Agricultural trade today the EU position in the current market … · 2015-07-09 · World top...
Transcript of Agricultural trade today the EU position in the current market … · 2015-07-09 · World top...
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Willi Schulz-Greve European Commission DG Agriculture and Rural Development
Agricultural trade today – the EU position in the current market situation
European Economic and Social Committee Group III Seminar, Helsinki, 7 July 2015
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Outline
• EU agri-food trade – current picture
• Latest development - Russian embargo
• actions to mitigate Russian embargo
• EU trade policy – future perspectives
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World top agri-food IMPORT countries
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World top agri-food EXPORT countries
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EU trade in agri-food products
• EU is leading importer and since 2013 leading exporter
• More than 7% of all EU exports are in agri-food
• The EU is competitive in a wide range of products
• The net surplus in agri-food exports in 2014 was €18 billion (all EU exports € 22 billion)
• Growing opportunities on global markets
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Latest Developments – Russian Embargo
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+10%
+18%
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Apr 2014 Apr 2015Aug 2013-
Apr 2014
Aug 2014-
Apr 2015
mio € mio € mio € % mio € mio € mio € %
Extra-EU28 10 222 11 228 1 006 10% 90 851 95 232 4 381 5%
United States 1 299 1 603 304 23% 11 653 13 391 1 739 15%
China 594 977 382 64% 5 129 6 471 1 342 26%
Switzerland 660 670 11 2% 5 390 5 575 185 3%
Hong Kong 400 482 82 20% 3 024 3 828 804 27%
Russian Federation 838 455 - 383 -46% 8 611 4 980 - 3 630 -42%
Japan 471 455 - 17 -4% 3 911 3 861 - 50 -1%
Saudi Arabia 339 439 100 29% 3 083 3 187 104 3%
Norway 334 352 18 5% 2 962 3 044 82 3%
Turkey 209 302 93 45% 2 022 2 576 555 27%
Algeria 340 293 - 47 -14% 2 661 2 640 - 21 -1%
Canada 286 284 - 2 -1% 2 352 2 442 90 4%
United Arab Emirates 230 244 14 6% 1 909 2 145 236 12%
Morocco 196 233 36 18% 1 225 1 240 15 1%
Korea, Republic of 182 226 44 24% 1 432 1 890 458 32%
Australia 180 196 16 9% 1 758 1 958 200 11%
Egypt 106 179 73 68% 1 523 1 898 376 25%
Singapore 174 172 - 2 -1% 1 469 1 438 - 31 -2%
Libya 95 133 38 40% 938 874 - 65 -7%
Israel 95 128 33 34% 938 1 003 65 7%
South Africa 108 121 13 12% 1 158 1 222 64 6%
other countries 3 085 3 283 198 6% 27 703 29 568 1 865 7%
EU28 agri-food exports to ….
(million Euro) source: COMEXT
Difference
Apr 2015 to
Apr 2014
Difference
Aug14 - Apr15 to
Aug13 - Apr14
monthly data: April cumulative data: August to April
EU28 AGRI EXPORTS TO….
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Source: GTA
OVERVIEW ON THE BANNED PRODUCTS
Apr 2014Apr
2015
Aug 2013-
Apr 2014
Aug 2014-
Apr 2015
mio € mio € mio € % mio € mio € mio € %
all agri-food products 10 222 11 228 1 006 10% 90 851 95 232 4 381 5%
Bovine meat (fresh, chilled or frozen), w/o preparations 40 44 4 9% 361 415 54 15%
Pork meat (fresh, chilled or frozen), w/o preparations 326 298 - 29 -9% 2 763 2 866 103 4%
Poultry meat (fresh, chilled or frozen), w/o preparations 145 130 - 15 -10% 1 142 1 213 71 6%
Offal and other meats (fresh, chilled or frozen), w/o preparations 164 151 - 14 -8% 1 557 1 674 117 7%
Meat preparations 79 76 - 2 -3% 698 648 - 50 -7%
Fresh dairy products & milk powders for final consumption 267 355 89 33% 2 585 2 408 - 177 -7%
Milk powders in bulk 143 257 114 80% 1 718 1 586 - 132 -8%
Butter 47 66 19 40% 488 491 4 1%
Cheese 319 330 11 3% 2 917 2 475 - 442 -15%
Fruit and vegetables (Fresh and chilled) 584 583 - 1 0% 5 057 4 391 - 667 -13%
EU28 agri-food exports to Extra EU28
by product category
(million Euro) Source: COMEXT
monthly data: April cumulative data: August to April
Difference
Apr 2015
to Apr 2014
Difference
Aug14 - Apr15
to
Aug13 - Apr14
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Latest Developments – Russian Embargo
• Total EU agri-food exports increased
• Exports to Russia down by more than 40%
• Cheese, fruit and vegetables most affected
• Some Member States much stronger affected than others
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Internal Dimension
Alternative markets
Promotion SPS
External Dimension
Lesson learnt: DIVERSIFICATION
Market measures
F&V Dairy
Pork meat
EU actions to mitigate Russian Embargo
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MARKET MEASURES
•FRUIT AND VEGETABLE MEASURES
•PRIVATE STORAGE FOR CERTAIN DAIRY PRODUCTS
•SPECIAL MILK PACKAGE FOR BALTIC COUNTRIES
•PRIVATE STORAGE FOR PORK MEAT
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PROMOTION IN PRIORITY ALTERNATIVE MARKETS:
The reply to the Russian embargo in the current promotion system
The EC increased the budget by 30 million Euro and explored potential in new destinations, which resulted in:
•remarkable increase in applications!
•very steep increase in financing granted!
•proportion Third Countries vs. Internal Market almost reversed! - from around 1/3 previously to 60% now
•significant diversification of target destinations!
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PROMOTION IN PRIORITY ALTERNATIVE MARKETS–
New promotion policy (as of 1 December 2015)
- significant increase of the budget available for promotion
- expansion and diversification of the agricultural exports
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SPS BARREERS REMOVAL
• Actions to reduce SPS barriers (priorities)
• Brazil: pork, dairy, bovine
• China: pork, dairy, bovine
• Chile: pork, F&V
• Colombia/Peru: pork, poultry, dairy
• India: pork, poultry, dairy
• Indonesia: F&V
• Mexico: pork, F&V
• Turkey: bovine, poultry, dairy, F&V
• US/Canada: bovine, dairy, F&V
• Vietnam: F&V
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SPS FIRST RESULTS
• Turkey: bovine, poultry, dairy, F&V
• US/Canada: bovine, dairy, F&V
more than five fold increase in exports
BSE – bovine meat; pip fruit (Canada)
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EU Trade Policy – future perspectives
unilateral
preferences
bilateral/regional
agreements
multi-lateral
agreements
(WTO)
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Ukraine
Georgia
Ecuador
Moldova
SADC
Free Trade Agreements recently concluded
Singapore West Africa
Canada
Morocco
Col/Peru
Central America
EAC
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India
Mercosur
Gulf countries
Bilateral and regional Negotiations launched or planned
Viet Nam
Malaysia
Thailand
Japan
USA
Norway
China GIs
Philippines Mexico
Tunisia
Iceland
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Features of recent trade agreements
• “deep and comprehensive”
• ambitious objectives in market access negotiations
• still some sensitive products (tariff quotas)
• geographical indications
• SPS and other non-tariff issues – implementation of agreements
• sustainability chapters, environment, climate change, animal welfare, social standards …