coordination Plan

Non-motorized

Widen Chester Creek trail

Safe Routes to School Program

Midtown Business Improvement District

Boost Funding Allocation for bike/pedestrian/trails

Other Needs

Knik Arm Ferry Service Access at Anchorage Terminal

Public-Private Partnership Demonstration Project in

Midtown

Eagle River CBD Study – Phase II

Connect Eagle River

Regional Travel Survey

Complete Streets Plan – update Official Street and

Highway Plan (OSHP)

MTP Financial Plan Methodology

Financial Plan – Methodology

The MTP is required to fiscally constrained… don’t

plan what you can’t reasonable expect to pay for.

Methodology is:

– Simple , yet comprehensive for planning purposes

– Consistent with other capital programs (MOA & State)

– The same basic method applied to all projects, including Knik

Arm crossing

– Forecasting using past trends, state/national plans & programs

– Assumptions used for revenues, costs and timing

– Steps, 1) determined revenue sources; 2) estimate revenue

amounts; 3) Determine capital and operating cost in 2010

dollars; 4) apply inflation rates for revenue & cost; 5) apply

revenues to costs over a 30 yr. period… simple

MTP Revenue & Cost Project Approach

MTP – Revenues and Cost Projections 2011-2035

Revenue projections by source and amount

looking at traditional and new (ex.. Federal $,

local bonds, private $)

Project & operating costs are being revised to

2010 dollars, then inflated annually from 2011-

2035.

The Draft MTP for public review will have a draft

financial plan illustrating where the sources of

funds are from, when and how much, for

example!

Next Steps

Continue Public Involvement Activities

Finalize Performance Measures

Finalize and Document Model Runs

Identification of Projects, Programs, Policies

Financial Constraint Analysis

Next Meeting

July 14, 2011

Municipality of Anchorage Planning and

Development

Main Conference Room, First Floor