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Transcript of Agenda Call to order Committee reports Review of ongoing activities Review/discuss Fall 2010 survey...
CSLI Advisory Board
Feb. 10, 2011
Agenda Call to order Committee reports Review of ongoing activities Review/discuss Fall 2010 survey Review/discuss proposed Spring 2011 Survey Any other new/old business Adjournment
Center for the Study of Local IssuesAnne Arundel Community College
101 College ParkwayArnold, MD 21012-1895http:www2.aacc.edu/csli
1. Housing Commission of Anne Arundel County – 2010-11
Client: Provides housing for low income families and seniors in eight communities◦ Type of survey: Resident satisfaction and facility condition
– used for planning, oversight and HUD accreditation purposes
◦ Methodology: Self-administered at each community. Residents fill them out at the time of contract renewal, producing a quarterly stream of completed surveys for CSLI to use for data entry and report generation.
◦ N=Varies by community◦ Current status: Waiting for next quarter’s questionnaires.◦ Income generated: Overall $5100, retained for CSLI
operations: $5100. ◦ Students employed: 0-1
CSLI Recent Activities-Client Projects
2. Fire Department – Strategic Planning Survey
Client: Provides fire and EMT services for county residents ◦ Type of survey: Measures citizen awareness, operational
trade/off preferences, satisfaction. ◦ Methodology: Telephone (landline only).◦ N=311 ◦ Current status: Completed◦ Income generated: Overall $5000, retained for CSLI
operations: $558 ◦ Students employed: 10-15
CSLI Recent Activities-Client Projects
3. Police Department – Accreditation Survey
Client: Provides public safety for county residents ◦ Type of survey: Identical to previous surveys – citizens’
perceptions of police professionalism and effectiveness, seriousness of crimes..
◦ Methodology: Telephone (landline only).◦ N=Around 350-400 ◦ Current status: Starts Feb. 14.◦ Income generated: Overall $5000, retained for CSLI
operations: $600 (estimated) ◦ Students employed: 10-15
CSLI Recent Activities-Client Projects
4. Radcliff Scholarship Survey of recipients
Client: AACC Foundation/Entrepreneurial Studies◦ Type of survey: Asks about impact of scholarship,
recipients’ current circumstances.◦ Methodology: Multi-modal – mail, email, Facebook,
telephone◦ N=49 of 86 (57% response rate)◦ Current status: Completed◦ Income generated: Overall $1600, retained for CSLI
operations: $900◦ Students employed: 1-2
CSLI Recent Activities-Client Projects
5. Coordinating Center Client: Provides medical coordinating services for severely
ill patients◦ Type of survey: Customer satisfaction◦ Methodology: Mailed with telephone follow-up and second
mailing if needed.◦ N= 690 ◦ Current status: Completed◦ Income generated: Overall $2860, retained for CSLI
operations: $1330 ◦ Students employed: 4-5
CSLI Recent Activities-Client Projects
1. CSLI student interns ◦ Spring 2011: 2◦ Hours: vary depending on projects and needs of the moment but
goal is to average five hours per week per intern◦ Duties: range from data entry, survey design, student supervision,
and telephone interviewing.
2. Legislative Interns – Maryland General Assembly
◦ Spring 2011: 10◦ Hours: 15-20 hours a week◦ Duties: Work with members of the General Assembly in various
capacities◦ Other internships – does your area of work have any need
for student interns?
CSLI Recent Student-related Activities
3. CSLI student club ◦ Inception: 2006 – designated an official student club. ◦ Organizational structure: Officers include president, vice
president, secretary and treasurer, elected at beginning of fall semester. CSLI interns usually chosen as club president/vice president
◦ Budget: Varies yearly–2010-11: $1115 from student association.
◦ 2010-11 Activities: Anticipate visits to Baltimore Council of Foreign Affairs; Annapolis
CSLI Recent Student-related Activities
Radio: WNAV – director was interviewed about CSLI fall research findings. Also on radio Nov. 2 for election analysis.
Presentations: Director made presentations to Elephants Club, 33rd Democratic Club, Almost 7:30 Democratic Club, Leadership Anne Arundel, and Maryland Government Financial Officers Association. Panel discussion about surveys and local issues moderated by Paul Foer in Annapolis.
Newspaper: Various articles in Capital, Baltimore Sun and Washington Post.
CSLI Web site: Posted all new presentations and updates to searchable database (see http://www2.aacc.edu/csli).
CSLI Recent Activities-Public Outreach
Semi-annual Survey and Web PanelWeb panel: We have accumulated a total of around 715 possibly valid email addresses. ◦ About 1/3 of respondents accept request to give email
addresses.◦ Used to do pre-election polling in September.◦ Will be conducting a spring online survey composed with
student input.◦ Response rate typically around 25%.
CSLI Semi-Web Panel
Polling Results for AA County
5754
58 5562
6660 61 62
58 5853
57 5551 52 51 50 52
4752 52 49
2327 25 24 23
15
2621
2531
2429 27 26 29 27
33 32 3128 27 28 28
20 19 1720
1519
1418
13 1219 18 16 18 20 21
16 17 17
2521 20 23
Right 51
Wrong 34
Unsure 15
05
10152025303540455055606570
Sp
'99
Fa
'99
Sp
'00
Fa
'00
Sp
'01
Fa
'01
Sp
'02
Fa
'02
Sp
'03
Fa
'03
Sp
'04
Fa
'04
Sp
'05
Fa
'05
Sp
'06
Fa
'06
Sp
'07
Fa
'07
Sp
'08
Fa
'08
Sp
'09
Fa
'09
Sp
'10
Fa
'10
Right Wrong Unsure
Remarkable stability in right/wrong direction…
AA County Polling Results: Most Important ProblemFall '04 to Fall '10
Fall '04 Spring '05
Fall '05 Spring '06
Fall '06 Spring '07
Fall '07 Spring '08
Fall '08 Spring '09
Fall '09 Spring '10
Fall '10 Mean 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
8 7 7
15
7
12
8
23
38
48
3336 36
20
1013
10 10 9
1517 16
1210
12 1113 12
Economy /Housing Taxes – too high Growth /developmentEducation / Traffic congestion /problems Crime / drugs
AA County Polling Results:
Percentage saying “excellent” or “good” also stable since March 2009
S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10Anne Arundel County Maryland USA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
AA County compared to USA – County looks around 35% better
S'02
F '02 S '03
F '03 S '04
F '04 S '05
F '05 S '06
F '06 S '07
F '07 S '08
F '08 S '09
F '09 S '10
F '100
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
38
26 27
22
34 3431
28
3842
32
27
17
5 510 11 11
7476
56 56
62
74 7471
7471 71 69
55
4946 48
44 45
CSLI - AA County
Gallup - USA
AA County Polling Results: Mostly stable findings in % saying a condition ‘applies’
Unabl
e to
find
affor
dabl
e ho
usin
g
Wag
es o
r sal
arie
s are
not
risin
g as
fast
as t
he co
st o
f liv
ing
Hard
to a
fford
the
cost
of t
rans
porta
tion
Hard
to a
fford
the
cost
of u
tiliti
es suc
h as
ele
ctric
ity o
r gas
Taxe
s are
too
high
in re
latio
n to
gov
ernm
ent s
ervi
ces p
rovi
ded
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
21
56
40
61
11
59
32
50
58
12
55
21
5359
13
55
17
42
59
15
56
21
44
63
10
56
24
43
60
S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10
Some costs have gone down
The economy: what else applies?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
11
6
35
15
71
4
30
24
75
6
51
29
24
70
8
46
33
19
56
7
47
32
21
60
7
44
34
S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10
Unemployment rose sharply from March ‘08 to March ‘09 and hasn’t changed much since
Stock market recovery lessened ‘losses’ percent-age
Health care anxiety un-changed despite re-form…
Minor improvement in readiness to spend
State Issues: O’Malley vs. Ehrlich for Governor in NovemberCounty Results in 2006: Ehrlich 56.9 vs. O’Malley 42.0 percent GAP = 14.9
O’Malley won by 6.5 percent statewide in 2006County Results in 2010: Ehrlich 54.2 vs. O’Malley 43.4 percent GAP =10.8
O’Malley won by 14.5 percent statewide in 2006
Spring 2010 Fall 2010
All categs.
Some categs
All categs.
Some categs
Some w/o undecided
Average
GAP 12 14 11 13 17 13.4
O’Malley 35 43 29 32 42 36.2
Ehrlich 47 57 40 45 59 49.6
Other 3 0 2 0 0 --
Undecided 0 0 22 24 0 --
Neither 5 0 1 0 0 --
Unsure/NA 10 0 5 0 0 --
Total 100 100 99 101 101 --
Gubernatorial Races – Anne Arundel County
Anne Arundel Consistently supports Rep. Gubernatorial Candidates
1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
-60000
-40000
-20000
0
20000
40000
60000
8000066972
-2254
-28743-20788
-53215
-27581
-21963
Dem – Rep Vote for GovernorSchaeffer 83%Mooney 17%
Schaeffer 49%Shepard 51%
Glendening 40%Sauerbrey 60%
Glendening 43%Sauerbrey 57%
KK Townsend 35%Ehrlich 65%
O’Malley 42%Ehrlich 57%
O’Malley 43%Ehrlich 54%
O’Malley on low end of typical Dem vote deficit
County Executive Vote 1994-2010
1994 1998 2002 2006 20100
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
5761563879
83305
9353397465
54899
87676 8945689613
85040
10486
RepDemOther
2716 23987 6151 392012425
Including Shay -1930
GAP
Only a few thousand votes separate Dem/Rep candidates
2010 County Exec Race Over Time Nov.
2006June 2010
Online Poll
Sept.2010
OnlinePoll
October 11-14, 2010
Nov. 2
Candidate ActualVote
All Categories
All Categories
All categories
Exclude some
Exclude all
except voters
ActualVote
Gap 2 22/31 26 13 14 22 6.5Johnson/Conti
49 30 (Owens)
23 (Conti)
28 21 24 37 44.0
Leopold 51 52/54 54 34 38 59 50.5Other -- 15/16 10 2 3 -- 5.4Undecided -- -- -- 32 35 -- --Neither -- 4/7 9 2 -- -- --Unsure -- -- -- 10 -- -- --Total 101/100 101 100 101 100
Unlike Governor’s race, CE race much harder to predict –much tightening at the end…
How informed
County Executive
Governor
Very 15 35
Somewhat 36 48
Not very 49 17
Total 100 100
How informed are you about candidates’ stands on various issues?
On this issue are you more favorable to Conti, Leopold or Shay?
Issue Conti Leopold
L-C Shay Undecided Don’t know
enough
Undec.+ don’t know enough
Allowing slots at Arundel Mills mall
10 17 7 1 27 4673
Improving transportation 13 20 7 1 21 45 66
Protecting the needs of vulnerable populations in the county budget
16 18 2 1 21 4465
Maintaining high ethical standards
17 17 0 3 24 3963
Improving public schools 13 24 11 1 19 43 62
Keeping neighborhoods safe 13 24 11 1 21 41 62
Making County government more efficient
12 29 17 2 21 3758
Preserving the environment 15 21 6 7 18 39 57
Managing growth 13 29 16 2 18 38 56
Having the right experience for the job
11 32 21 1 21 3556
Keeping taxes low 14 30 16 1 19 36 55
Encouraging economic development
13 31 18 1 18 3755
County executive choice: Whose stands do you favor? Sorted by Undecided/Don’t know (Oct. 11-14)
Conti Leopold L-C Shay UndecidedDon’t know
enough
U
Undecided/Don’tknow
enough
Having the right experience for the job
11 32 21 1 21 35 56
Encouraging economic development
13 31 18 1 18 37 55
Making County government more efficient
12 29 17 2 21 37 58
Managing growth 13 29 16 2 18 38 56
Keeping taxes low 14 30 16 1 19 36 55
Improving public schools 13 24 11 1 19 43 62
Keeping neighborhoods safe 13 24 11 1 21 41 62Allowing slots at Arundel Mills mall
10 17 7 1 27 46 73
Improving transportation 13 20 7 1 21 45 66Preserving the environment 15 21 6 7 18 39 57Protecting the needs of vulnerable populations in the county budget
16 18 2 1 21 44 65
Maintaining high ethical standards
17 17 0 3 24 39 63
County executive choice: Whose stands do you favor? Sorted by those favoring Leopold over Conti (Oct. 11-14)
State/County Issue: Slots at Arundel Mills
Opponents to the introduction of slot machines at Arundel Mills Mall are circulating a petition to put the county council’s decision to grant zoning needed for slots to referendum in November, potentially reversing the decision. Do you support or oppose this petition effort?
Position Spring ‘10
Fall ‘10
Actual
GAP 0 0 11Support 45 42 55.5Oppose 45 42 44.5Unsure 7 16 --No answer 2 -- --Total 99 100 100
Will you be voting for or against Question A on the November ballot? A "for" vote would approve the County Council's zoning decision permitting slots in the county, including at Arundel Mills and Laurel. An 'against' vote would leave the county without slots zoning at any location.
National Issues: % approving of president’s job by party
2824
5347 47
42
9 6
7972 69
6257
43
2517
24 2519
24
53 53 52
35
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Sp. '08 Fa. '08 Sp '09 Fa. '09 Sp '10 Fa '10
Overall
Democrats
Republicans
Indep
Bush Obama
National Issues: Presidential job approval
39 34 3528 24
5347 47
37 33 32 30 25
6154
47 42
41
010203040506070
CSLI Gallup
Go to Questionnaire in MS Word
End of PowerPoint presentation