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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

    1

    Attitudes, beliefs &

    behaviourWeek 431 January 2003

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    Predicting behaviour

    Measurement of

    Attitudes

    Beliefs

    Intentions

    Objectives:

    Predicting sales

    Influencing consumers

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    Measuring attitudes

    E.g. semantic differential scale

    question

    I find that eating at the Blue Room is:

    Bad Good

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    Attitudes and beliefs

    An attitude (to actions) can be seen

    as a set of beliefs

    Beliefs: mental and verbal ideas and

    assessments we have and we make

    about the world we inhabit; theywill be of varying strengths

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    Attitudes and beliefs

    The walk to the Blue Room is nice

    The food at the blue room is warm

    The price is reasonably low

    Eating at the Blue Room is good

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    Measuring beliefs,

    evaluations and outcomes Contracting salmonella from eggs is:

    I think that the consequences of

    salmonella are:

    Unlikely Likely

    Mild Strong

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    (b)

    (e)

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    Outcomes

    Outcome = (b) * (e)

    E.g.

    Salmonella is likely but mild: -4

    Salmonella is unlikely and mild: 4

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    The properties of attitudes

    Valence (positive, negative, neutral)

    Extremity (intensity)

    Resistance (immunity to change)

    Persistence (erosion through time)

    ConfidenceI like a lot eating at McDonalds,

    because it is fashionable

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    Multiattribute analysis and

    the Expected-value model

    A: attitude towards the product

    bi: strength (likelihood) of the belief that

    the product has attribute iei: evaluation of the attribute i

    n: number of salient attributes

    n

    i

    iiebA

    1

    Utility

    measurement?

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    Salient beliefs

    Salience: importance assigned to

    an attribute

    Problem: salient attributes differacross consumers, can we submit a

    single questionnaire to many

    consumer?

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    Eliciting salient beliefs

    Define the action and target group

    Elicit salient beliefs, asking Is there

    anything else? Consider negative actions (beliefs for notacting)

    Who should (not) do the action?

    What are the control factors? Combine similar beliefs

    Refine the list of beliefs

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41

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    ExerciseAnswer to the following questions with a value between2 (least) to 2

    (most), with 0 as the indifference/zero value

    (b1) Do you think there are vitamins in orange marmalade?

    (e1) What do you think is the effect of the vitamins in orange

    marmalade?

    (b2) What colour do you prefer in orange marmalade?

    (e2) How important is the colour for you?

    (b3) What is the orange cut you prefer in orange marmalade?

    (e3) How important is the cut for you?

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    -2 -1 0 1 2

    b1*e1

    b2*e2

    b3*e3

    A

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    Now subtract the score related to

    the product attribute which is least

    relevant for you in choice What is your new score?

    Salience

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    The Ideal-Point model

    A: attitude towards the product

    Wi: weight (importance) of attribute i

    Ii: ideal performance on attribute i

    Xi: belief about actual performance onattribute i

    n: number of salient attributes

    n

    i

    iii XIWA

    1

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    Attitude and behaviour

    Behaviourism (reinforcement paradigm)

    Thought and feelings are effectsnot causes

    of behaviourAttitude data allow to predictbehaviour, not

    to explainit

    Cognitivism (cognitive paradigm)

    Attitudes and knowledge control behaviourExperience changes attitudes and knowledge

    Communication may modify behaviour

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    Changing attitudes through

    advertising1. Change beliefs

    Correct misperception (e.g. price)

    Comparative advertising2. Change attribute importance

    Reduce the importance of poor attributes

    Increase the importance of good ones.

    3. Change ideal point

    Change the target ideal good

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    Frequently purchased goods

    Usage precede intention to buy

    Intentions depend on past usage

    Consumers tend to associate

    positive attributes with a brand if

    they are currently using it

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    Experience, information &

    attitudes It is more likely that attitudes change after

    trial (direct experience) rather than because ofadvertising (indirect experience)

    Direct experience provides a stronger linkbetween attitude and behaviour

    Attitudes learned by experience are moreaccessible(strong)

    Speed of responseConfidence in the evaluative judgment

    Attitude stability

    Repetition strengths attitudes

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    Predicting behaviour

    Attitudes could also be unrelatedor just

    slightly related to actual behaviours

    Other variables may interactPersonal (in)ability

    Social constraints

    Uncertainties about outcomes

    Discrepancies when measures are taken

    at different times (information changes)

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    Measuring attitudes

    Three components model

    Emotional response,statements of feelings

    Feelings

    Claimed beliefs

    Cognition

    Actions, report of actions

    Behaviour

    Attitudes

    StimuliObservable

    independent

    variables

    Inferred

    variables

    Observable

    dependent

    variables

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    Problems with the

    3 components modelThe attitude concept includes

    evidence of actual behaviour

    Inferring attitudes from behaviourmight be wrong

    Attitude towards the product

    Attitude towards purchasingtheproduct (higher correlationwith

    behaviour)

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    The compatibility principle

    Attitudes to the purchaseof the

    product must be measured if

    purchase is the object of prediction Compatibility between measures of

    attitude and behaviour

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    Examples of the

    compatibility rule Attitudes towards (adapted from East):

    Pizza

    Mozzarella & tomato pizzaBuying takeaway M&T pizza

    Buying takeaway M&T pizza from Pizza Hut

    Buying takeaway M&T pizza from Pizza Hut

    tonightYou buying takeaway M&T pizza from Pizza

    Hut tonight

    TargetAction

    Timing

    Context

    Personal aspect

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    Purchase intentions and

    market research Predicting new product sales

    First purchase can be correctly predicted

    through likelihood of purchase

    Further purchases depend on the experience

    associated with first purchase

    Distinguishing between user and non-

    users Works better for frequent purchases

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 29

    Theories for predicting

    purchasing behaviour Fishbein (1963), Ajzen and Fishbein

    (1980), Ajzen (1985, 1988,1991)

    Expected value theory of attitude Compatibility

    Other variables

    Theory of reasoned action

    Subjective normTheory of planned behaviour

    Perceived behavioural control

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 30

    Theory of Reasoned Action Economic rationality

    Perfect knowledge

    Selfishness

    Optimality

    Reasoned actionLimited knowledge of outcomes

    Accessible outcomes kept into account

    Normative influence of other people

    Limited power to actually act like intended

    Intentions rather than actions arepredicted

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 31

    Theory of reasoned action

    Outcome beliefs Referent beliefs

    Attitude to

    behaviour (AB)

    Subjective norm

    (SN)

    Intention

    Behaviour

    W2W1

    Structural equationmodelling

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    Sufficiency

    All change in attitude and behaviourderive from new beliefs or modified

    beliefs External factors act only indirectly

    (through attitudes and subjectivenorms) on behaviour

    Problem: past experience usually hasa direct effect on behaviour

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    Examples

    Attitudes towards GM foods (Cook

    et al.)

    Gene technology in tomatoproduction (Saba and Vassallo)

    Organic food consumption

    (Shepherd and Raats)

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 35

    Measurement

    Seven-point semantic differential

    scale

    My eating of tomatoes produced by gene technologyin the future will be . .

    Extremely

    harmful

    Extremely

    beneficial

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 36

    Measurement

    Outcome beliefs (expected-value model) Referent beliefs (similar to the ev model)

    Normative belief (My friends think that)

    Motivation to comply (likelihood to comply)

    Control beliefs Controlling factor (e.g. having the money) Access to the control factor (probability to have it)

    Global variables AB: (two or more scales) For me

    SN: Most people who are important to me think PBC: For me doing this is: (semantic scale) difficult -

    easy

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 38

    Explanation: Behaviour

    (level 1) Intention

    Perceived behavioural control

    (weaker)

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    Consumer Behaviour and FoodMarketingAEB 41 39

    Explanation: Intention

    (level 2) Relative weight of AB, SN and PC

    Changes according to product /

    situation

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    Explanation: Specific

    factors (level 3) Specific outcome

    Referent factors

    Control factors

    Global variables

    Intention

    E.g. Complaining about a product

    Is it most related to AB, SN or PC?

    Identifying a limited number of factors can help marketing

    strategies

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    C B h i d F d 41

    Limits

    Difficult to select salient belief

    Low correlation between sum and

    global variables