Agri Commodity Reports for the Week(27th September - 1st October '10)

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Transcript of Agri Commodity Reports for the Week(27th September - 1st October '10)

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    Spices Recover On Improved Buying!

    WEEKLYAGRI REPORT

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    R ES EA R C H

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    apitalvia.c

    om

    27th Sep 2010 to 02nd Oct 2010

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    R ES EA R C H

    Weekly Agri Report1st March to 6th Mar 2010

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    Weekly Chart

    Jeera is in a consolidation phase and one should use the strategy of selling on higher levels. If in the coming week Jeerasustains below the level of 13100 then we can expect a level of 12650, and if it sustains above 14420 we can see the level of14700.

    Strategy

    Last week Jeera was in consolidation and was able to sustain at higher levels and closed near to its high. For the next weekresistance in Jeera is found at 14420 and support at 13100.

    JEERA RECOVERS ON IMPROVED BUYING ACTIVITY, BETTER

    OFFTAKES

    Improved buying by the market participants amidst better off takes at

    the domestic led prices to recover yesterday from the lows yesterday.

    Revival of demand from the overseas and domestic buyers will support

    prices to strengthen in the short term (till September). Also, prices in

    the international market of Syrian origin are being offered at higher

    rates than Indian origin. This will help prices to find support and

    strengthen in the medium term (September mid onwards). Also, there

    are lower stocks in the domestic market t ill the fresh arrivals expected inthe month of March which will also add to the gains. In the medium

    term to long term (October onwards), Jeera prices will depend on the

    demand from the overseas and domestic buyers and stocks of Jeera

    with the major producers. Spread between October and November

    contract is at Rs.6 as compared to Rs.30 the previous day.

    Weekly Pivots

    R4 15950

    14440R2

    P

    S2

    13685

    12931

    S4 11420

    SCRIPT JEERA

    15190R3

    14145R1

    S1 13391

    S3 12175

    Improved Buying

    Lower Stocks Till The Fresh Arrivals

    REASONS FOR MOVEMENTJEERA

    Weekly Report Agri27th Sep to 02nd Oct 2010

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    R ES EA R C H

    Weekly Agri Report1st March to 6th Mar 2010

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    Weekly Chart

    For next week traders should go for buying on lower level strategy, if Guar seed sustains below the level of 1970 we can see thelevel of 1920, and above 2070 it can come up till 2130.

    Strategy

    Last week Guar seed did break its important support of 1960 but was not able to sustain below it and we saw some goodbuying coming at lower levels in the last two days of the week. For the next week resistance in Guar seed is found at 2160 and

    support at 1950.

    GUAR CLOSES HIGHER ON MIXED OUTPUT VIEW

    Better crop prospects and lackluster demand kept Spot as well as

    futures prices of Guar mixed on Saturday. Guar seed output is likely to

    rise this year due to increased acreage and a favorable monsoon season

    in the major producing states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Haryana and

    Punjab. Export demand for Guar gum has declined. Also, lower

    domestic demand of Churi and Korma would provide support to the

    bears. In the medium to long term (October onwards) prices will take

    cues from the stocks of Guar with the stockists, demand from the

    overseas buyers and the pace of arrivals of Guar crop. Spread between

    October and November contract is Rs.49 per qtl compared to Rs. 19 per

    qtl. Guar futures in the intraday may witness some short covering;

    however, prices may decline in the coming days on better crop

    prospects. In the Short term (till September), prices will depend on the

    demand from the overseas buyers which is currently at a slow pace. In

    the medium (October onwards) prices will depend on the pace of

    arrivals of early sown Guar crop and stocks of Guar with the stockists.

    Weekly Pivots

    R4 2305

    2121R2

    P

    S2

    2029

    1937

    S4 1753

    SCRIPT GUARSEED

    2213R3

    2087R1

    S1 1995

    S3 1845

    Better Crop Prospects

    Lackluster Demand

    REASONS FOR MOVEMENTGUARSEED

    Weekly Report Agri27th Sep to 02nd Oct 2010

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    R ES EA R C H

    Weekly Commodity Report1st March to 6th Mar 2010

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    Weekly Chart

    Soybean is in a consolidation phase on charts and one should look for selling opportunities at higher levels, if Soybean sustainsbelow the level of 1960 we can see the level of 1880, and on the up side if it sustains above the level of 2110 we can seeSoybean at 2145 level.

    Strategy

    Last week Soybean took important support of 1955 level and bounced back, afterwards we saw some good buying coming at

    lower levels. For the next week Soybean has resistance at 2110 and support at 1960.

    SOYBEAN CLOSES HIGHER ON TRACKING GLOBAL CUES

    NCDEX October Soybean futures closed slightly higher on account of

    fresh arrivals in major producing states like Madhya Pradesh and

    Maharashtra. Fresh arrivals are increasing day by day in Madhya

    Pradesh, which is major producing state of soybean are in favor of

    bears. Spread between NCDEX October and November contract is Rs

    22.50 against previous day of Rs 15.50 per 100 Kg. CBOT November

    soybean futures ended higher at $ 10.93/bushels on Thursday, up 5.00

    cents/bushel as compared to previous close. CBOT December Soybeanmeal futures ended lower at $ 309.50/ton on Thursday, down

    $0.90/tonne as compared to previous close.

    Weekly Pivots

    R4 2338

    2154R2

    P

    S2

    2062

    1970

    S4 1786

    SCRIPT SOYABEAN

    2246R3

    2116R1

    S1 2024

    S3 1878

    REASONS FOR MOVEMENT

    Fresh Arrivals

    Good Rainfall

    SOYABEAN

    Weekly Report Agri27th Sep to 02nd Oct 2010

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    R ES EA R C H

    Weekly Commodity Report1st March to 6th Mar 2010

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    Weekly Chart

    Overall trend of Chana is of consolidation and one should go for selling at higher levels strategy in it . For the coming week ifChana sustains below 2060 level we can see it at 2020 and above 2296 we can expect the level of 2335.

    Strategy

    Last week Chana bounced back from its important support of 2060 level and made a weekly close near to its high. For the

    coming week Chana has resistance at 2296 and support at 2140.

    CHANA UP ON FRESH DEMAND AT LOWER LEVELS

    The Chana futures are likely to trade positive during early hours of the

    day on extended short covering, however, trend will remain weak.

    Investors and traders are likely to cover their short positions anticipating

    market is in oversold zone. Futures markets are witnessing a technical

    recovery; however, fundamental factors are still bearish for the prices.

    Lackluster demand for Chana in the spot market f rom dal millers is likely

    to have a bearish impact on the market. Ease in prices of other pulses due

    to fresh arrivals is having a cooling effect on Chana market also. We are

    anticipating a rise in acreage under Chana cultivation on favourableweather condition. In the short term, Chana prices may trade firm on

    expectations of better demand ahead of festive seasons. However,

    October onwards, Chana futures are expected to remain under pressure

    on the reports of higher sowing acreage under Kharif Pulses. In the long

    term (November onwards) Chana prices may take cues from the prices of

    other pulses and sowing progress of Chana in the major growing areas.

    Weekly Pivots

    R4 2566

    2342R2

    P

    S2

    2230

    2118

    S4 1894

    SCRIPT CHANA

    2454R3

    2297R1

    S1 2185

    S3 2006

    Lower Level Buying

    Rise In Acreage

    REASONS FOR MOVEMENTCHANA

    Weekly Report Agri27th Sep to 02nd Oct 2010

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    R ES EA R C H

    Weekly Commodity Report1st March to 6th Mar 2010

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    Weekly Pivots

    Script R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3

    JEERA 15193.67 14439.67 14145.33 13685.67 13391.33 12931.67 12177.67

    TURMERIC 17099.33 15227.33 14580.67 13355.33 12708.67 11483.33 9611.33

    PEPPER 22662.67 21164.67 20357.33 19666.67 18859.33 18168.67 16670.67

    SOYABEAN 2246.83 2154.83 2116.67 2062.83 2024.67 1970.83 1878.83

    GUARGUM 5295.33 5031.33 4891.67 4767.33 4627.67 4503.33 4239.33

    GUARSEED 2213.67 2121.67 2087.33 2029.67 1995.33 1881.00 1814.00

    CHANA 2454.00 2342.00 2297.00 2230.00 2185.00 2118.00 2006.00

    Script R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3

    MUSTARD SEED 588.17 569.17 562.83 550.17 543.83 531.17 512.17

    KAPAS 738.70 722.80 714.70 706.90 698.80 691.00 675.10

    GUR 981.60 959.40 948.20 937.20 926.00 915.00 892.80

    CARDAMOM 1186.27 1125.27 1093.53 1064.27 1032.53 1003.27 942.27

    CRUDE PALM OIL 439.93 431.09 427.05 422.25 418.21 413.41 404.57

    REFINED SOYA OIL 534.80 515.60 508.80 496.40 489.60 477.20 458.00

    MENTHA OIL 915.17 876.87 860.43 838.57 822.13 800.27 761.97

    Weekly Report Agri27th Sep to 02nd Oct 2010

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    R ES EA R C H

    Weekly Commodity Report1st March to 6th Mar 2010

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    www.capitalvia.com | 7

    Weekly Report Agri27th Sep to 02nd Oct 2010

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