Africa: What lies beneath - Bcisconference · Africa: What lies beneath. 2. On the surface, Africa...

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by Fungai Tarirah Passion. Independence. Rigour. Africa: What lies beneath

Transcript of Africa: What lies beneath - Bcisconference · Africa: What lies beneath. 2. On the surface, Africa...

byFungai Tarirah

Passion. Independence. Rigour.

Africa: What lies beneath

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On the surface, Africa is the same old

Sources: various newspapers, Rudiarius Capital Management

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-48.7%In 3 days

Even when we send it offshore seems tainted

Sources: Citron, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Rudiarius Capital Management

But African companies are producing real earnings

Passion. Independence. Rigour.

East African Breweries $1.6bn market cap• Operating profit equivalent to $206m in the last 12 months (rolling)• Spent $14m on a new brewery• Paid out dividend of $35.6m• Expecting growth +14% in earnings, dividend• Working with, not against the informal sector

4Sources: company reports, Rudiarius Capital Management

But African companies are producing real earnings

Passion. Independence. Rigour.

Operating income$950m

$2.5bn market cap

• PER1 6.2x• ROE 33.4%• PBV 1.6x

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Operating income$887m

$10.8bn market cap

• PER1 15.1x• ROE 47.5%• Div yield 6.7%

Operating income$219m

$1.4bn market cap

• PER1 12.1x• Growth1 (E) 29.1%• PBV 0.8x

Sources: company reports, Rudiarius Capital Management

Compounding at appreciable rates

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• Earnings have compounded at 10.4% annually in the last 5yrs.

$1.4bn market cap

Sources: company reports, Rudiarius Capital Management

With solid growth opportunities

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• Significant growth opportunity in microfinance and leasing

$279m market cap

Sources: company reports, Rudiarius Capital Management

Volatility remains a feature to deal with on markets

Passion. Independence. Rigour. 8Sources: various newspapers, Rudiarius Capital Management

Current portfolio positioning

Passion. Independence. Rigour. 9Source: Rudiarius Capital Management

Long term returns for the patient investor

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• Diversification across different markets important to performance of overall African exposure

• Conservative approach allows for downside protection• Good time to pick up bargains

Sources: Morningstar, Rudiarius Capital Management

Selected by an experienced fund management team…

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Spending time on the ground

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• Emphasis on time spent with company management• Country coverage broadened as we searched for opportunities. 49% of our time to date spent on

MENK• Management teams tackling business issues but would welcome faster reform pace

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Passion. Independence. Rigour.

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