ACL Investor Presentation - February , 2011
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1
ACL – Investor Presentation
Onne van der WeijdeNew Delhi , February 10 2011
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprint
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performance
f. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social ResponsibilityConclusion
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Indian Economy
India is growing at about 8+% and Government targets a GDP growth of 9+%. HighGDP growth would translate into double-digit cement demand growth annually.
Favourable Demographics - India will contribute significantly to the world incrementalWorking Age Population between 2010 to 2020, leading to higher disposable income.
Empowered Rural India - Rural masses, expanding Consumer class. The rural Indianeconomy is showing impressive growth in consumption, with a number of factorssupporting this growth. These factors include increasing incomes due to goodmonsoons and Government initiatives and schemes like, (National Rural EmploymentGuarantee Scheme) employment opportunities in infrastructure and industry projects
across the country and; emphasis on local employability.
Rising Saving Rate - Bulk of India’s savings come from households rather thancorporate, makes it a stable source of funds for Infrastructure Creation.
A Stable Government at the Centre with Strong focus on growth andinfrastructure development - Infrastructure Investment will be doubled in 12th Plan @US$ 1 trillion (9.5% of GDP).
India at the cusp of take-off into an exponential growth phase with GDP per
capita crossing the ~$1000 threshold
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GDP Growth likely to sustain at over 8%
GDP growth is likely to be driven by Services and Industry
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Primary Industry Services GDP
17 17 16 15
28 29 28 28
54 55 56 57
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Primary Industry Services
CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09
Primary 3.8 5.4 1.3 0.9
Share % 17.3 16.6 15.7 14.8
Industry 11.9 11.0 5.3 6.4
Share % 28.5 28.9 28.3 28.4
Mfg 13.5 12.2 5.2 6.8
Const 11.4 11.0 6.2 7.0
Services 10.8 10.1 10.4 8.5
Share % 54.3 54.5 56.0 56.8
GDP 9.8 9.5 7.4 6.7
GDP: Growth Trend and Composition Trend in growth
Composition of GDP
Source: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI)
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Indian Cement Industry – At a Glance – CY 2010
Cement Capacity
295 Mio tons
Clinker Production
159.26 Mio Tons
Cement Production207.39 Mio Tons
Y-o-Y Growth
7.2%
5.7%
5.8%
13.5%
Cement Dispatches
206.26 Mio Tons
*7.5 - 8%GDP at factor Costover $1.2 trillion
Source: CMA, Research Reports & Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation*Estimate
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Indian Cement Industry
Capacity Growth - Transition from Control to Decontrol
Installed Capacity of the Industry has reached approximately 270 Mio tons by September 2010
Double digit capacity growth in 5 year cycle after 30 years
11.1%
7.4%6.6%
7.2%6.7%
10.3%
0.0%
3.0%
6.0%
9.0%
12.0%
1979-80 to 1984-85 1984-85 to 1989-90 1989-90 to 1994-95
1994-95 to 1999-00 1999-00 to 2004-05 2004-05 to 2009-10
* Growth based on Installed Capacity at the end of year
*
Source: CMA and Research Reports
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Limestone Density and Various Capacity Clusters
C u r r e n t C l i n k e r
S t a t e R e s e r v e s % C a p a c i t y ( m i l . t .)
K a rn a ta k a 5 1 ,8 8 6 3 0 % 1 2 .0
A n d h ra P ra d e s h 3 5 ,1 7 9 2 0 % 3 3 .0
G u ja ra t 2 0 ,0 1 2 1 1 % 1 5 .0
R a ja s th a n 1 9 ,4 8 6 1 1 % 3 0 .0M e g h a la y a 1 6 ,0 5 4 9 % 1 .5
C h h a t t is g a rh 9 ,0 3 8 5 % 1 1 .0
M a d h y a P ra d e s h 5 ,9 2 1 3 % 2 0 .0
H im ac h a l P ra d e s h 4 ,7 6 2 3 % 7 .0
A l l In d ia 1 7 5 ,3 4 5 1 0 0 % 1 4 5 . 0
L i m e S t o n e R e s e r v e s e ( m i l .t .)
Area Legend Color
Reserves Tonnes/Km2
lgdXArCol1 0 to 5000lgdXArCol 5001 to 25000
lgdXArCol 25001 to 50000lgdXArCol 50001 to 100000
lgdXArCol 100001 to 2000000
Source: Government of India
Area Legend Color
Reserves Tonnes/Km2
lgdXArCol1 < 5,000 lgdXArCol 5,001 to 25,000 lgdXArCol 25,001 to 50,000 lgdXArCol 50,001 to 100,000
lgdXArCol > 100,000
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Indian Cement Industry – A Local & Regional Industry
CAGR – 9.5%
Growth (%)
CAGR – 10.5%
CAGR – 10.4%CAGR – 9.6%
CAGR – 10.3%
*Figures are CY basis
CAGR – 10.1%
Growth (%)
Growth (%) Growth (%)
Growth (%)
Growth (%)
6 14 10 7 10 8
Source: CMA, Research Reports, ACL Market Study
North
2629
32 3438
41
0
10
20
30
40
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
South
3843 48 54 56 60
0
20
40
60
80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
15 15 11 11 4 7
East
22 24 25 2732
36
0
10
20
30
40
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
15 5 5 9 19 13
Central
20 22 23 2530
33
0
10
20
30
40
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-2 11 4 9 20 10
West
25 28 31 34 3641
0
10
20
30
40
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
5 10 13 8 7 14
All India
131 146 160 174193 212
0
50
100
150
200
250
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
8 11 9 9 11 10
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Price Trends
All India Price Map (Retail Prices*)
* Price realization to cement producer is lower by Rs. 20~25/- per bag
Jun’10 Dec’10
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Cement – Growth Drivers
Low per capita consumption at 176 kg reflects potential for futuregrowth.
Rising housing affordability due to Increasing income level.
Individual Housing Builders (IHB) segment - the major contributorof demand.
As per 11th Five Year Plan (2008-12), 74 Million housing unitsrequired.
Agricultural growth to boost rural demand.
Infrastructure Investment for 11th plan is pegged at US$500 bn(7.6% of projected GDP growth), while for the 12th plan itprojected to be US$1 trillion (9.5% of GDP).
On the back of the above factors cement demand is expected to
grow double digits for the next five years.
Housing & Infrastructure Development are the major growthdrivers for Cement Demand
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Cement Sector Outlook
India second largest cement market in the World.
Low per capita consumption at 176 kg reflects potential for future growth.
Healthy CAGR of 10% over the last 5 years (2005-2010) and a CAGR of 8%over the last 20 yrs (1990-2010)
Domestic cement consumption grew by 10% in CY09 and continued inthe same pace also in CY 10* despite a prolonged monsoon season.
Cement demand expected to grow in double-digit in the next five years onthe back of housing and infrastructure development.
The top 5 groups are having a market share of 53%, the rest of the marketis quite fragmented.
Prices expected to remain under pressure in the short-term due to over-supply situation, but in the long-term expected to remain stable.
Cost pressure would continue, on account of surging energy prices andinflationary pressures.
Good cement demand, coupled with a potential over supply and increasingcost pressures, makes the industry outlook more challenging
*including non-CMA producers data
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All India Capacity Utilization
132010 onwards demand is estimated to grow by 10%
Source: CMA and Research Reports
Increased capacity expansion in 2010-2011, utilization rate is expected to remainlow in the near term, would gradually improve with the growth of the industry.Pressures are likely to be felt across all regions, the south and west could remainweaker as compared to the other regions.
195 212 233 256 283 312259295 322 345 358 375
75 72 72 74 79 83
0
100
200
300
400
500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20
40
60
80
100
Total Demand Installed Capacity Installed Capacity Utilization
195 212 233 256 283 312227262 291 320 342 358
86 81 80 80 83 87
0
100
200
300
400
500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
20
4060
80
100
Total Demand Supply Potential Utilization
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performance
f. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social ResponsibilityConclusion
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Ambuja Cements Limited (ACL)Vision & Mission / Philosophy
GIVE A MAN ORDERS and he will do the task
reasonably well. But let him set his owntargets, give him freedom and authority andhis task becomes a personal mission:
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprint
c. ACL- Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performance
f. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social ResponsibilityConclusion
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ACL Asset Footprint
17
New Delhi
Mumbai
Kolkata
Chennai
Kodinar
Rabriyawas
Bhatinda
Ropar
Darlaghat
Roorkee
Bhatapara
MCW
Panvel
Cochin
Sankrail
Farakka
Magdalla
Dadri
Terminal 4
Grinding Unit 8
Integrated Unit 5
North: 10.4 Mio Tons
West : 10.3 Mio Tons
East : 4.3 Mio Tons
Nalagarh
Captive Power Plant 9
Total Capacity = 25 Mio Tons
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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ACL – Growth Story
Capacity built up from 0.7 Mio Tons in 1986 to25 Mio Tons - CAGR of 16.8% through organic and inorganicgrowth.
2006 – Founder promoters sold part of their holding in ACL infavor of Holcim.
ACL had many first to its credit
Pioneers in sea transportation.Brand - Ambuja perceived as a Market Leader
ACL is a Holcim Group company since May 2006
A Market Capitalization of over USD 4 Bn
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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ACL – Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge Premium Brand – “AMBUJA CEMENT”
Premium Value Delivery to Customers
Extensive & loyal distribution network -Over 7000 dealers and 25,000retailers
Provides access to growing Individual Housing Builders Markets.
Hub & Spoke Strategy – Logistics advantage coupled catering fresh cementto the consumer
Benefits of catering fresh cement to the markets
Sea Transportation – Cement Terminals
Cost Efficient means of transportation and ability to cater to the vast coastalregion, ~14% despatches via Sea mode thru 8 specially designed vessels
Captive Power Plants (410 MW)
Lower Cost, Consistent & Regular supply of Power, ~80% captive use
High proportion of blended cement
Lower production cost, reduction in CO2 emissions
Strong presence in growing stable markets of North, West and East
Reduce volatility in Earning
Use of Alternative Fuel & Raw Materials (AFR)
Conservation of non renewable resources, reduces pollution and cost
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Financial Performance
Exchange Rate Rs. 45.63 from RBI
7.99
13.78
12180
18030
21220
70770
Rs Mn
2009
264
391
461
1536
US $ Mn
277
364
428
1620
US $ Mn
8.26
13.39
12636
16619
19510
73902
Rs Mn
20102008
Rs Mn US $ Mn
Sales 62350 1354
EBITDA 19540 424
PBT 16617 361
PAT 14020 304
Cash EPS (Rs.) 12.62
EPS (Rs.)* 7.41
Source: Company’s Annual Report
*Excluding extraordinary income
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Recent Q4 Financial PerformanceRs. Mio
Source: Company’s Financials (standalone)
Qtr4 results derived
-2628-2025EBITDA Margin (%)
4%12636121847%25812410PAT
-32%39835849-34%102156Tax
-8%1661918033-32%26843970PBT
117%487224210%20967Interest
-7%1563816745-33%24493640PBIT
30%3872297026%1086860Depreciation
-20%12031512-7%379408Other Income
-1%1951019720-21%35354500Operating EBITDA
19%13735115300%37703780Others
20%1610113470976%4079379Freight Outwards
19%169731423036%44613270Power & Fuel
26%34372730-1%775780Employee Cost
-38%59639640-31%14762130Raw Materials22%12731046-3%389400Other Op. Income
4%73902707691%1788517710Net Sales
6%19.9718.84%5.014.8Sales Volume
change20102009changeDec-10Dec-09
Twelve MonthsQuarter endedParticulars
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Financial Ratios
2129966Net Cash fromOperating Activities
20092008Rs. Cr.
35Gearing %
ROE (%)
27* 20
Dividend % 110 120
EBITDA Margin (%) 31 30
ROACE (%) 34* 27
Dividend Payout Ratio% 24 30
* : Includes extra ordinary income
Source: Company’s Financials
2010
23
1
26
31
130
1874
18
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Increasing Cost of Imported Coal : The Cost of Imported Coalhas increased over 40% y-o-y basis. The lack of logisticsinfrastructure at port, limits economical movement ofimported coals to hinterland.
Domestic Linkage Coal materialization is declining includingthe quality of coal, increasing the cost of purchasing coalthrough open market purchases.
Distribution Cost a major cost for the Industry. Diesel prices
have increased substantially in the past eight years and isnow linked to the international crude prices.
Lack of Logistics Infrastructure in form of Wagon / RakesAvailability , increase the cost of distribution.
Inflationary pressure on Support Process Costs.
Increasing Cost Pressures’Major Portion of Cost linked to Energy Prices
Rising Costs a Concern
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Capacity Expansion
Completed expansions :
Clinker line of 2.2 mio tons each at Rauri (HP) and Bhatapara(Chhattisgarh) commissioned in December 2009.
Grinding facilities of 1.5 mio tons each at Dadri (UP) and Nalagarh(HP) commissioned in March 2010.
The ramp up of the plants have been as per schedule.
Additional Expansions :
Grinding capacity of 1.0 mio tons at Bhatapara and 1.0 mio tons atMaratha, would be completed by Q1 2011.
With these expansions ACL’s installed capacity would be 27 miotons by Q1 2011.
The Company is evaluating projects for the next round ofcapacity expansion
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limiteda. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Our Shareholders
As on 31st December 2010
Holcim, 45.45
Founder family, 0.79Foreign Institutional
Investors, 27.71
Insurance Co's, Mutual
Funds & FinancialInstitions/Banks, 14.72
Public, 10.20 GDR, 1.13
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limited
a. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Ambuja Cement Foundation (ACF)
Livelihood Skill Based - ACF Sponsorsvocational training to unemployed youth
in trades like electric house wiring andmotor winding, refrigeration and air-conditioning, wielding and fabrication andradio and TV repairing. Young men whohave completed their training havestarted their own enterprises.
Women Development - Promoted over700 Self Help Group (SHGs) with 9,000members. Specific skills that the womenfelt the need for, are offered to them.The groups are engaged in a range ofincome generating activities based onagriculture produce, livestock rearing,tailoring and embroidery, foodprocessing and handicrafts.
ACL is committed towards Sustainability, both on environment and socialperformance. The Corporate Social Responsibility is carried out through ACF.
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Ambuja Cement Foundation (ACF)
Changing cropping pattern from high
water intensive to less water intensive
and short duration crops.
Promotion of water efficient devices like
drip and sprinkler irrigation (Over 1841acre)
Promotion of horticulture crops (14800
acre), animal husbandry, vegetable
crops - Integrated farming.
Conservation and Management ofexisting sources of water like Ponds andBaudies ( Over 1200 MCFT waterharvested)
Constructing Water HarvestingStructures like Check-dams (200),Ponds deepened (420), Tanks andKhadins (8)
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Content
Indian Economy
Indian Cement Industry
Cement Sector Outlook
Ambuja Cements Limited
a. Vision, Mission and Philosophy
b. Asset Footprints
c. ACL – Growth Story
d. Long Term Strategy / Competitive Edge
e. Financial Performancef. Cost Drivers
g. Expansion Projects
h. Shareholding
Corporate Social Responsibility
Conclusion
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Conclusion
Solid market position built within a period of time through organicgrowth and acquisitions.
Strong brand image and positioning built over a period of time in
the minds of the consumers. Pin-pointed positioning tied to substantial captive infrastructure to
cater to markets – both domestic and overseas.
High use of alternative raw materials in production of blended
cements. Capex plan - Both greenfield and brownfield projects are being
evaluated that would enhance company’s market share andmaintain its position in the industry.
Industry would go through a challenging period due to over-supplysituation - Ambuja is well poised and geared up to meet the challenges
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Disclaimer
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements relating to theGroup’s future business, development and economic performance.
Such statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and otherimportant factors, such as but not limited to (1) competitive pressures; (2)legislative and regulatory developments; (3) global, macroeconomic and politicaltrends; (4) fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial marketconditions; (5) delay or inability in obtaining approvals from authorities; (6)technical developments; (7) litigation; (8) adverse publicity and news coverage,
which could cause actual development and results to differ materially from thestatements made in this presentation. Ambuja assumes no obligation to updateor alter forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information,future events or otherwise.