Air Liquide Winter 2021-22 OutlookClimate Impact CompanyOctober 19, 2021

Air Liquide Winter 2021-22 Outlook

› Review Of Polar Vortex February 2021.

› Does Polar Vortex Return Winter 2021-22?

› Air Liquide Coldest MAX/MIN Risk.

› Climate Factors.

› U.S. Forecast November 2021 Through March 2022.

› Air Liquide System Monthly Temperature Anomalies.

› Climate Impact Company Vs. NOAA Winter Outlook.

› How To Monitor Weather & Climate.

Evolution Of Polar Vortex February 2021

BLOCKING PATTERN EMERGES. POLAR VORTEX FORMS.

POLAR VORTEX SHIFTS SOUTH OVER SNOW COVER.

Snow Cover Caused The Intensity!

WIDESPREAD SNOW COVERMADE THIS EVENT HISTORIC

“FULL LATITUDE” COLD EVENT FEBRUARY 14-20, 2021

There Is Polar Vortex Risk for Winter 2021-22

SNOW COVER DETERMINES DECEMBER EVENT STRENGTH

RISK OF POLAR VORTEX INJANUARY REMAINS

Air Liquide Cold Risk For Winter 2021-22

HOUSTON: DECEMBER 2021 IS MONTH TO FOLLOW!

BEAUMONT: DECEMBER 2021 IS MONTH TO FOLLOW!

Climate Factors Governing Forecast

GLOBAL SSTA…REGIONS OF INFLUENCE ON U.S. CLIMATE

NOTE LA NINA 2021 VS. 1988: OCEANS WERE MUCH COOLER

Polar Ice Cap And Snow Cover Expansion

CURRENT POLAR ICE CAP CURRENT SNOW ON THE GROUND

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

NOVEMBER 2021 TEMPERATURE NOVEMBER 2021 PRECIPITATION

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

DECEMBER 2021 TEMPERATURE DECEMBER 2021 PRECIPITATION

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

JANUARY 2022 TEMPERATURE JANUARY 2022 PRECIPITATION

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

FEBRUARY 2022 TEMPERATURE FEBRUARY 2022 PRECIPITATION

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

MARCH 2022 TEMPERATURE MARCH 2022 PRECIPITATION

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

SYSTEM TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR 2021-22

SYSTEM TEMPERATUREOBSERVATIONS FOR 2020-21

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

ERCOT GAS POPULATION WEIGHT HDD FORECAST

U.S. GAS POPULATION WEIGHT HDD FORECAST

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

METEOROLOGICAL WINTER 2021-22 TEMPERATURE

METEOROLOGICAL WINTER 2021-22 PRECIPITATION

Climate Impact Company Winter Outlook

NOAA METEOROLOGICAL WINTER 2021-22 TEMPERATURE

NOAA METEOROLOGICAL WINTER 2021-22 PRECIPITATION

Air Liquide High Impact Weather Risk

› Monitoring– Daily Reports

– Daily 6-10/11-15 Forecast

– Week 2-4 Outlook

› Specifics– 5-Day AL Alert

– 3-Week Extreme Temp Risk

– Ice/Snow Alert

› Plan– EMAIL Alerts

– Air Liquide Web Page

– Conference Call

Monitor

• Daily Reports

• Daily 6-10/11-15

• MON/THU Week 2-4

Air Liquide Winter 2021-22 Outlook Summary

› The Cold Risk Is On Front End Of Winter (December).

› Not Expecting FEB-21 Style Cold Outbreak.

› Monitoring Snow Cover/Trend Important!

› Monitoring CIC Weather/Climate Forecasts Important!

› Second half Of Winter Is Warmer.

› Keep An Eye On Potential Dryness (2022 drought).