AIA2018 - Rick Rasmussen - Startup Financials

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UNIT ECONOMICS © 2017 Rick Rasmussen

Transcript of AIA2018 - Rick Rasmussen - Startup Financials

Page 1: AIA2018 - Rick Rasmussen - Startup Financials

UNIT ECONOMICS © 2017 Rick Rasmussen

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UNIT ECONOMICS

Fundamental building block of any financial model

­Unit Revenue­Unit Costs­Fixed Costs (overhead)

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MODULE OBJECTIVES

Revenues

minus Costs

equals Gross Profit

Fundamental building block of any financial model

­Unit Revenue­Unit Costs­Fixed Costs (overhead)

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MODULE OBJECTIVES

Gross Profit

minus Expenses

equals Net Profit

Revenues

minus Costs

equals Gross Profit

Fundamental building block of any financial model

­Unit Revenue­Unit Costs­Fixed Costs (overhead)

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WHAT ARE UNIT ECONOMICS?

A microscopic view into the transactions that make up your business

Understanding the basics of what it costs to produce and sell one unit of goods

­One pizza­One job done­One client serviced­One clicker delivered

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REVENUE MODELS DRIVE UNIT ECONOMICSType Business Revenue Model Example

PrimaryProduct Sales One time sale Presentation ClickerService Sales Hourly Rate ConsultantTrade Upcharge Retail Sales

Derivative

Subscription Monthly Revenue Software as a ServiceMarketplace Transaction Fees Ebay, EtsyBrokerage Commission Fees Real EstateEcosystem Combination Apple

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Example: Product Sales

Behold the lowly clicker

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Getting into theClicker business

What type of business?

Existing? Re-segmented? New?

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Getting into theClicker business

What’s the TAM?

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Retail price: $35Channel Margin: $19

Wholesale price $16

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Retail price: $35Channel Margin: $19

Wholesale price $16

You typically don’t control this…

Revenue that comes to the company

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UNIT ECONOMICS

1. Unit Price à $16

2. Each unit has a Cost­This is your variable cost­Also called COGS for Cost Of Goods Sold

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UNIT COST

Subsystem Cost

Housing $1.50

Electronics + Laser $2.50

Battery $0.25

Packaging, manual $1.00

Wireless Module $1.75

Total Unit Cost $7.00

Draw a Circle around the Unit. What does it directly cost to produce?

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UNIT PROFIT

This is the profit you make per unit sold

Unit Price minus Unit Cost

UNIT PROFIT

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UNIT PROFIT

This is the profit you make per unit sold

Average Selling Price (ASP): $16.00

Average Unit Cost: - $7.00

Unit Profit: $9.00

Unit profit is often called unit margin

Unit Price minus Unit Cost

UNIT PROFIT

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UNIT PROFIT MARGIN %

Percent profit margin =

(Revenue – cost) / Revenue =

Profit / Revenue =

$9 / $16 = 56.25%

Is this good?

43.75% 56.25%

Revenue

Unit Costs

Unit Profits

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GROSS PROFIT

Assume we’ve sold 100K units…

Gross Revenue: $1,600K (same as $1,600,000)

COGS: - $700K

Gross Profit: $900K

Notes:

1. US uses period as a decimal point

2. Larger numbers always expressed as $K ($1000) or$M ($1000K)

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UNITS SOLD à GROSS PROFIT

Units Sold (K) 100K

Average Selling Price (ASP) $16

Gross Revenue ($K) $1,600Average Cost $7COGS ($K) $700Gross Profit ($K) $900

Step 1

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FIXED COSTS

Generally includes:

­Rent, Insurance and Utilities­Salaries­Marketing­Other (Interest payments

All stay the same whether you sell one or 1M units

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DO YOU HAVE FIXED COSTS?If you have a physical building, you probably pay Rent, Insurance, Utilities

If you have employees, you have Salary costs

If you promote, add Marketing and Sales as a primary expense

* Exception to both would be large factories where Capital cost considerations need to be added

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SALARIES

How many people needed to run the business?

­Management­Engineers­Marketing, Sales, etc.

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MARKETING

Expenses relating to promotion and selling

Can be significant for B2C and B2B2C companies

Use 30% to 55% of revenues if you need to build a brand

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TOTAL FIXED COSTS

Add Salary, Marketing and Sales and other Fixed Expenses

Category Expense

Salaries $360K

Marketing $370K

Rent, etc $190K

Total $K $920K

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WHAT ABOUT OTHER COSTS?… It depends

Yes:If we can attribute marketing costs on a per-unit basisExample is a coupon redeemed for a given unitThis is a Unit Cost.

No:If we are running a general campaign and cannot attribute to specific unit salesThese are Fixed Costs

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A UNIT COST EXAMPLE: COUPONSWe run a coupon campaign for $2 off

For every unit sold with a coupon - $2 is added to the cost of that good sold.

We can attribute the coupon to the cost of selling that specific clicker

This is a Variable or Unit Cost.

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A FIXED COST EXAMPLEGeneral Advertising

We run radio ads, We attend trade shows

Increases sales but can’t attribute our expenses to any specific unit sales.

This is a Fixed Cost

?

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VARIABLE VS. FIXED COSTS

Variable Costs

Direct Materials

Direct Labor

Fixed Costs

Corporate Expenses

Rent

Salaries

Insurance

Training

Research

It Depends

Shipping, Delivery

Marketing Campaigns

Sales Commissions

Utilities

Scrap

Recalls

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EXAMPLE: AMAZON AND AMAZON PRIME

Standard Amazon CustomerPays Shipping on every item purchased

Shipping expenses are known for each item

These are Variable CostsThese are Fixed Costs

Amazon Prime CustomerPays $100/year membership and getsFree shipping

Shipping expenses are not correlated for each item

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EXAMPLE BUSINESS MODELSProduct Business

Retail Business

Online Business

SaaS Business

B2B Direct Sales

Franchise Model

Licensing Model

ConsultingSales CommissionsB2B2CDonationsNot-for-ProfitSocial EnterpriseTwo-sided-markets

Everyone has different sets of fixed and variable costs

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ALLOCATING FIXED COSTS

For tech companies, normally summarized as:

­M&S Marketing & Sales­R&D Research & Development­G&A General & Administrative

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ZONES OF REASON

Once a company reaches “steady state”, you can compare expenses vs. industry norms.

For tech companies, normally summarized as:

­M&S Marketing & Sales­ R&D Research & Development­G&A General & Administrative

Category Expense

Marketing 20% to 55%

R&D 10% to 30%

G&A 8% to 15%

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FINAL RESULTS

Our Clicker Business…!!!

Here is everything lined up for one period

Are these good results?

Results %

Revenues $1,600 100.00%

COGS $700 43.75%

Net Revenue $900 56.75%

Marketing $480 30.00%

R&D $320 20.00%

G&A $120 7.50%

Total Fixed Costs $920 57.5%

Net Profit ($20) -0.75%

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NEXT… BUILDING A P&L

Revenue minus COGS = Gross Profit

Gross Profit minus Fixed Costs = Net Profit

1. Start with assumptions 2. Build a timeline3. Unit economics used to derive gross profits4. Add in fixed costs / expenses5. Construct your P&L table

Unit Economics Gross Profits Fixed Costs Full P&L