Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total...

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Arturo Vilches - Moraga Ageing and Complex Medicine 28 th September 2018

Transcript of Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total...

Page 1: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Arturo Vilches-Moraga

Ageing and Complex Medicine

28th September 2018

Page 2: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Improving surgical outcomes (POP-GS)

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Improving surgical outcomes (POP-GS)

19%90%

Page 4: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Surgery in the older person

• Elective surgery

Page 5: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Surgery in the older person

• Elective surgery

Page 6: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Surgery in the older person

• Emergency surgery

Page 7: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Emergency General Surgery hospital admissions

J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2014;77: 202-208

7.1% of admissions are EGS

N 27,668,887 between 2001-2010

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Emergency General Surgery hospital admissions

J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2014;77: 202-208

30% EGS >70 years of age

7.1% of admissions are EGS

Page 9: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Emergency General Surgery hospital admissions

30% EGS >70 years of age

7.1% of admissions are EGS

30%Surgical intervention

N 105,002 between 2000-2014

Page 10: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Indicators of poor prognosis in EGS/ Em Lap

Advanced Chronological Age

Page 11: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Indicators of poor prognosis in EGS/ Em Lap

ASA Class III-V Complications Time of day

P-POSSUMAdvanced

Chronological Age

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12-month survival curves EGS

Total Deaths

Alive Proportion Alive

598 175 423 70,7%

Page 13: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

12-month survival curves EGS

Total Deaths

Alive Proportion Alive

598 175 423 70,7%

Surgery

Age 75-79

Age 80-89

Age 90 or older

Procedure

Medical

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12-month survival curves EGS

Wald p Odds Ratio 95% Confidence Interval

ASA Class III-V 21,012 ,000 2,627 1,738 3,971

Dependent personal ADLs 15,108 ,000 2,470 1,566 3,898

Clinical Frailty Scale 5-9 11,384 ,001 1,944 1,321 2,860

24 hour Care 5,310 ,021 1,790 1,091 2,937

Impaired cognition 3,965 ,046 1,459 1,006 2,117

Cognitive impairment

Clinical Frailty

Functional impairment

ASA Class

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12-month survival curves Emergency Laparotomy

Page 16: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

12-month survival curves Emergency Laparotomy

Wald p Odds Ratio 95% CI

Not reviewed by POP-GS 11,234 ,001 6,620 2,192 19,993

Clinical Frailty Scale 5-9 8,337 ,004 5,403 1,719 16,982

ASA Class III-V 4,098 ,043 2,704 1,032 7,081

Cumulative

Survival

Cognitive impairment Clinical Frailty

Page 17: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Indicators of poor prognosis in EGS/ Em Lap

Cognitive impairment

Mobility impairment

Functional impairment

Lack of social support

Sphincter disturbance

Malnutrition

Delirium

ASA Class III-V Complications Time of day

P-POSSUMAdvanced

Chronological Age

FrailtyPolypharmacy

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Page 19: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Collaborative working

• Skills

• Goal

• Vision

• Leadership

• Communication

• Quality improvement

• Creativity

• Research

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Our final objective

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Vision: Collaborative Care

Royal College of Surgeons.

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• Proactive, daily case finding service for patients over 74-years of age

The set up: Salford-POPS-GS in-reach Service

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• Proactive, daily case finding service for patients over 74-years of age

• Core team: Senior nurse, physiotherapist, Occupational therapist, geriatrician (4 DCC PA

shared between 2 consultants)

The set up: Salford-POPS-GS in-reach Service

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Salford-POPS-GS

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Salford-POPS-GS

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Continuity of care

Before February 1st 12.2 Median

After February1st

8.4 Median

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Patients Discharge Median LOS (admission month) Patients admited

9 days3

days

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Continuity of care

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Patients Discharge Median LOS (admission month) Patients admited

9 days3

days

Before February 1st 12.2 Median

After February1st

8.4 Median

Page 30: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Advanced Clinical Practitioner

Aim:

• Implement 0.5WTE Band 8a ACP to provide an older persons’ surgical liaison service into general surgical wards, by October 2018

Objectives:

• Increase compliance with NELA standard ‘Assessment by MCOP Team patients aged ≥70 years’ from78% to the expected 80% target within 6 months

• Decrease median LOS surgical patients≥75 years by 1 day within 6 months

• Improve accuracy in coding by undertaking CGA

Page 31: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Proposal for a Acute Surgical Abdominal Pain care pathway

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Community Hospital

Relative/sCarer/s

Home

Residential Home

Intermediate Care

Rapid Response Team

Surgical Triage Unit

Emergency Department

Emergency Admissions Unit

Acute General Surgical Ward

ICU/ SHDU

Nursing Home

Out patients

Acute Physicians

Single Organ Specialists

Voluntary Sector

SurgeonsAnaesthetists

Geriatricians

Pathway Manager

Social Worker

General Practitioner

District Nurses

Specialist Nurses

Dieticians

IV Team

Pharmacists

Physiotherapists

Occupational Therapist

Palliative Care Team

Nursing Staff

Advance Nurse Practitioner

Auxiliary Nurses

Radiology Team

Porters

Bed Managers

Care Home Staff

Patient

Page 33: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

ResearchSRFT/GSTT

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POP-GS-UK Registry

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Key messages: EGS older people

• CGA - Surgical and non surgical factors - interventions

• Targeted, patient centred interventions - Quality of life

• Collaborative working

Page 36: Ageing and Complex MedicineP-POSSUM Advanced Chronological Age. 12-month survival curves EGS Total Deaths Alive Proportion Alive 598 175 423 70,7%. 12-month survival curves EGS Total

Key messages: EGS older people

• CGA - Surgical and non surgical factors - interventions

• Targeted, patient centred interventions - Quality of life

• Collaborative working

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Frailty

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Disclosure of conflict of interests

• 850-bedded urban teaching hospital serving 240.000

• Tertiary renal, neurosurgery, major trauma and stroke centre

• Foundation Trust …