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Transcript of aeb41-week4 kkjkjkjljkljkljkljkljkljkljkljkl
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
1
Attitudes, beliefs &
behaviourWeek 431 January 2003
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
2
Predicting behaviour
Measurement of
Attitudes
Beliefs
Intentions
Objectives:
Predicting sales
Influencing consumers
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
4
Measuring attitudes
E.g. semantic differential scale
question
I find that eating at the Blue Room is:
Bad Good
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
5
Attitudes and beliefs
An attitude (to actions) can be seen
as a set of beliefs
Beliefs: mental and verbal ideas and
assessments we have and we make
about the world we inhabit; theywill be of varying strengths
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
6
Attitudes and beliefs
The walk to the Blue Room is nice
The food at the blue room is warm
The price is reasonably low
Eating at the Blue Room is good
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
7
Measuring beliefs,
evaluations and outcomes Contracting salmonella from eggs is:
I think that the consequences of
salmonella are:
Unlikely Likely
Mild Strong
-2 -1 0 1 2
-2 -1 0 1 2
(b)
(e)
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Outcomes
Outcome = (b) * (e)
E.g.
Salmonella is likely but mild: -4
Salmonella is unlikely and mild: 4
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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The properties of attitudes
Valence (positive, negative, neutral)
Extremity (intensity)
Resistance (immunity to change)
Persistence (erosion through time)
ConfidenceI like a lot eating at McDonalds,
because it is fashionable
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
10
Multiattribute analysis and
the Expected-value model
A: attitude towards the product
bi: strength (likelihood) of the belief that
the product has attribute iei: evaluation of the attribute i
n: number of salient attributes
n
i
iiebA
1
Utility
measurement?
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
12
Salient beliefs
Salience: importance assigned to
an attribute
Problem: salient attributes differacross consumers, can we submit a
single questionnaire to many
consumer?
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Eliciting salient beliefs
Define the action and target group
Elicit salient beliefs, asking Is there
anything else? Consider negative actions (beliefs for notacting)
Who should (not) do the action?
What are the control factors? Combine similar beliefs
Refine the list of beliefs
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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ExerciseAnswer to the following questions with a value between2 (least) to 2
(most), with 0 as the indifference/zero value
(b1) Do you think there are vitamins in orange marmalade?
(e1) What do you think is the effect of the vitamins in orange
marmalade?
(b2) What colour do you prefer in orange marmalade?
(e2) How important is the colour for you?
(b3) What is the orange cut you prefer in orange marmalade?
(e3) How important is the cut for you?
-2 -1 0 1 2
-2 -1 0 1 2
-2 -1 0 1 2
-2 -1 0 1 2
-2 -1 0 1 2
-2 -1 0 1 2
b1*e1
b2*e2
b3*e3
A
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Now subtract the score related to
the product attribute which is least
relevant for you in choice What is your new score?
Salience
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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The Ideal-Point model
A: attitude towards the product
Wi: weight (importance) of attribute i
Ii: ideal performance on attribute i
Xi: belief about actual performance onattribute i
n: number of salient attributes
n
i
iii XIWA
1
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Attitude and behaviour
Behaviourism (reinforcement paradigm)
Thought and feelings are effectsnot causes
of behaviourAttitude data allow to predictbehaviour, not
to explainit
Cognitivism (cognitive paradigm)
Attitudes and knowledge control behaviourExperience changes attitudes and knowledge
Communication may modify behaviour
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Changing attitudes through
advertising1. Change beliefs
Correct misperception (e.g. price)
Comparative advertising2. Change attribute importance
Reduce the importance of poor attributes
Increase the importance of good ones.
3. Change ideal point
Change the target ideal good
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Frequently purchased goods
Usage precede intention to buy
Intentions depend on past usage
Consumers tend to associate
positive attributes with a brand if
they are currently using it
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Experience, information &
attitudes It is more likely that attitudes change after
trial (direct experience) rather than because ofadvertising (indirect experience)
Direct experience provides a stronger linkbetween attitude and behaviour
Attitudes learned by experience are moreaccessible(strong)
Speed of responseConfidence in the evaluative judgment
Attitude stability
Repetition strengths attitudes
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Predicting behaviour
Attitudes could also be unrelatedor just
slightly related to actual behaviours
Other variables may interactPersonal (in)ability
Social constraints
Uncertainties about outcomes
Discrepancies when measures are taken
at different times (information changes)
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Measuring attitudes
Three components model
Emotional response,statements of feelings
Feelings
Claimed beliefs
Cognition
Actions, report of actions
Behaviour
Attitudes
StimuliObservable
independent
variables
Inferred
variables
Observable
dependent
variables
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Problems with the
3 components modelThe attitude concept includes
evidence of actual behaviour
Inferring attitudes from behaviourmight be wrong
Attitude towards the product
Attitude towards purchasingtheproduct (higher correlationwith
behaviour)
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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The compatibility principle
Attitudes to the purchaseof the
product must be measured if
purchase is the object of prediction Compatibility between measures of
attitude and behaviour
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Examples of the
compatibility rule Attitudes towards (adapted from East):
Pizza
Mozzarella & tomato pizzaBuying takeaway M&T pizza
Buying takeaway M&T pizza from Pizza Hut
Buying takeaway M&T pizza from Pizza Hut
tonightYou buying takeaway M&T pizza from Pizza
Hut tonight
TargetAction
Timing
Context
Personal aspect
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41
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Purchase intentions and
market research Predicting new product sales
First purchase can be correctly predicted
through likelihood of purchase
Further purchases depend on the experience
associated with first purchase
Distinguishing between user and non-
users Works better for frequent purchases
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 29
Theories for predicting
purchasing behaviour Fishbein (1963), Ajzen and Fishbein
(1980), Ajzen (1985, 1988,1991)
Expected value theory of attitude Compatibility
Other variables
Theory of reasoned action
Subjective normTheory of planned behaviour
Perceived behavioural control
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 30
Theory of Reasoned Action Economic rationality
Perfect knowledge
Selfishness
Optimality
Reasoned actionLimited knowledge of outcomes
Accessible outcomes kept into account
Normative influence of other people
Limited power to actually act like intended
Intentions rather than actions arepredicted
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 31
Theory of reasoned action
Outcome beliefs Referent beliefs
Attitude to
behaviour (AB)
Subjective norm
(SN)
Intention
Behaviour
W2W1
Structural equationmodelling
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 32
Sufficiency
All change in attitude and behaviourderive from new beliefs or modified
beliefs External factors act only indirectly
(through attitudes and subjectivenorms) on behaviour
Problem: past experience usually hasa direct effect on behaviour
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 34
Examples
Attitudes towards GM foods (Cook
et al.)
Gene technology in tomatoproduction (Saba and Vassallo)
Organic food consumption
(Shepherd and Raats)
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 35
Measurement
Seven-point semantic differential
scale
My eating of tomatoes produced by gene technologyin the future will be . .
Extremely
harmful
Extremely
beneficial
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 36
Measurement
Outcome beliefs (expected-value model) Referent beliefs (similar to the ev model)
Normative belief (My friends think that)
Motivation to comply (likelihood to comply)
Control beliefs Controlling factor (e.g. having the money) Access to the control factor (probability to have it)
Global variables AB: (two or more scales) For me
SN: Most people who are important to me think PBC: For me doing this is: (semantic scale) difficult -
easy
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 38
Explanation: Behaviour
(level 1) Intention
Perceived behavioural control
(weaker)
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 39
Explanation: Intention
(level 2) Relative weight of AB, SN and PC
Changes according to product /
situation
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Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 40
Explanation: Specific
factors (level 3) Specific outcome
Referent factors
Control factors
Global variables
Intention
E.g. Complaining about a product
Is it most related to AB, SN or PC?
Identifying a limited number of factors can help marketing
strategies
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C B h i d F d 41
Limits
Difficult to select salient belief
Low correlation between sum and
global variables