Accruing Evidence on Benefits of Mediterranian Diet

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Accruing evidence on benefits of adherence to the Mediterranean diet on health: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis 1,2 Francesco Sofi, Rosanna Abbate, Gian Franco Gensini, and Alessandro Casini ABSTRACT Background: The Mediterranean diet has long been reported to be protective against the occurrence of several different health outcomes. Objective: We aimed to update our previous meta-analysis of pub- lished cohort prospective studies that investigated the effects of adherence to the Mediterranean diet on health status. Design: We conducted a comprehensive literature search through electronic databases up to June 2010. Results: The updated review process showed 7 prospective studies published in the past 2 y that were not included in the previous meta-analysis (1 study for overall mortality, 3 studies for cardiovas- cular incidence or mortality, 1 study for cancer incidence or mor- tality, and 2 studies for neurodegenerative diseases). These recent studies included 2 health outcomes not previously investigated (ie, mild cognitive impairment and stroke). The meta-analysis for all studies with a random-effects model that was conducted after the inclusion of these recent studies showed that a 2-point increase in adherence to the Mediterranean diet was associated with a signifi- cant reduction of overall mortality [relative risk (RR) = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.90, 0.94], cardiovascular incidence or mortality (RR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.87, 0.93), cancer incidence or mortality (RR = 0.94; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.96), and neurodegenerative diseases (RR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.94). The meta-regression analysis showed that sam- ple size was the most significant contributor to the model because it significantly influenced the estimate of the association for overall mortality. Conclusion: This updated meta-analysis confirms, in a larger num- ber of subjects and studies, the significant and consistent protection provided by adherence to the Mediterranean diet in relation to the occurrence of major chronic degenerative diseases. Am J Clin Nutr 2010;92:1189–96. INTRODUCTION The Mediterranean diet has long been reported to be the optimal diet for preventing noncommunicable diseases and preserving good health (1–3). The Mediterranean-style diet is not a specific diet, but rather a collection of eating habits traditionally followed by people in the different countries bordering the Mediterranean Sea. The diet refers to a dietary profile commonly available in the early 1960s in the Mediterranean regions and characterized by a high consumption of fruit, vegetables, le- gumes, and complex carbohydrates, with a moderate consump- tion of fish, and the consumption of olive oil as the main source of fats and a low-to-moderate amount of red wine during meals. A great deal of attention has been given to tools that estimate the adherence of individuals to the Mediterranean diet because of the usefulness of these tools to identify the whole dietary pattern instead of single foods or nutrients (4). Hence, computational scores have been created and used in several large epidemiologic studies to seek whether they could be useful to estimate the risk of disease in the general population (5). Some large epidemiologic studies conducted in different cohorts evidenced an association between a greater adherence to Mediterranean diet, a reduced risk of mortality, and the incidence of major chronic diseases (6–9). In 2008, we performed a meta-analysis that included all cohort prospective studies that investigated this issue, and we observed that a 2-point increase of adherence to Mediterranean diet conferred a significant protection against mortality, the occur- rence of cardiovascular diseases, and major chronic degenerative diseases (3). However, the previous meta-analysis is 3 y old, and more prospective cohort studies have since been published. Therefore, the aim of this study was to update our previous systematic review and meta-analysis conducted in cohort pro- spective studies that investigated the effects of adherence to Mediterranean diet on several health outcomes and to use these data to conduct a meta-regression analysis to explore a potential source of heterogeneity in studies. METHODS Literature search According to the statement of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (10), we systematically searched published cohort prospective studies that investigated the association between adherence to the Mediterranean diet and health outcomes in electronic databases: MEDLINE (source: PubMed, 1966 to June 2010; www.pubmed.com), EMBASE (1980 to June 2010; www.embase.com), Web of Science (isiweb ofknowledge.com), The Cochrane Library (source: The Cochrane 1 From the Department of Medical and Surgical Critical Care, Thrombo- sis Centre, University of Florence, Florence, Italy (FS, RA, and GFG); the Agency of Nutrition, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi, Florence, Italy (FS and AC); and the Don Carlo Gnocchi Foundation, Centro Santa Maria agli Ulivi, Onlus IRCCS, Florence, Italy (FS and GFG). 2 Address correspondence to F Sofi, Department of Medical and Surgical Critical Care, Thrombosis Centre, University of Florence, Viale Morgagni 85, 50134 Florence, Italy. E-mail: francescosofi@gmail.com. Received April 14, 2010. Accepted for publication July 27, 2010. First published online September 1, 2010; doi: 10.3945/ajcn.2010.29673. Am J Clin Nutr 2010;92:1189–96. Printed in USA. Ó 2010 American Society for Nutrition 1189 by guest on January 6, 2012 www.ajcn.org Downloaded from

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Page 1: Accruing Evidence on Benefits of Mediterranian Diet

Accruing evidence on benefits of adherence to the Mediterranean dieton health: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis1,2

Francesco Sofi, Rosanna Abbate, Gian Franco Gensini, and Alessandro Casini

ABSTRACTBackground: The Mediterranean diet has long been reported tobe protective against the occurrence of several different healthoutcomes.Objective: We aimed to update our previous meta-analysis of pub-lished cohort prospective studies that investigated the effects ofadherence to the Mediterranean diet on health status.Design: We conducted a comprehensive literature search throughelectronic databases up to June 2010.Results: The updated review process showed 7 prospective studiespublished in the past 2 y that were not included in the previousmeta-analysis (1 study for overall mortality, 3 studies for cardiovas-cular incidence or mortality, 1 study for cancer incidence or mor-tality, and 2 studies for neurodegenerative diseases). These recentstudies included 2 health outcomes not previously investigated (ie,mild cognitive impairment and stroke). The meta-analysis for allstudies with a random-effects model that was conducted after theinclusion of these recent studies showed that a 2-point increase inadherence to the Mediterranean diet was associated with a signifi-cant reduction of overall mortality [relative risk (RR) = 0.92; 95%CI: 0.90, 0.94], cardiovascular incidence or mortality (RR = 0.90;95% CI: 0.87, 0.93), cancer incidence or mortality (RR = 0.94;95% CI: 0.92, 0.96), and neurodegenerative diseases (RR = 0.87;95% CI: 0.81, 0.94). The meta-regression analysis showed that sam-ple size was the most significant contributor to the model because itsignificantly influenced the estimate of the association for overallmortality.Conclusion: This updated meta-analysis confirms, in a larger num-ber of subjects and studies, the significant and consistent protectionprovided by adherence to the Mediterranean diet in relation to theoccurrence of major chronic degenerative diseases. Am J ClinNutr 2010;92:1189–96.

INTRODUCTION

The Mediterranean diet has long been reported to be theoptimal diet for preventing noncommunicable diseases andpreserving good health (1–3). The Mediterranean-style diet is nota specific diet, but rather a collection of eating habits traditionallyfollowed by people in the different countries bordering theMediterranean Sea. The diet refers to a dietary profile commonlyavailable in the early 1960s in the Mediterranean regions andcharacterized by a high consumption of fruit, vegetables, le-gumes, and complex carbohydrates, with a moderate consump-tion of fish, and the consumption of olive oil as the main source offats and a low-to-moderate amount of red wine during meals. A

great deal of attention has been given to tools that estimate theadherence of individuals to the Mediterranean diet because of theusefulness of these tools to identify the whole dietary patterninstead of single foods or nutrients (4). Hence, computationalscores have been created and used in several large epidemiologicstudies to seek whether they could be useful to estimate the risk ofdisease in the general population (5). Some large epidemiologicstudies conducted in different cohorts evidenced an associationbetween a greater adherence toMediterranean diet, a reduced riskof mortality, and the incidence of major chronic diseases (6–9). In2008, we performed a meta-analysis that included all cohortprospective studies that investigated this issue, and we observedthat a 2-point increase of adherence to Mediterranean dietconferred a significant protection against mortality, the occur-rence of cardiovascular diseases, and major chronic degenerativediseases (3). However, the previous meta-analysis is 3 y old, andmore prospective cohort studies have since been published.

Therefore, the aim of this study was to update our previoussystematic review and meta-analysis conducted in cohort pro-spective studies that investigated the effects of adherence toMediterranean diet on several health outcomes and to use thesedata to conduct a meta-regression analysis to explore a potentialsource of heterogeneity in studies.

METHODS

Literature search

According to the statement of the Preferred Reporting Items forSystematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (10), we systematicallysearched published cohort prospective studies that investigatedthe association between adherence to the Mediterranean diet andhealth outcomes in electronic databases: MEDLINE (source:PubMed, 1966 to June 2010; www.pubmed.com), EMBASE (1980to June 2010; www.embase.com), Web of Science (isiwebofknowledge.com), The Cochrane Library (source: The Cochrane

1 From the Department of Medical and Surgical Critical Care, Thrombo-

sis Centre, University of Florence, Florence, Italy (FS, RA, and GFG); the

Agency of Nutrition, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi, Florence,

Italy (FS and AC); and the Don Carlo Gnocchi Foundation, Centro Santa

Maria agli Ulivi, Onlus IRCCS, Florence, Italy (FS and GFG).2 Address correspondence to F Sofi, Department of Medical and Surgical

Critical Care, Thrombosis Centre, University of Florence, Viale Morgagni

85, 50134 Florence, Italy. E-mail: [email protected].

Received April 14, 2010. Accepted for publication July 27, 2010.

First published online September 1, 2010; doi: 10.3945/ajcn.2010.29673.

Am J Clin Nutr 2010;92:1189–96. Printed in USA. � 2010 American Society for Nutrition 1189

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Central Register of Controlled Trials, 2010, issue 2; www.thecochranelibrary.com/), clinicaltrials.org, and Google Scholar(scholar.google.com). Relevant keywords relating to the Medi-terranean diet in combination as MeSH terms and text words(“Mediterranean diet,” or “diet” or “dietary pattern” “Mediterra-nean,” or “adherence” or “score” and their variants) were used incombination with words relating to health status (“health,” or“mortality” or “morbidity,” or “cardiovascular diseases,” or“neoplastic diseases,” or “cancer,” or “neoplasm,” or “de-generative diseases,” or “Alzheimer’s disease,” or “Parkinson’sdisease,” or “cerebrovascular disease,” or “dementia,” or “cog-nition disorder,” or “stroke,” or “outcome,” or “prospective,” or“follow-up,” or “cohort” and their variants). The search strategyhad no language restrictions. References from the extracted articlesand reviews were also consulted to complete the data bank. Whenmultiple articles for a single study were present, we used the latestpublication and supplemented it, if necessary, with data from themost complete or updated publication.

Study selection

We identified studies that prospectively evaluated the asso-ciation of an a priori score used for assessing adherence toMediterranean diet and adverse clinical outcomes. We excludedstudies if they had a cross-sectional or case-control design, if theyanalyzed adherence to a nonspecific dietary pattern or to a rec-ommended dietary guideline and not to Mediterranean diet, ifthey evaluated cohort of patients who suffered from a priorclinical event (ie, in a secondary prevention), if they did not adjustfor potential confounders, and if they did not report an adequatestatistical analysis.

Data extraction

Two investigators (FS and AC) assessed potentially relevantarticles for eligibility. The decision to include or exclude studieswas hierarchical and initially made on the basis of the study title,then of the study abstract, and finally of the complete studymanuscript. Two researchers independently completed searches,identification of studies, data abstraction, and tabulation, anddiscordances were resolved by discussions. The following base-line characteristics were extracted from the original articles byusing a standardized data extraction form and included in themeta-analysis: lead author, year of publication, cohort name,country of origin of the cohort, sample size of the cohort, numberof outcomes, duration of follow-up, age at entry, sex, outcomes,components of the Mediterranean diet adherence score, andvariables that entered into the multivariable model as potentialconfounders (Table 1).

Outcomes of interests were overall mortality, mortality and/orincidence from cardio- and cerebrovascular diseases, mortalityand/or incidence from cancer, and incidence of neurodegenera-tive diseases.

Quality assessment

Study quality was assessed according to the following criteria:1) number of study participants, 2) duration of follow-up, and 3)adjustment for potential confounders. Studies with a highnumber of participants, long duration of follow-up, and adjust-

ment for confounders that include demographic, anthropometric,and traditional risk factors were considered of high quality.

Statistical analyses

We used the Review Manager program (RevMan, version5.0.18 for Macintosh, 2008; The Cochrane Collaboration,Copenhagen, Denmark) and the Statistical Package for SocialSciences software (SPSS, version 18.0 for Macintosh; SPSS,Chicago, IL) to pool and analyze results from the individualstudies. The methods and results of all recently identified cohortprospective studies were added to the previous table, and datawere formally combined. Pooled results were reported as relativerisks (RRs) and presented with 95% CIs with 2-sided P values byusing a random-effects model (DerSimonian and Laird method)and the general variance-based method. P , 0.05 was consid-ered statistically significant. When available, we used the resultsof the original studies from multivariate models with the mostcomplete adjustment for potential confounders; the confoundingvariables included in the analyses are shown in Table 1.

Statistical heterogeneity was evaluated by using the I2 statistic,which assessed the appropriateness of pooling the individualstudy results. The I2 value provided an estimate of the amount ofvariance across studies because of heterogeneity rather thanchance. Where I2 was .50%, the heterogeneity was consideredsubstantial. A small study bias or publication bias was appraisedby visual inspection of the funnel plot of effect size against theSE and, analytically, by the Egger’s test. Moreover, to in-vestigate possible sources of heterogeneity across studies, weperformed a meta-regression analysis to investigate the effectsof various characteristics of studies on the study estimates ofRRs.

RESULTS

The updated search from recent years resulted in the identi-fication of 7 additional prospective studies (11–17) published upto June 2010 that were not identified and included previously.Characteristics of these recent studies are displayed in Table 1. Ofthese, 1 study presented the overall mortality as a clinical out-come (14), 3 studies presented the incidence and/or mortalityfrom cardiovascular diseases (13, 15, 16), 1 study presented theincidence and/or mortality from neoplastic diseases (17), and 2studies presented the incidence of neurodegenerative diseases(11, 12). Notably, 2 of the 7 studies reported clinical outcomes notpreviously investigated, such as mild cognitive impairment andstroke (12, 13). On the other hand, one study was an updatedanalysis of a study already reported in the previous meta-analysisfor the overall mortality outcome; therefore, only the mostupdated study was added to this updated final analysis (14). Takenaltogether, a total of 18 cohort prospective studies were includedand entered into the final analysis. As a whole, the updatedanalysis determined a study population that reached a total of2,190,627 subjects analyzed. Included samples ranged in sizefrom 161 to 485,044, with a follow-up time that ranged from 4 to20 y.

Considerable variations among studies were observed in thenumber of participants, sex and age of participants, length offollow-up, and dietary components used to measure the adher-ence score to the Mediterranean diet. Studies conducted in

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TABLE1

Studycharacteristicsoftherecentprospective

studiesinvestigatingadherence

totheMediterraneandietandhealthoutcomes

1

Author,year(cohort)

Country

Sam

ple

size/totalcohort

Outcome

Follow

-up

Age

Sex

Componentsoftheadherence

score

Adjustment

n/totaln

yy

Feartet

al,

2009(11)

(Three-City

Study)

France

50/1410

Alzheimer

disease

568–95

2M/F

1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highwhole-grain

products

intake

3)Highfruitintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)HighMUFA

:SFA

ratio

7)Moderatealcoholconsumption

8)Low

redandprocessed

meatintake

9)Low

dairy

productintake

Age,

sex,BMI,hypertension,

hypercholesterolemia,

smokinghabit,education,

marital

status,totalenergy,

physicalactivity,

medications,

depression,apoEgenotype,

andstroke

Scarm

easet

al,

2009(12)

(Washington

Heights-

Inwood

Columbia

Aging

Project)

United

States

241/1199

(only

inthose

whowere

cognitively

norm

alat

baseline)

Mild cognitive

impairm

ent

4.5

76.73

M/F

1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highcereal

intake

3)Highfruitintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)HighMUFA

:SFA

ratio

7)Moderatealcoholconsumption

8)Low

meatintake

9)Low

dairy

productintake

Age,

sex,ethnicity,

education,

apoEgenotype,

totalenergy,

andBMI

Funget

al,

2009

(13)(N

urses’

Health

Study)

United

States

2391/74,886

1763/74,886

CHD Stroke

20

38–63

F1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highwhole-grain

products

intake

3)Highfruitintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)Highnutsintake

7)HighMUFA

:SFA

ratio

8)Moderatealcoholconsumption

9)Low

redandprocessed

meatintake

Age,

smokinghabit,BMI,

menopausalstatus,horm

one

use,totalenergy,

multivitam

in

intake,

alcohol,familyhistory,

physicalactivity,

and

aspirin

use

Trichopoulou

etal,2009

(14)(EPIC-

Greece)

Greece

1075/23,349

Overall

mortality

8.5

20–86

M/F

1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highcereal

intake

3)Highfruit/nutsintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)HighMUFA

:SFA

ratio

7)Moderatealcoholconsumption

8)Low

meatandpoultry

intake

9)Low

dairy

productintake

Age,

sex,education,sm

oking

habit,waist:hip

ratio,MET

score,totalenergy,

andBMI

(Continued)

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TABLE1(C

ontinued

)

Author,year(cohort)

Country

Sam

ple

size/totalcohort

Outcome

Follow

-up

Age

Sex

Com

ponentsoftheadherence

score

Adjustment

n/totaln

yy

Bucklandet

al,

2009(15)

(EPIC

Spain)

Spain

606/40,151

CHD

10.4

29–69

M/F

1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highcereal

intake

3)Highfruit/nutsintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)HighMUFA

:SFA

ratio

7)Moderate

alcoholconsumption

8)Low

meatandpoultry

intake

9)Low

dairy

product

intake

Age,

education,BMI,physical

activity,

smokinghabit,

diabetes,hypertension,

hyperlipidem

ia,andtotal

energy

Martınez-G

onzalez

etal,2010(16)

(SUN

Study)

Spain

100/13,609

CVD

4.9

383

M/F

1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highcereal

intake

3)Highfruit/nutsintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)HighMUFA

:SFA

ratio

7)Moderate

alcoholconsumption

8)Low

meatandpoultry

intake

9)Low

dairy

product

intake

Age,

sex,familyhistory

ofCVD,

totalenergy,

physicalactivity,

smokinghabit,BMI,diabetes,

aspirin,hypertension,and

hypercholesterolemia

Bucklandet

al,

2010(17)

(Spanishcohort

oftheEPIC-H

eart

Study)

United

Kingdom,

France,Denmark,

Sweden,Germany,

Italy,

Spain,

Netherlands,

Norw

ay,and

Greece

449/485,044

Gastric

adenocarcinoma

8.9

35–70

M/F

1)Highlegumeintake

2)Highcereal

intake

3)Highfruit/nutsintake

4)Highvegetable

intake

5)Highfish

intake

6)Higholive

oilintake

7)Moderate

alcoholconsumption

8)Low

meatandpoultry

intake

9)Low

dairy

product

intake

Age,

sex,BMI,education,

smokinghabit,andtotal

energy

1MUFA

,monounsaturatedfattyacid;SFA

,saturatedfattyacid;CHD,coronaryheartdisease;EPIC,European

Prospective

Investigationinto

CancerandNutrition;MET,metabolicequivalenttasks;SUN,

Seguim

iento

Universidad

deNavarra;CVD,cardiovasculardisease.

2Range

(allsuch

values).

3Mean.

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European countries increased to 9 studies (50% of the totalnumber of studies included).

By grouping the studies according to the different clinicaloutcomes, the overall mortality did not change for the numberof studies evaluated (ie, 9 studies that included an updatedanalysis of the Greek cohort of the EPIC (European ProspectiveInvestigation into Cancer and Nutrition) with a total of 514,118subjects and 34,322 deaths, whereas a consistent increase ofstudies and subjects analyzed for the other clinical outcomeshas been reported. Indeed, cardiovascular mortality and in-cidence were consistently augmented by the number of studiesand subjects analyzed, with a total of 7 cohorts, 534,064subjects, and 8739 deaths or incident cases. Similarly, themortality from and incidence of neoplastic diseases reached1,006,410 subjects and 11,378 events, whereas the number ofstudies that evaluated the association between adherence to theMediterranean diet and neurodegenerative diseases increasedfrom 3 to 5 cohorts, with a total of 136,235 subjects and 1074cases, including an additional clinical outcome such as mildcognitive impairment.

Meta-analysis

Meta-analytic pooling under a random-effects model con-firmed the already reported significant association between a 2-point increased adherence to the Mediterranean diet and a reducedrisk of mortality from all causes (RR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.90, 0.94;P , 0.00001) (Figure 1) with no evidence of statisticalheterogeneity across studies (I2 = 33%; P = 0.15). When studiesthat evaluated different clinical outcomes were grouped, weobserved that a 2-point increase of adherence to the Mediter-ranean diet still remained associated with a reduced risk ofmortality from and incidence of cardiovascular diseases (RR =0.90; 95% CI: 0.87, 0.93; P , 0.00001) (Figure 2), whichshowed no significant heterogeneity across studies (I2 = 35%;P = 0.15). Likewise, in studies that investigated the mortality

from and incidence of neoplastic diseases (Figure 3), a greateradherence to the Mediterranean diet still determined a signifi-cant amount of protection, with a similar extent than that ofprevious meta-analysis (RR = 0.94; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.96; P ,0.00001) and again no significant heterogeneity (I2 = 6%; P =0.38). The results of the previous meta-analysis were alsoconfirmed for the occurrence of neurodegenerative diseases(Figure 4), which extended to mild cognitive impairment, witha 13% reduced risk of individuals who most adhered to theMediterranean diet (RR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.94; P ,0.00001) and no significant heterogeneity across studies (I2 =0%; P = 0.73).

Publication bias

The funnel plots of effect sizes compared with SEs that wereperformed to investigate possible publication biases were sym-metric for all different clinical outcomes, which suggested theabsence of possible publication biases.

Meta-regression analysis

Finally, to investigate the effects of various study character-istics on the study estimates of the RRs, we conducted a meta-regression analysis by grouping studies according to somecharacteristics, such as the number of subjects studied, number ofcases observed, country of origin of the patients, age of thepatients, and length of follow-up. The sample size of the includedstudies was the only contributor to the protection compared withthe overall mortality (b = 0.059 6 0.018; P = 0.013) in thepresent model. By plotting the estimates of associations foroverall mortality with the number of subjects analyzed for eachstudy, it was shown that the average protection compared withthe overall mortality was reached with studies that investigated.2000 subjects (Figure 5).

FIGURE 1. Forest plot of the association between a 2-point increase of adherence score to the Mediterranean diet and the risk of all-cause mortality. Thecenter of each square indicates the relative risk of the study, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% CIs. The area of the square is proportional to the amount ofinformation from the study. The diamond indicates pooled estimates.

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DISCUSSION

In this updated meta-analysis of prospective studies that in-vestigated the association between adherence to the Mediterraneandiet and health status, findings were pooled from .2 millionsubjects and 50,000 deaths or incident cases from any causes and/or from any cardiovascular, neoplastic, and neurodegenerativediseases. We confirmed the results of our previously publishedmeta-analysis, which suggested a significant protection againstmajor chronic degenerative diseases for subjects who reporteda greater adherence to the Mediterranean diet (3). Indeed, a 2-point increase of adherence to the Mediterranean diet significantlydetermined a 8% reduction of death from any causes, a 10% re-duction from death and/or incidence of cardio- and cerebrovas-cular diseases, a 6% reduction from death and/or the incidenceof neoplastic diseases, and a 13% reduction of the incidence of

neurodegenerative diseases. Furthermore, in this updated meta-analysis, which included 7 articles published in the past 3 y thatcould not be considered in the previous meta-analysis, some otherclinical outcomes, such as stroke and mild cognitive impairment,were included, and a meta-regression analysis to investigate thepossible role of confounding factors was also conducted.

Several studies over the past decades showed the Mediterra-nean diet to be significantly associated with different healthoutcomes, such as a favorable health status, better biochemicalprofile, and quality of life (1–3, 26, 27). Accordingly, over-whelming evidence on the health effects of such a dietary profilehas been reported in many different study cohorts by stimulatingboth scientific and lay communities to promote this dietarypattern as the ideal dietary pattern for preventing non-communicable diseases (3, 27).

FIGURE 2. Forest plot of the association between a 2-point increase of adherence score to the Mediterranean diet and the risk of mortality from orincidence of cardiovascular diseases. The center of each square indicates the relative risk of the study, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% CIs. The area ofthe square is proportional to the amount of information from the study. The diamond indicates pooled estimates. CHD, coronary heart disease.

FIGURE 3. Forest plot of the association between a 2-point increase of adherence score to the Mediterranean diet and the risk of mortality from orincidence of neoplastic diseases The center of each square indicates the relative risk of the study, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% CIs. The area of thesquare is proportional to the amount of the information from the study. The diamond indicates pooled estimates.

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In this context, with the aim of identifying a practical tool toestimate how populations follow the guidelines of Mediterraneandiet, adherence scores were computed (4). Many different scoreswere created and tested in different study cohorts, but the mostimportant was definitely that created in 1995 and developed inits final form in 2003 by Trichopoulou et al (6, 18). In theirstudies, which investigated the Greek cohort of the EPIC study,Trichopoulou et al showed, for the first time to our knowledge,a significant association between an increase of such an adher-ence score and the reduction of overall mortality. Subsequently,many studies that used this kind of epidemiologic approach havebeen released by extending the evidence to many different healthoutcomes (3).

The results of the first meta-analysis published in 2008, whichcomprised a total of 12 studies and .1.5 million subjects, werethat a 2-point increase of score that estimated adherence to theMediterranean diet significantly determined protection com-pared with premature death and various diseases. In the past 3 y,

the interest of researchers on this issue rose, and a total of 7 newcohort prospective studies were added to the literature (11–17).On the other hand, the issue has been shown to be of extremeinterest for the general population as well as for health admin-istrators and governments for better tailoring their preventionstrategies and policies.

The present updated meta-analysis has some advantages withrespect to the previous one: first, it present, to out knowledge, themost comprehensive and updated assessment on this issue, withinclusion of new studies and an update of previously reportedstudies; second, the association between the Mediterranean dietand health outcomes was extended to other relevant disease statesthat were not previously investigated, such as stroke and mildcognitive impairment. These clinical outcomes are of clinicalrelevance for the ever-increasing age of the general population.Third, it reinforces the findings that a slight increase of theadherence score to the Mediterranean diet, as was observed by anincrease of 2 points of the adherence score, is significantly

FIGURE 4. Forest plot of the association between a 2-point increase of adherence score to the Mediterranean diet and the risk of incidence ofneurodegenerative diseases. The center of each square indicates the relative risk of the study, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% CIs. The area of thesquare is proportional to the amount of the information from the study. The diamond indicates pooled estimates.

FIGURE 5.Meta-regression analysis of the relation between sample sizes of the studies and all-cause mortality. The area of the circle is proportional to thenumber of subjects studied in the study; the dashed line indicates the overall estimate of the association for studies that investigated all-cause mortality.

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associated with a reduced risk of mortality and the incidence ofmain chronic degenerative diseases. Moreover, in the presentupdated meta-analysis, we performed a meta-regression analysisto give deeper insight into the nature of the association betweenthe adherence score and health status. The meta-regressionanalysis showed that studies with larger study populations weremore significantly associatedwith a lesser degree of heterogeneityand a higher estimate of association. In particular, studies withpopulations of .2000 subjects seemed to be more significantlyrelated to the mean outcome observed in the meta-analysis. Thisfinding could be easily explained by the increased power of thestudies related to the higher number of subjects analyzed.

In contrast, although we believe that this updated meta-analysis provides useful information, the findings must beinterpreted with caution because of some weaknesses. First, theshort interval of time that passed from the first meta-analysis andthe present meta-analysis, as well as the not so high number ofnew studies, did not allow us to be confident that these updateddata can be used for all studied outcomes. Second, the use ofmeta-analysis technique to evaluate the protection of a dietarypattern, such as the Mediterranean diet, compared with the oc-currence of several and different diseases can lead to an over-estimation of the results. Third, the transferability of such anadherence score to the general population and the day-to-dayclinical practice is not free of practical problems. The adherencescore’s ease of use is low because the method of calculationimplies the analysis of raw data that comes from a cohort study,and the real amount of each food category to consume is notestablished. Some relevant differences among the studies arepresent, and the transferability to the clinical practice is difficultto understand. However, with the use of such meta-analyses, weare able to understand the real estimate of the association betweenthe adherence score to the Mediterranean diet and health statusand to stimulate the interest of researchers to make uniform andstandardize, if possible, the score and its components.

In conclusion, we updated the results of our previous meta-analysis and were able to confirm the estimates of the associationof adhering to the Mediterranean diet in terms of protectionagainst overall mortality and incidences of various chronic de-generative diseases, with an extension of the findings to someother health outcomes such as stroke and mild cognitive im-pairment. Moreover, the results of the meta-regression analysisindicated that the number of subjects enrolled in a populationstudy is the most important contributor to the statistical model ofassociation. These results will likely help researchers and healthadministrators to better tailor forthcoming studies in the field ofnutrition and public health.

The authors’ responsibilities were as follows—FS and AC: conception and

design of the study and drafting of the manuscript; FS, RA, GFG, and AC:

analysis and interpretation of the data: FS; RA and GFG: critical revision of

the article for important intellectual content; FS: statistical expertise and guar-

antor of the manuscript; and all authors: final approval of the manuscript.

None of the authors had a conflict of interest.

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