A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L...

32
A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils 14 June 2011 ICIS Asian Base Oils and Lubricants Conference - Seoul, Republic of Korea Harry Kwon Marketing Manager

Transcript of A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L...

Page 1: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils

14 June 2011

ICIS Asian Base Oils and Lubricants Conference - Seoul, Republic of Korea

Harry KwonMarketing Manager

Page 2: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Contents

1. Engine Oil Future Trend

2. Base Oil Future Demand

3. SK’s Future Expansion Plans

4. Conclusion

1

Page 3: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

2

Engine Oil Requirements

Long Drain

Interval

Fuel Economy

EmissionControl

Page 4: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Long Drain

Interval

FuelEconomy

Oil + FMStability

High Temp

Viscosity

High VI Base Oils

MaintainOptimumViscosity

Engine Oil Requirements

PerformanceDemands

DesirableProperties

3

EngineProtec-

tion

Page 5: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

FuelEconomy

LowVolatility

LowerSAE

Viscosity

Low Temp

Viscosity

LowerFrictionEngines

Easier start-up/warm-up

Engine Oil Requirements

4

PerformanceDemands

DesirableProperties

Page 6: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

5

Engine Oil Requirements

EmissionControl

LowMetal/P/S

Lower SAPS

※ SAPS = Sulfated Ash, Phosphorus and Sulfur

PerformanceDemands

DesirableProperties

Page 7: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Governments Lead Innovation – USA

Miles per gallon 2011 CAFE 2016 CAFE

Cars 27.5 42

Light duty trucks 24 26

Combined Fleet 27.3 35.5

53 %Increase

6

Gasoline engine CAFE requirements by 2016

35.5 mile per gallon (≒15.1 km/L).U.S. Government

19 May 2009

※ CAFE = Corporate Average Fuel Economy

Page 8: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

7

Governments Lead Innovation – USA

※ EPA = Environmental Protection Agency ※ NHTSA = National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

EPA & NHTSA : 25 October 2010New HD Diesel Vehicles Program

Fuel efficient HD diesel engine oils

– Lower operating viscosities: 5W-40, 5W-30, 0W-30

Page 9: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

8

2012130g

CO2/km202095g

CO2/km

Governments Lead Innovation – Europe

Page 10: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

9

New Global Standard – ILSAC GF-5

First licensing date : 1 October 2010

Sequence VID : New fuel economy engine test- Aged oil low temperature viscosity limits- Stronger engine protection & stronger protection

of emission control systems

※ ILSAC = International Lubricant Standardization and Approval Committee

Page 11: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

10Source: Motor Information Systems: 2009 and 2010 model years

OEM Movement to Lower Viscosity

OEM OW-20 5W-20 5W-30

Toyota 1.8L, 2.4L, 2.5L, 2.7L, 4.0L, 4.6L, 4.8L, 5.7L Main Grade

1.5L, 3.5L

Ford Cars, TrucksMain Grade

4.0L5.4L (5W-50)

GM, Chevrolet Cars & Trucks Main Grade

Honda Civic Hybrid: 1.3L, Insight Main Grade

Nissan AltimaHybrid 2.5L Main Grade

Hyundai Main Grade

ChryslerMain Grade

2.4L turbo (xW-40)

3.5L (10W-30)

Page 12: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

11

Group III

Mid SAPS

OEM

C2

Value

5W-305W-40

Low SAPS

C4 +OEM

C1

Group III

5W-30

Performance

Top Tier

Market Structure – Western Europe

Source: The Lubrizol Corporation, 2010

Premium market tier

5W-30 “lower SAPS” engine oils

Group III Base Oil Only

HIGH HTHS (>3.5cP)

LOW HTHS (<3.5cP)

Page 13: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

12

PCMO Demand Change by Viscosity Grade – Western Europe

Source: The Lubrizol Corporation, 2010

Page 14: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

13

HDEO Lube Quality Upgrade – China

Source: Infineum Trends 2010

High Tier : API CG-4 and aboveLow Tier : API CF-4 and below

Page 15: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

14

PCMO Lube Quality Upgrade – China

Source: Infineum Trends 2010

High Tier : API SL and aboveLow Tier : API SJ and below

Page 16: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Contents

1. Engine Oil Future Trend

2. Base Oil Future Demand

3. SK’s Future Expansion Plans

4. Conclusion

15

Page 17: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

16

Global Demand for Base Oil

UNIT : KTPA

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2006 2009 2012 2015

Base Oil Total Global Group III Base Oil

Group III Demand

Page 18: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

17

Base Oil Demand – North America

UNIT : KTPA

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2006 2009 2012 2015

Base Oil Total Group III Base Oil

Group III Demand

Page 19: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

18

Base Oil Demand – Western Europe

UNIT : KTPA

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2006 2009 2012 2015

Base Oil Total Group III Base Oil

Group III Demand

Page 20: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

19

Base Oil Demand – Asia Pacific

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2006 2009 2012 2015

Base Oil Total Group III Base Oil

UNIT : KTPA Group III Demand

Page 21: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

20

Motor Vehicles/Lubricant Demand – China

UNIT : MILLION

Source: The Freedonia Group, Inc.

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

-

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Motor Vehicles in Use Lubricant Demand

UNIT : KTPA

Lubricant Demand

Page 22: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

21

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

-

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Motor Vehicles in Use Lubricant Demand

Motor Vehicles/Lubricant Demand – India

UNIT : MILLIONUNIT : KTPA

Lubricant Demand

Source: The Freedonia Group, Inc.

Page 23: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

22

5.0%

59.0%

36%

2006

Group III Base Oil

Group I Base Oil

Others

Group III Base Oil Share Increase

17.7%

37.0%

45.3%

2015

Group III Base Oil

Group I Base Oil

Others

Page 24: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Contents

1. Engine Oil Future Trend

2. Base Oil Future Demand

3. SK’s Future Expansion Plans

4. Conclusion

23

Page 25: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Current Status & Future Expansion

24

`14. 1Q

`12. 2H

SK is the largest Group III Supplier in the world

Future Capacity = Current Capacity X 2

Page 26: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Production Capacity

25

`95

Revamp

`01

Revamp

`04 `06 `08 `12.1H

Revamp

`12.2H `14 ~

#1

#2

#3

#4

#52,750K MT

1,360K MTAS-IS (2011)

TO-BE (2014)

+500K MT

+650K MT

+ 240K MT

Page 27: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

YUBASE Global Network

26

Indonesia

Ulsan

Tokyo

Amsterdam

Houston

Jakarta

Seoul

Plants Branches Terminals Agents/Distributors

Page 28: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Contents

1. Base Oil Market Trend

2. Base Oil Future Demand

3. SK’s Future Expansion Plans

4. Conclusion

27

Page 29: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

28

Conclusion

Long Drain

Interval

Fuel Economy

EmissionControl

Group III Base Oil

Page 30: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

29

Conclusion

UNIT : KTPA

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2006 2009 2012 2015

Base Oil Total Global Group III Base Oil

Group III Demand

Page 31: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

30

Conclusion

The capacity of SK Lubricants will be more than double ofcurrent capacity and SK Lubricants will give more stable

supply for customers.

Page 32: A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils - yubase.com · A Fast Track to Group III Base Oils ... 5.7L Main Grade 1.5L, 3.5L Ford Cars, Trucks Main Grade 4.0L 5.4L (5W-50) ... API CG-4

Thank you for your attention

31