Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo,...

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Age, wellbeing and inequality Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology, Social Statistics and Cathie Marsh Centre [email protected]

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Page 1: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age, wellbeing and inequalityAge, wellbeing and inequalityEvidence from the English Longitudinal Study Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study

of Ageingof Ageing

James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte

Sociology, Social Statistics and Cathie Marsh Centre

[email protected]

Page 2: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

An ageing world

[Nothing] is more likely to shape economic, social, and political developments in the early twenty-first century than the simultaneous aging of Japan, Europe, and the United States … The human life cycle is undergoing unprecedented change. To preserve economic security, we must adapt the social institutions built around it to these new realities.

Demographic aging brings with it a systematic transformation of all spheres of social life … beneath even the daunting fiscal projections, lies a longer-term economic, social and cultural dynamic … What will it be like to live in societies that are much older than any we have ever known or imagined?

The Commission on Global Aging (1999)

Page 3: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

A Third Age?Healthy, wealthy and engaged in society

Post-retirement, post-parenting, but pre-dependency.

Contributing to society: Voluntary/community activities; Political/civic engagement.

Consuming and enjoying life, leisure and pleasure – cultural mainstream.

Self-fulfilment: Having a role; Having status; Having fun.

More generally an ‘active ageing’ policy agenda is being promoted.

But active ageing, and the resources to enjoy a ‘third’ age, are strongly related to socioeconomic position – in what ways do class inequalities persist post-retirement.

Page 4: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

The English Longitudinal Study of Ageing(www.ifs.org.uk/elsa)

Sample at wave 1 (2002) was approximately 11,400 people born before 1st March 1952 who were in the private household sector. Refreshed with younger people (50-54) at both waves 3 and 6, and boosted with a cross-section (50-74) at wave 4.

Drawn from Health Survey for England (wave 0).

Includes spouses outside the age range and ‘new’ partners who joined the household since wave 0.

Face to face interview every two years since 2002, with a biomedical assessment carried out by a nurse every four years.

Those incapable of doing the interview have a proxy interview.

End of life interviews are carried out with the partners or carers of people who died after wave 1.

A panel study of people aged 50 and older, just begun our sixth wave of data collection, with additional wave 0 data available.

Page 5: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

ELSA: broad questionnaire coverage

Demographics

Administrative data

Self-assessed and oral health Diagnosed disease & symptoms Quality of received medical care Activities of daily living and

Instrumental ADLS Eyesight, hearing, pain, falls Mental health Health behaviours Cognitive function measures Physical performance measures Biomedical measures

Housing (tenure, quality, value) Household wealth and income Relative deprivation Pensions and retirement Employment status, earnings and

job characteristics Consumption/spending

Psychosocial factors & well-being Social, cultural and civic activities Expectations for the future

Life history: childhood, education, work, marriage/family, migration, health, trauma

Page 6: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Wellbeing measures in ELSA

Evaluative, hedonic and eudaimonic measures included.

General Health Questionnaire (12 item version), every second wave

Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression scale (8 item dichotomous version)

Life satisfaction (Diener)

Quality of Life (CASP – Control, Autonomy, Self-Realisation and Pleasure – 19 item version)

Largely cover negative dimensions, but not entirely

Experienced wellbeing is included in wave six (just in the field)

Page 7: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Analytical methods

Longitudinal multilevel models, observations nested within individuals, to give overlapping cohorts.

Model the association between wellbeing and age, with adjustment for a range of covariates: Demographic factors (gender and ethnicity) Marital status Socioeconomic factors (occupational class, economic activity and

education) Health (limiting longterm illness, ADLs, chronic conditions) Social support (close contacts, support from contacts, caring and

volunteering activities)

Followed up for eight years (six years for some of the analyses).

Some analyses stratified by population group (wealth quintiles).

Page 8: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age and depression: a longitudinal analysis (CES-D score adjusted for gender and ethnicity)

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

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50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Pre

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ted

sc

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Page 9: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Contrasting images of ageing: Reflections of class?

A political storm is brewing over proposals to raise the state pension age to 67

(BBC News 2005)

Page 10: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

The distribution of financial wealth, age 60-74

20

40

60

80

100

120

10th 20th 30th 40th 50th 60th 70th 80th 90th

Percentile points of financial wealth, and percent of total financial wealth

£ 0

00

44%

23%

14%

Page 11: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age, depression and wealth: a longitudinal analysis (CES-D score adjusted for gender and ethnicity)

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Pre

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ted

sc

ore

Poorest 2 3 4 Richest

Page 12: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

0 15 25 35 45 55 65Months

Pro

po

rtio

n s

urv

ivin

g

Richest

2nd

3rd

4th

Poorest

Survival rates by wealth, age 50+

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

0 15 25 35 45 55 65Months

Richest

2nd

3rd

4th

Poorest

MenWomen

Page 13: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

The impact of retirement on wellbeing

Model transitions into retirement compared with those still working, for those aged 70 or younger and who are economically active.

Routine retirement, because ‘reached retirement age’

Voluntary To enjoy life To spend time with partner or family Fed up with job and wanted a change To give the younger generation a chance Offered reasonable financial terms to retire early

Involuntary Ill health (own, or of a relative/friend) Made redundant Could not find another job

Page 14: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Depression and type of retirement transition

Change in depression score compared with those remaining in work: age and gender standardised

-0.6

-0.3

0

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0.6

0.9

1.2

Involuntary Routine Voluntary Poorest Middle wealth Richest

Ch

an

ge

in

sc

ore

(a

nd

95

% C

.I.)

Page 15: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age and depression: explaining the relationship (CES-D score adjusted for gender and ethnicity)

0.5

1.0

1.5

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2.5

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50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Pre

dic

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sc

ore

Age and ethncity + Marital status

Page 16: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age and depression: explaining the relationship (CES-D score adjusted for gender and ethnicity)

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Pre

dic

ted

sc

ore

Age and ethncity + Marital status + Socioeconomic

Page 17: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age and depression: explaining the relationship (CES-D score adjusted for gender and ethnicity)

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Pre

dic

ted

sc

ore

Age and ethncity + Marital status+ Socioeconomic + Health

Page 18: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Age and depression: explaining the relationship (CES-D score adjusted for gender and ethnicity)

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85

Age

Pre

dic

ted

sc

ore

Age and ethncity + Marital status + Socioeconomic+ Health + Social support

Page 19: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Persisting class inequalities: improvements in men’s life expectancy at birth

60

65

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85

1972-76 1977-81 1982-86 1987-91 1992-96 1997-2001 2002-2005Year

Lif

e e

xp

ec

tan

cy

at

bir

th

0

2

4

6

8

10

Ga

p in

ye

ars

Class I-V gap Class I Class V

ONS Longitudinal Study 2007

Page 20: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Social mobility: odds to be in a professional or managerial class for four age cohorts

Year of birth

< 1920 1920-29 1930-39 1940-45 1946-52

Class of origin

Semi/un-skilled manual 1 1 1 1 1

Skilled manual 1.46 1.39* 1.35 1.51 1.26

Administrative/Skilled non-manual

1.86* 3.30 2.76 2.31 2.06

Manager/professional 2.76 4.94 4.02 3.40 3.32

Bold figures p < 0.05, *p < 0.1

Page 21: Age, wellbeing and inequality Evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing James Nazroo, Stephen Jivraj, Tarani Chandola and Bram Vanhoutte Sociology,

Concluding comments: well-being in later life

Age and transitions: Wealth Marital status (divorce and widowhood) Health/disability Retirement status/route (voluntary)

Social class

Cohort and generation: Occupational structures Pension arrangements Retirement choices/opportunities Marriage choices But persisting inequalities