Actions to Achieve Sustainable Agriculture while Responding to Climate Change Goals
description
Transcript of Actions to Achieve Sustainable Agriculture while Responding to Climate Change Goals
Actions to Achieve Sustainable Agriculture
while Responding to Climate Change GoalsFahmuddin Agus
Indonesian Soil Research InstituteJln. Juanda 98, Bogor 16123, Indonesia
REDD-plus after Cancun: Moving from Negotiation to Implementation
Building REDD-plus Policy Capacity forDeveloping Country Negotiators and Land Managers
18-20 May 2011, Hanoi, Vietnam
Coverage Introduction Indonesian agricultureActions to achieve sustainable
agriculture and reduce emissions, and supporting policies needed
Conclusions
Food crops
2000 2001 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
25000000
Sweet potatoSoybeanPeanutMung beanMaizeRiceCommodity
Source: http://database.deptan.go.id/
Production of major food crops (million ton)
2000200120032004200520062007200820090
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000
50000000
60000000
70000000
Rice (unhusked)MaizeSoybeanSweet potatoCassava
Source: http://database.deptan.go.id/
Food crop agriculture Area almost constant, intensification
in rice and maize Susceptible to extreme climate
conditions (drought, flood) and indirect effects entailed (pest and diseases)
The main indicator for food security and affect social and political stability
Development of plantation crops
20002001200220032004200520062007200820090
2000000400000060000008000000
100000001200000014000000160000001800000020000000
#REF!Sugar caneCoffeeOil PalmCoconutRubber
Year
Are
a (m
illio
n ha
)
Source: http://database.deptan.go.id/
Development of oil palm plantation
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Are
a (m
illion
ha)
Smallholders State Plantations Private Plantation
Source: Dir. General of Estate crops (2010)
Low yld (1-2 t/ha/yr)High Yield (3.6 t P
O/ha/yr)
PRODUCTION OF PALM OIL, 1967-2009
0
5
10
15
20
25
Pro
duct
ion
(Mill
ion
ton)
Smallholders State Plantations Private Plantation
El Nino year
Source: Dir. General of Estate crops GE (2010)
EXPORT OF PALM OIL
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics (2010)
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 20100
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000Volume (ton)
Export volume
Land use change to OP from 1990–2009
0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.41.61.8
OIL
PAL
M 1
990
UNDI
ST F
ORE
ST
DIST
FO
REST
UNDI
ST S
WAM
P …
UNDI
ST …
DIST
SW
AMP …
DIST
MAN
GRO
VE
RUBB
ER
TIM
BER …
TIM
BER …
SCHR
UB
SWAM
P SC
HRUB
ANNU
AL U
PLAN
D
GRAS
S
SWAM
P GR
ASS
RICE
FIE
LD
BARE
LAND
OTH
ERS
Area
(Mill
ionh
a)
Non-peatland
Peatland
Non-forest, 68%
Forest, 32%
Source: Agus et al. 2011 (on-going study, unpublished)
Plantation/tree based agriculture
Oil palm plantation area increases very rapidly.
Generate foreign exchange earning Supports regional development ,
especially in Sumatera and Kalimantan islands
A driver of LUC OP plantation provides employment
to more than 3.5 millions households (as workers and farmers) or about 15 million people
Energy50.5%
Industry7.7%
Agriculture13.6%
Waste28.3%
Without LUCF
With LUCF
Source: MoE, 2009
Energy20% Industry
3%
Agriculture5%
Land Use Change and Forestry
47%
Peat Fire12%
Waste11%
Sector Gg CO2e
• Energy 280,938-
• Industry 42,815-
• Agriculture 75,420-
• Land Use Change and Forestry (excl. peat fire) 649,254-
• Peat Fire 172,000-
• Waste 157,328-
• Total without LUCF 535,730-• Total with LUCF(incl.peat fire) 1356,984-
Agriculture in GHG Emissions
Emission Rdxn target from the BAU of 2020
13
Sector ER target Emisi (Giga ton CO2e)
Action plan Implementers
26% 15%
Forestry and peatland
Waste management
Agriculture
Industry
Energy and transportation
0.672
0.048
0.008
0.001
0.038
0.367
0.030
0.003
0.004
0.018
Fire control, water mgmt, land and forest rehab, forest plantation, community forest, control of illegal logging, avoided defor, capacity building
Waste management, handling and recycling
Introduction of low CH4 emission varieties, water use efficiency, organic fertilizer
Energy efficiency, use of renewable energy.
Use of biofuel, more efficient engines, improvement of infrastructure, etc
MoF, MoE, PoPW, MoA
MoPW, PoE
MoA, MoE
M0I&T
MoTransportation, MoE&Minaral, MoP
0.767 0.422
Source: MoE, 2009
From REDD+ to REDD++ or REALU
Actions that potentially reduce emission: Peatland
Avoided deforestation Control of peat fire Use of ameliorant Water table control: as shallow as possible to
the level that does not detriment plant growth Prioritization of the use of drained peat
shrubs for plantation development
Actions on Mineral soil
Rehabilitation/utilization of Imperata grassland and shrubland for tree-based farming
Soil organic matter management: minimum tillage, organic matter recycling, use of biochar
0~250 t C/ha
Processes entailed in peat forest conversion
60 c
m
(2) Soil C oxidation
30-50 t C/ha
(1) Change in time average C stock
Peat subsidence (peat)
300-800 t C/m/ha in peat soil
15-200 t C/ha in surface of mineral soil
(3) Peat (soil) burning
Carbon balance related to LULUCF (t CO2/ha/year)
Land usePeat forest Shrub Oil palm
Rubber/AF Sawah Maize
Pine-apple
Vege-table
Peat forest 0 56 66 50 39 87 53 50Shrub 22 38 22 11 59 25 22Oil palm 32 x x x x xRubber/AF 16 x x x xSawah 5 x x xMaize 53 x xPineapple 19 xVegetable 16
Potential emission related to LUC on mineral soil
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Oil palm
Rubb
er
Cocon
ut
Jatrop
ha Tea
Suga
r cane Co
ffee
Cacao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
Plant
Soil
02468
101214161820
Oil palm
Rubb
er
Cocon
ut
Jatrop
ha Tea
Sugar
cane
Coffe
eCa
cao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
Plant
Soil
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
Oil palm
Rubbe
r
Cocon
ut
Jatro
pha Te
a
Sugar
cane
Coffee
Cacao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
Plant
Soil-14
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
Oil palm
Rubbe
r
Cocon
ut
Jatro
pha Te
a
Sugar
cane
Coffee
Cacao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
PlantSoil
Primary forest to plantation Secondary forest to plantation
Shrubland to plantation Imperata grassland to plantation
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Oil palm
Rubb
er
Cocon
ut
Jatrop
ha Tea
Suga
r cane Co
ffee
Cacao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
Plant
Soil
02468
101214161820
Oil palm
Rubb
er
Cocon
ut
Jatrop
ha Tea
Sugar
cane
Coffe
eCa
cao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
Plant
Soil
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
Oil palm
Rubbe
r
Cocon
ut
Jatro
pha Te
a
Sugar
cane
Coffee
Cacao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
Plant
Soil-14
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
Oil palm
Rubbe
r
Cocon
ut
Jatro
pha Te
a
Sugar
cane
Coffee
Cacao
Plantation system
CO2
Emis
sion
s (t/
ha/y
r)
PlantSoil
Primary forest to plantation Secondary forest to plantation
Shrubland to plantation Imperata grassland to plantation
Source: Agus et al. (2009)
NAMA-LAMA and expected emission reduction in “Agriculture”
Avoid deep drainage (reduce drainage depth by about 10 cm) in peatland agriculture
Area (ha) At least 1.3 MhaAssumptions 1. Emission decrease 5,4 t CO2 ha-1 yr-1 with 10
cm reduction in drainage depth,2. This technology can be implemented on at
least 25% of plantation on peatland by 2020 .Estimated emission reduction (t CO2-e yr-1)
1,770,353
Supporting policy needed
• Extension on sustainable peatland management
Rehabilitation of shrubland with tree-based farming
Area1) (ha) 17,297,294 (MoE , 2009)Assumptions 2% of the shrubland with <30 t C/ha can be
converted to plantation with about 40 t C/ha (time average) annually
Estimated emission reduction (t CO2-e yr-1)
12,696,214
Supporting policy needed
• Evaluation of land suitability • Clearance of land status into “APL” if
it’s in conversion forest and production forest
• Clearance of multiple claims/tenures, if any
• Evaluation of labour availability • Provision of funds , quality planting
materials (for smallholders) for the establishment and maintenance until the system produces
Rehabilitation of bare/Imperata grassland with tree based farming
Area1) (ha) 6,194,949 (MoE , 2009)Assumptions 2% of the bareland (2 t C/ha) can be
converted to tree based systems (40 t C/ha)
Estimated emission reduction (t CO2-e yr-1)
17,278,952
Supporting policy needed
• Evaluation of land suitability • Clearance of land status into “APL”
if it’s in conversion forest and production forest
• Clearance of multiple claims/tenures, if any
• Evaluation of labor availability • Provision of funds for the
establishment and maintenance until the system produces
Soil organic matter management on (annual) upland agriculture
Area1) (ha) 10,536,523 (MoE , 2009)Assumptions This option is implemented on 2% of the
total area to increase SOC from the average of 80 t ha-1 to 88 t ha-1 (time average)
Estimated emission reduction (t CO2-e yr-1)
3,093,523
Supporting policy needed
Technical guidance of the use and benefits of locally available organic matter
Land swap for agric. extensification from high C stock (including peat) land bank to low C stock
areas within same district Area1) (ha) ?Assumptions Area for swapping is available within same
district, seems too complicated across districts Estimated emission reduction (t CO2-e yr-1)
-
Supporting policy needed
• Clearance of the status of the substitute land into “APL”
• Change in land status of the high C land bank to conservation area
• Clearance of multiple claims/tenures, if any
• Evaluation of labour availability
Summing the ER from Agric.(under very conservative assumptions)
NAMA-LAMAEstimated ER by 2020 (t CO2-e yr-1)
Avoid deep drainage on peatland 1,770,353
Water management, variety on paddy field 8,000,000Rehabilitation of shrubland 12,696,214
Rehabilitation of Imperata grassland 17,278,952 Organic matter management on annual upland
3,093,523
TOTAL 42,839,042
Basic Requirement for NAMA-LAMA Development
Emission factorsVerified and agreed land cover and
land status map for developing LUC matrices
Example of LUC matrixCentral Kalimantan Mineral Land Cover 2005 UDF DIF USF UDM DSF DIM RPL OPL TPL MTC SCH SSH DCL SET GRS SGR RCF CFP MIN WAB BRL NCLTotal_ha
Land Cover 2000
UDF5,970,73
7 99,482 8,219 2,155 48 91,045 14,902 28 6,186,615DIF 576,184 23,452 7,634 3,544 199,660 13,709 83 128 344 824,739USF 823,220 61,848 6,785 6,552 884 319 899,609
UDM 0DSF 233,099 382 22,918 333 552 257,284DIM 34,663 34,663RPL 79,183 7,891 87,074OPL 254,710 254,710TPL 1,156 11,560 47,722 34,120 20 94,578
MTC 1,408 33,121 4,389 38,918
SCH 19,689 60,265 23,527 15,6571,948,59
1 39,325 118 5,508 890 2,113,570SSH 5,321 683,533 109 581 689,544DCL 1,693 13,017 1,182 399,472 44 2,276 417,685SET 24,771 24,771GRS 3,859 3,750 3,963 6,796 53,232 24,660 96,258SGR 1,044 900 23,565 56,883 82,393RCF 14 57,134 57,148CFP 1,202 1,202
MIN 3 15,252 15,255WAB 110,561 110,561
BRL 0NCL 0
Total_ha
5,970,737 675,666 823,220 0 294,947 34,663 113,799 391,739 78,932 57,468
2,280,215 713,903 545,421 25,057 24,788 57,311 66,051 1,202 20,896 110,561 0 0 12,286,576
CONCLUSIONS Indonesian agriculture intensifies and the area extends
(esp. for OP) in response to domestic and international demands
Rehabilitation of low C-stock land to tree-based agriculture can reduce GHG emission and at the same time improve the economy and livelihoods. Clearance of land status and tenure is a prerequisite.
Technical and financial supports are required for developing smallholder tree-based farming.
Swapping the land bank to low C-stock areas promises a significant ER, but requires legal reform on land status.
Verified and agreed land cover and land status maps and emission factors are the key to moving forward