AFTER IRENE: JOSE, KATIA, LEE, MARIA, NATE, OPHELIA,

PHILIPPE--- Part IIFORMED IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN

AND GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE 2011 SEASON?

AUGUST 28 - NOVEMBER 30, 2011

Dr. Walter Hays,

Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

Tropical Storm Maria, which formed on Wednesday (Sept 7th ) is forecast to pass north

of Puerto Rico on Sept. 11 and continue moving

towards the eastern USA, possibly drenching Florida

A tropical storm watch is in effect for Antigua, Anguilla,

Barbuda, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Martinique,

Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saba, St Barthelemy, St Marteen, St Maartin, and

St. Eustatius

2011’s FOURTEENTH STORM

TROPICAL STORM NATE FORMED ON SEPTEMBER 8th

SEPT 8: KATIA (ON RIGHT) AND TS NATE IN SW GULF OF MEXICO

SEPTEMBER 8:At present, we have 3 named

storms. 1) Hurricane Katia will continue to move north

between Bermuda and North Carolina, but will not threaten

land.

SEPTEMBER 8 (continued):

2) Tropical Storm Maria will approach the Caribbean by the weekend, and 3)Tropical Storm

Nate will affect the southwestern portion of the

Gulf of Mexico

SEPTEMBER 10: TROPICAL STORMS NATE, MARIA, AND KATIA

SEPTEMBER 11:

Tropical Storm Katia heads away from the USA and towards the British Isles

SEPTEMBER 11: TROPICAL STORMS NATE, AND MARIA; THE ONLY TWO STORMS

SEPTEMBER 11:

Tropical Storm Nate makes landfall in Mexico

SEPTEMBER 11: REMNANTS OF NATE DID NOT BRING MUCH RAIN TO TEXAS

SEPTEMBER 11:Tropical Storm Maria passes

north of the Virgin Islands with possibility of becoming a

hurricane by Sept 14

SEPTEMBER 11 FORECAST FOR MARIA SIMILAR TO KATIA’S PATH

SEPTEMBER 14: STATUS RELATIVE TO 2005 AND THE 2011 FORECAST

SEPTEMBER 14: SEASON’S STORM TRACKS

SEPTEMBER 16 MARIA’S PATH AFTER BECOMING 3rd HURRICANE ON SEPT 15th

2011’s FIFTEENTH STORM

THE DEPRESSION THAT IS LIKELY TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS IDENTIFIED ON SEPTEMBER 19th

SEPT 19: THE DEPRESSION (ON RIGHT) COULD BECOME TS OPHELIA

SEPT 20: ON THE WAY TO BECOMING TS OPHELIA

SEPT 20: THE “WHAT IF” FORECAST IF TS OPHELIA DOES FORM

SEPT 20: TS OPHELIA FORMED ON SEPT 20th

SEPT 23: TS OPHELIA ON THE MOVE

SEPT 26: TS OPHELIA IS BREAKING UP, BUT HAS 30 % CHANCE OF REFORMING

OPHELIA DRENCHED DOMENICA AND LEFT 1,600

STRANDED

SEPT 29: HURRICANE OPHELIA’S FORECAST

OCTOBER 2: HURRICANE OPHELIA WEAKENS TO CAT 1 NEAR NEWFOUNDLAND

SEPT 26: TS PHILIPPE FORMED IN FAR ATLANTIC (FAR RIGHT)

SEPT 29: TS PHILIPPE IS MOVING TO THE WEST AFTER FORMING IN THE FAR

ATLANTIC