A new era for the EU power market

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A new era for the EU power market Gianfilippo Mancini Executive Vice President Generation & Energy Management and Market Divisions PowerGen 2011 June, 7 2011

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Gianfilippo Mancini Executive Vice President Generation & Energy Management and Market Divisions PowerGen 2011

Transcript of A new era for the EU power market

Page 1: A new era for the EU power market

A new era for the EU power market

Gianfilippo ManciniExecutive Vice President

Generation & Energy Management and Market Divisions

PowerGen 2011 June, 7 2011

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A global uncertain context

Commodities Energy saving and grid improvement

Environmental sustainability

Securityof supply

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Security of supply

Source: Source: Eurostat - Yearly statistics 2008 , Terna 2009, Enerdata

EU 27 Primary Energy Balance Italy Primary Energy Balance

Power Generation Mix

Italy Spain France Germany EU27

26% 26% 14% 18% 19%

13%

13%

5%

44% 27%51%37%

4% 13%22%

10% 6%1%

2% 3%

18%

76%

23% 28% Nuke

GasOil/Other

Coal

Renewable

14,4%

34,2%

40,1%

1,9%9,4%

Italy

Import others

Import electricity

Import Oil

Import gas

Internal production

EU27

45%

15%

32%

8%

Italy

14%

34%

40%

2%9%

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2010 Action Plan 2020

Renewable energies

+94%

249

483

France

Germany

UK

ItalySpain44

28

389

4476

111

5457

29

+322%

+97%

+106%

+57%

+73%Large investments in

renewables supported by EU governments’

incentivation policies

Source: National Action Plans of EU members – 2010 Edition; 2010 based on PAN statements

EU 27

Development of capacity (GW)

2010 Action Plan 2020

2010 Action Plan 2020

2010 Action Plan 2020

2010 Action Plan 2020

2010 Action Plan 2020

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An ageing power fleet…

Ageing thermal power fleet will require renovation in the next few decades

Generation capacity by efficiencyThermal generation capacity by age

EU 27 Italy

Source: Platts, Enerdata – Global Energy & CO2 Data, 2009

% o

f cap

acity

19901996

20022008

20142020

20262032

20382044

20502056

20622068

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

> 40 Years of operation > 60 Years of operation

OIL GAS Coal Average Average

37%

48%

35%41%

45%

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..in need of environmental fitting

(1) Limits set by 2010/75/UE (IED) directive equivalent to the higher end of the Bref range

CCGT(1)

NOx 50CO 100

European countries must comply with new regulation, Italian IPPC permits (AIA) are already

compliant with the new IED limits

COAL Torre Nord (Civitavecchia)

SO2 <100

NOx <100Dust <15

CCGT EnelNOx < 30-40

CO < 30

COAL(1) Existing plants New plants

LCP IED LCP IED

>300 MWt

SO2 400 200 200 150

NOx 500 200 200 150

Dust 50 20 30 10

European limits for air emissions Enel power plants performance in Italy

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Energy Efficiency: an opportunity

All countries and sectors can contribute

Sources: Enerdata 2009, Mc Kinsey

0,5 1 1,5

EU 27

Power generationBuildings Transport

Cost(EUR/tCO2e)

Potential(MtCO2e)

2009 Energy intensity (1 = EU27 average)CO2 abatement measures

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Enel: a global dimension

A fully integrated global energy player with a leading position in strategic markets

Russia

Other European Countries

Italy

Iberia

≈ 1

≈ 4.5

≈ 11.5

≈ 6Chart Title

Enel investments in Europe (cumulated 2011-2015)

€ bln

Presence in:• 40 countriesInstalled capacity:• 97,283 MW Annual output:• 290 TWhEBITDA:• 17.5 bln €Customers:• 61 millionEmployees:• 78,313CAPEX 2011-2015:• €31 billion