Adam Smith on Markets, Competition and Violations of ... · Adam Smith on Markets, Competition and...
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Adam Smith on Markets, Competition and
Violations of Natural Liberty*
Heinz D. Kurz
ABSTRACT According to Adam Smith markets and trade are, in principle, good things – provided there is
competition and a regulatory framework prevents ruthless selfishness, greed and rapacity to
lead to socially harmful outcomes. But competition and market regulations are always in
danger of being undermined and circumnavigated, giving way to monopolies which are very
comfortable and highly profitable to monopolists and may spell great trouble for many
people. In Smith’s view Political Economy – as an important and perhaps even the most
important part of a kind of master political science, encompassing the science of the legislator
– has the task to fight superstition and false beliefs in matters of economic policy, to debunk
opinions that present individual interests as promoting the general good, and to propose
changing regulatory frameworks for markets and institutions that help to ward off threats to
the security of the society as a whole and provide incentives such that self-seeking behaviour
has also socially beneficial effects.
Address for correspondence: Graz Schumpeter Centre, University of Graz, RESOWI-Zentrum 4F, 8010 Graz, Austria; email: [email protected]
* Paper given at the conference “Die Philosophie des Marktes”, Philosophical Seminar of the Technical University of Braunschweig, 13-15 February 2014, at the Research Seminar of the Faculty of Social and Economic Studies, University of Graz, 9 April 2014, and at the “International Conference on New Thinking in Economic Theory and Policy” at Meiji University, Tokyo, 13-15 September 2014. I am grateful to Tony Aspromourgos, Christian Gehrke, Geoff Harcourt, Manfred Holler, Neri Salvadori, Takashi Yagi and two anonymous referees for valuable comments on an earlier draft of this paper, to Corinna Blasch and Andreas Rainer for preparing the figures in the paper and to the participants of the conferences and the seminar for useful discussions. I benefited a great deal from the joint work with Richard Sturn on Smith during the past couple of years. All remaining errors and misconceptions are, of course, entirely my responsibility.
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The paper shows that the ideas of Adam Smith still may resonate and illuminate problems of
today and theories, which try to tackle them.
Keywords: Adam Smith, Competition, Markets, Monopoly, Natural Liberty, Regulation
1. Introduction
Adam Smith advocated a socio-economic system in which large parts of economic life are
coordinated via interdependent markets in conditions of free competition. Such a system, he
was convinced, favoured “equality, liberty and justice” (WN IV.ix.3) in society and therefore
was a good thing. He did not argue, as is often contended, “that nothing but selfishness is
necessary to yield socially beneficial outcomes” (Schotter 1985: 2). The dark sides of ruthless
selfishness, greed and rapacity he encountered on a large scale in the time in which he lived,
and he saw that a main effort of selfish people was directed at narrowing and eventually
abolishing competition. He deplored time and again “the wretched spirit of monopoly” (WN
IV.ii.21) that permeated what he called the “mercantile system” with its privileges,
preferences and concentration of economic and political power in a few hands. This system
was beneficial to those few at the cost of the many and decelerated economic development
and growth. The East India Companies of Britain and the Netherlands were scaring cases in
point of the enormous damage unfettered selfish behaviour could bring about. Clearly,
selfishness alone did not yield socially beneficial outcomes. Checks and balances were
needed in order to channel selfish behaviour in directions that were socially beneficial and
prevent it from developing its dark and destructive sides. These checks and balances included
several elements, from the rule of law to moral norms, particularly self-restraint, and
conceived of liberty essentially as the security of the individual. In order for self-regard to be
able to properly work to the general benefit, the Scottish moral and political philosopher put
forward a substantial list of things that played a role in this. He insisted, among other things,
that the constitution of a country, its law and institutions, made a good deal of the difference,
and exemplified this with respect to North America on the one hand and the East Indies on the
other:
The difference between the genius of the British constitution which protects and
governs North America, and that of the mercantile company which oppresses and
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domineers in the East Indies, cannot perhaps be better illustrated than by the different
state of those countries. (WN I.viii.26)
In The Fable of the Bees (1723) Bernard Mandeville had argued that vice, not virtue,
engenders prosperity and is thus socially beneficial. He poetised: “The Worst of all the
multitude Did something for the common good”; and: “T’enjoy the World’s Conveniences,
Befamed in War, yet live in Ease Without great Vices is a vain Eutopia seated in the Brain”
(Mandeville [1723] 1924: 68 and 76). Smith (and before him David Hume) strongly disagreed
with Mandeville and in the Theory of Moral Sentiments called the latter’s views “in almost
every respect erroneous” (TMS: 451). Containing vicious behaviour need not, as Mandeville
had contended, entail a cumulative downturn of the economy, because of dwindling levels of
demand with the result that locksmiths would no longer produce locks, lawyers and judges
would go out of business, standing armies become superfluous etc. Since according to Smith
“the desire of bettering our condition … comes with us from the womb, and never leaves us
till we go into the grave” (WN II.iii.28), there is no fear that the productive resources that are
no longer needed to protect a man’s property will not eventually be used in other activities:
The uniform, constant, and uninterrupted effort of every man to better his condition, the
principles from which publick and national, as well as private opulence is originally
derived, is frequently powerful enough to maintain the natural progress of things toward
improvement … (WN II.iii.31)
Hence good government, which controls and retrenches the dark sides of selfishness, will not
lead to poverty and misery. On the contrary, it will stimulate diligence, industry and creativity.
The “science of the legislator”, Smith had elaborated, was designed to show the way to good
government.
What was missing was a demonstration of the working of markets in conditions of free
competition. Pursuing one’s self interest in a decentralised economy through a network of
interdependent markets did not imply chaos and anarchy, as several economists and social
philosophers had argued. It did not imply a bellum omnium contra omnes, unless Leviathan,
the absolutist state, would intervene with an iron fist and keep the desires and avidities of
individuals at bay, as Thomas Hobbes had argued. No Leviathan was required, and if there
was one it was detrimental to the well being of the large majority of the people. But good
government was badly needed. It had to provide an institutional and regulatory framework
that involved incentives, which channelled selfishness in directions that were not only
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individually, but socially beneficial. And it had to establish and preserve competitive
conditions.
The paper is composed in the following way. Section 2 deals with Smith’s view as to the
origin of man’s propensity “to truck, barter, and exchange”, that is to say, to organise markets
and carry out most of his economic transactions by means of this medium. Section 3 turns to
Adam Smith’s distinction between “market” and “natural” prices and expounds the
determination of the latter within a simple analytical framework. Smith considers natural
prices as the more fundamental magnitudes and conceives of them as centres of gravitation of
market prices. Section 4 therefore turns to his idea of the gravitation of market prices towards,
or oscillation around, their natural levels and what in Smith’s view spoke in its favour.
Clearly, if there was no such gravitation (or oscillation) the concept of natural price could be
said to be void and Smith’s view of markets and their allegedly remarkable properties without
any foundation. A simple model will be used to discuss Smith’s view, the difficulties it faces
and how they can be overcome. Section 5 deals briefly with the centripetal forces unleashed
by competition: the introduction of “improvements” and innovations – new methods of
production and new goods – and how they are absorbed into the economic system. Section 6
addresses the problem of the information upon which sellers and buyers in markets base their
decisions and act. It will be argued that Smith was perfectly well aware of the fact that
information is asymmetrically distributed amongst market participants, a fact that gives rise to
the phenomena of moral hazard and adverse selection. This will be illustrated in terms of the
banking trade, which Smith identified as being particularly prone to malfunctioning and
instability. The danger that selfish and unscrupulous people might endanger the security of the
whole society makes him advocate regulations of the banking trade, notwithstanding the fact
that this involves a violation of natural liberty. Section 7 contains some observations on the
“wretched spirit of monopoly”, which is permanently on the lookout for means and ways to
abandon competition in the interest of abnormal profits. Section 8 concludes.
Before I turn to the main argument of this paper, it should be mentioned that our
understanding of the classical economists has been substantially revised and improved thanks
to Piero Sraffa’s reformulation of the “standpoint … of the old classical economists from
Adam Smith to Ricardo”, a standpoint which had been “submerged and forgotten since the
advent of the ‘marginal’ method.” (Sraffa 1960: v) This standpoint has then been further
elaborated by, among others, Pierangelo Garegnani, Luigi Pasinetti, Bertram Schefold and Ian
Steedman. It has brought back to life the extraordinary richness, depth and basic coherence of
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the classical economists’ analysis, which differs in important respects from the marginalist
one. The following disquisition shows that many of the insights Smith had into the structure
of the economic system and its working have been lost sight of in much of modern theory.
The paper thus also throws into doubt the widespread view that the market for economic ideas
is a perfectly functioning selection mechanism that preserves everything that is sound and
valid and eliminates everything that is misleading and wrong. For example, had Smith’s
analysis of the banking and financial system been absorbed into the mainstream, the recent
financial crisis would not have been met with surprise and disbelief in large parts of the
economics profession.
2. Men’s natural faculties, the propensity to exchange, and markets
The starting point of Smith’s analysis of markets is a philosophical anthropology of man’s
nature and disposition, his innate characteristic features, his urges and desires, his physical,
mental and emotional faculties etc. In the Theory of Moral Sentiments Smith had displayed
his view of man in great detail. In the Wealth of Nations he focused on those characteristics of
man that are of special importance in economic life. A benign “Providence”, he was
convinced, had endowed man with faculties and motives that conditioned him toward
association, cooperation and competition, development and growth. Smith discerned “a
certain propensity in human nature … to truck, barter, and exchange one thing for another”
(WN I.ii.1). He added:
Whether this propensity be one of those original principles in human nature, of which
no further account can be given; or whether, as seems more probable, it be the necessary
consequence of the faculties of reason and speech, it belongs not to our present subject
to enquire. It is common to all men, and to be found in no other race of animals, which
seem to know neither this nor any other species of contract. (WN I.ii.2)
But man is not only able to communicate, truck, barter and exchange, he is also in need of it:
“In civilized society he stands at all times in need of the cooperation and assistance of great
multitudes, while his whole life is scarce sufficient to gain the friendship of a few persons.”
From this Smith concludes that
man has almost constant occasion for the help of his brethren, and it is in vain for him to
expect it from their benevolence only. He will be more likely to prevail if he can interest
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their self-love in his favour, and shew them that it is for their own advantage to do for
him what he requires of them. Whoever offers to another a bargain of any kind,
proposes to do this. Give me that which I want, and you shall have this which you want,
is the meaning of every such offer; and it is in this manner that we obtain from one
another the far greater part of those good offices which we stand in need of. (WN I.ii.2)
He exemplifies what we nowadays call the double coincidence of wants in one of the best
known passages of The Wealth:
It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we expect
our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest. We address ourselves, not to their
humanity but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities but of
their advantages. (WN I.ii.2)
Finally he also sees the division of labour – which in his construction is the source of
opulence – rooted in the propensity under consideration:
As it is by treaty, by barter, and by purchase, that we obtain from one another the
greater part of those mutual good offices which we stand in need of, so it is this same
trucking disposition which originally gives occasion to the division of labour. (WN
I.ii.3)
Within a few pages Smith establishes two crucial axioms upon which his entire analysis rests:
(i) The market is a natural form of organising economic affairs, because it reflects
natural faculties of man.
(ii) Man’s well-being depends on the proper exertion of his trucking disposition and
thus on the functioning of markets, because they lead to an ever deeper division of
labour, increase labour productivity and raise income per capita, Smith’s measure
of the wealth of a nation.
According to Smith, markets perform their role best in conditions of free competition, that is,
in the absence of barriers to entry in and exit from the various markets. Competition activates
both what may be called centripetal and centrifugal forces. The former are supposed to make
market prices gravitate towards (or oscillate around) their natural levels and thus actually
establish what is nowadays called a long-period position of the economic system with respect
to commodity prices and income distribution, which is ascertained independently of the
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process of gravitation. The latter involve a disruption of that position and its replacement by a
new one as a consequence of technical and organisational change. While in the former case
the battle of competition is fought with respect to prices, given technical knowledge, in the
latter case it is fought with respect to new technical knowledge – new methods of production
and new goods, that is, “improvements” or innovations. In the second case competition may
be compared to a whip propelling the economic system to higher and higher levels of
productivity and a growing variety of goods. It refers to the non-equilibrium, evolutionary and
development side of competition. In both cases the emphasis is on the rivalry between agents
and the behavioural process it engenders.1
Here we focus first on the centripetal forces of competition. They give order and coherence to
the economy by disciplining the market participants: “good management”, Smith insists, “can
never be universally established but in consequence of that free and universal competition,
which forces every body to have recourse to it for the sake of self-defence” (WN I.xi.b.5;
emphasis added).2 Good management is considered the sine qua non of survival in
competitive markets. For example, firms underbid one another as regards the price of the
product in order to increase their sales, and they overbid one another as regards the wages
paid to workers in order to attract more workers when the economy is in an “advancing
condition” (WN I.vii.1) and employment is high. Competition and markets, Smith was
convinced, accomplish effectively and at a small cost what a Leviathan could accomplish, if
at all, only much less effectively and at a much higher cost.3
Free competition forms the basis of what Smith called “a system of natural liberty”, because it
is seen to realise as best as possible the principles of “equality, liberty and justice”. (Equality 1 Smith was not the first author to advocate such a concept of competition. He was
anticipated by Richard Cantillon and Anne Robert Jacques Turgot (see Kurz and Salvadori 1995: 37-40). Smith has rightly been called “the great systematizer” in this area of analysis (as well as in others), who blended the insights of earlier authors and insights of his own in as coherent a whole as possible (McNulty 1968: 646-5).
2 Marx, echoing Smith’s remark, was later to speak of the “coercive law of competition”. 3 John Stuart Mill ([1848] 1973, vol. II: 242) maintained that “Only through the principle
of competition has political economy any pretension to the character of a science”, because rents, profits, wages and prices are determined by competition, so that “laws may be assigned for them.” It deserves to be stressed that the classical concept of free competition must not be confounded with the marginalist concept of perfect competition, as is frequently done in the literature. For a clear discussion of the differences between the two concepts, see McNulty (1968) and recently Salvadori and Signorino (2013: section 1).
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here means equal opportunity and rights of agents, not material equality.) Free competition
involves the absence of any legal or other barriers to entry in or exit from a market: where
there is “perfect liberty”, Smith writes, a producer or proprietor of capital, land or capacity to
work “may change his trade as often as he wishes” (WN I.vii.6). However, barriers to
mobility play an important role in the mercantile system with its “particular regulations of
police” (WN I.vii.20), such as legal monopolies, privileges, preferences, guilds, statutes of
apprenticeship etc. Smith was highly critical of such barriers and opted for their abolition, but
he allowed for several exceptions to natural liberty. An obvious case is when the integrity of
the State itself is threatened. He thus defended the Act of Navigation, which gave the sailors
and shipping of Great Britain the monopoly of the trade of their own country, on the ground
that “defence is of much more importance than opulence” (WN IV.ii.30). But in Smith we
find also several examples of purely economic justifications for legal interventions and
regulations. See in this regard the detailed list in Aspromourgos (2009; see also 2013) and the
important instances discussed in Section 6 below.
Smith’s remarkable advocacy of the monopoly privileges of the Bank of England is to be seen
in connection with his dictum regarding defence versus opulence. The Bank of England, he
was convinced, played an important role in financing public expenditures, by advancing taxes
to be paid to the Crown at an interest in times of peace and by contracting public debt in times
of war (see WN V.iii.4). The Bank of England was “the backbone of the country’s fiscal
strength, and thus of its international power”.4 See on this Goodacre (2010).
Setting aside these exceptions let us turn to the case of free and unbridled competition,
Smith’s ideal state of affairs. This state of affairs, Smith was clear, did not mimic the reality
of the time in which he lived – the distortions caused by the mercantilist policy were still
visible in almost each and every part of the economy. It was the state Smith advocated as the
first best solution if assessed in terms of economic performance – the size of the social
product in a given year, its growth over time and its distribution among the different ranks of
people. When he nevertheless carried out much of his abstract analysis of the working of
markets on the premise of free competition, he did so because he wished to demonstrate the
superior properties of the system of natural liberty and its self-regulating, homeostatic nature.
4 I borrowed this expression from the report of one of the referees. As is well known,
Ricardo did not share Smith’s view and was highly critical of the Bank of England’s privileges.
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So how do markets function in Smith’s view? What kind of results do they generate? And,
perhaps most important: Are they stable? Can one entrust the destiny of large parts of social
life to their care? This brings us to an investigation of Smith’s view of the formation of prices
and the determination of income distribution as it is contained in Chapter VII of Book I of
The Wealth of Nations.
3. Market prices and natural prices
Smith distinguishes between “market prices” and “natural prices”. About the former he
writes:
The market price of every particular commodity is regulated by the proportion between
the quantity which is actually brought to market, and the demand of those who are
willing to pay the natural prices of the commodity, or the whole value of the rent, labour,
and profit, which must be paid in order to bring it thither. Such people may be called the
effectual demanders, and their demand the effectual demand; since it may be sufficient
to effectuate the bringing of the commodity to market. (WN I.vii.8; emphasis added)
The distinction between market and natural prices corresponds to that between all kinds of
forces affecting prices in a given place and time, including forces that are temporary,
accidental and non-systematic, on the one hand, and forces that are persistent and systematic,
on the other. Natural prices reflect only persistent and systematic forces. These include
(i) The system of production actually adopted by cost-minimising producers and
(ii) Real wages paid to workers.
Real wages depend in turn inter alia on whether the economy is in a declining, stagnant or
growing state (see, for example, WN I.vii.33). Given independent variables or data (i) and (ii)
the dependent variables (a) the rate of profits and the rents of land and (b) natural prices can
be ascertained (see below). “The competition of the different dealers”, Smith writes, “obliges
them all to accept of this [natural] price, but does not oblige them to accept of less” (WN
I.vii.11). He insists that the natural price is the lowest price in the long run, “which sellers can
commonly afford to take, and at the same time continue their business”: it covers their costs
of production and yields them the ordinary rate of return on capital.
Natural prices Setting aside the problem of land and the rent of land (a very weak part in
Smith’s analysis, as Ricardo was to point out; see also Kurz and Sturn 2013a and b), the
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system of natural price equations is characterised by a uniform (net) rate of profits r on the
capital advanced in each sector of the economy.5 For the sake of achieving greater analytical
clarity we may formalize Smith’s argument. In the simple case of m single-product industries
and thus circulating capital only, and normalising gross outputs as unity, we can write the
natural price equations of classical derivation as
p = (1 + r)Ap, (1)
where p is the m-dimensional price vector (p1, p2, ..., pm)T, r is the general rate of profits and A
is the matrix of material inputs per unit of output, where the vector of inputs needed by an
industry to produce its gross output of one unit is given by the respective row of the matrix
(see Kurz and Salvadori 1995: chapter 4). Each coefficient of m m matrix A gives the
amount of a particular commodity used up as a means of production in the production of a
particular commodity plus the amount of that commodity needed in the support of the workers
producing it. We may split up matrix A into a matrix giving only the material means of
production, M, and a matrix giving the necessary subsistence of workers, S. On the
simplifying assumption of a uniform real wage per unit of labour employed in production,
given by vector wT = (w1, w2, ..., wm), and denoting the quantities of (direct) labour needed per
unit of output in the different industries by l = (l1, l2, …, lm)T, we have
A = M + S = M + lwT
and therefore
p = (1 + r)( M + lwT)p. (2)
With M, l and w given, and taking the bundle of non negative quantities of the different
commodities bT = (b1, b2, ..., bm) as the standard of value or numeraire, that is setting its value
equal to unity,
bTp = 1, (3)
the general rate of profits r and the natural prices in terms of the standard b can be
ascertained. No other data or known variables are needed to determine the unknowns.
This is a formalisation of the concept of natural prices put forward verbally by Smith in WN
I.vii.6 Here the real wage w and the rate of profits r designate what Smith called the “natural
5 Here we set aside Smith’s discussion in WN I.x of systematic and permanent
differences in profit rates due to differential risk, agreeableness of the business etc. See, therefore, Kurz and Salvadori (1995: chap. 11).
6 There is some controversy about whether Smith saw the constraint binding changes in real wages and the general rate of profits, given the system of production in use. As we argue in Kurz and Sturn (2013a: 90-112), Smith glimpsed the constraint in some
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rate of wages” and the “natural rate of profits”. At natural prices p the real wage w translates
into a nominal wage w in terms of the standard of value
w = wTp. (4)
Market prices For a given real wage, Smith considers natural prices p and rate of profits r as
centres of gravitation of market or actual prices:
The natural price, therefore, is, as it were, the central price, to which the prices of all
commodities are continually gravitating. Different accidents may sometimes keep them
suspended a good deal above it, and sometimes force them down even somewhat below
it. But whatever may be the obstacles which hinder them from settling in this center of
repose and continuance, they are constantly tending towards it. (WN I.vii.15)
Market prices are also said to “oscillate” around their natural levels.7
Why do market prices happen to deviate from their natural levels? Because there is no
presumption that the quantity of a commodity that is actually brought to market equals the
effectual demand for it, that is, that quantity which will find a sufficient, and just sufficient,
demand if the natural price of the commodity prevails. Smith conceives both of the quantity
brought to market and effectual demand as given quantities and not as schedules or functions
relating price and quantity as in marginalist theory with its concepts of the forces of “demand”
and “supply” (see Garegnani 1983). The deviation of market prices from their natural levels
reflects the fact that many economic transactions in market economies are typically not settled
ahead of time (in terms of existing future markets) or coordinated ex ante by some central
passages of The Wealth, but then lost sight of it again in others. One of the reasons for this is to be seen in the fact that he tended to associate higher real wages with a higher labour productivity (see, e.g., WN I.viii.44). Hence he did not take the system of production to be independent of real wages. In this case the impact of an increase in wages on the rate of profits is not obvious. It was Ricardo who for good established the inverse relationship between real wages and the rate of profits, given the system of production.
7 It should come as no surprise that in the context of the problem of gravitation (see Section 4 below) Smith employs terms used by Sir Isaac Newton in astronomy, indicating a certain analogy seen by Smith between the types of phenomena under consideration. What Smith appears to have in mind with respect to (p, r), paraphrased in terms of modern economic dynamics, is a stable fixed point that is not necessarily asymptotically stable; if it is not, it is a limit cycle. See, for example, Shone (2002).
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authority. The question then is by means of which mechanism is coordination achieved over
time? What Smith has to show is that such deviations are self-correcting: whenever they
emerge they swiftly activate forces from within the economic system that tend to remove
them and bring the system back to its natural or normal or long-period position. Since this
self-correcting process is supposed to work quickly and efficiently, Smith concludes that it is
admissible to focus attention on natural prices and their determinants and consider market
prices only incidentally, when short-run considerations are appropriate. This applies, for
example, to the case of a public mourning, which “raises the price of black cloth (with which
the market is almost always understocked upon such occasions) and augments the profits of
the merchants who possess any considerable quantity of it.” At the same time “It sinks the
price of coloured silks and cloths, and thereby reduces the profits of the merchants who have
any considerable quantity of them upon hand” (WN I.vii.19). In other cases substantial and
time-consuming processes of the reallocation of capital, labour and land will take place. Self-
interested behaviour, Smith is convinced, will bring about these processes and thereby
effectuate the gravitation of market prices and of distributive variables (profits, wages and
rent) towards their natural levels.
While Smith talks most of the time about the market price of a commodity (as opposed to its
natural price), as if it was a single price, he is well aware of the fact that different
circumstances of firms and customers will typically be reflected in a multiplicity of actual
prices, that is, a dispersion of market prices. In the following we set aside this aspect of
market imbalances.
The view of Smith and the subsequent Classical economists that the process of gravitation
works rather smoothly is based on two premises:
1. Whenever the quantity of a commodity brought to market is smaller (larger) than
effectual demand, the market price will be above (below) the level of the natural price
of the commodity. This implies that the sectoral (commodity-specific) rate of profit
(and/or the wage rate and or the rents paid) will be above (below) their natural level.
2. Profit-seeking producers will decrease (increase) the quantity of the commodity
brought to market, if the sectoral (commodity-specific) rate of profit is below (above)
the level in other (adjacent) sectors of the economy.
Are these premises necessary and sufficient to support Smith’s conviction that the vector of
natural prices is, in modern terms, a stable fixed point (an attractor)? This question received
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considerable attention in the aftermath of the publication of Piero Sraffa’s Production of
Commodities by Means of Commodities (1960), which was explicitly designed to reformulate
and revive “the standpoint of the old classical economists from Adam Smith to Ricardo”
(Sraffa 1960: v). However, apart from providing some allusions and hints Sraffa in his book
did not deal with the gravitation problem; he rather assumed that gravitation works. Could an
analysis of it be elaborated that supplements Sraffa’s reformulation and rectification of the
classical theory of value and distribution and thereby base Smith and the classical economists’
view on more solid ground?
4. The problem of gravitation
A rich literature on gravitation blossomed in the 1980s and 1990s, but the results were not
conclusive. Depending on the kind of formalisation chosen, prices gravitated or they didn’t .
Here is not the place to provide a detailed summary account of this literature (see Bellino
2011). It suffices to point out why some of the results were negative, doubting or denying
gravitation, whereas others were positive, basically confirming Smith’s intuition – an intuition
shared by a large number of economists, including Ricardo, John Stuart Mill, Marx and
basically also all marginalist authors working within a long-period framework of the analysis,
such as Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk, Knut Wicksell, Léon Walras, Vilfredo Pareto und Gustav
Cassel.
The majority of models were of the “cross-dual dynamics” variety. In these models it was
assumed that relative prices react upon sectoral output proportions and vice versa.8 More
precisely, the rates of change of actual prices respond to deviations of effectual demand from
the quantity brought to the market, and the rates of change of sectoral output proportions
respond to deviations of sectoral from the average (or natural) rate of profits.
The formalisation of gravitation typically starts from a given fixed point (x*, p*, r*),
characterised by a uniform rate of profits
r1 = r2 = … = rm = r*,
8 Cross-dual gravitation models were introduced into the literature by Nikaido (1983) in
the context of a discussion of Marx’s view of competition. For a short summary account of the basic approach and problems, see Boggio (1986); for a more comprehensive account, see Bellino (2011).
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and the equality between effectual demand and actual supply in each and every market
d* = s = x*,
where d* = ( , , …, ) gives the vector of effectual demands, s = (s1, s2, …, sm) gives the
vector of actual supplies and x* indicates the quantities corresponding to p* and r*. Then the
two premises of Smith’s view were modelled in the following way. Premise 1 was taken to
imply with regard to commodity j (j = 1, 2, …, m) that there exists a continuous and sign-
preserving function fj that translates differences between and sj into an instantaneous
change of actual price pj
dpj/dt = fj( – sj), (5)
where dpj/dt gives the time derivative of the market price of commodity j. Premise 2 concerns
a change in output and supply of commodity j as a consequence of capital (and labour)
movements between sectors triggered by a difference between sector j’s profit rate and the
rates yielded in adjacent sectors. This difference was seen to follow from a difference
between commodity j’s market price and its natural price. The mechanism contemplated was
translated into a continuous and sign-preserving function
dsj/dt = gj(pj – ), (6)
where dsj/dt gives the time derivative of the supply of commodity j. Movements of prices
respond to differences of quantities and vice versa: this is the basic logic of the cross-dual
models of gravitation.
Alas, it turned out that equations (5) and (6) were not sufficient to establish gravitation in the
given context. Hence, in order to overcome the impasse, various authors added to these
equations further ad hoc assumptions, including, for example the assumption that the vector
of effectual demands does not change over time or the assumption that it changes in a given
manner, for instance it grows proportionately at a given rate of growth. In the first case both
wages and profits are consumed, whereas in the second case in normal or natural conditions
and assuming that there is no saving and investment out of wages, all profits are saved and
invested in the sector in which they have been made.
This did not, however, settle the issue. While in a two-sectoral framework there is an
equivalence between (pj – ) > 0 [(pj – ) < 0] and > r* ( < r*), in an m-sectoral
framework (m > 2) this is not necessarily the case: While the market price of a commodity
may be larger (smaller) than its natural price, the sectoral (commodity-specific) profit rate
�
d1*
�
d2*
�
dm*
�
d j*
�
d j*
�
p j*
�
p j*
�
p j*
�
r j
�
r j
15
need not be larger than that of an adjacent sector or the average rate in the economy as a
whole, rø: it may be the case that the market prices of one or several of the sector’s inputs are
above their natural levels, with the effect that the rate of profit of the sector under
consideration is below the natural and the average rate in the system as a whole (see
Steedman 1984). Obviously it is not good enough to look just at the situation in a single sector
– a partial analysis will not do. One rather has to look at all sectors and their interdependences
and all prices and output levels in order to be able to assess sectoral profit rates.
The problems indicated are illustrated in Figures 1 and 2, where Figure 1 deals with the 2-
commodity case and Figure 2 with the m-commodity case. In the first case (see Fig. 1) F gives
the long-period position of the sector producing commodity j. If the amount of commodity j
(j = 1, 2) brought to market is larger than effectual demand , the actual price of
commodity j, , will be smaller than its natural price, ; correspondingly the actual rate of
profit, , will be lower than the natural rate, r*, and the rate in the other sector. Now assume
that according to the particular specification of the adjustment functions (5) and (6), the actual
price quantity constellation happens to move from E0 to E1. Clearly, actual output has to
decrease, and so it does. This part of the story appears to be all right. But the other part is not:
the momentum of a falling price of the product, implied by the initial constellation, is still
overwhelming and leads to a further drop of the price and, correspondingly, an even larger
deviation of the sectoral profit rate from the natural one and the one obtained in the other
sector. Hence the output of commodity j would have to fall even further, because < r*, and
this despite the fact that commodity j is already in short supply compared with effectual
demand.
�
s j0
�
x j*
�
p j0
�
p j*
�
r j0
�
r j1
16
In the m-sectoral case depicted in Fig. 2 a quantity brought to market of commodity j is
supposed to fall short of effectual demand, which is reflected in an actual price of commodity
j that is higher then the natural level of it; see point E0 in Fig. 2. However, for the reason
given in the above this does not necessarily mean that the commodity-specific rate of profit is
higher than the natural rate or an average of the rates obtained in the other sectors. If the rate
of profit in sector j happens to be smaller than these other rates, this would involve capital and
labour leaving the sector, thereby decreasing output and thus further increasing the deviation
from the long-period position. Instead of reducing the deviation from the long-period position,
it acerbates it with respect to commodity j. Comparing E1 and F: While the price response
seems to be all right, the higher market price is not reflected in a higher (i.e. above-average)
commodity-specific rate of profit. Therefore, more capital and labour will be withdrawn from
the sector, implying a further decrease in output and correspondingly a further increase in
commodity j’s market price and thus an even greater deviation from the long-period position.
17
Hence the dynamics of the cross-dual models of gravitation imply that the process is
inherently unstable. Does this imply that there is no reason to trust in Smith’s basic idea and,
a fortiori, in the importance of the concept of a long-period position (x*, p*, r*)? After all,
what would be the worth of an economic state – a long-period position – that is not an
attractor or centre of gravitation of actual magnitudes?
According to some commentators, the negative conclusions drawn by certain contributors to
the debate were premature. First, the negative results obtained are not as negative as they look
at first sight. Secondly, the cross-dual models can be said not to formalise the idea of
gravitation in a way that is faithful to Smith and other classical economists. If the
formalisation is adapted accordingly, stability results obtain in well-specified conditions.
Garegnani (1990) has put forward the following argument in support of gravitation. His point
of reference was Sraffa’s (1960) multi-sector analysis of the production of commodities by
means of commodities. In such a framework, while the situation displayed in Fig. 2 may
apply in some sectors, it cannot simultaneously apply in all sectors. In a system in which each
commodity enters directly or indirectly into the production of all commodities, when a
positive deviation of the market price of a particular commodity is accompanied by a negative
deviation of the rate of profit, then the same opposition of signs cannot be true for at least one
of the means of production that enters directly or indirectly into that commodity. For that
means of production both the rate of profit and the market price deviation will have to be
positive. Hence, the rise in its output will tend to reduce its market price, leading directly or
18
indirectly to an increase in the rate of profit of the commodity. This increase in the rate of
profit will then reverse “the initial ‘perverse’ [fall] in output” (Garegnani 1990: 331).
As regards the second point, if one replaces adjustment mechanism (5) by a mechanism in
which the levels (rather than the rates of change) of market prices relative to natural prices
respond to differences between effectual demand and quantities brought to market, it can be
shown that the processes converge to a long-period position (see Bellino and Serrano 2011).
Finally, Salvadori and Signorino (2014a) argue that Smith (but also, for example, Marx), refer
to market prices not as a single price holding at a given moment of time, but as a constellation
of prices that reduce to a single one only in the special cases of a buyers’ market or a sellers’
market, and that market prices could be studied using probability distributions as students of
Bertrand competition have done. With respect to gravitation they argue that the difficulties
encountered in the respective literature are probably related to the erroneous concept of
market price as a single magnitude. It will still have to be investigated whether the difficulties
might perhaps be overcome by starting from dispersed prices, as Smith had suggested.
Related to this a few further observations on Smith’s analysis are apposite. He stressed that
reactions of prices in different sectors will typically be different, reflecting differences in the
characteristic features of the sectors, the needs and wants of people, their wealth etc. And he
stressed that a deficient supply will trigger a competition among buyers (so-called sellers’
market), whereas an excess supply will trigger a competition among sellers (so-called buyers’
market): competition will thus be ignited on what is nowadays dubbed the “long” side of the
market. For example, Smith emphasised that consequent upon a deficiency of actual supply
compared with effectual demand
A competition will immediately begin among them, and the market price will rise more
or less above the natural price, according to as either the greatness of the deficiency, or
the wealth and wanton luxury of the competitors, happen to animate more or less the
eagerness of the competition. Among competitors of equal wealth and luxury the same
deficiency will generally occasion a more or less eager competition, according as the
acquisition of the commodity happens to be or more or less importance to them: Hence
the exorbitant price of the necessities of life during the blockade of a town or in a
famine. (WN I.vii.9)
In the case of the quantity exceeding effectual demand
19
The market price will sink more or less below the natural price, according as the
greatness of the excess increases more or less the competition of the sellers, or
according as it happens to be more or less important to them to get immediately rid of
the commodity. The same excess of the importation of perishable, will occasion a much
greater competition than in that of durable commodities; in the importation of oranges,
for example, than in that of old iron. (WN I.vii.10)
Translating Smith’s reasoning into a formalisation in which the levels of prices and the levels
of output will be affected by deviations of outputs and prices from their natural levels then
allows one to discuss Smith’s intuition of the stabilising role played by the mobility of capital
(and labour).
We may conclude this section by stating that while the stability issue is far from being fully
settled, in the light of some recent studies it appears to look less disquieting than it did some
time ago. In the following we rely on Smith’s idea of the stability of commodity markets in
the sense that in competitive conditions actual prices can be taken to converge towards, or
oscillate around, their natural levels.
We now turn briefly to what we called the centrifugal force of competition: the rivalry in a
race makes producers seek to defend themselves from competitors by introducing new
methods of production and new goods. Competition, the story goes, is responsible for what
was later called the restlessness of the capitalist economy, continuously generating change
from within.9
5. Improvements
Here it suffices to draw the attention to the following elements of Smith’s analysis.10 First,
Smith saw improvements taking place in all sectors of the economy. The successful innovator
is said to make extra profits for a while until as a consequence of imitation and the diffusion
of the improvement across the economy the extra profits of the pioneer will erode and a new
long-period position emerge. Smith pointed out:
9 The sung hero of “new combinations”, that is, innovations, and the process of “creative
destruction” is, of course, Joseph A. Schumpeter (1912); see Kurz (2012) and Kurz and Sturn (2012). The unsung hero, one might add, is Marx.
10 For a more detailed discussion of Smith’s view of technical change, its achievements and shortcomings, see also Aspromourgos (2009), Kurz (2010) and Kurz and Sturn (2013a).
20
The establishment of any new manufacture, of any new branch of commerce, or of any
new practice in agriculture, is always a speculation, from which the projector promises
himself extraordinary profits. These profits sometimes are very great, and sometimes,
more frequently, perhaps, they are quite otherwise; but in general they bear no regular
proportion to those of other old trades in the neighbourhood. If the project succeeds,
they are commonly at first very high. When the trade or practice becomes thoroughly
established and well known, the competition reduces them to the level of other trades.
(WN I.x.b.43)
Secondly, while innovations unleash centrifugal forces, which displace the old long-period
position of the economy (x*, p*, w*, r*) and define a new one (x**, p**, w**, r**), they at
the same time activate the centripetal forces of competition that move the system towards the
latter.
Third, a part and parcel of the ever deeper division of labour induced by competition is the
emergence of what nowadays is called the Research and Development (R&D) sector of the
economy. Smith observes:
All the improvements in machinery … have by no means been the inventions of those
who had occasion to use the machines. Many improvements have been made by the
ingenuity of the makers of the machines, when to make them became the business of a
peculiar trade; and some by that of those who are called philosophers or men of
speculation, whose trade it is, not to do any thing, but to observe every thing; and who,
upon that account, are often capable of combining together the powers of the most
distant and dissimilar objects. In the progress of society, philosophy or speculation
becomes, like every other employment, the principal or sole trade and occupation of a
particular class of citizens. (WN I.i.9; emphasis added)
Philosophy or speculation, that is, science, percolates ever more modern society and becomes
the foundation of its material metabolism and surplus creation. 250 years before the invention
of the term “knowledge society” Smith insists that “the quantity of science” available to a
society decides its members’ productivity and wealth (WN I.i.9).
Fourth, it is interesting to note that Smith uses the combinatory metaphor to describe novelty:
new economically useful knowledge derives from the combination of reconfigured bits of
known particles of knowledge – a definition, which involves the path dependency of progress
in knowledge. Interestingly, Schumpeter (1912) and several other economists after him
adopted the metaphor.
21
Fifth, the unintended consequences of self-seeking behaviour are an important theme in
Smith’s analysis. By pursuing their profit interests, capitalists are said to trigger a process,
which eventually, “behind their backs” as Marx was to say, improve the lot of the many, that
is, increase also the incomes of the “labouring poor” (WN I.i.1) and are thus beneficial to
society as a whole. This is Smith’s main argument in favour of a market economy. The
criticism of selfishness, greed and rapacity from a purely moral point of view by the canonists
and Schoolmen focuses attention on individual motives, but ignores largely the effects that
according to Smith follow from actions based upon such motives. In a well-governed society
self-interested behaviour is seen to generate largely socially beneficial results. A narrowly
moral point of view prevents one from forming a solid judgement on the subject matter.11
In the following two sections we take into account additional aspects of the problem at hand.
We begin with a discussion of the problems of what nowadays are called asymmetric
information, moral hazard and adverse selection in Section 6, with the focus being on banking
and financial markets. It is interesting to see that Smith’ analysis foreshadows these concepts.
Then, in Section 7, we turn briefly to “the wretched spirit of monopoly”, which Smith
considered to be the greatest danger to a regime of “natural liberty” and which, in his view,
dominated the mercantilist system.
6. Asymmetric information, moral hazard and adverse selection
Up until now we have dealt only with markets for commodities such as agricultural products
and manufactures, that is commodities that can be used as means of production and means of
subsistence or luxuries. Smith was very well aware of the fact that especially financial and
money markets are very different from commodity markets.
The introduction of paper money on a large scale in France at the beginning of the 18th
century, which was arguably one of the greatest innovations in the entire history of money
and finance, was widely discussed at the time. Smith understood very well that the way it was
11 Smith appears to have been overly optimistic in this regard, because an increase in real
wages was retarded for quite some time till after the Industrial Revolution had got in full swing, as studies in economic history show. Smith counted first and foremost upon capitalist dynamics, which he hoped would drive up wages despite workers’ weak position in society. He indicated that a legal regulation of the labour contract could assist the ‘natural’ forces and improve the living conditions of workers (see Aspromourgos 2013: 286). He did not foresee, however, the rise of trade unions and their impact on wages.
22
done brought France to the brink of collapse and was accompanied by what is known as the
“Mississippi Bubble”. The introduction of paper money under the Duke of Orléans, the regent
of France, was carried out following (at least partly) plans elaborated by John Law, a
Scotsman like Smith and an excellent mathematician and gambler. It was meant to reduce the
enormous debt the French King had accumulated. Law had argued that there was no danger of
inflation and instability, because the counter-value to paper money consisted in (parts of) the
land possessed by the King.
Interestingly, Smith approved of the introduction of paper money and compared it explicitly
to “some improvements in mechanicks” (WN II.ii.39), that is technical progress, because it
allowed the replacement of gold and silver, highly precious metals, by a material whose
production costs were close to nil. However, he also saw the dangers associated with the new
financial instrument. While “The gold and silver money which circulates in any economy may
very properly be compared to a highway”, on which commodities are transported, paper
money represents instead “a sort of waggon-way through the air”. The commerce and industry
of a country, Smith warned, “cannot be altogether so secure, when they are thus, as it were,
suspended upon the Daedalian wings of paper money, as when they travel upon the solid
ground of gold and silver.” (WN II.ii.86; emphasis added)
He dubbed the plans of the “famous Mr. Law … splendid, but visionary” (WN II.ii.78). What
was needed was an implementation of paper money by a “judicious operation of banking”
(WN II.ii.86). In a single paragraph the concept of judicious or “prudent” operation of
banking is mentioned four times! Yet even if all bankers were “people of undoubted credit”
(WN II.ii.95) this would not be enough to ban all dangers. Smith expounded:
Over and above the accidents to which they [i.e. commerce and industry] are exposed
from the unskilfulness of the conductors of this paper money, they are liable to several
others, from which no prudence or skill of those conductors can guard them. (WN
II.ii.86; emphasis added)
His pessimism was rooted in phenomena we nowadays call asymmetric information, moral
hazard and adverse selection. These are widespread if not ubiquitous, and even the most
judicious regulations of the banking system can only restrict, but not entirely eliminate them.
Asymmetric information and moral hazard “Mean people” will have a particular incentive
to become bankers, Smith observed, if they are allowed to issue bank notes for very small
sums. As several examples in history show, this triggered large increases of the circulation of
paper money, economic crises and the bankruptcy of many banks. The “beggarly bankers”,
23
Smith warned, may cause “a very great calamity to many poor people who had received their
notes in payment.” (WN II.ii.90) From this he concluded that the issuance of bank notes for
very small sums ought to be prohibited by law. Notes for large sums ought to be used in
transactions amongst merchants, whereas ordinary people ought to use only coins and thus
travel upon the solid grounds of silver and gold. His proposal implied the co-existence of two
circuits of money that were supposed not to communicate with one another.
Smith was clear that to restrain a banker from issuing small notes “is a manifest violation of
that natural liberty which it is the proper business of law, not to infringe, but to support.” He
added:
Such regulations may, no doubt, be considered as in some respect a violation of natural
liberty. But those exertions of the natural liberty of a few individuals, which might
endanger the security of the whole society, are, and ought to be, restrained by the laws
of all governments; of the most free, as well as of the most despotical. The obligation of
building party walls, in order to prevent the communication of fire, is a violation of
natural liberty, exactly of the same kind with the regulations of the banking trade which
are here proposed. (WN II.ii.94)
Information asymmetries permeate The Wealth of Nations. Smith even classifies the three
grand orders of men – landlords, workers and capitalists – according to their members’ access
to information and knowledge. (1) Landlords, he writes, receive revenue (rent) that “costs
them neither labour nor care, but comes to them, … independent of any plan or project of
their own.” This makes them indolent and “renders them too often, not only ignorant, but
incapable of that application of mind which is necessary in order to foresee and understand
the consequences of any publick regulation.” (WN I.xi.p.8) (2) Things are worse with respect
to the second order of people: the worker’s “condition leaves him no time to receive the
necessary information, and his education and habits are commonly such as to render him unfit
to judge even though he was fully informed.” The worker is most in danger of being
manipulated: “In the publick deliberation, therefore, his voice is little heard and less regarded,
except upon some particular occasions, when his clamour is animated, set on, and supported
by his employers, not for his, but their own particular purposes.” (WN I.xi.p.9; emphasis
added) (3) The people that are best informed in economic and political matters are merchants
and master manufacturers, who “during their whole lives … are engaged in plans and
projects”, and who, therefore, “have frequently more acuteness of understanding than the
greater part of country gentlemen.” (WN I.xi.p.10) These men, possessed of a “superior
24
knowledge of their own interest”, are on the one hand the source of economic development.
Their selfishness may, however, be detrimental to the interests of the other classes and society
at large. Smith insists with special reference to the ‘dealers’ or market intermediaries:
The interest of the dealers, however, in any particular branch of trade or manufactures,
is always in some respects different from, and even opposite to, that of the publick. To
widen the market and to narrow the competition, is always the interest of the dealers. To
widen the market may frequently be agreeable enough to the interest of the publick; but
to narrow the competition must always be against it, and can serve only to enable the
dealers, by raising their profits above what they naturally would be, to levy, for their
own benefit, an absurd tax upon the rest of their fellow-citizens.
Smith continues in an alarming tone:
The proposal of any new law or regulation of commerce which comes from this order,
ought always to be listened to with great precaution, and ought never to be adopted till
after having been long and carefully examined, not only with the most scrupulous, but
with the most suspicious attention. It comes from an order of men, whose interest is
never exactly the same with that of the publick, who have generally an interest to
deceive and even to oppress the publick, and who accordingly have, upon many
occasions, both deceived and oppressed it. (WN I.xi.p.10; emphases added)
Those who are better informed – dealers, merchants, manufacturers and moneyed men – may
use their superior knowledge to the detriment of others, whether in discussions of political
matters or in economic transactions. Their counterparts – customers, consumers, and, in
general, workers – are in danger of being “pulled over the barrel”, as the proverb says: they
are exposed to moral hazard. Smith stressed especially that bankers are willing to take risks,
knowing that in case of failure the potential costs of their decisions will be borne by others.12
12 Interestingly, Robert Lucas Jr. opined: “I think of all progress in economic thinking, in
the kind of basic core of economic theory, as developing entirely as learning how to do what Hume and Smith and Ricardo wanted to do, only better. (Lucas 2004: 22) Can Smith (or Hume or Ricardo) be said to have entertained the view that a society whose members are characterised by conflicting interests and asymmetries in economic power and information levels be analysed in terms of a single “representative agent”? Certainly not. Lucas’s claim that his analysis is rooted in that of the classical economists is without any foundation. What can at most be said is that the classical economists contemplated the interplay of different representative agents, where each agent represents either a class of people (workers, capitalists, landlords) or a group within a class (e.g. merchants, masters, moneyed men).
25
Adverse selection Smith stressed that projects that exhibit a higher expected profitability are
typically also more risky.13 As the recent financial crisis illustrated once again, many people
ignored this fact. They fell victim to “irrational exuberance” (Alan Greenspan). Smith’s
respective observations read like a commentary on the crisis. With the (occasionally
hypertrophic) growth of a bank’s business, bankers “can know very little about [their
debtors]”. They give money to
chimerical projectors, the drawers and re-drawers of circulating bills of exchange, who
would employ the money in extravagant undertaking, which, with all the assistance that
could be given them, they would probably never be able to compleat, and which, if they
should be compleated, would never repay the expence which they had really cost …
(WN II.ii.77)
The problem, Smith stressed, is that “chimerical projectors” are willing to offer high rates of
interest to banks because they expect very high profits from their “extravagant undertaking”,
and, should the undertaking fail, do not intend to pay back the debt. The “sober and frugal
debtors”, who “might have less of the grand and the marvellous, [but] more of the solid and
the profitable”, on the contrary would, after careful calculation, be prepared to pay only a
lower rate of interest. Banks can therefore be expected to go for the chimerical and not for the
sober and frugal. This leads to an adverse selection, which transfers a great part of the capital
of a country “from prudent and profitable, to imprudent and unprofitable undertakings” (WN
II.ii.77).
Smith opposed the prohibition of interest taking – the laws against “usury”, as they existed in
several countries at his time. “This regulation”, he wrote,
instead of preventing, has been found from experience to increase the evil of usury; the
debtor being obliged to pay, not only for the use of the money, but for the risk which his
13 With regard to different employments of capital Smith stresses: “The ordinary rate of
profit always rises more or less with the risk.“ (WN I.x.b.33). He exemplifies this in terms of foreign trade, which may be considered to be more profitable, but also more risky. Caring for the security of his investment and being possessed of a risk-averse attitude, the typical investor, Smith surmises, can be expected to employ his capital at home. He thus supports domestic rather than foreign industry, “led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention” (WN IV.ii.9). But there is also the other side of the coin: man typically shows a “contempt of risk and the presumptuous hope of success” (WN I.x.b.29), a fact around which the discussion in the section above revolves.
26
creditor runs by accepting a compensation for that use. He is obliged, if one may say so,
to insure his creditor from the penalties of usury. (WN II.iv.13; emphasis added)
Yet he advocated a legal upper boundary to the rate of interest, which “ought not to be much
above the lowest market rate”. If there was no such upper limit, or if the legal rate was fixed
at too high a level,
the greater part of the money which was to be lent, would be lent to prodigals and
projectors, who alone would be willing to give this high interest. Sober people, who will
give for the use of money no more than a part of what they are likely to make by the use
of it, would not venture into competition. A great part of the capital of the country
would thus be kept out of the hands which were most likely to make a profitable and
advantageous use of it, and thrown into those which were most likely to waste and
destroy it. Where the legal rate of interest, on the contrary, is fixed but a very little
above the lowest market rate, sober people are universally preferred, as borrowers, to
prodigals and projectors. The person who lends money gets nearly as much interest
from the former as he dares to take from the latter, and his money is much safer in the
hands of one set of people, than in those of the other. A great part of the capital of the
country is thus thrown into the hands in which it is most likely to be employed with
advantage. (WN II.iv.15)
The argument shows that for Smith the question was not whether or not the banking trade
ought to be regulated: the answer was a resounding yes. The question was rather which
regulations would look after “the security of the whole society” and at the same time leave
enough room for the pursuit of self-interest and allow banks to provide the needed credit for
doing so.
To conclude, we address briefly what in Smith’s view constituted a major threat to
competitive conditions and thus the system of natural liberty – the wretched spirit of
monopoly.14
7. The “wretched spirit of monopoly”
This spirit was constantly seeking possibilities to remove competition and establish
monopolistic conditions. The monopolist does not have to fear competitors, who underbid his 14 For a comprehensive discussion of Smith’s theory of monopoly, see Salvadori and
Signorino (2014).
27
price, take away from him a part of the market and profits. Monopolies are able “to keep up
the market price, for a long time together, a good deal above the natural price” (WN I.vii.20).
The difference between the monopoly and the natural price is pocketed as super-normal
profit. Hence, to stop competition is in the interest of the single merchant and master
manufacturer because it is profitable to do so. Smith’s concept of monopoly is much broader
than the modern one, which restricts the term to the case in which there is basically only a
single producer and seller. In Smith a lasting difference between the market and the natural
price is the characteristic feature of a monopoly, that is, gravitation is blocked. In terms of our
system of price equations (1), the competitive rate of profits r would have to be replaced by
differential rates r1, r2, …, rm – one for each sector, where rj > 0, j = 1, 2, …, m, and each set
of (feasible) rates would typically be accompanied by a different set of relative prices. We
may illustrate this in terms of just two sectors. In Figure 3 the real wage rate in terms of one
of the commodities ω is measured along the vertical axis, whereas the sector-specific profit
rates r1 and r2 are measured along the two axes on the bottom plane. At a given natural wage
rate ω*, the uniform competitive rate of profits r* (= r1 = r2) would be given by the
intersection of the 45° line and the intersection of the r1-r2-ω relationship (also known as
“wage frontier”; see Kurz and Salvadori 1995: 50-51) and the plane parallel to the level ω* of
the real wage rate. If in one sector producers are able to pocket a higher rate of profit than the
natural one, because of monopolistic privileges, and if the real wage rate happens to be
unaffected by this, then the rate of profit in the other sector will have to be smaller than the
natural one. In Fig. 3 such a constellation is given by r2 > r* > r1. Hence the three distributive
variables are not independent of one another: given any one of them, the other two are
inversely related.15 Smith showed some awareness of this (although there are passages in The
Wealth that shed doubts on his understanding). He also understood somewhat that changing
income distribution, that is, in the present analytical framework: hypothetically moving on the
surface of the wage frontier, would be accompanied by changes in relative prices (see Kurz
and Sturn 2013a: section 2.6.3).
15 To provide a recent example: When the former CEO of Deutsche Bank, Josef
Ackermann, requested a rate of return of 25% for his business, this should have been understood as a sort of declaration of war in the dispute over the distribution of income to the other industries in the economy and to workers. Clearly, for given technical conditions of production one side can only gain at the cost of some other side(s).
28
Fig. 3: The wage frontier
Smith distinguishes between natural and artificial monopolies. A particular French wine that
grows only on land of a special location and quality and therefore is limited in supply, for
example, may bring the proprietor of the land a monopoly rent, provided the demand for the
wine is high and keeps the market price constantly above its natural level. Several cases,
which in modern theory involve a natural monopoly, Smith mentions only in passing. His
attention focuses instead on artificial monopolies as the result of economic policy measures.
These monopolies can, in principle, be dissolved again and according to Smith they should,
because “The price of monopoly is upon every occasion the highest which can be got. The
natural price, or the price of free competition, on the contrary, is the lowest which can be
taken … for any considerable time together.” (WN I.vii.27) Smith expounds:
A monopoly granted either to an individual or to a trading company has the same effect
as a secret in trade or manufactures. The monopolists, by keeping the market constantly
under-stocked, by never fully supplying the effectual demand, sell their commodities
much above the natural price, and raise their emoluments, whether they consist in wages
or profit, greatly above their natural rate. (WN I.vii.26; emphasis added)
Smith is not always and under any circumstances opposed to legal monopolies: see, especially
his endorsement of the Act of Navigation. But he insists that they must be temporary, subject
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29
to strict requirements and severe supervision and control. The English East India Company
and similar companies are forbidding examples of the enormous damage legal monopolies
can cause that are not so:
The constant view of such companies is always to raise the rate of their own profit as
high as they can; to keep the market, both for the goods which they export, and for those
which they import, as much understocked as they can: which can be done only by
restraining the competition, or by discouraging new adventurers from entering into the
trade. (WN V.i.e.10)
And elsewhere Smith observes:
Some nations have given up the whole commerce of their colonies to an exclusive
company, of whom the colonists were obliged to buy all such European goods as they
wanted, and to whom they were obliged to sell the whole of their own surplus produce.
It was the interest of the company, therefore, not only to sell the former as dear, and to
buy the latter as cheap as possible, but to buy no more of the latter, even at this low
price, than what they could dispose of for a very high price in Europe. It was their
interest, not only to degrade in all cases the value of the surplus produce of the colony,
but in many cases to discourage and keep down the natural increase of its quantity. Of
all the expedients that can well be contrived to stunt the natural growth of a new colony,
that of an exclusive company is undoubtedly the most effectual. (WN IV.vii.b22)
The rule of such companies in the colonies was typically violent and cruel. And while Smith
was a fervent advocate of free trade, he deplored the fact that “The savage injustice of the
Europeans rendered an event, which ought to have been beneficial to all, ruinous and
destructive to several of those unfortunate countries.” (WN IV.i.32)
Finally, we must discuss briefly Smith’s view of the determination of wages in Chapter VIII
of Book I of The Wealth of Nations and whether it is related to the problem of monopoly.
Smith emphasised that there is a conflict over the distribution of income:
What are the common wages of labour depends every where upon the contract usually
made between those two parties, whose interests are by no means the same. The
workmen desire to get as much, the masters to give as little as possible. The former are
disposed to combine in order to raise, the later in order to lower the wages of labour.
(WN I.viii.11)
He added:
30
It is not, however, difficult to foresee which of the two parties must, upon all ordinary
occasions, have the advantage in the dispute, and force the other into compliance with
their terms. [1] The masters, being fewer in number, can combine much more easily;
and [2] the law, besides, authorises, or at least does not prohibit their combinations,
while it prohibits those of the workmen. We have no acts of parliament against
combining to lower the price of work; but many against combining to raise it. In all
such disputes the masters can hold out much longer. … [3] [Masters] could generally
live a year or two upon the stocks which they have already acquired. Many workmen
could not subsist a week, few could subsist a month, and scarce any a year without
employment. (WN I.viii.12)
Because of the reasons [1]-[3] given, workers’ bargaining position is weak and they must
typically accept the conditions dictated by employers in the “dispute” over wages. “Masters”,
Smith observed, “are always and every where in a sort of tacit, but constant and uniform
combination, not to raise the wages of labour above their actual rate. To violate this
combination is every where a most unpopular action, and a sort of reproach to a master
among his neighbours and equals.” He added: “We seldom, indeed, hear of this combination,
because it is the usual, and one may say, the natural state of things which nobody ever hears
of.” (WN I.viii.13; emphasis added) It is only in conditions of swift economic expansion,
when the growth of the demand for hands exceeds the supply that masters violate the
combination:
The scarcity of hands occasions a competition among masters, who bid against one
another, in order to get workmen, and thus voluntarily break through the natural
combination of masters not to raise wages. (WN I.viii.17)16
The combination of masters not to raise (and possibly even to reduce) wages Smith
interestingly calls the “natural state of things”. The success of masters in this regard would
therefore lead to a lower real wage (w in Section 3 or ω in the present section), but not
necessarily to a distortion of competitive conditions between different sectors reflected in
differential profit rates.17 In terms of Alfred Marshall’s distinction between “class conflicts”
16 In Smith the level of the real wage rate is contingent upon the balance of power between
workers and masters, which in turn depends inter alia on the rate of capital accumulation.
17 Smith’s idea was picked up by several authors and may be seen to be at the origin of the concept of “class monopoly” as it was advocated, for example, by the German
31
and “trade conflicts” – that is, the “discords of interest among the several sections of a nation,
and between each of those sections and the nation as a whole” (Marshall [1919] 1920: 17) –
we would have to speak of a class conflict. But in case monopolistic privileges of some
industry impact negatively both on the profits of capitalists in other industries and on the
wages of workers in general, we would have a superposition of both types of conflict, and
Smith’s respective disquisition would have also a bearing on the theme dealt with in this
section.
8. Concluding remark
Markets and trade are, in principle, good things – provided there is competition. But
competition is always in danger of being undermined and eroded, giving way to monopolies
which are very comfortable and highly profitable to monopolists and may spell great trouble
for many people. In Smith’s view Political Economy – as an important and perhaps even the
most important part of a kind of master political science, encompassing the science of the
legislator – has the task to fight superstition and false beliefs in matters of economic policy,
to debunk opinions that present individual interests as promoting the general good, and to
propose a regulatory framework for markets and institutions that helps to ward off threats to
the security of the society as a whole and provide incentives such that self-seeking behaviour
has also socially beneficial effects.
The paper shows that the ideas of Adam Smith still may resonate and illuminate problems of
today and theories, which try to tackle them.
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