A SUCCESSFUL CONCEPT IN MID / DOWNSTREAM ENERGY … · 3 Morocco 2 Botswana 2 Swaziland 1 Réunion...
Transcript of A SUCCESSFUL CONCEPT IN MID / DOWNSTREAM ENERGY … · 3 Morocco 2 Botswana 2 Swaziland 1 Réunion...
A SUCCESSFUL CONCEPT IN
MID / DOWNSTREAM
ENERGY BUSINESS
Septembre 2019
RUBIS IS ORGANISEDINTO THREE PROFIT CENTERS
FUEL RETAILING
Sale and marketing of fuels to end
customers: Multi-segment positioning:
Motor gas stations, fuel oil, LPG, bitumen,
aviation and marine fuel, lubricants
SUPPORT AND SERVICES
Midstream business in support
of the distribution : refining, trading/supply,
shipping, terminalling and services for
both its own account and third parties
TERMINALING & STORAGE
Bulk liquid storage : Petroleum products,
fertilizers, chemical, edible oil and
molasses.
Customers: oil companies, fuel retailers,
chemical industry, traders
and Government agencies
70% 20% 10%
Marketing business Support and Services business Services provider
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2018 CONSOLIDATED DATA (IN €M)
+15%
SALES
4,754
Sales
500
EBITDA
254
Net profit,
Group’s share 2.63
EPS (€)
1.59*
DPS (€)
COMPOUND GROWTH OVER 10 YEARS TO 2018 – LONG-TERM GROWTH LEAD BY ACQUISITIONS (≈ TWO THIRDS)
+18%
EBITDA
+18%
EBIT
+20%NET PROFIT,
GROUP SHARE
+10%
EPS
3
* Amount proposed to the General Meeting to be held on June 11, 2019
391
EBIT
+9%
DPS
H1 - 2019CONSOLIDATED DATA(EN M€)
+ 13 %
SALES
2,727
Sales
313
EBITDA
157
Net profit,
Group’s share
CHANGE 2019/2018, EXCLUDING IFRS 16
+ 16 %
EBITDA
+ 17 %
EBIT
+ 24 %NET PROFIT,
GROUP’S SHARE
4
238
EBIT
THINKING LONG TERM: THE ESSENCE OF RUBIS DNA
BUSINESS STRATEGIC POSITIONING
• Multi-local specialist & niche player enjoying leading market
positions: top 3 player – few participants – market share up to
80%
• High barriers to entry: regulation/capital intensive
• Full control of distribution channel securing competitive supply
and delivery to customers
GLOBAL BUSINESS CHARACTERISTICS
• Low exposure to business cycle – resilient business offering visibility
• Low tech content business – quality of service being a key factor of
differentiation
• Fragmented risk structure: multiple segments/geographically spread
• High potential for further acquisitions worldwide
FINANCE
• Solid free cash flow generation
• Low financial leverage
• Significant dividend pay-out and growth
• Cost Plus business – stable unit margin
ORGANISATION
• Autonomy of local management: quick decision making process
• Close to customers + capex adapted to local needs + efficiency
and market share gains
• Empowered and entrepreneurial local managers
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RUBIS BENEFITS FROM STRONG LOCAL POSITIONS AND IS ABLE TO BUILD UP ITS COMPETITIVE OPERATIONAL LEVERAGE IN A MOVING GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT
FUEL SUPPLY AND RETAIL
• Supply cost at parity with oil major
• Ability to pass supply price volatility on to customers
• Efficiency gains attached to both organic development and
acquisitions
• Import logistic ownership in markets structurally dependent
on imports
TERMINALLING & STORAGE
• Structural imbalances between supply and demand creates
new flows of products and new logistics requirements : jetty -
blending capacity
• Barriers to entry: capital intensive business and constraining
environmental regulation
• Changing oil spec, state policy of strategic reserves, global
refineries re-location
• New positive challenge: IMO 2020, new gasoline/diesel mix
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FULL CONTROL OF SUPPLY CHAIN AND
MARGIN UP TO FINAL CUSTOMER
LOCATION, CUSTOMER BASE –
HIGH QUALITY ASSET BASE
2019 VOLUMES: 6 MILLION CBM ON A FULL YEAR BASISRUBIS ÉNERGIE
France4
Spain3
Portugal2
Channel Islands1
Switzerland1
Djibouti1
Morocco3
Botswana2
Swaziland2
Réunion1
Lesotho4
Togo1
Senegal1
Madagascar1
South Africa2
Nigeria1
Comoros1
Bermuda1
Western Caribbean2
Antilles –French Guiana
1
Eastern Caribbean2
Jamaica2
39%
14%
46%
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1 Haïti
LPG (20%) Fuel gas station (66%)Fuel commercial (41%
Bitumen (6%) Market position
1 KenolKobil (Kenya - Burundi - Ethiopia - Uganda - Rwanda - Zambia)
A LOW EXPOSURE TO OIL PRICE VOLATILITY - COST PLUS MODELYOY CHANGE
LPG quote Unit margin
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This chart shows LPG quotations in parallel with unit margin delivered by Rubis Energy: it shows Rubis’ capacity to pass on to the
customer most of the supply price volatility and thus maintaining stable its margin despite a volatile environment.
-26%
50%
14% 14%
-13% -15%
-36%
-16%
43%
16%14%
-4%
5%-1% -2%
2%
15%
-2%1% 2%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
3.6 MILLION CBM OF COASTAL / PIPE LINKED 2019 STORAGE CAPACITYRUBIS TERMINAL
Terminalling - Rental revenues breakdownRotterdam
Antwerp
Dunkirk
Rouen
Brest
StrasbourgReichstett
Village-Neuf (Mulhouse)
Villette-de-Vienne
St-Priest (Lyon)
Salaise
Corsica
DörtyolTurkey
131
756
475
191
216
63
867
62
95
20
37
650
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Oil (52%) Fertilizer (7%)
Chemicals (37%) Edible & Molasses (4%)
AN ACQUISITIVEBUSINESS MODEL
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• Since 1995 : some 40 acquisitions for a cumulative amount exceeding €2bn
• A deep reservoir for acquisition targets ahead: oil majors, privatization, family office,
government agencies, listed companies, …
• Range of EBITDA multiple paid: 5 - 7x
• Material earning improvement in year 3 post-acquisition through re-management, re-
positioning and specialist-mindset
e.g.: Shell in Southern Africa +50% 2005-07 10-12 16-18
Chevron in Caribbean +100% ROC/ACE* 10% 13% 15%
BP in Portugal +20% *ACE: Average Capital Employed
AN ACQUISITIVE BUSINESS MODELSince 1995: some 40 acquisitions for a cumulative amount exceeding €2bn
SES Strasbourg
€18m
96/99
GREENFIELD
DEVELOPMENTS
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Morocco
€14m
EXTERNAL
GROWTH
Rubis Énergie
Propetrol
€15mFrench Antilles
€107m
2000 2001 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Senegal
€5m
Europe (5
countries) LPG
€44m
Bermuda
€32m
Corsica Dist.
€10mLPG Spain €8m
Channel Islands
€16m
South Africa
Switzerland
Spain Caribbean
€280mCorsica Storage
Madagascar
€14m
Frangaz
€25m
Rotterdam
€90m
Rubis Terminal
Antwerp
€80m
AN ACQUISITIVE BUSINESS MODELA deep reservoir for acquisition targets ahead: oil majors, privatisation, family office, government
agencies, listed companies
2011
GREENFIELD
DEVELOPMENTS
12
EXTERNAL
GROWTH
Bahamas
Botswana
Cayman Islands
Turks and Caicos
€82m
Reichstett
€36m
SARA Refinery
€47m (35,5%)
LPG Switzerland
€16m
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MultigasSwitzerland €9mPortugal €115mJamaica €60m
Bermuda Gas
USD18m
Rotterdam & Antwerp
Extension in progress
2015-2017
Rubis Énergie Rubis Terminal
Dinasa & Sodigaz
(Haiti) Galana
(Madagascar)
EG Retail (Corsica)
Total amount:
€380m
Rubis Terminal
Petrol (50%)
in Turkey
Djibouti €18mReunion Island
€100mEres USD350m
Delta Rubis (50%)
in Turkey
€72m
Repsol Portugal
€42m
KenolKobil
(Kenya)
€312m
ROBUSTFREE CASH FLOW GENERATION
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(in €M) 2016 2017 2018
EBITDA 411 496 500
Change in Working Capital 18 71 47
Maintenance Capex 56 61 84
Free cash flow from operations available for expansion capex* 256 265 276
* After interest, tax, change in working capital and maintenance capex
➢Leaving significant capability for expansion capex
➢Acquisition funding through debt or new equity with target leverage max c2x (net debt/EBITDA)
leaving firepower up to €1 billion
OPERATING PROFIT BY DIVISION (IN €M)
Fuel retailing Terminaling & Storage Support and Services* Holding
14
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
-6 -5 -4 -8 -9 -11 -10 -13 -15 -15 -19 -18
32 42 44 4778
98 116 97
153
199 254275
27,234,7 37,8 48,1
51,9
59,4 56,560,2
51,4
53,6
69,446…
23
51
62
64 88
* In 2014, Fuel Retailing split into Support and Services and Fuel Retailing
9% CAGR IN DIVIDEND OVER THE PAST 10 YEARSATTRACTIVE DIVIDEND YIELD
1415
12,5 12,5
16,5
2021,5
23,5 23,5
31,5
36,3
50,2
53,9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Average share price (€) Dividend per share (€) Dividend yield (%)
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0,51 0,59 0,63 0,68 0,75 0,84 0,92 0,98 1,031,21
1,341,50 1,59
3,6%
3,9%
5,0%
5,4%
4,5%
4,1%4,2%
4,1%4,3%
3,8%3,7%
2,9% 3,0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
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RUBIS SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE
RUBIS IS A LISTED “PARTNERSHIP”
Partners bear unlimited liability exposure on the company debt
Partners compensation is directly linked to total shareholder return
Management stability secures long term strategic view
Free float ≈ 90 %
Founded: 1990
IPO: 1995
Market Capitalisation ~ €5bn
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