AIARD Conference
description
Transcript of AIARD Conference
1
AIARD Conference
Colonel John ToolanDirector, U.S. Marine CorpsCommand & Staff College
2
Mission Analysis
COA Dev #1
LOO LOOLOOLOO LOO LOO LOO
Program RefinementTroop to Task
COA Dev #2
OPT WARGAME
C-5 WARGAME
OPT OPT OPT OPT OPT
OPT OPT OPT OPT OPT
Integration and Refinement Prioritization and Sequencing
3
Center Of Gravity
GOI LEGITIMACY
IN AL ANBAR
DESTABILIZATION
•Local / Provincial Governments
•Civil Services
•Functioning Judiciary
•Functioning Police Forces
•Functioning Local Economies
•Public Support
•Corrupt / Poor governments
•Lack of public services
•Crime
•AIF Kinetic Acts
•Tribal in-fighting
•Lack of Education
•Media
•Religion
•Local Population
•National
•NGOs
•Regional
•International
4
Destabilization
Lack of P
ub. Svc
Tribal
Influ
ence
Establish
Rule of Law
Develo
p
Ownersh
ip
in G
OIReduce Coalition
Visibility/CAP
Improve Public
Services
Develop
Sustainable
Employment
Facilitate Education
Build Legitimate gov’t w/ inter-ethnic
representationSecure Borders
Deny Sanctuary
Impr
ove
QOL
Counter AIF
IO Messages
w/ Truth
Provide Social Safety Net
Isolate Pop. fm
Insurgents
Enemy Operational COG
Religion
Will
Indifference
Geography
Fear
Violence
Foreign Influence
Poverty
Lack of E
duc.
Anger & Shame
Coalition Kinetic ActRul
e of L
aw
Hopelessness
Corrupt/ Poor Govt
AIF IO Msg.
Cul
ture
.
Targetable tasks
Disrupting effects
5
Campaign Objectives• Defeat AIF destabilization themes by strengthening Iraqi
public understanding of coalition and GOI efforts.
• Build & transition ISF to secure borders, promote rule of law & neutralize AIF.
• Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions that provide essential services, education.
• Improve quality of life that promotes public confidence and ownership in GOI.
• Create long term sustainable employment by developing economic capacity.
6
On Schedule:
Current Efforts Sufficient
Sensitive:
Potential to escalate to Critical if not addressed
Critical: Immediate Assistance required
Al Anbar Campaign Objective Current
Assessment
Al Qaim- 200K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ CapacityRawah-25K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
Al Rutbah-50K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
An Nukhayb- 5K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
Habbaniyah/ Khalidiyah-60K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
Fallujah-200K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
Ramadi-450K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
Hit – 32K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
Haditha – 31K
Defeat AIF themes
ISF
Government
Improve QOL
Econ Capacity
7
AR RUTBAH
AL QAIM
AR RAMADI
FALLUJAH
AL ASAD
BAGHDAD
Campaign Overview
4
3
2
Priority of Effort:
•Governance
•Economics
•Security
1
Campaign Objectives• Strengthening Iraqi public understanding• Build & transition ISF• Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions• Improve quality of life• Developing economic capacity
8
Haditha – 31K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Hit – 32K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Ramadi-450K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Rawah-25K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Fallujah-200K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Al Rutbah-50K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Al Qaim- 200K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Habaniyah/ Khalidiyah-60K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
An Nukhayb- 5K
Gen Health
Housing
Public Works
Food
Education
Security
Governance
Self Reliant:
Minimal to No Assistance Required
Sensitive:
Potential to escalate to Critical if not addressed
Critical: Immediate Assistance required
Situation Template
9
Jul 08-Jul 13Jul 06-Jul 08
C/JIATF-W Campaign Roadmap: Jul 2006 – Jul 2023
CAMPAIGN OBJECTIVES
•strengthen Iraqi public understanding
•Build & transition ISF
•Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions
•Improve quality of life
•develop economic capacity
OP AR RAMADI
ECONOMIC PROGRAM
OP WERV
OP AR RUTBAH
ENDSTATE:
A sustainable environment
for Al Anbar’s
citizens and
resumption of full
government control by legitimate
Iraqi authority.
Jul 13-Jul 23
Elections
Legislation
Administration & ServicesTraining & Education
Elections Elections
Rule of Law
GovernanceProgram
10
Jul 08-Jul 13Jul 06-Jul 08
C/JIATF-W Campaign Roadmap: Jul 2006 – Jul 2023
CAMPAIGN OBJECTIVES
•strengthen Iraqi public understanding
•Build & transition ISF
•Develop legitimate, inclusive and transparent government institutions
•Improve quality of life
•Develop economic capacity
OP AR RAMADI
ECONOMIC PROGRAM
GOVERNANCE PROGRAM
OP WERV
OP AR RUTBAH
ENDSTATE:
A sustainable environment
for Al Anbar’s
citizens and
resumption of full
government control by legitimate
Iraqi authority.
Jul 13-Jul 23
AgricultureUtilities and Infrastructure
Natural ResourcesHousing
Banking
11
MOE’s- GDP per Capita
- Unemployment Rate
Method:
Objectives:1. Expand Agriculture to support Iraqi needs with eventual capacity to export, “Food basket of Iraq”. 2. Develop sector business, based on Al Anbar’s natural resources (sulfur, phosphate, oil, natural gas, cement factories).3. Establish local private banking, facilitating business and personal loan programs. Develop microfinance structure to support small business initiatives.4. Expand and upgrade critical infrastructure (PWR, H20, sewage, telecom, road, rail) & utilities for Gov’t (Police, ISF, Health Care, Judicial etc.)5. Expand & upgrade housing.
Narrative: Expand Al-Anbar’s agricultural capabilities IOT increase self sufficiency and reduce unemployment. Simultaneously expanding public service, banking and small business opportunities.
Supporting plans / Time line: See Timeline Slides 1& 2
PURPOSE:Increase
Economic capacity
in Al Anbar
ENDSTATE:Secure, Stable,Sustainable, Diversified,Economy capable of expanding under a stable central government
Campaign Objective 5: Create long term sustainable employment by developing economic capacity.
12
Economic Capacity – 2yr Timeline
13
Economic Capacity 15 year plan