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Transcript of About Peachtree Green Advisors2009
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
2009 Introduction to
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORS
A Division of Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc.
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 2
DiscussionI. About Peachtree Green Advisors
II. Clean Tech Defined & Market Trends
III. M&A Environment
IV. Public Market Company Valuations
V. Why Peachtree Green Advisors, Inc.
VI. The Peachtree Sale Process
This introductory About Us presentation is an evolving work in progress and will be updated frequently
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
ABOUT PEACHTREE
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 4
Peachtree provides investment banking services on growth and smaller middle market transactions in the media, tech and
clean-tech/renewable energy sectors
Over 22 completed transactions
Focus on maximizing value at each stage of the process
Substantial insight in core industry markets – 12+ years of focus in media and tech industries
Senior level access to leading industry executives, investors and entrepreneurs
In-depth technical and financial skills for value-enhancing deal structuring
About Peachtree
InsightInsight
ServiceService
FocusFocus
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 5
About Peachtree Services
Sales and Divestitures – Peachtree maximizes value on the sale of properties or the divestiture of non-strategic assets through a controlled auction process; and
Sales and Divestitures – Peachtree maximizes value on the sale of properties or the divestiture of non-strategic assets through a controlled auction process; and
Mergers and Acquisitions – Peachtree maximizes value for sell side clients as well as strategic and financial buyers seeking add-on or platform acquisitions;
Mergers and Acquisitions – Peachtree maximizes value for sell side clients as well as strategic and financial buyers seeking add-on or platform acquisitions;
Capital Raise – Peachtree has a substantial amount of experience helping companies raise growth and acquisition financing from venture capital and private equity firms;
Capital Raise – Peachtree has a substantial amount of experience helping companies raise growth and acquisition financing from venture capital and private equity firms;
DOE Grant Advisory – Peachtree offers unparalleled federal grant writing expertise, transforming ideas into optimal proposals that provide the best opportunity to obtain government funding;
DOE Grant Advisory – Peachtree offers unparalleled federal grant writing expertise, transforming ideas into optimal proposals that provide the best opportunity to obtain government funding;
Strategic Partner/Business Development – With unprecedented insight into end user needs, an ability to navigate markets and analyze revenue models, Peachtree is able to assist lower-middle market companies in developing strategic relationships inorder to drive revenue growth.
Strategic Partner/Business Development – With unprecedented insight into end user needs, an ability to navigate markets and analyze revenue models, Peachtree is able to assist lower-middle market companies in developing strategic relationships inorder to drive revenue growth.
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
ENERGY TRENDS
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
U.S. Fuel Sources Used in Electricity Generaton 2005
Nuclear
Oil
Gas
Coal
Hydro
Energy in the US in 2008Three primary uses of energy
Electricity
Heat
Transportation
In 2008, the U.S. consumed 99.2 quadrillion BTUs
An average of 339.2 million BTU per person (relatively consistent for the past 30 yrs)
Fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and petroleum) accounted for 84% of this consumption (83.4 quadrillion BTUs)
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Source: Energy Information Administration 2005
2008 US Energy Consumption CONSUMPTION BY TYPE (IN QUADRILLION BTUS)
COAL 22.5
NATURAL GAS 23.8
PETROLEUM 37.1
NUCLEAR 8.5
RENEWABLE 7.3 SOURCE: EIA, 2009.
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
U.S. Primary Energy Consumption by Source and Sector, 2008 (Quadrillion Btu)
1) Does not include the fuel ethanol portion of motor gasoline—fuel ethanol is included in "Renewable Energy“; 2) Excludes supplemental gaseous fuels; 3) Includes less than 0.1 quadrillion Btu of coal coke net imports; 4) Conventional hydroelectric power, geothermal, solar/PV, wind, and biomass; 5) Includes industrial combined-heat-and-power (CHP) and industrial electricity-only plants; 6) Includes commercial combined-heat-and-power (CHP) and commercial electricity-only plants; 7) Electricity-only and combined-heat-and-power (CHP) plants whose primary business is to sell electricity, or electricity and heat, to the public. Note: Sum of components may not equal 100 percent due to independent rounding.Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 2008, Tables 1.3, 2.1b-2.1f , 10.3, and 10.4.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Foreign Dependency on Oil and Price Volatility
US consumes 25% of global oil but only produces 3%
58% of US oil consumption is imported from foreign countries
This number is expected to grow to 68% by 2025
Finite nature of fossil fuels renders US reluctant to deplete oil reserves
What is the long-term outlook of fossil fuels?
9US ENERGY TRENDS
Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2007, June 2008.
Foreign dependency causes US to be extremely vulnerable to oil price volatility
US is affected by investment and production decisions by OPEC
OPEC’s willingness to cut supply to increase or maintain high prices of oil
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
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Potential carbon reductions (in MtC/yr in 2030) based on the middle of the range of carbon conversions
Energy Type MtC/yr
Energy Efficiency 688
Concentrating Solar Power 63
Photovoltaics 63
Wind 181
Biofuels 58
Biomass 75
Geothermal 83
Source: ASES, 1/2007
MtC MegaTons Carbon
The United States accounts for only 4% of the world’s population and produces 25% of its greenhouse gases
Half of our country’s electricity is still produced by burning coal, a rich domestic resource but a major contributor to global warming
Carbon Emissions
Increased more than 15% between 1990 and 2006
Must be reduced by 60% by 2030 to effect global warming (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)
Energy consumption is responsible for over 60% of CO2emitted into the atmosphere
Potential regulatory policies to address climate change are in various stages of development at the State, regional, and Federal levels
For electric power companies, policy changes could be made to limit or reduce GHG emissions
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Less Energy Used in the US in 2008Americans used more solar, nuclear, biomass and wind energy in 2008 than 2007
The nation used less coal and petroleum during the same time frame and only slightly increased its natural gas consumption
Geothermal energy use remained the same
Est. U.S. energy use in 2008 equaled 99.2 quadrillion BTUs (“quads”), down from 101.5 quads in 2007
(A BTU or British Thermal Unit is a unit of measurement for energy, and is about 1.055 kilojoules)
The chart also shows the amount of energy rejected by the United States
Of the 99.2 quads consumed, only 42.15 ended up as energy services
Energy services are “things that make our lives better…the energy that makes your a move and the energy that comes out of a light bulb.” (Source: LLNL)
The ratio of energy services to the total amount of energy used is a measure of the country's energy efficiency. The remainder, is simply rejected. For example, some rejected energy shows up as waste heat from power plants. Once energy is rejected, it is no longer useful. But more efficient power plants, automobiles and even light bulbs really do reject less energy while providing the same energy services.
Source: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Energy use decreased in 2008 versus 2007
Source: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory 2009. Data based on DOE numbers and does not include self‐generated electricity.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
GREEN TECH TRENDS
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The drivers that have propelled investment in the sustainable energy sector for the past five years, however, are still at work – climate
change, energy insecurity, fossil fuel depletion and new technologies. As well, political support remains strong, with an
estimated $180 billion of fiscal stimulus committed to sustainable energy.
UN Environmental Program, Global Trends in Sustainable
Energy Investment 2009
The drivers that have propelled investment in the sustainable energy sector for the past five years, however, are still at work – climate
change, energy insecurity, fossil fuel depletion and new technologies. As well, political support remains strong, with an
estimated $180 billion of fiscal stimulus committed to sustainable energy.
UN Environmental Program, Global Trends in Sustainable
Energy Investment 2009
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Economy Trends & Green Tech
Despite global recession, global investment in the sustainable energy grew 5% in 2008
From $148 billion in 2007 to around $155 billion in 2008
Lower interest rates = lower cost of capital
Central banks lowering their interest rates has reduced the cost of financing for renewable energy projects
Limited financing available though due to credit crisis
Growth rate in demand for electricity slipped to 2.4% in 2008 from 2.7% growth in 2007
However, renewable energy’s share of the overall power generation market increased from 3.9% to 4.4%
Share prices of clean energy stocks fell almost 70%, more sharply than the overall stock market and has since only made up a fraction of the sell off in 2009
General flight from risk and growth sectors in late 2008
14
TRENDS
UNEP Sources: www.sefi.unep.org and www.unepfi.org
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Policy Drives Increased Use of Renewable Energy
Strong growth in the use of renewable energy for electricity generation spurred by
Renewable fuel standard in the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA2007)
Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) programs at the State level
EISA2007
36 billion gallons of qualifying credits from biofuels to be produced by 2022 (from 4.7 billion gallons in 2007)
RPS Requirements
In the US, 30 states have developed and adopted renewable portfolio standards, which require a pre-determined amount of a state’s energy portfolio (up to 20%) to come exclusively from renewable sources by as early as 2010 (DOE)
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Well-developed conditions for innovation, markets for clean energy through public procurement, energy efficiency standards and stable and simple policies are
essential to meet the climate change challenge (UNEP)
Well-developed conditions for innovation, markets for clean energy through public procurement, energy efficiency standards and stable and simple policies are
essential to meet the climate change challenge (UNEP)
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
The US has one of the largest and most clearly defined stimulus packages with $66 billionin funding available for sustainable energy, energy efficiency and transmission investments
Source: Recovery.gov
* Tax Relief - includes $15 B for Infrastructure and Science, $61 B for Protecting the Vulnerable, $25 B for Education and Training and $22 B for Energy, so total funds are $126 B for Infrastructure and Science, $142 B for Protecting the Vulnerable, $78 B for Education and Training, and $65 B for Energy
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
$787bn stimulus package signed February 17, 2009 and includes about $90bn in energy-related funding to encourage development of green technology
$60bn of loan guarantees to offset costs
manufacturing renewable energy equipment;
developing renewable power projects; and
building electric transmission lines
30% investment tax credit available for companies that make equipment for renewable energy systems, energy storage equipment, smart grid, energy-efficient lighting, electric transmission and distribution and carbon capture and sequestration
Clean energy tax credits extended and "recession proofed" by offering choices in how investors take the credit
The ‘bonus’ 50% depreciation extended to the end of 2009 that allows developers to expense a major portion of the projects’ capital costs in the first year
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TRENDS
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Global Stimulus Spending Allocated to Renewable
$184.9 billion in stimulus money from 14 government entities allocated to renewable
NEF tallied up all of the spending stimuli from participating government entities and their allocations by renewable energy segment appear below
Source: New Energy Finance
Green Stimulus allocations to Sustainable Energy by Sector, April 2009, % share
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Renewable Energy Sources Still Small Portion
7.3 quadrillion BTUs of renewable energy consumed in 2008 represents 7.4% of total energy (up from 6.8% in 2007)
Biomass and Hyrdro represent the overwhelming majority of % of renewable energy consumed in 2008
Solar and Wind are the fastest growing, but remain a small % of energy landscape
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Source: Energy Information Administration, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels
Renewable Energy Consumption in the Nation’s Energy Supply, 2008
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Competitive Pricing Helps Drive Use of Renewable Energy
Renewable energy technologies are becoming cheaper as they reach scale and operating experience
The overwhelming consensus is that wind is competitive with fossil fuels and by far the most commercially viable renewable energy source
Although the costs of developing and producing solar energy are falling, solar is still expensive (see next page)
Solar is beginning to be competitive in favorable scenarios
Grid proximity
Location (Southwestern US, California) with abundance of sunshine
Tax credits (Source: Lux Research and RenewableEnergyWorld.com)
According to the World Economic Forum (WEF)
Solar PV electricity costs may become comparable with daytime retail electricity prices in sunny areas within 12 to 36 months
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Level-“ized” Energy Cost Comparison by $ per MegaWatt hour
US$/MWh
Clean Energy and Traditional Technologies –Range of Levelized Costs of Energy, December 2008, US$/MWh
Source: New Energy Finance, World Economic Forum, January 2009.
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600
Solar PV - Crystaline
Solar Thermal - Trough
Biomass - Municipal Solid Waste
Wind - Offshore
Wind - Onshore
Geothermal - Binary Plant
Geothermal - Flash Plant
Natural Gas OCGT
Coal Fired
n/aCellulosic and next gen biofuels
$241-299/MWhSolar thermal
$341-549/MWhSolar PV
Competitive with oil $45 per barrel
Sugar-based ethanol
$33-74/MWhGeothermal
Levelized CostEnergy
US$ over $100 per ton of CO2
Carbon Capture and Storage
$89-126/MWhOnshore wind
$158-205/MWhOffshore wind
Uneconomical, per World Economic Forum
Extremely uneconomical now, but should decrease in half by 2010
Note: Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) allows different energy generation technologies to be compared, taking into account their cost of production and generation efficiency. Figures indicate the required range of generation price for each clean energy technology to be competitive. Levelized costs exclude any subsidies.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Cost comparison analysis renewable energy sources
Coal is approx 5 cents per kilowatt-hour
Technology Typical CharacteristicsTypical Energy Costs
(U.S. cents/kilowatt-hour)
Power GenerationLarge hydro Plant size: 10 megawatts (MW) - 18,000 MW 3 - 4
Small hydro Plant size: 10 megawatts (MW) - 18,000 MW 4 - 7On-shore wind Turbine size: 1 - 3 MW
Blade diameter: 60-100 meters5 - 8
Off-shore wind Turbine size: 1.5 - 5 MWBlade diameter: 70-125 meters
8 - 12
Biomass power Plant size: 1 - 20 MW 5 - 12Geothermal power Plant size: 1 - 100 MW Type: binary, single- and
double-flash, natural steam4 - 7
Solar PV (module) Cell type and efficiency: single-crystal 17%; polycrystalline 15%; amorphous silicon 10%; thin film 9-12%
Rooftop solar PV Peak capacity: 2-5 kilowatts-peak 20 - 80Concentrating solar thermal power (CSP)
Plant size: 50-500 MW (trough), 10-20 MW (tower); Types: trough, tower, dish
12 - 18
Source: Ren21.net compiled from IEA and various sources.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Cost comparison analysis renewable energy sources
Price of a barrel of crude at $72.54 and national average of $2.62 per gallon of gas (Sep 2009)
One gallon = 3.7854118 liters, which is ~ 69 cents per liter
Technology Typical CharacteristicsTypical Energy Costs
(U.S. cents/kilowatt-hour)Hot Water/HeatingBiomass heat Plant size: 1-20 MW 1 - 6Solar hot water/heating Size: 2-5 m2 (household); 20-200 m2
(medium/multi-family); 0.5-2 MWth (large/district heating);Types: evacuated tube, flat-plate
2 - 20 household1 - 15 medium
1-8 large
Geothermal heating/cooling Plant capacity: 1-10 MW; Types: heat pumps, direct use, chillers
0.5 - 2
BiofuelsEthanol Feedstock: sugar cane, sugar beets, corn,
cassava, sorghum, wheat (and cellulose in the future)
25-30 cents/liter (sugar)40-50 cents/liter (corn)
gasoline equivalent
Biodiesel Feedstock: soy, rapeseed, mustard seed, palm, jatrapha, or waste vegetable oils
40-80 cents/liter(diesel equivalent)
Source: Ren21.net compiled from IEA and various sources.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Solar
Solar photovoltaics (PV) convert light into electricity using semiconductor materials
Remains less than 0.1% of US energy consumption
Disadvantages: High cost and inconsistency
Cost of silicon is decreasing, lowering costs of solar energy and driving demand from project developers and rooftop systems
Spot silicon prices have fallen from $332/kg in Oct 2008 to $136/kg in Mar 2009 (New Energy Finance)
While manufacturers’ margins are squeezed, the cost of generating solar power is cheaper
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Solar
PV is expected to dramatically reduce costs through new technologies, increased manufacturing scale, a decrease in the price of silicon
PV is also expected to break into new areas of energy demand over the coming decadesPV is a gateway or distribution channel for storage, efficiency, smart grid metering and other enabling technologies
Diagram of a typical AC, battery-based system. Source: DOE.
Grid Connected PV SystemStand-Alone PV System (Off Grid)
Source: DOE.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Solar
Solar PV
Technology Gaps
Continued scale-up of entire crystalline silicon supply chain; process engineering to reduce costs
Mass manufacture of scalable, high-efficiency thin film on flexible substrates
Jump to next generation of super-efficient cells
Bottlenecks
Capital
Access to transmission grid
Refined silicon, formerly bottleneck about to go into oversupply
Solar Thermal
Tech Gaps and Bottlenecks
Proof of concept for most up-and-coming technologies
Availability of steam turbines
Links to transmission grid
Permitting
Source: New Energy Finance. A parabolic trough is the most widely deployed type of solar thermal power plant
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
WindIn 2008, wind projects generated 1.3% of U.S. electricity
Over 8,500 megawatts (MW) of new wind power capacity brought online, increasing the U.S. cumulative total by 50% to over 25,300 MW
WIND 27
Source: American Wind Energy Assoc 2009.
U.S. Wind Capacity Growth (1981-2008)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1981
-1983
1984
-1986
1987
-1989
1990
-1992
1993
-1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Cap
acity
MW
Net Capacity Additions Cumulative Capacity
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Wind
U.S. on pace to generate 20% of the nation’s electricity by 2030 from wind energy (American Wind Energy Association)
Turbine pricing continues to decrease and the emergence of secondary turbine markets are enabling higher expected rates of return
Technology Gaps
Onshore
Power storage (to reduce impact of intermittency)
Existing technology adequate, drive train improvements required to increase reliability and decrease costs
Ever-larger turbines
Weakness of electricity grid
Offshore
Reliability of offshore turbines still a key concern
New dedicated marinized technology at larger scale being rolled out over next 5 years
Source: New Energy Finance.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
BiofuelBiodiesel is renewable, nontoxic, and biodegradable
Produced from agricultural resources such as vegetable oils
Biofuels blend with gasoline or diesel to make them cleaner-burning to reduce emissions or used as a direct substitute
Food vs. Fuel
WEF estimates that biofuels can increase from current 1% to 5% of transport fuels without impacting food availability
BIOFUEL
Source: REN21, 2007
US Ethanol and Biodiesel Production, 2000-2007Global Biofuel Market Analysis
Global ethanol production will grow at a CAGR of 6.04% during 2009-2018 to reach 33,895 million gallons
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Ethanol
The period 2004-2006 saw US investment in biofuels soar, with $9.2 billion pouring into the sector (World Economic Forum)
Most flowed into corn-based ethanolDisadvantage: corn is a food staple and feedstock around the world
Brazilian sugar cane-based ethanol is competitive with oil at $40 per barrel No shortage of land (deforestation) without jeopardizing food production
Source: DOE.30
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Biomass and Waste to Energy
Biomass – Energy from plant and animal matter
Rural: agricultural waste, forest products waste, collected fuel wood and animal dung burned in furnaces to provide heat energy for cooking, heating and industrial processing
200+ producers of biomass power product in the US
More than two-thirds use forest products, and just under one-third use landfill gas as the primary fuel source
Modern biomass consists of new technologies such as biomass co-generation for power and heat, biomass gasification, biogas anaerobic digesters and liquid biofuels for vehicles
Waste-to-Energy Plants: similar to coal fired plants except use garbage instead of coal to create high pressure heat steam to generate electricity through a turbine
Disadvantages: Environmental cost
BIOMASS 31
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Geothermal & HydroGeothermal is 0.3% of US energy consumption
Geothermal energy is produced by drilling into the earth and using steam or hot water to heat a building or generate electricity
Recent advances mean that geothermal energy can play an increasing role worldwide
New drilling techniques tap into resources previously too deep to access
New ways of extracting useful power from lower temperature geothermal fields allow productive use of resources that could not have been used economically in the past
Hydro, Ocean, and Tidal are 2.4% of US energy consumption
Hydro is power generated from water, primarily from large-scale dams
Accounts for approximately 20% of global energy production
Disadvantage: potential impact on wildlife and agriculture downstream from the dam
Tidal and wave power are being developed on a much smaller scale
Tidal power harnesses the energy of either currents created by the tides
Wave power is in a much earlier stage of development than the technology for harnessing tidal power
GEOTHERMAL 32
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Enabling Technologies
33ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES
Enabling technologies influence the way energy is distributed, stored and consumed
These investment opportunities are critical to shifting to a low-carbon energy system
Four key enablers for a shift to clean energy are:
Energy efficiency
The cheapest way to reduce CO2 is to use less energy
Smart grids
Decentralized power supply that fluctuates with demand-side applications and software for energy management
Energy storage
Both hybrid cars and bulk storage for homes to balance short term grid fluctuations
Carbon capture and storage
Removing CO2 from processes that utilize fossil fuels for power or industrial applications, then trapping it in subsurface geological formations or using the gas for other purposes
Limited government incentives
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Energy EfficiencyThe quickest way to reduce greenhouse emissions is to close the gap between energy demand and energy supply through energy efficiency
McKinsey Global Institute reported $170 billion in efficiency investments that could return and average of 17% IRR per year for investors
Policy is still needed to drive/change consumer and business behavior
Energy efficiency standards, regulations and incentives
Energy efficiency sectors of opportunity
Industrial sector (49%)
Residential (23%)
Transportation (15%)
Commercial (15%) - Source: World Economic Forum.
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Smart Grid
35ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENABLING EFFICIENCY SMART GRID STORAGE CARBON
The US electric grid - the power infrastructure - is overtaxed and rapidly running up against limitations
Smart (or Smarter) Grid
Comparable to the construction of the interstate highway system or the development of the Internet
Why? Reliability (period)
The Northeast blackout of 2003 resulted in a $6 billion economic loss to the region (DOE)
Smart Grid Technology Focuses On…
Ensuring reliability to degrees never before possible
Maintaining affordability
Reinforcing US global competitiveness
Fully accommodating renewable and traditional energy sources
Potentially reducing our carbon footprint
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Smart Grid
It’s all about integrationIntegrating a variety of technologies aimed to optimize energy supply and demand
Modern Grid: A System of Integrated Technologies
There are no “silver bullets”; the very act of looking for them costs money
The answer is a “silver buckshot” (DOE)
Analysis showed that significant modernization results from smartly integrating suites of technology that deliver the principal characteristics, which improve grid performance
Sensing and Measurement
Advanced Control Methods
Improved Interfaces & Decision Support
Advanced Components IC = Integrated Communication
IC
IC IC
Source: (National Energy Technology Laboratory)
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Energy Storage
37ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ENABLING EFFICIENCY SMART GRID STORAGE CARBON
Batteries and energy storage technologies become key enablers
Intermittent reality of many renewable energy and emerging energy technologies
Policy: Electric Drive Battery and Component Manufacturing Initiative
As of July 2009, more than 100 companies applied
$2.4 billion set to be divided into 32 to 35 grants in seven different categories
The cost of storing 1MWh of electricity ranges from $50 to $180
Though energy storage is currently expensive, it can increasingly be used to smooth the supply of power or to bridge the gap between peak and night-time electricity rates
Batteries & Flywheels
Plug-in hybrids (PHEVs) will most likely use lithium ion batteries
Sodium sulfur batteries implemented for peak power load leveling and storage of intermittent wind energy
Flywheels are being explored as an option for high power density applications, such as balancing short-term grid fluctuations
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
GREEN TECH M&A ENVIRONMENT
38MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Global M&A Trends
According to New Energy Finance, Global M&A dropped 16% in 2008
The $21.7 billion in M&A in 2008 is significantly down from $25.9 billion in 2007
Clean tech M&A was curbed by global credit crisis (access to acquisition capital limited)
The majority of change of control transactions were asset acquisitions or refinancing transactions
A decrease in VCs exiting into the public markets (low valuations)
Slight increase in private equity buy-outs in 2008 as well
Source: New Energy Finance
Acquisition transactions by type, 2002-2008, $ billions
Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc. is currently building its internal transactions database for its Green Tech M&A Round Up 2009 Report focusing on U.S. transactions only
39
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Global M&A Trends
Wind experienced the lion’s share of the volume of M&A transactions in 2008
Consolidation swept through Europe’s wind market (UNEP)
In 2008, the 42 transactions in the wind sector represented 38% growth over 2007
Solar had 11 transactions globally, representing a 29% increase over the previous year
Biofuel transaction volume decreased by 38% to five transaction in 2008
Acquisition transactions by technology, 2008, and growth on 2007, $ billions
Note: Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals
Source: New Energy Finance, UNEP SEFI
E-mail [email protected] to receive the 2009 Green Tech M&A Round Up Report in January 2010
Manufacturing and technology supply chain acquisitions
In 2008, 29.5% of all renewable energy deals were for such assets – up from11% in 2007 (source New Energy Finance)
Companies seeking to secure an end-to-end supply chain footprint
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Global M&A Trends
Solar was the only sector to see an increase in M&A spending
Solar increased 60% from $4 billion in 2007 to $6.4 billion in 2008
Biofuels had the largest decrease
Biofuels decreased 27% from $2.6 billion in 2007 to $1.9 billion in 2008
Equipment manufacturing had the largest level of M&A activity ($9.4 billion)
Deals targeting developers saw the largest increase ($7.3 billion in 2008 and increase of 156% over 2007)
Source: New Energy Finance
Global Acquisition transactions by sector. 2002-2008, $ billions
M&A activity is likely to increase as well-capitalized players take advantage of lower energy company valuations and some distressed opportunities
Factors the will drive M&A are increasing valuations, an improving economy (demand for energy) and a the continuation of favorable renewable energy policies
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Venture Capital & Private Equity
VC/PE invested $19.3 billion in renewable energy and energy efficiency companies in 2008, an increase of 43% compared with 2007
The majority of global transactions in the renewable sector were PE expansion capital investments
Globally, more than 500 funding rounds too place during 2008
VCs were more active in the second and third quarters of 2008 with a sharp decline in Q4 2008
AVA Solar $104m Series B round led by DCM Venture Capital
Early-stage investment in biofuels was focused on firms exploring ground-breaking technologies
Note: Buy-outs are not included as new investment. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals.
Source: New Energy Finance, UNEP, SEFI.
Global VC/PE new investment by stage, 2002 -2008, $ billions
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Venture Capital & Private Equity
Leading sustainable energy sectors
Wind attracted the highest amount of new investment $52 billion
The most mature and best –established sustainable energy generation technology
Solar received $34 billion of new investment, up 49% over 2007
Biofuels received $17 billion of new investment, down 9% from 2007
Note: New investment volume adjusts for re-invested equity. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals
Financial new investment by technology, 2008, and growth on 2007, $ billions
Source: New Energy Finance, UNEP SEFI
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Total Transaction Value
In 2008, total global transaction value in the renewable energy sector was $155 billion, representing a 5% increase over 2007, according to NEF and UNEP
The increase in total transaction value of 5% was well below the 59% increase in 2007 over 2006
S/RP = small/residential projects. New investment volume adjusts for re-invested equity. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals
Source: New Energy Finance
New Investment in Sustainable Energy, 2002-2008$ billion
NEF Source: www.newenergyfinance.com
UNEP Source: www.unepfi.org
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 45
U.S. Green Tech M&A Trends
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
2008 M&A Activity
TYPES OF ALTERNATIVE ENERGY 46
Greentech transaction volume was resilient in first half of 2008 amidst a credit crisis and economic downturn
Drop off after Sep 2008
In 2008, Solar and Biofuel were the two largest segments
More than half of total combined deal volume in the sector (55%)
Solar power and biofuel producers require more capital to build production facilities
These two segments secured twelve raises exceeding $100 million in 2008
2008 Greentech M&A Transaction Volume (#) and Value ($mil)
Segment Transactions ValueSolar 89 $3,461Biofuel 69 2,016Biomass 8 255Hydro, Ocean Tidal 4 1,915Geothermal 8 167Wind 21 777Diversified Renewables 13 164Smart Distribution 11 274Energy Storage 16 291Energy Efficiency 43 507Carbon Capture and Sequestration 4 27Hydrogen and Fuel Cell 6 78Total 292 $9,932
Source: Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc.
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
2009 M&A Activity
TYPES OF ALTERNATIVE ENERGY 47
In the first seven months of 2009, 101 transactions were completed for a reported $2.29 billon in deal value versus 171 transactions and $4.90 billion for the same period in 2008
Deal volume declined 40.9% and deal value declined 53.3% in the 1st seven months of 2009 vs 2008
Average deal size decreased as well in this same period comparison
Transaction Volume by Segment in First Seven Months1st 7 mo. 1st 7 mo.
Segment 2009 2008Solar 29 51Biofuel 19 48Biomass 5 5Hydro, Ocean Tidal 2 1Geothermal 0 3Wind 7 14Diversified Renewables 2 5Smart Distribution 6 6Energy Storage 7 8Energy Efficiency 21 25Carbon Capture and Sequestration 1 2Hydrogen and Fuel Cell 2 3Total 101 171
Source: Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc.
Transaction Value by Segment in First Seven Months ($mil)
Segment 2009 2008Solar $877 $1,909Biofuel 644 1,598Biomass 57 33Hydro, Ocean Tidal 22 3Geothermal 0 94Wind 41 655Diversified Renewables 7 43Smart Distribution 94 73Energy Storage 252 124Energy Efficiency 223 330Carbon Capture and Sequestration 50 14Hydrogen and Fuel Cell 21 27Total $2,288 $4,904
Source: Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc.
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Venture Capital & Private Equity
48MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS
VCs less willing to take risks on early-stage pre-profitable businesses
Significantly longer time to get to commercialization, if at all
The impact of the Recession ‘08 on clean tech – people less receptive to new technologies during a downturn
VCs (and nearly everyone else) retrenched to positions where they felt more comfortable
VCs moved down the value chain to later-stage investment opportunities
Lower valuations and a down M&A market limited exit opportunities
Without a clear exit strategy (healthy buyers), VCs are hesitant to fund start ups
Large UK investors APAX and 3i recently announced that they were abandoning early-stage investments
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 49
Public Market Company Valuations
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Greentech Public Market Values
PUBLIC MARKET VALUES 50
Sources: CapitalIQ; Company SEC Filings. Stock Price 7-29-09.
Comparable Public Company Multiples ($ millions, except multiples)
Company Market Cap Total Debt Cash EVLTM
RevenueLTM
EBITDARev
MulitpleEBITDA Multiple
SOLAR
Akeena Solar, Inc. 38 1 3 36 36 (22) 1.0x n/a
EMCORE Corporation 107 16 15 108 246 (42) 0.4x n/a
Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. 730 316 423 624 351 77 1.8x 8.1x
Evergreen Solar Inc. 381 314 57 639 145 (39) 4.4x n/a
First Solar, Inc. 16,355 228 625 15,958 1,468 626 10.9x 25.5x
GT Solar International, Inc. 1,039 0 94 945 535 170 1.8x 5.6x
Premier Power Renewable Energy, Inc. 98 0 3 95 44 (0) 2.1x n/a
SunPower Corporation 2,672 468 149 2,990 1,375 242 2.2x 12.3x
Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd. 2,561 1,717 508 3,770 1,924 224 2.0x 16.8x
MEAN 3.0x 13.7x
BIOFUEL
Bluefire Ethanol Fuels, Inc. 39 0 2 38 1 (13) 33.3x n/a
Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. 110 337 54 393 473 4 0.8x 99.5x
Verenium Corporation 59 126 16 169 69 (65) 2.5x n/a
MEAN 12.2x 99.5x
WIND
Broadwind Energy, Inc. 883 41 6 918 235 (1) 3.9x n/a
MEAN 3.9x -
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
Greentech Public Market Values
Sources: CapitalIQ; Company SEC Filings. Stock Price 7-29-09.
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Comparable Public Company Multiples ($ millions, except multiples)
Company Market Cap Total Debt Cash EVLTM
RevenueLTM
EBITDARev
MulitpleEBITDA Multiple
BIOMASS
Covanta Holding Corporation 2,371 1,982 159 4,193 1,634 504 2.6x 8.3x
MEAN 2.6x 8.3x
GEOTHERMAL
LSB Industries Inc. 331 102 52 381 739 69 0.5x 5.5x
Ormat Technologies Inc. 1,737 465 43 2,159 375 132 5.8x 16.3x
WaterFurnace Renewable Energy, Inc. 255 0 6 249 138 24 1.8x 10.4x
MEAN 2.7x 10.7x
EFFICIENCY
AeroVironment, Inc. 595 0 102 494 236 38 2.1x 13.1x
Composite Technology Corporation 76 8 3 81 62 (35) 1.3x n/a
Comverge, Inc. 225 30 28 227 78 (12) 2.9x n/a
Echelon Corporation 298 26 29 296 117 (24) 2.5x n/a
EnerNOC, Inc. 487 5 54 437 106 (29) 4.1x n/a
Lime Energy Co. 52 8 9 51 69 (7) 0.7x n/a
Orion Energy Systems, Inc 79 4 36 47 73 2 0.6x 27.1x
PowerSecure International, Inc. 78 6 23 61 122 10 0.5x 6.2x
MEAN 1.9x 15.5x
HYDRO, OCEAN & TIDAL
Ocean Power Technologies, Inc 71 0 8 63 5 (20) 14.0x n/a
MEAN 14.0x -
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 52
Greentech Public Market Values
PUBLIC MARKET VALUES
Sources: CapitalIQ; Company SEC Filings. Stock Price 7-29-09.
Comparable Public Company Multiples ($ millions, except multiples)
Company Market Cap Total Debt Cash EVLTM
RevenueLTM
EBITDARev
MulitpleEBITDA Multiple
ENERGY STORAGE
Advanced Battery Technologies Inc. 215 0 34 182 46 19 4.0x 9.6x
Axion Power International Inc. 38 0 3 34 1 (8) 43.4x n/a
Ener1, Inc. 758 27 4 781 15 (35) 52.2x n/a
EnerSys 929 436 105 1,260 2,162 215 0.6x 5.8x
Kinder Morgan Management LLC 3,674 0 - 3,674 NA NA n/a n/a
Polypore International Inc. 466 793 96 1,163 574 148 2.0x 7.8x
Ultralife Corp. 123 22 1 144 245 19 0.6x 7.5x
Valence Technology Inc. 268 54 8 313 29 (15) 10.7x n/a
MEAN 16.2x 7.7x
WASTE MANAGEMENT
American Ecology Corp. 349 0 24 325 165 41 2.0x 8.0x
Casella Waste Systems Inc. 64 582 3 643 576 121 1.1x 5.3x
Waste Management, Inc. 13,574 8,789 947 21,416 12,932 3,390 1.7x 6.3x
MEAN 1.6x 6.5x
DIVERSIFIED RENEWABLE
Energy Composites Corporation 189 7 3 194 10 (1) 19.6x n/a
GreenHunter Energy, Inc. 20 71 1 90 8 (31) 11.3x n/a
Satcon Technology Corporation 107 6 7 106 66 (13) 1.6x n/a
MEAN 10.8x -
6.6x 15.3x
2.1x 8.2x
OVERALL RENEWABLE MEAN
OVERALL RENEWABLE MEDIAN
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 53
Greentech Public Market Values
PUBLIC MARKET VALUES
Sources: CapitalIQ; Company SEC Filings. Stock Price 7-29-09.
Comparable Public Company Multiples ($ millions, except multiples)
Company Market Cap Total Debt Cash EVLTM
RevenueLTM
EBITDARev
MulitpleEBITDA Multiple
DIVERSIFIED ENERGY
Avista Corp. 859 1,166 36 1,990 1,668 286 1.2x 7.0x
Calpine Corp. 5,467 10,475 1,626 14,316 9,663 1,804 1.5x 7.9x
Chevron Corp. 131,927 12,194 9,150 134,971 225,440 43,543 0.6x 3.1x
ConocoPhillips 67,574 29,379 802 96,151 202,079 35,355 0.5x 2.7x
Exelon Corp. 31,548 13,164 2,149 42,563 19,064 7,043 2.2x 6.0x
IdaCorp, Inc. 1,086 1,512 89 2,508 976 305 2.6x 8.2x
Integrys Energy Group, Inc. 2,075 2,941 332 4,684 13,259 473 0.4x 9.9x
PNM Resources Inc. 804 1,715 70 2,448 1,981 248 1.2x 9.9x
Progress Energy Inc. 9,847 12,365 632 21,580 9,543 2,797 2.3x 7.7x
Rentech, Inc. 100 106 63 143 202 (16) 0.7x n/a
Sunoco Inc. 3,557 2,513 206 5,864 45,230 2,155 0.1x 2.7x
The AES Corporation 6,340 17,957 1,267 23,030 15,367 4,169 1.5x 5.5x
Valero Energy Corp. 11,552 7,576 1,715 17,413 104,167 5,411 0.2x 3.2x
Wisconsin Energy Corp. 4,428 4,887 17 9,297 4,396 1,078 2.1x 8.6x
Xcel Energy Inc. 7,810 8,564 301 16,072 10,870 2,385 1.5x 6.7x
Syntroleum Corp. 168 0 17 151 24 5 6.4x 33.2x
MEAN 1.6x 8.2x
5.1x 12.2x
2.0x 7.9x
OVERALL MEAN
OVERALL MEDIAN
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
The WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index (NEX)
NEX is a benchmark index of 88 clean energy stocks
In late 2008, the index dropped 291 points or 68.8% in the six month period between Jul 2008 and Dec 2008
The index has since recovered and appears to have an upward trajectory
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
WHYPEACHTREE?
55
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 56
Why Peachtree Media Advisors?
Extensive knowledgebase of companies in the clean energy sector
More than 20 closed transactions
Specialization in the rapidly growing clean tech and Interactive media sectors
Personal relationships with digital media, tech and green tech investors
A growing global network of investor contacts (U.S., Brazil, China, Australia and the UK)
Extensive tracking of all strategic buyers, investors and transactions in clean tech sector
Combining investment banking expertise with Department of Energy Grant writing
Substantially better service and lower fees than competitionExpert M&A Advisory practice for smaller and mid-size technology companies
Financial advisory services for green tech – project finance, debt, lease financing, partnerships, venture capital and Department of Energy grant writing
Competition is unwilling to navigate outside of comfort zone
A growing team with a solid reputation in new media, technology and now green tech
A small investment bank with a global network
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY
THE PEACHTREEM&A SALE PROCESS
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PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 58
Peachtree Transaction Process
Information memorandum
Marketing/expressions of interest
Management presentations
Due diligence/letter of intent
Final negotiations/close
Five primary phases
(4 to 6 month process)
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 59
Information memorandum – Month 1Initial information request
Develop strategic positioning
Most compelling investment merits
Highlight buyer interests
Create information memorandum
Exec Summary
Investment Merits
Market Served
Products & Services
Operations
Growth Opportunities
Finance
Management & Organization
Buyer target list
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 60
Marketing/expressions of interest – Months 2 and 3Initial contact with senior level decision makers
Non-disclosure agreement
Dissemination of information memorandum
Process letter requesting non-binding expression of interest
Terms
Initial valuation
Preliminary deal structure
Source of capital
Review bids
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 61
Management presentations – Month 4Select/invite prospects to go to the next round
Management presentation
An informative presentation given by management to select bidders
Q&A session
Discussion of process and next steps
Second round process letter sent to management presentation attendees
Request for Letter of Intent (LOI)
Terms of deal structure
Indicate initial terms of purchase and sale agreement
Bidder proposed capital structure
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 62
Due Diligence – Month 5Due diligence
Continued discussion with management via conference call
Extensive review of data room, legal documents, agreements and operating contracts
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 63
Letter of Intent/Final Negotiation/Closing – Month 6Review of LOIs
Comparison of final bids
Final negotiations with top bidders
Choosing the final bidder
Confirmatory due diligence
Closing
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 64
About John Doyle
In 2000, Mr. Doyle successfully launched a digital production company in Los Angeles, CA, developing both online and offline digital content. In 2001, the company transitioned to focusing solely on raising money for offline film and television projects. Mr. Doyle has worked with Conde Nast, Fox Cable Networks, 20th Century Fox, Writers & Artists Agency and Revolution Studios.
In 2004, Mr. Doyle returned to media investment banking with The Jordan, Edmiston Group, Inc. His primary responsibilities included developing qualitative and quantitative analytical materials at each phase of the M&A transaction process. Highly experienced in valuing, analyzing and positioning media businesses, Mr. Doyle was responsible for closing more than ten media M&A transactions.
Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc. was established to serve the merger and acquisition advisory needs of the interactive marketing, digital consumer and out-of-home sectors of media. With a substantial amount of media operations and investment banking experience, Mr. Doyle is able to deliver expert advice in valuing new media assets, positioning companies during the sale process, developing information memoranda to send to potential buyers or investors, coaching management through presentations, developing bids/deal structure analysis and managing the due diligence process to closing.
Established by John Doyle, Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc. serves the interactive marketing, digital and out-of-home sectors of media. Mr. Doyle has more than twelve years of media investment banking experience, having worked as a senior level investment banker at Veronis Suhler Stevenson and JEGI. After graduating from Dartmouth College In 1995 with a double major of Engineering and Economics, Mr. Doyle specialized in the business information services and specialty media and marketing services at Veronis Suhler Stevenson (VSS). While at VSS, Mr. Doyle performed M&A advisory services to sell-side and buy-side clients, in addition to developing platform acquisition strategies, performing leveraged buy out analysis and conducting due diligence for the VSS private equity funds.
PEACHTREE GREEN ADVISORSGREEN TECHNOLOGY 65
50 Vanderbilt Ave., #30
New York, NY 10017
T: (212) 570-1009
F: (646) 607-1786
www.PeachtreeGreenAdvisors.com
Peachtree Green AdvisorsA Division of Peachtree Media Advisors, Inc.
August 2009