AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive...

18
AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira Senior Research Manager Natural Resources Solutions, IBM Research | Brazil IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

Transcript of AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive...

Page 1: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

AI for Natural Resourcestransforming knowledge intensive processes with AI

Renato Cerqueira

Senior Research Manager

Natural Resources Solutions,

IBM Research | BrazilIBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

Page 2: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

IBM Research | Brazil © 2018 IBM Corporation. 2

“By 2018, 75% of all Oil and Gas companies will have at least one digital transformation initiative in full operation deploying cloud, big data and analytics, process automation, or IoT for the organization to advance their IT environment”

Source: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Oil and Gas 2018 Predictions, December 2017

Page 3: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Digital transformation is addressing key industry challenges

3

Developing new solutions for E&P to accelerate improved decision making with

greater certainty

Delivering superior customer service

through multi channel experiences

Leveraging insights to drive safe, efficient and

effective operations

Driving sales through both systematic and

unsystematic customer insight

Optimizing supply chain and capital usage through

secure transactions

Cloud & Data IoT AI/Cognitive Blockchain

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

Page 4: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

AI, a business

imperative for

Natural

Resources

Industries Rapid analysis of massive volumes of divergent data

Fact based, traceable hypothesis/

reasoning

Accelerates improved decision making with greater certainty

Democratize innovation by

scaling knowledge

Insight and expertise retained within the companyIBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

Page 5: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Towards Broad AI in E&P

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 5

Transform the industry’s knowledge intensive processes that rely on data interpretation to understand the subsurface

New ventures & appraisals

Exploration Field development Production and Operations

Asset Optimization

April 2011 | Argonne National Laboratory , USA

IDN and ENVIRONET Training Course

…The Real World is a Lot More Complicated

seismic data well log data &

core samples

analogues technical

literature

experts’ tacit

knowledge

Main sources of information and knowledge

Page 6: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Challenges for AI in O&G

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 6

Artificial Intelligence

ExplainabilitySmall Data Transfer Learning

Page 7: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

AI for NR Industry ApproachAI Technologies + Knowledge Representation/Modeling + Domain & Context Understanding

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 7

Practice & Context Understanding• Field studies of expert decision-making processes

• UX & solution integration of work practices

• End-to-end AI Solutions lifecycle support for

continuous learning

Fit-for-purpose Knowledge

Engineering• Construction and evolution of domain

ontologies

• Improved interpretability and causal analysis

• Training with small data

• Hyper-knowledge: KR + multi-categorical data

• NR Knowledge extraction & representation from

documents

AI Technologies for Vision &

Data-Driven Models• Deep-learning for Seismic Image

Understanding

• Machine-learning for geo-special data

• Machine-learning for Reservoir Analogues

• Data-driven well-logs analytics

• AI for Model-blending: physical-based and

data-based model integration

Page 8: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Interpretability

o Hyper-Knowledge Representation

o Extending the traditional

knowledge representation

techniques to connect concepts

with multimodal

content/representation

Small Data

o Data Augmentation

o Knowledge from analogs

o Creation of synthetic data

o Use learning from small data

set to train AI for annotation

(AI 4 AI)

o Generative Adversarial

Networks (GANs)

Transfer Learning

o Reuse knowledge acquired

in other areas

o Imbed knowledge from

physical models (PiNNS)

8

Kn

ow

led

ge

-en

ha

nce

d M

L

E.g., Sequence Stratigraphy elements

Example:

Signifying

seismic images

Salt Diapir Minibasin Convergent Strata

coord

coord

subject

coord

has_a

SeismicMinibasin

λ

subject

has_a

SaltDiapir

λ

has_a

subject

ConvergentStrata

λ

Page 9: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

9

Interpreter’s notebook

Sketches and image notes

Page 10: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Example: Galp’s Seismic Interpretation Advisor

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.10

Page 11: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Hyperknowledge Representation

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 11

Extending the traditional knowledge representation techniques to

connect concepts with multimodal content/representation

• Rich relationships between concepts and content segments

• Nested Context Model to structure knowledge graphs

• High-level abstractions for reuse of content and concepts

• Integration of formal knowledge and data-driven models

Example:

Signifying

seismic images

Texture Analysis (SFA)

Descriptors & Clustering (SFA)Image Retrieval (SFA)

PPC

GRA

Projects, Papers & Reports

Algorithm

Suggestions + Feedback

Lithology

Image patternsSeismic data

Sedimentary Basin

Petroleum System

Stratigraphic Sequence

Dataset

subject

ConvNet*

training

input

subject

Geological

Images

λ

output

subject

Geological

Patterns

λ

λ p1

Example:

Integrating and signifying

ML models

Salt Diapir Minibasin Convergent Strata

coord

coord

subject

coord

hasa

SeismicMinibasin

λ

subject

hasa

SaltDiapir

λ

hasa

subject

ConvergentStrata

λ

Ontology Engineering

Page 12: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Deep Learning Toolbox for Geospatial Data

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 12

Page 13: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

An AI Platform for Natural Resources

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 13

C&P Knowledge Workbench

Unstructured Data ManagementDocument

Understanding

Data ManagementExperiment

Manager

Geo-spatial Data

ManagementDocument RetrievalDocument Explorer

Knowledge

Base

Knowledge

Base Versioning

Knowledge

Provenance

Knowledge

Base Explorer

Knowledge

Annotator

AI-based Solutions

Geological Risk

Assessment Adv.

Seismic

Interpretation Adv.

Exploration Portfolio

Management Adv.Sweet Spot Adv.

Production Forecast

Adv.EOR Adv.

Reservoir Analogues

Visual Analytics

Capital Project

Management Adv.

C&P AI-based Analytics

Reservoir AnaloguesPhysical Properties

CharacterizationWell-log Analytics

Seismic Facies

Analytics

Reservoir Fast

Assessment

Prospect LoK

Assessment

Simulation/Opt.

under Uncertainty

Page 14: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

AI for O&G – A Research Roadmap

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 14

2015

2017

Industry Specific Cognitive

Systems

- Knowledge extraction from

text for O&G

- Knowledge extraction from

seismic images and well logs

- Knowledge Engineering

- Industry Specific Q&A

- Cognitive assistants for

smarter operations

2019

Practice-aware Cognitive Systems

- Dealing with small data

- Hybrid Knowledge Bases

- Managed evolution of domain

models

- Learning through user interaction

- Learning through user sensing

(e.g. eye tracking)

- Practice-driven knowledge

engineering

- Context-aware conversational

interfaces

- Cognitive assistants for

interpretative processes

Advanced AI & Cognitive Workplace

- Explaining AI models

- Excelling transfer learning

- Dataset Engineering

- Causality analysis

- Abductive reasoning

- Knowledge modules

- Cognitive environments

- Cognitive systems for collaborative work

- IoT-driven Reservoir Digital Twin

Page 15: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

15

http://www.research.ibm.com/brazil/ São Paulo Rio

IBM Research | Brazil

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

Thank you!!

Page 16: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

AI for Natural Resources

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 16

Reimagining Industry (O&G and Mining) digital transformation with focus on data and knowledge intensive processes, such as subsurface exploration and production management.

16

Page 17: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Who we are

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation.

Machine LearningBianca Zadrozny

Mathematical Optimization

& SimulationLeonardo Martins

Industry CloudMarco Netto

Machine learning and statistical modeling on

geospatial data

Optimization under uncertainty, risk modeling,

AI-driven model blending

Knowledge EngineeringMarcio Moreno

Knowledge representation and reasoning,

hybrid knowledge base architectures

Visual Analytics &

ComprehensionRogério de Paula

Industrial Technology &

ScienceMathias Bernhard Steiner

AI-based Systems

EngineeringRenato Cerqueira

Methods and technologies to support the

lifecycle of AI-based systems

17

Knowledge-augmented image comprehension,

visual insights and perception

Nanotechnology for enhanced oil recovery

HPCaaS, HPC for AI

Page 18: AI for Natural Resources - Fapesp · AI for Natural Resources transforming knowledge intensive processes with AI Renato Cerqueira ... C&P AI-based Analytics Reservoir Analogues Physical

Research Agenda

IBM Research | Brazil © 2019 IBM Corporation. 18

AI for Exploration &

Production

Industry Platform

Technologies

Scientific

Challenges

•AI for Seismic

•AI for Wells

•AI for Asset Evaluation

•AI-assisted EOR

•Hyperknowledge Base

•KB Lifecycle Management

•AI Workbench

•Geospatial Temporal ML

•Knowledge R&R

•Knowledge-augmented ML

•AI for Models Composition & Orchestration

•Cognitive Interfaces (Explainable AI+Machine Teaching)

•Nanoscience