Aero Club of Washington
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Aero Club of Washington William Voss President/CEO June 30, 2009
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Aero Club of Washington. William Voss President/CEO June 30, 2009. Major Accidents Worldwide Commercial Jets 1998 – 2008. * Reliable worldwide departure/rate data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft. Source: Ascend. Major Accident Rate Western-Built Commercial Jets* - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Aero Club of Washington
Aero Club of Washington
William Voss
President/CEO
June 30, 2009
22 24
1713
19
13 1316
1115
18
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
0
10
20
30
40
50
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ma
jor A
cc
ide
nt R
ate
* Ma
jor
Ac
cid
en
ts
Major Accidents
Western Major Accident Rate*
Major Accidents Worldwide Commercial Jets
1998 – 2008
Source: Ascend* Reliable worldwide departure/rate data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft
0.00
0.40
0.80
1.20
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
5 year running average
Major Accident Rate(per million departures)
Source: Ascend
Major Accident RateWestern-Built Commercial Jets*
1997 – 2008
Acc
iden
t rat
e pe
r m
illio
n de
part
ures
* Reliable total departure data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft
CEO & COO BriefIATA Safety Report 2008 4
Breakdown: Accident Categories
CEO & COO BriefIATA Safety Report 2008 5
Regional Rate: Western-built Jet Hull Losses
6
What it Looks Like to the Public
20 August — Spanair Madrid
22 September — XL Airways Perpignan, France
20 December — Continental Denver
15 January — US Airways New York
12 February — Colgan Air Buffalo
25 February — Turkish Airways Amsterdam
20 March – Emirates AirlinesMelbourne
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23 March – FEDEXTokyo
1 June - Air France 447
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30 June – Yemenia 626Comoros
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NEW TRENDS
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The Biggest Killer
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Used to be CFIT
The Biggest Killer
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Now it is Loss of Control
LOOKING TO THE FUTURE
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The Future is Inescapable
• We are in the middle of an explosion of the world's middle class
• About 70m people a year globally are entering this wealth group
• Accelerating to 90m a year by 2030
• In 20 years 2bn people will have joined the ranks of the middle classSource: Chief economist, Goldman Sachs, July 2008
ICAO IATA Revised Forecast
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Where Traffic Growth will Occur
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Source: Airbus Global Market Forecast
What about the Regulator?
• 190 state regulatory agencies “With respect to aircraft operations,
approximately half of the audited states have an insufficient number of flight operations inspectors to adequately perform safety oversight of civil aviation activities.”
ICAO
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RESPONSES
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Safety is Information Driven
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•Share the information
•Protect the information
•Act on the information
Share the Information
• Between competitors
• Between segments of the industry
• Between regulators
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Safety is Information Driven
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•Share the information
•Protect the information
•Act on the information
Protect the Information
• Public demanding more accountability
• Prosecutions becoming frequent
• Direct interference with safety investigations becoming an issue
A Balanced to be Maintained
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Flight Safety Foundation Criticizes Prosecutorial Interference With
Accident Investigation
The Flight Safety Foundation sharply criticized the interference of prosecutors in ongoing aviation accident investigations in Italy and France, warning that such interference hampers efforts to improve aviation safety and prevent similar accidents in the future
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Joint Resolution Regarding Criminalization of
Aviation Accidents
Legislative Protections
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Flight Safety Foundation Calls for Stronger Protection of Volunteered Aviation Safety
Information
FSF today endorsed the creation of a “qualified exception” from discovery of voluntary self-disclosure reporting programs, similar to the protection already provided in U.S. law against the use of Cockpit Voice Recorder …
Safety is Information Driven
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•Share the information
•Protect the information
•Act on the information
Act on the Information
• Update old rules with new information– Fatigue Risk Management
• Build on the substantial existing science
– Training in this century, for this century• Create meaningful standards that reflect the real
world
• Respond to emerging trends– Are yesterdays scenarios still today’s threats?
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Summary
• The accident rate is starting to increase• The causes are shifting• Growth is inevitable and we are not
positioned to handle it• Safety information is the key, but it must be
shared, protected, and acted upon• Time to act on fatigue and training without
regard to past constraints
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