Telecommunications Antennae and Support Structures – 1996 ...
A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
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Transcript of A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Filip Železný, Olga Štěpánková(Czech Technical University in Prague)
Jiří Zídek(Atlantis Telecom)
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Where we come fromCzech Technical University in Prague
Faculty of Electrical Engineering Dept. of Cybernetics
The Gerstner Laboratory for Intelligent Decision Making and Control
Machine Learning Group
http://cyber.felk.cvut.cz/gerstner/machine-learning
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
The ML Group Research on ML principles
Instance-based learning, Relational learning, Randomization in search, etc.
Application projects Mainly data mining in areas such as Medical (heart surgery mortality predictions,
subgroup discovery in Spa-patients), Industrial (Intelligent pump diagnosis), etc.
Telecommunications
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
The telecommunication project
“Intelligent Telephone Assistant” Equipe a private branch exchange (PBX,
switchboard) with intelligent behaviour Helps callers automatically
E.g. Find the correct person to connect to the caller upon recognition of the caller’s number
Learns from previous events I.e. from calls assisted by humans Stored in a logging file of the exchange
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
What we should learn from… Logging (history) file of the PBX
operationdate initime dirnum evtime calltypestatusinforelcausesetupmodeenafeatfeatinfonature2recno_call called answer_trucompanydept id. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .000802 085151 32 085151 E LI D EX 405353377 005001 FE FE 17664000802 085158 10 085201 E LI D LO 32 0 4 17665000802 085201 10 085205 E LI D DR 32 LO 32 0 4 17666000802 085207 31 085207 E LI D EX 85131111 005009 FE FE 17669000802 085151 32 085205 E LB TR D DR 6 EX 405353377 005001 FE FE 17667000802 085158 32 085205 S LB TR D LO 10 10 10 0 0 17668000802 085218 11 085218 E LI D LO 31 0 3 17670000802 085218 11 085223 E LI D DR 31 LO 31 0 3 17671000802 085207 31 085223 E LB TR D DR 72 EX 85131111 005009 FE FE 17672000802 085214 31 085223 S LB TR D LO 11 11 11 0 0 17673000802 085223 11 085339 E LB A DR 31 EX 85131111 005009 FE FE 17674000802 085205 10 085424 E LB A DR 32 EX 405353377 005001 FE FE 17675. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
… is not so obvious
date initime dirnum evtime calltypestatusinforelcausesetupmodeenafeatfeatinfonature2recno_call called answer_trucompanydept id. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .000802 085151 32 085151 E LI D EX 405353377 005001 FE FE 17664000802 085158 10 085201 E LI D LO 32 0 4 17665000802 085201 10 085205 E LI D DR 32 LO 32 0 4 17666000802 085207 31 085207 E LI D EX 85131111 005009 FE FE 17669000802 085151 32 085205 E LB TR D DR 6 EX 405353377 005001 FE FE 17667000802 085158 32 085205 S LB TR D LO 10 10 10 0 0 17668000802 085218 11 085218 E LI D LO 31 0 3 17670000802 085218 11 085223 E LI D DR 31 LO 31 0 3 17671000802 085207 31 085223 E LB TR D DR 72 EX 85131111 005009 FE FE 17672000802 085214 31 085223 S LB TR D LO 11 11 11 0 0 17673000802 085223 11 085339 E LB A DR 31 EX 85131111 005009 FE FE 17674000802 085205 10 085424 E LB A DR 32 EX 405353377 005001 FE FE 17675. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .
One event (transferred call)
Another simultaneous event (transferred call)
Related records spread
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
One time axisOne event (transferred call)
Another event (transferred call)
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Therefore, the plan is to:1. Reconstruct stored events
• Associate related records• Those related to one event (incoming call)• We know how (expert knowledge)
• Recognize the sequence of actions in events• E.g. transfers or attempts to transfer the caller
btw. internal lines• We do not know how (materials do not say
how actions map to sequences of records)
2. Learn decision support rules from the event descriptions
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Or, in boxes:
TelephoneExchange
LoggingData
EventDescriptions
EventReconstruction
Prediction
Rules
Telecomm.Traffic
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Learning action patterns
t(time(19,43,48),[1,2],time(19,43,48),e,li,empty,d,empty,empty,ex, [0,6,0,2,3,3,0,5,3,3],empty,anstr([0,0,5,0,0,0]),fe,fe,id(4)).t(time(19,43,48),[1,2],time(19,43,50),e,lb,e(relcause),d,dr,06,ex [0,6,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],empty,anstr([0,0,5,0,0,0]),fe,fe,id(5)).ex_ans([0,6,0,2,3,3,0,5,3,3],[1,2]).hangsup([0,6,0,2,3,3,0,5,3,3]).
This was stored
Generate event examples
(manual generation)
Nature of examples Consist of variable number of records Contain structured data types Use multiple relations
This “happened”(our description)
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Descriptive ILP setting ILP = Inductive Logic Programming Find first-order clauses true in all
given interpretations Our examples ~ interpretations May also use a background theory to prove
clauses Clauses must comply to a given
grammar E.g. heads (conclusions) consist of names of
actions
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Rules One of the rules
“same_num/2” defined in the background theory
ex_ans(EX1,DN1):-
t(D1,IT1,DN1,ET1,e,li,empty,d,EF1,FI1,ex,EX1,empty,ANTR1,CO1,DE1,ID1),
t(D2,IT2,DN2,ET2,e,lb,RC2,d,EF2,FI2,ex,EX2,empty,ANTR2,CO2,DE2,ID2)
IT2=ET1,
ANTR2=ANTR1,
same_num(EX1,EX2).
Action “external answered call” occurred if…
... these records were stored,
connected in time,
with the same answering port
With the “same” caller’s id. (May have different suffices)
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Using the rules…?-recognize([id(60216),id(60218),id(60224),id(60228),
id(60232),id(60239)])
EVENT STARTS.648256849 rings on 32 - call accepted,32 attempts to transfer 0648256849 to 16 with
notification, but 16 refused,32 notifies 12 and transfers 0648256849 to 12,12 attempts to transfer 0648256849 to 28 with
notification, but 28 does not respond,12 notifies 26 and transfers 0648256849 to 26,call terminated.EVENT STOPS.
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Event recognition performance Proportion of recognized events
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Event length
No
. o
f even
ts
Extracted
Recognized
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Recognition allowed for visualisation Frequency of internal transfers of external incoming calls Some interesting
observations!
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Predicting within events (1) Ongoing work Training data
Structural representation of eventsincoming
( date(8,28),time(15,29,19),[0,3,1,5,4,5,9,6,7,5],
[3,2], transfer([[2,9],[2,8]],
transfer([[2,6]],unavailable
) )).
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Predicting within events (2) Background knowledge relations
Predicates that Map dates to weekdays
(client habits may depend of particular weekdays)
Extract prefix of incoming numbers Binds callers from the same company, region etc.
Etc. We try to collect more relevant background
knowledge E.g. regular absence of employees, etc.
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Predictive ILP setting Input:
Positive example set P (Prolog facts) Negative example set N (Prolog facts) Background knowledge B (Prolog theory)
Output Hypothesis H (Prolog theory) Such that H & B logically entails
all p P no n N
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Predictive rules Example of a rule found:
“if a number starting with 0250- calls the receptionist on Monday, it is always transferred to line 10.”
Such rules allow for Decision support Automation
Problem: Small “coverage” of found rules Need more relevant background knowledge
Železný, Štěpánková, Zídek: A Learning System for Decision Support in Telecommunications
Conclusions Inductive Logic Programming serves
very well for induction from structural and multirelational telecommunication data
Successful reconstruction of events from switchboard logging file
Some signs of predictive induction, but we must collect more relevant background knowledge