Airport Panel Expert
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Transcript of Airport Panel Expert
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Phase 1 Expert Panels
• Aviation Trends (January)
• New Air Traffic Control Technology (February)
• Demand Management (April)
• Governance and Institutions (June)
www.mtc.ca.gov/planning/air_plan/index.htm
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Experts Consulted
Airports• Airports Council Intl• Boston Logan • San Diego Authority • Sacramento County
Regional Agency (SCAG)
FAA
NASA
Boeing Aircraft
UC Berkeley
Consultants• Roach and Sbarra• The Velocity Group• KPA• GRA• Jacobs Consultancy• ATAC
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Bay Area Air Passengers
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Airport Shares of Passengers
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Bay Area Cargo Growth
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We are in the Midst of an Historic Boom in Sales (Jets)
WORLD BUSINESS JET DELIVERIES
0
100
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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
AN
NU
AL
DE
LIV
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IES
(U
NIT
S) JET LINERS
LARGE
M EDIUM
SM ALL
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Honda JetEmbraer Phenom 100
Eclipse 500 Cessna MustangVery Light Jets
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We Need to Revise Forecasts
• Price will be important/fuel costs
• Airport forecasts are highly dependent on airline marketing decisions, which are difficult to predict
• A tracking system of key forecast indicators should be developed
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In Constant Dollars Passenger Fares per Mile Have Been Declining for Eighty Years
0¢
10¢
20¢
30¢
40¢
50¢
60¢
70¢
80¢
1926
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*
US Domestic Yield per Passenger Mile (in Cents), Constant Dollars, 1982 - 1984 = 100
Trend
Actual
Domestic O & D Traffic: Prices Matter
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Next Generation Air Transportation System
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New Technology Has the Potential to Increase Airport
Capacity
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Baseline+NewRunways
RNP RNP+LAAS RNP+LAAS+3DPaths+ATM Tools+Rwy
Sol
Per
cen
t In
crea
se (
Op
s/H
r) VMC
MVMC
IMC
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RNP Background – Alaska Airlines
• Pioneered RNP in Alaska– To serve "terrain-
challenged" airports (e.g., Juneau-Gastineau Channel)
– Exploit advanced avionics on its B-737-400+’s
Source: Alaska Airlines
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New Technology Can Improve Poor Weather Capacity at SFO
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Cockpit Synthetic Vision System• Provides pilots with a realistic depiction of terrain databases and standard
aircraft systems on a standard flight deck display.• SVS is primarily used on approach or takeoff during low visibility conditions,
providing pilots with realistic visuals and easy-to-follow flight path guidance.
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Reduced Wake Turbulence Separation Could Increase Capacity
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Traffic Management Advisor for
Air Traffic Controllers• A set of scheduling and flow
management tools that assist air traffic mangers and sector controllers in balancing arrival demand with airport capacity
• Assures a smooth flow of arrival traffic into the TRACON
− Increase airport capacity
− Reduce arrival delays
− Reduce controller workload Courtesy of the Transition Working Group, FAA Research, Engineering and Development Advisory Committee
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Other Technology Benefits
• Greater all-weather capacity for general aviation reliever airports
• Potential Continuous Descent Approaches for commercial airports during low traffic periods (noise, emission benefits)
• Safety
• Reduced controller workload
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Some Key Technology Issues
• Industry acceptance (safety, training, etc.)
• Cost and who pays• Need for further system integration/
engineering work• Mixed airline equipage (some aircraft
will have it, some won’t)• Pace of development-when will
technologies be ready?
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Findings/ Recommendations
• Many promising technologies to increase capacity, but few undergoing necessary system engineering to make a reality
• RAPC needs periodic updates by the FAA
• RAPC will continue to examine in Phase 2
• RAPC, airports, and local communities need to be proactive
• Look at Continuous Descent Approaches
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Demand ManagementWhat is It?
• Manage aircraft operations to better match runway capacity-require airlines to use aircraft which carry more passengers-limit number of flights in peak hour-limit types of aircraft using airport (e.g., GA)
• Federal rules and regulations make difficult to implement
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Only a Few Examples
• Where Congress has mandated hourly limits (“slots”) -JFK, LaGuardia, Wash Nat’l, O’Hare
• Boston Logan-minimum landing fees (1988, overturned in court)
• Boston Logan-peak period pricing (current, but not activated due to low traffic)
• SFO- study underway
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Massport’s PACE Program-Goals
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Ways Airports Can Implement
• Minimum landing fees instead of weight-based fees (if fees properly structured)
• Airline leases (airline efficiency measures)
• Congestion pricing (with FAA approval)
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Findings/Recommendations
• No clear path to implementing demand management
• Review SFO Study as it progresses
• Request OAK examine demand management prior to major runway congestion
• Support a pilot Congestion Pricing program in FAA reauthorization legislation
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Governance Panel
• Could new institutional arrangements improve long-term decision making?
• What would these look like?
-So. Calif. Regional Airport Authority (regionalization)
-New England Airport Coalition (regionalization)
-San Diego (new airport site selection)
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Recommendations
• In Phase 2, examine strengths and weaknesses of: -New Authority-Joint Powers Agreement (JPA)-Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)
• Examination would be relative to Vision and Functional Needs to implement a new Vision
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Next Steps
• RAPC to review and adopt Phase 1 Findings and Recommendations (October 15)
• RAPC will consider all comments
• Staff will respond to comments
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Questions/Comments?