Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change: Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

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Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change: Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh Craig Johnson and Iftekhar Haque Department of Political Science and International Development Studies University of Guelph, Canada

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Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change: Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh. Craig Johnson and Iftekhar Haque Department of Political Science and International Development Studies University of Guelph, Canada. Objective. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change: Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Page 1: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:

Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Craig Johnson and Iftekhar Haque

Department of Political Science and International Development Studies University of Guelph, Canada

Page 2: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Objective How cities are getting prepared to address

the challenge of climate change Mainstreaming climate change policies in

urban planning Management of urban fringe development

Page 3: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Climate Change and Bangladesh IPCC 2007: One of the most vulnerable

countries to climate change Short term climate shocks: Cyclones Floods Prolonged droughts Salinity Long term: Sea level rise

Page 4: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Flows of Migration from Climate Hotspots

“Migration to cities is the most common coping strategy”

Source: World bank (2010)

Page 5: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Typical destination of climate induced migrants

Page 6: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Dhaka’s vulnerability to climate change Excessive Rain

Water logging Floods

Damage of households in slums

Damage of roads Water borne diseases

Drought Heat/Cold Wave Temperature Increase

Page 7: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Growth of Dhaka City

1951 1961 1974 1981 1991 2001 20100

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1000

1200

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Population (in million) Area (sq km)

Population (million)

Area (sq km)

Page 8: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Dhaka’s Changing Land Use

Source: Dewan and Yamaguchi (2009)

Page 9: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Methodology A six-month study in Dhaka’s Eastern

fringe key informant interviews Politicians Bureaucrats Urban Planners Academics Real Estate companies Survey of 200 households FGDs with affected populations

Page 10: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Agricultural land

Flood Flow Zones

Water retention bodies

Page 11: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Detailed Area Plan: Violated by Government

Purbachal New Town

Jhilmil Residential area

Page 12: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Detailed Area Plan: Violated by Government

Purbachal New Town

Jhilmil Residential area

Private Housing Projects

Page 13: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Detailed Area Plan: Violated by Private Sector Illegal land filling

for housing projects

Forced purchasing of land

Land grabbing

Page 14: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Possible Consequences Increased risk of floods and water logging Health hazards Loss of agricultural production Earthquake’s consequence will be dreadful Displacement Livelihood

Page 15: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Incidence of forced purchase by real estate companies

Forced to sell Land filled with sand0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%65.90%

40.46%

% of respondents

Page 16: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Agric

ulture

Shopke

eper (s

mall)

Small

Busine

ss

Day lab

ourer

Land

Agen

t0

10

20

30

40

50

60

49.14

8.576.28

2.29 2.29

37.71

1215.42

5.71 6.71

20002010

Distribution of household heads according to major occupations (%)

42.29

57.71

Occupation changed in last ten yearsOccupation Unchabged in last ten years

Occupation changed from 2000-2010 (%)

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Challenges Capital Development Authority’s dual role

as regulator and real estate Strong lobby of real estates and land

developers Influence on politics Media

Page 18: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Policy options Reform of the Capital Development

Authority (RAJUK). DAP implantation commission Justice Urban planners Environmental experts

Page 19: Addressing Urban Vulnerability to Climate Change:  Findings from Dhaka, Bangladesh

Thank You!