AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004 Contents Mobile sector overview –Mobile Africa –Mobile...
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Transcript of AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004 Contents Mobile sector overview –Mobile Africa –Mobile...
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Contents
• Mobile sector overview– Mobile Africa– Mobile business– Mobile policy – Wireless Internet– Mobile future
• 22 Topical Tables• 55 Country Pages• Directory of ministries, regulators &
operators
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE AFRICA:World’s fastest growing mobile
market
24 24
33 3538
65
Oceania Americas World Europe Asia Africa
Mobile cellular subscribersAnnual Average Growth
1998-2003
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Mobile predominant method of telecommunications in
Africa
• 43 African countries (78%) have more mobile than fixed telephone subscribers
• Almost 70% of African telephone subscribers use mobile
3.0
6.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Subscribers per 100 inhabitants
Mobile
Fixed
• Mobile passed fixed in 2001
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE BUSINESS
CelTel, MTN, Orascom, Vodacom
Other strategic investors(> 1 country)
Strategic investors in Africa, 2003
11
13
17
27
41
55
60
India
Brazil
Egypt
Africa
UK
Nigeria
Japan
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)Per month, 2003, US$
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE POLICY
39
14
16
41
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04
Competition
No competition
No network
•Majority allow competition
• Enhancing competition • Universal access
Mobile market structure in Africa, number of countries
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Universal service
• Community access centres
0
10
20
30
40
1994 96 98 2000 02
Community access centres, 000s, RSA
License requirement
86.70%
97%
57%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%
1995 1997 1999 2001
License requirement
Mobile population coverage, RSA
• Coverage
• Subsidizing low income users
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
1.6
0.01
0.1
1
10
100
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Internet users per 100 inhabitants, Africa
WIRELESS INTERNET
1. Second Generation (2G)
2. Second and a half (2.5G)
3. Third Generation (3G)4. Fixed wireless
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
3
3
4
4
6
9
11
17
4
Burkina Faso
Cape Verde
Côte d'Ivoire
Morocco
World
Togo
Egypt (03)
Mauritius
South Africa
SMS per subscriber per month, 2002
2G
• SMS4D: Agriculture, democracy, health, finance
• GSM dial-up
• SMS close to or above world average
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
2.5G
Commercial GPRS networks in Africa, Dec. 2003
Country
Operator
Launch Name
Subscribers
Total Date % total subs.
South Africa
MTN Jul.02 dataLIVE 30'000 Jun.03 0.6%
South Africa
Vodacom Oct-02 MyLife 36‘000 Sep.03 0.4%
Egypt Vodafone Apr.03 live! 25'000 Dec.03 0.9%
Egypt Mobinil Sep.03 Life 70’000 Dec.03 2.3%
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
3G
• No “formal” launches or licensing procedures
Source: Uganda Communications Commission.
• Fixed wireless 3G using CDMA2000 1x
• First mobile 3G network in Angola
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Fixed wireless
Nigerian Fixed Wireless Access operators deploying CDMA2000 1x, 2003Operator Frequency Infra-
structure Vendor
Date announced
Coverage
Intercellular 800 MHz Motorola July-03 Lagos
Multi-Links 1900 MHz Nortel Networks
March-03 Lagos
Reliance 1900 MHz Ericsson April-03 Nationwide
Starcomms 1900 MHz Ericsson March-03 Lagos
Starcomms 1900 MHz Huawei August-03 Kano, Lagos
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE FUTURECan growth be sustained?
13.8
12.2
10.1
8.1
36%
47%
64%
107%
2000 2001 2002 2003
Annual growth rate of total mobile subscribers in Africa
New mobile subscribers in Africa, millions
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Barriers?
• Little relation between mobile penetration and low levels of income
R2 = 0.3646
0
5
10
$100 $200 $300 $400 $500GDP per capita
Mob
ile p
er 1
00
R2 = 0.0335
0
50
100
0 50 100Urban pop
Pop.
cov
erag
e• Little relation between mobile coverage and urban population
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Expanding mobile• Government
– Minimizing / eliminating taxes/fees– Promote infrastructure sharing– Full service licenses– Interconnect– Minimize inefficiencies– Universal access policies– Market information
• Operators– Lower interconnect rates– Expand coverage– Roaming/data services
• Manufacturers– Cheaper & appropriate equipment– Poverty reduction
• Donors– Capacity building– Recycle handsets– Backbones
51
100
150
200
20.4
15.3
10.2
6.2
2003 2010Low
2010Medium
2010High
Per 100 inhabitants
Low: annual growth 10%Medium: annual growth 16%High: annual growth 21%
Forecast mobile subscribers in Africa under different scenarios. Millions, 2010
Report available here:http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/publications/africa/2004/