A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions .../media/Files/R/Rolls...A broadly based...

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A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions Conference Andrew Shilston - CFO

Transcript of A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions .../media/Files/R/Rolls...A broadly based...

Page 1: A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions .../media/Files/R/Rolls...A broadly based business-Non-civil becoming more materialGroup Sales 2001 2008 100% 55% 45% 150% 5.5%

A Global Business

Bernstein – Strategic Decisions Conference

Andrew Shilston - CFO

Page 2: A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions .../media/Files/R/Rolls...A broadly based business-Non-civil becoming more materialGroup Sales 2001 2008 100% 55% 45% 150% 5.5%

Agenda

Strategic overview

Sector update

Operations update

Summary and outlook

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Addressing four global markets

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Investing in technology, capability and infrastructure

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Broadening our portfolio

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A broadly based business- Non-civil becoming more material

Group Sales

2001 2008

100%

55%

45%

5.5% CAGR150%

50%

50%Civil

NonCivil

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0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008H1

Europe Americas Asia/Middle East£bn

Firm and announced

Rolls-Royce order book

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Sector Update

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Technology creates opportunities – Civil

Trent XWB addressing a market opportunity of $186bn over next 20 years, with orders taken for over 700 engines.

BR725 selected for the G650, addressing a sector worth $14bn over the next 20 years.

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Installed Engine Fleet by Thrust – 2013 (V2500 @ 50%)Unit: Lbs Million Thrust

RB211

Trent

V2500

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1986

1991

1996

2001

2006

2011

000422

C&RAInstalled thrust up 45% since 2001

Expected to grow at 7% CAGR to 2013

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Parked aircraft announcements (since 3/08)

0

50

100

150

200

250

737 C

lassic

MD80EMB13

5CRJ

737 N

GA30

0A32

0 fam 75

776

7CRJ7

00EMB14

574

7MD90DC10MD11

A340-5

00 777

F100

PWGER-R

Updated 4 Sept

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AE2100 for the C130J AE3007 on the Global HawkAE2100 for the C27JAE1107C for the V22 Osprey

Strong demand in the military transport sector(15% CAGR).

AE common core powering seven applications across transport, business jets and UAV’s.

Significant opportunity in long-term: A400M, JSF, FSTA.

Technology creates opportunities – Defence

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Technology creates opportunities - Marine

− O&G investment driving demand for support vessels

− Number of support vessels worldwide will double in a decade

− Global trade supporting merchant growth

Submarines− Exclusive provider of nuclear steam raising plant to UK RN

− Long-term visibility

− Nuclear capability creates options for Energy expansion

Surface - Naval− Supporting 70 navies around the world

− MT30 creating new positions with US Navy

Commercial

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Technology creates opportunities - Energy

− 2000 employees in UK, France and US

− Targeting UK new build

− Global opportunities

Tidal Power

− Equity stake in TGL

− Deep water trials Q1 2009

Fuel Cells− 100 hour test planned H2 2008

Nuclear

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Operations update

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Investing to deliver productivity and growthTargeted investment to deliver capacity− UK facility programme making good progress− Singapore and USA.

Expanding international footprint of our own operations− Low cost environments.− Continued dollarisation.

Good progress on restructuring support functions− 80% complete in H1 – complete in 2008.− Self funding in 2008.

Developing a more flexible and capable cost base.

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Supply chain improving but still challenged in some areas.

Programme delays contribute to the challenges− Managing operational base and costs.− Additional stresses on inventory levels.

Unit costs up 2% ~ 4% in 2008.

Managing the challenges

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Operations summaryIncreasingly global footprint will drive long term improvements.

Managing the effects of increasing costs and programme delays.

Good progress in H1 despite ongoing challenges.

Restructuring of support functions going well and will deliver benefits this year.

Significant further load growth over the near term.

Developing a more flexible and capable cost base.

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Agenda

Strategic overview

Sector update

Operations update

Summary and outlook

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Growth in a challenging environment

A high technology power systems company, with a broad portfolio,geographically diverse customer base and order book.

Consistent focus on cost reduction and performance improvement.

Civil portfolio mitigates aviation sector challenges.

Non-civil businesses growing and increasingly material.

For 2008 continuing growth in underlying profits and positive cash generation.

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Rolls-Royce Group plc (the “Group”) is providing the following cautionary statement. This document contains certain statements that are or may be forward-looking with respect to the financial condition, results or operations and business of the Group. These statements are sometimes, but not always, identified by the words ‘may’, ‘anticipates’, ‘believes’, ‘expects’ or ‘estimates’. By their nature forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to (i) changes to the current outlook for global power systems markets, (ii) changes in tax laws and regulations, (iii) the risks associated with the introduction of new products and services, (iv) significant global disturbances such as terrorism or prolonged healthcare concerns, (v) the termination or delay of key contracts and (vi) long-term fluctuations in exchange rates, (vii) regulatory and shareholder approvals, (viii) unanticipated liabilities and (ix) actions of competitors.

Subject to the Listing Rules of the UK Listing Authority, Rolls-Royce Group plc assumes no responsibility to update any of the forward looking statements herein.

SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT

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Appendix

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Rolls-Royce

4.32.5 1.00.3Aftermarket sales £bn

888(501)18(300)Net cash £m

55403020% Aftermarket

40435756Employees 000

7.86.3 3.51.4Sales £bn

461773Order book £bn

2007200119911981

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Balanced business portfolio – 2008 H1

Civil: 19%Marine: 16%

Defence: 8%

Energy: 4%

Aftermarket services: 53%£2.2 bn

Original equipment: 47%£2.0bn

Total sales: £4.2bn

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Foreign exchange management

Forward cover of $9.1bn with an average rate £~$1.87

Opening spot rate £~$1.99

Average spot rate £~$1.97

Closing spot rate £~$1.99

Hedging policy offers visibility of £~$ rate allowing planned transition

Managing exposure through

−Utilisation of hedge book

−Dollarisation of supply chain

−Cost reduction

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The broadest civil product range

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Civil Aerospace

2007 £m

2008£m

272 261

2007 £m

2008£m

2,102 2,011

Sales * Profit *

*Underlying sales and profit before financing costs

2007 £bn

2008£bn

Order Book

42.1 35.9

Strong progress across all programmes.Flying hours up 4% in H1; Services revenues up 10%.£16m customer charge in H1.Continuing cost and FX headwinds.Strong OE growth in H2 led by deliveries for widebody.

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A competitive portfolio–Defence Aerospace

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Defence Aerospace

2007 £m

2008£m

104 106

2007 £m

2008£m

769 808

Sales * Profit *

* Underlying sales and profit before financing costs

Order Book2007 £bn

2008£bn

4.9 4.4

Strong positions on major programmes~growing order book.Improvement in sales in second half. Phasing of restructuring charges and R&D held back first half.Well balanced business − development, production and services.

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The widest range of marine products and services from a single supplier

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Ship design

Automation & control

Deck machinery

EnginesPropulsion systems

Motion control

Integrated systems capabilityScope of supply

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Marine

Increasingly broad portfolio

−Extending capability through the acquisition of SHE.

Strong market positions in naval and commercial.

Investing in increased capacity.

Strong first half trading performance with positive outlook.

2007 £m

2008£m

87 58

2007 £m

2008£m

1,016 700

Sales * Profit *

* Underlying sales and profit before financing costs

2007 £bn

2008£bn

5.5 4.7

Order Book

Page 33: A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions .../media/Files/R/Rolls...A broadly based business-Non-civil becoming more materialGroup Sales 2001 2008 100% 55% 45% 150% 5.5%

Energy Portfolio

Oil & Gas production(onshore and offshore)

− Oil and Gas production− Oil transmission− Gas gathering− Secondary oil/gas

recoveryGas transmission

− Gas pipelines− Gas storage

Power Generation− Industrial− Commercial− Municipal

501s and RB211s provide 4 - 32 MW of power

Trent 60 provides up to 58 MW of power

Developing a 1MW Fuel Cell

Civil Nuclear− 50 years experience with the UK RN Submarine fleet− Integrated design, supply and services− Instrumentation and control for all French reactors− World class expertise

Tidal Power− Leveraging marine experience and capabilities

− Investing in tidal demonstrator

− Offshore trials in Q1 2009

Page 34: A Global Business Bernstein – Strategic Decisions .../media/Files/R/Rolls...A broadly based business-Non-civil becoming more materialGroup Sales 2001 2008 100% 55% 45% 150% 5.5%

Energy

Benefiting from increased O&G activity.

Power Generation making good progress

− Record order intake for industrial Trent.

Further fuel cells tests planned.

H1 trading held back by restructuring and one-off £18m technology fees in H1 2007.

2007 £m

2008£m

(8) (1)

2007 £m

2008£m

324 227

Sales * Profit *

* Underlying sales and profit before financing costs

2007 £bn

2008£bn

1.0 0.9

Order Book

Fuel cells