Aga weekly-chartbook-10-27-2013
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Transcript of Aga weekly-chartbook-10-27-2013
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Weekly Chart BookOctober 27, 2013
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
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Financial Conditions
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Developed Markets
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Emerging Markets
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US Financial Conditions
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The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
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Global Financial Stress Index
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Citi Macro Risk Index
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Fixed Income & Credit
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US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
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UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
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U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
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U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
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U.S. Treasury 2yr-10yr Slope
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U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield – Forecast
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Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
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Investment Grade Bond Prices
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Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
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High Yield Bond Prices
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High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
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Emerging Market Debt (Local Currency)
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Emerging Market Bond Spreads
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Global Equities
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World Equity Indices
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MSCI All Country World Index
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ACWI Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
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MSCI ACWI – Price, Price/Earnings, & Basic EPS
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S&P 500 Index
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S&P 500 Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
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S&P 500 – Price, Price/Earnings, & Basic EPS
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MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
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MSCI EAFE Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
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MSCI EAFE - Price/Earnings and Basic EPS
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MSCI Emerging Markets Index
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MSCI EM Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
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MSCI Emerging Markets - Price/Earnings and Basic EPS
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Equity Risk Premiums by Country
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AGO Constituents – Japan, China, Russia, Germany, Korea, & Austria
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Global Heat Map – Sectors & Regions YTD
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The Economy
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Last week’s Economic Calendar
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Next week’s Economic Calendar
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Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)
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US Economic Surprise Index (Data’s Deviation from Expectations)
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30 Year Mortgage Rates
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Initial Jobless Claims – 4 Week Moving Average
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Currencies & Commodities
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World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
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World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q1 2014)
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US Dollar Index
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Euro €
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Japanese Yen ¥
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Mexican Peso
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Global Commodity Prices
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Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
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Gold Prices – 5 Years
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Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years