A method to identify the key causes of differences in energy efficiency of operators
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Transcript of A method to identify the key causes of differences in energy efficiency of operators
A METHOD TO IDENTIFY THE KEY CAUSES OF
DIFFERENCES IN ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF OPERATORS
Maryam Abdi OskoueiDr. Kwame Awuah-Offei
1
Energy Efficiency in Coal Mining
• Energy consumption in coal mines is estimated as 142 billion kWh per year (DOE, 2007)
• About 49% of this energy can be saved by improving energy efficiency and implementing best practices (Bonskowski et al. 2006)
• Dragline, as one of the main energy consumers in surface coal mines, consumes about 15-30% of total mine energy (Orica Mining Services 2010) 2
Energy Efficiency of Dragline Operation
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Mine design & planning
Equipment characteristics
Operating condition
Energy Efficiency
Operator practice
𝜂=𝑈𝑠𝑒𝑓𝑢𝑙𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑘𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦
≅𝑃𝐸
Responsible Parameters
• Which parameter is causing the difference between energy efficiency of operators?
• Why identify responsible parameters?
4
The Flowchart
5
STARTCorrelation
analysisCreate pairs of
operatorsi=1
Select ith pair
Use linear regression of differences to find
significant parameters *
i= i+1
i <= No
YesUse the results to
determine significant variable across all
pairs
Repeat n times
Pearson Correlation
• Evaluate the relation between relevant parameters and energy efficiency
• Test the hypothesis of no correlation under significant level of α
6
,
cov( , )X Y
X Y
X Y
Structure of the Data (opr_i)
7
Energy efficiency Correlated parameters
cycle 1 ηi1 pari11 pari12. . . pari1v
cycle 2 ηi2 pari21 pari22. . . pari2v
. . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . .
cycle ci ηic paric1 paric2. . . paricv
Issues with Missing Data Opr i Opr j
Cycle 1 Xi1 Xj1
Cycle 2 Xi2 Xj2
. .
. .
. .
Cycle cj Xi cj Xj cj
. .
Cycle k Xi k
. .
Cycle ci Xi ci
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• Proposed method is based on pair-wise comparison of operators
• Select equal number of cycles
• Repeat the process n times to reduce the effect of random sampling error
Select cj cycles at random
Difference matrix (opr_i - opr_j)
Δη Δpar
cycle 1 ηi1 – ηj1 pari11 – parj11 pari12 – parj12. . . pari1v – parj1v
cycle 2 ηi2 – ηj2 pari21 – parj21 pari22 – parj22. . . pari2v – parj2v
. . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . .
. . . . . . . .
cycle c ηic – ηjc paric1 – parjc1 paric2 – parjc2. . . paricv – parjcv
9Dependent variables
Independent variables
Linear Regression Analysis
• Test the significance of coefficients (ki) to identify responsible parameters (significance level of α)
• A parameter is a responsible parameter, if in (1-α)100 % of runs it is recognized as a responsible parameter.
10
ηi
par1i
par2i
parni
.
.
.
ηj
par1j
par2j
parnj
.
.
.
Operator i
Operator j
Δ η=𝑘0+𝑘1 Δ𝑝𝑎𝑟 1+𝑘2 Δ𝑝𝑎𝑟 2+⋯+𝑘𝑛 Δ𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑛
Case Study
• Dragline Bucyrus-Erie 1570w – 85 yd3 removes the blasted overburden
• Real time monitoring system by Drives & Controls Services, Inc.– Adjusted to record energy consumption of three sets
of motors in the free slots of the database– 34,327 cycles recorded in one month, 13 operators
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Operators with Sufficient Working Hours
• Mean Standard Error (SE) of energy efficiency for each operator
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ii
i
SEnOc
A B C D E F G H I J K L M0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
05001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Standard error Cycles
Operator
Mea
n st
anda
rd e
rror
Num
ber o
f cyc
les
• First cut-off standard error = 0.06
Operators with Sufficient Working Hours
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A B C D E F G H0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
05001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
Standard Error Number of cycles
Operator
Mea
n st
anda
rd e
rror
Num
ber o
f cyc
les
Final cut-off standard error = 0.04
The Flowchart for the given data
14
STARTCorrelation
analysisCreate 10 pairs
of operatorsi=1
Select ith pair
Use linear regression of differences to find
significant parameters *
i= i+1
i <=10No
YesUse the results to
determine significant variable across all
pairs
Repeat 30 times
nop = 5 operatorsn = 30 runs for each pair95% significance level
Correlated Parameters# Parameter
PCP-value
1 Dump height-0.6560(<0.001)
2 Hoist energy-0.5857(<0.001)
3 Drag distance (vertical)-0.5089<0.001
4 Drag energy-0.4569<0.001
5 Drag distance (horizontal)-0.4807<0.001
6 Load bucket time-0.4548<0.001
7 Dump time-0.3050<0.001
# ParameterPC
P-value
8 Cycle time-0.3755(<0.001)
9 Swing energy-0.2724(<0.001)
10 Swing in time-0.3362(<0.001)
11 Spot time-0.1725<0.001
12 Angle swing out-0.1556(<0.001)
13 Swing out time0.0123
(0.0913)
14 Payload0.2429
(<0.001)
Results of Linear Regression Analysis (30 runs)
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Correlated parameters D,B D,E D,A D,C B,E B,A B,C E,A E,C A,C
Dump height 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Drag distance (vertical) 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Drag distance (horizontal) 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Load bucket time 4 30 26 30 0 8 20 5 22 30
Dump time 30 30 8 30 30 8 30 30 30 30
Cycle time 3 16 6 2 2 26 0 10 5 27
Swing in time 3 16 28 10 16 29 30 3 6 7
Spot time 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 21 30 30
Angle swing out 14 30 4 8 18 30 30 22 30 2
Payload 14 3 15 12 2 13 1 6 8 30
number of times of non-zero regression coefficient
Responsible at significance level 95%
17
Correlated parameters D,B D,E D,A D,C B,E B,A B,C E,A E,C A,C total
Dump height 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10
Drag distance (vertical) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10
Drag distance (horizontal) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10
Load bucket time 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 9
Dump time 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 8
Cycle time 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Swing in time 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 4
Spot time 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 2
Angle swing out 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1
Payload 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Responsible Parameters
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Correlated parameters total probability
Dump height 10 100%
Drag distance (vertical) 10 100%
Drag distance (horizontal) 10 100%
Spot time 9 90%
Dump time 8 80%
Load bucket time 4 40%
Angle swing out 4 40%
Swing in time 2 20%
Payload 1 10%
Cycle time 0 0%
Discussion
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Dump
heig
ht
Drag
dista
nce
(ver
tical
)
Drag
dista
nce
(hor
izont
al)
Spot ti
me
Dump
time
Load
buc
ket ti
me
Angle
swin
g ou
t
Swing
in tim
e
Paylo
ad
Cycle
time
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Pro
ba
bili
ty o
f b
ein
g a
re
sp
on
sib
le p
ara
me
-te
r
In this case study:
• There is only a 40% probability for dig time (load bucket time) to be a responsible parameter
• High probability for engagement and disengagement position of bucket to affect dragline performance
• Payload and cycle time have a low chance of being a responsible parameter
Conclusion• A guideline for improving
operator performance can be established using the results
• The method suggested for identifying responsible parameter is a valid and robust approach and can be used for other mines and draglines
20
Question?
21