Agenda for Elise SummitDec 6th, 2018 ELISE summit Jan. 7th 2019 Elise final report due (draft today)...

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Transcript of Agenda for Elise SummitDec 6th, 2018 ELISE summit Jan. 7th 2019 Elise final report due (draft today)...

Page 1: Agenda for Elise SummitDec 6th, 2018 ELISE summit Jan. 7th 2019 Elise final report due (draft today) Jan. 29th, 2019 ELISE stage 2 application, 10 MSEK (50% support level) Spring 2019:
Page 2: Agenda for Elise SummitDec 6th, 2018 ELISE summit Jan. 7th 2019 Elise final report due (draft today) Jan. 29th, 2019 ELISE stage 2 application, 10 MSEK (50% support level) Spring 2019:
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Agenda for Elise Summit08:30-09:00 Coffee & mingle

09:00-09:30 Welcome to Elise summit - Anders Forslund

09:30-09:45 Aircraft Unveil

09:45-10:15 Elise aircraft-next steps, Mauritz Andersson

10:15-10:45 Fika

10:45-12:00 Academic partners presentations

12:00-13:00 Lunch

13:00-14:00 Industrial partners presentations

14:00-14:15 Electric aircraft quiz

14:15-14:45 Fika

14:45-15:15 Electric aviation-new perspectives, Robert Gyllroth & Jonas Didoff, Örnsköldsvik airport

15:15-15:30 General aviation leading the way, Måns Theorin, EcoFlight

15:30-16:00 Closing Remarks

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Ehang 184 by Ehang (Guangzhou, China) Ehang 184 (Guangzhou, China)

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Volocopter (Bruchsal, Germany)

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Vahana

Airbus Vahana (San Jose, USA)

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Lilium Jet (Gilching, Germany)

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CORA

Kitty Hawk Cora (USA/New Zeeland)

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Pipistrel Alpha Electro (Slovenia)

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Why is this important?

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NASA Global Warming Satellite

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Aircraft fuel consumption 1970-2020

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020Year

15Source: GKN Aerospace, IATA, Peeters, et al., 2005

Long-haul aircraft, 5500 km

Short-haul aircraft, 1000 km

Liters per 100 passenger kilometers

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050Year

Aircraft fuel consumption 1970-2020

16

Long-haul aircraft, 5500 km

Short-haul aircraft, 1000 km

Source: GKN Aerospace, IATA, Peeters, et al., 2005

Liters per 100 passenger kilometers

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0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Mt CO2

Year

Source: “Emission Reduction Targets for International Aviation and Shipping”, European Parliament’s ENVI Committee, 2015

Baseline

High demand

Low demand

Technological & operational improvements

+2.5°C

+2.0°C

Global CO2 emissions from aviation

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0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

[%]

Year

Source: “Emission Reduction Targets for International Aviation and Shipping”, European Parliament’s ENVI Committee, 2015

Baseline

High demand

Low demand

Technological & operational improvements

Global CO2 emissions from aviation(Percentage of total emissions)

+2.5°C

+2.0°C

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0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

[%]

Year

Source: “Emission Reduction Targets for International Aviation and Shipping”, European Parliament’s ENVI Committee, 2015

Baseline

High demand

Low demand

Technological & operational improvements

Global CO2 emissions from aviation(Percentage of total emissions)

+2.5°C

+2.0°C

“Only electrical propulsion, demand reduction or offsetting remaining

emissions will enable full decarbonization of the aviation sector”

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Kerosene Lithium-ionBattery

vs.

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Lithium-ionBattery

Kerosene

Gravimetric Energy Density

=1 mass unit 48 mass units

Lithium-ionBatteries

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Kerosene

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Lithium-ionBattery

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World Distances

CPH

(1/70 of the distance)

229 km

GOT

ADL

Airbus A350

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World Distances

25Adapted from: http://www.martingrandjean.ch/connected-world-air-traffic-network/

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Horseless Carriage

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Electric aircraft are different!

• Zero operational emissions

• Significantly reduced noise

• Ten times lower energy costs

• Significantly easier to build, maintain and operate

• No need for jet fuel infrastructure

• Easier and cheaper to operate airports

• Limited range

• Smaller aircraft and flexible, decentralised aerial infrastructure

• Disruptive force on aerospace industry

Image by Zunum Aero

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ELISEElektrisk Lufttransport i Sverige

Project partners:

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1. International positioning

Airbus Vahana (USA)

Volocopter (Germany)

Lilium Jet (Germany)

Ehang 184 (China)

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2. Demand mapping

Medical transport

Domestic flights

Swedavia airports (10)

Airfields(160)

Other passenger airports (27)

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Nextjet

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Swedavia airports (10)

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Swedavia airports (10)

Other passenger airports (28)

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Swedavia airports (10)

Other airfields (160)

Other passenger airports (28)

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Blackwing

Chalmers

SAAB Windex MERA

Örnsköldsvik Remote Tower

3. Inventory of Swedish technology for electric flight

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Goal: Build a full-scale prototype

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Three categories of electric aircraft

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Category A: Urban Air Mobility

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Category B: Airliners

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Category C: General Aviation

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By what criteria should we select our concept?

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1. Reduce CO2 emissions

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2. Reduce noise emissions

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3. Benefit Swedish Infrastructure

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4. Improve user experience

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5. Short time to market

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Five selection criteria

1. Reduce CO2 emissions

2. Reduce noise emissions

3. Benefit Swedish infrastructure

4. Improve user experience

5. Short time to market

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Category A: Urban Air Mobility

Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Category B: Airliners

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Category C: General Aviation (for private aviation)

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-

Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Category C: General Aviation

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Urban air mobility

-

General aviation

Airliners

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Urban air mobility

-

General aviation

Airliners

Elise

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ELISE conceptLength: 11 mWingspan: 11 mMTOW: 4500 kgPassengers: 8+1 pilotBattery: 1000 kg (250 kWh)Motors: 2 x 525 kWPack density: 250 Wh/kgRange: 400 kmCruise speed: 500 km/hTakeoff: 600 m

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Elise concept

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Elise concept

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Elise concept

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Elise concept

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Reduce CO2 emissions:

Reduce noise emissions:

Benefit Swedish infrastructure:

Improve user experience:

Short time to market:

Elise concept

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Would a plane of this range have an impact?

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0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000Kilometers travelled

Cumulative domestic passenger trips by range covered, 2010-2017

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Million passenger

trips (cumulative)

Source: Thanh Bui (RISE), Eurostat

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How many of these planes would you need to build?

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0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000Kilometers travelled

Cumulative passenger trips by range covered, 2010-2018

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Million passenger

trips (cumulative)

Source: Thanh Bui (RISE), Eurostat

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How many of these planes would you need to build?

Answer: 273

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1000 cars made at Volvo Torslanda every year for each aircraft

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16,000 electric cars needed to decarbonize road traffic for each aircraft

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Some back-of-envelope calculations

Planes needed: 250

Unit cost: 20 million SEK

Total cost: 5 billion SEK

Passengers per year: 5 million

Twenty-year service: 50 kr/flight

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Timeline

Dec 6th, 2018 ELISE summit

Jan. 7th 2019 Elise final report due (draft today)

Jan. 29th, 2019 ELISE stage 2 application, 10 MSEK (50% support level)

Spring 2019: Apply for more money (Energimyndigheten, Nordic Energy, Etc)

April 25th, 2019 Project start

April, 2021: ELISE stage 3, 20-30 MSEK (30% support level)

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Deliverables

2019 Prelimiary design

Flying scale models

Interior model

First electric drivetrain tests

2020 Detail design

April 2021 Full-scale unmanned prototype

2021-2025 Work towards certified production aircraft

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Who’s going to make this happen?

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Elise consortiumPhase 1:

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Consortium Additions

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Elise consortiumPhase 2 academic additions:

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Agenda for Elise Summit09:40-10:00 Mauritz Andersson, Uppsala University

10:15-10:45 Fika

10:45-11:00 Alejandro Sobrón Rueda, Linköping University11:00-11:15 Johan Jansson, KTH, Icarus Simulation 11:15-11:30 Christoforos Kanellakis, Luleå University of Technology11:30-11:45 Mauritz Andersson, Uppsala Univiersity11:45-12:00 Tomas Grönstedt, Chalmers

12:00-13:00 Lunch

13:00-13:15 Erik Kullgren, Elitkomposit13:15-13:30 Pavel Calderon, Abtery

13:30-13:45 Anders Lundbladh, GKN Aerospace13:45-14:00 Gustav Wiberg, Katla Aero

14:00-14:15 Electric Aircraft Quiz

14:15-14:45 Fika

14:45-15:15 Robert Gyllroth & Jonas Didoff, Örnsköldsvik airport

15:15-15:30 Måns Theorin, EcoFlight

15:30-16:00 Closing Remarks