A critical review of the Practices of Development Evaluation in … Sohn_rev.pdf · 2019-09-10 ·...

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North-East Asia Development Cooperation Forum 2018 • Session3: Project Level Evaluation • Venue: Aloft Hotel, Seoul • Date: September 15, 2018 9:30-11:45 A Critical Review of the Practices of Development Evaluation in South Korea: Focusing on KOICA’s ex-post Evaluation (1998-2016) Hyuk-Sang Sohn Dean, Graduate School of Public Policy & Civic Engagement Executive Director, Center for International Development Cooperation (CIDEC), Kyung Hee University

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Page 1: A critical review of the Practices of Development Evaluation in … Sohn_rev.pdf · 2019-09-10 · 1. 2007년 발행된 자료\⣕屜국수출입은행 \⠀㈀ 㜀尩 대외경제협력기금

North-East Asia Development Cooperation Forum 2018• Session3: Project Level Evaluation• Venue: Aloft Hotel, Seoul• Date: September 15, 2018 9:30-11:45

A Critical Review of the Practices of Development Evaluation in South Korea:

Focusing on KOICA’s ex-post Evaluation (1998-2016)

Hyuk-Sang Sohn

• Dean, Graduate School of Public Policy & Civic Engagement• Executive Director, Center for International Development

Cooperation (CIDEC), Kyung Hee University

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Contents

I. History

1. EDCF

2. KOICA

3. ODA IntegratedEvaluation System

II. Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports

1. Data

2. Analysis

IV. Conclusion

1. Challenges Ahead

2. Lessons

III. Integrated Evaluation System

1. Key Issues

2. Improvement Measures

3. Analysis Results

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Korea’s ODA Governance Structure

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Committee for International Development

- Chair: Prime Minister- Member: Related Office Ministers, Civilian Experts

Working Committee

- Chair: Vice Minister, Prime Minster’s Office- Member: Related Office Directors, Civilian Experts

Ministry of Foreign Affairs

- Supervise grant aid- Multilateral and to the UN and

other international organizations

Ministry of Strategy and Finance

- Supervise concessional loans- Multilateral aid to development banks

KOICA

- Execute grant aid- Execute multilateral aid

EDCF or Korean EXIM Bank

- Operate loan activities

Working levelconsultation

Working relationship

Other Ministries

Working levelconsultation

Sub-Committee forEvaluation

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Development Evaluation Experiences as EPM

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Year Titles Countries for field research Contractor Ordering

Institutions

2010 Comprehensive Evaluation on the NGO-support Program Tanzania & Mongolia KHU CIDEC KOICA(Civil

Society Team)

2014 PPP: Evaluation on Global CSR Program Indonesia KHU CIDEC KOICA

2016 Ex-post Evaluation on Agriculture Business Philippines & Laos

KHU CIDEC KOICA

2016 Ex-post Evaluation on the Project for the Construction of Water Supply System

Vietnam & Senegal KHU CIDEC KOICA

2017-8 IO-NGO Partnership projects: NGOs as Implementing Partner(Good Neighbors)

Bangladesh & Tanzania KHU CIDEC Good Neighbors

Int’l & KHU CIDEC

2017 Humanitarian Assistance(DRR) Projects Vietnam & Myanmar KHU CIDEC Ministry of

Foreign Affairs

2017 Income Generating Project of Good Neighbors in Malawi Malawi KHU CIDEC Good Neighbors Int’l

2018 Comprehensive Evaluation for Community-based MCH Capacity Building Ghana KHU CIDEC KOICA

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I. History: EDCF

Founded in July, 1987

• EDCF established

August,1993

• Published “Manual for Ex-post Evaluation on Projects funded by EDCF”

2002

• Implemented Ex-post Evaluation among projects completed over 3 years ago

April, 2007

• Mandatory indicator set-up for performance evaluation

• Introduction of performance based evaluation system

March, 1990: First Amendment

• Suggested specific evaluation periods

1996

• Amended project evaluation period: After completion of the projects’ → After submitting the Project Completion(Final) Report

February, 2005

Standards on Ex-post Evaluation and its mandatory procedure

Reference: The EXIM Bank (2007)

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발표자
프레젠테이션 노트
*1990년 3월 개정 내용: 명확한 평가 시기에 대한 설명 1987년 7월 대외경제협력기금 설치 당시 대외경제협력기금의 평가는 차주에서 제출한 사업완공보고서를 기초로 사업전반에 관한 평가를 실시하도록 규정함. 당시 규정은 실시 시기에 대한 명확한 기준이 제시되지 않아 완공사업의 평가 시기에 대한 일관된 기준이 없었음. 1990년 3월 23일 제3회 경협기금 업무 취급규정 개정에서 한국수출입은행은 모호한 평가 실시시기로 인한 혼선을 방지하기 위해 사업평가를 사업완공 후 1년 이내에 실시하도록 규정을 변경함. 이에 따라 대외경제협력기금은 사업완공 후 1년 이내에 차주가 제출한 사업완공보고서, 사업진행보고서 및 현지공관 등으로부터 입수한 자료 등을 기초로 당해 사업을 전반적으로 평가한 후 사업수행 내용, 방법, 실제 사업소요 기간, 사업비용 및 기타 주요 사항의 당초계획 대비 실적과 사업효과에 대한 평가, 향후 심사업무 또는 융자정책에 대한 제안 및 개선내용 등의 내용이 포함된 사업평가보고서(project evaluation report)를 작성하게 됨 (출처: 한국수출입은행, (2007), 대외경제협력기금 20년사, p.245 참고)
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History: EDCF

• Projects within 1 year that were evaluated after the project was completed 3 years ago

• Within 3~4 years after the project completion evalution

• Projects over 20 million USD of approved loan

• Independent Planning Division (exception: request outside experts when the loan is over 35 million USD)

Terms

Objects

Subject

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Reference: The EXIM Bank (2007) reinterpretation

I.

발표자
프레젠테이션 노트
1. 2007년 발행된 자료(한국수출입은행 (2007) 대외경제협력기금 20년사, p.247)에 의하면 “사후평가의 심사시기는 완공평가가 실시된 이후 3년이 경과된 사업에 대하여 1년 이내, 즉 완공평가 후 3-4년 사이”로 안내되어 있습니다. 한국수출입은행 웹사이트에서 확인해 보니 “사업완공 후의 관리는 완공보고서 접수 시점에서 이루어지는 완공점검 후 2년이 경과한 시점에서 사후평가가 이루어짐”으로 안내되어 있습니다.
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History: KOICA

평가대상

Founded in 1991 1999• ‘Guideline of Project

Evaluation’: standard, procedures, feedback etc.

• OECD DAC criteria

2008• Detailed definition of evaluation

standards• Include cross-cutting issues

evaluation stands

2011• ‘Independent’ Evaluation Office• Strengthen Evaluation System

1996

• Project evaluation team established

2006

• 2nd Amendment of ‘Guideline of Project Evaluation’

• Department for project evaluation

2009

• Implemented Feedback System• Joint Evaluation

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I.

Reference: KOICA (2011), “Korea International Cooperation Agency 1991-2010,”

발표자
프레젠테이션 노트
2006년 11월: 평가제도의 선진화와 성과중심의 사업추진을 위해 사업평가 시행 세부지침을 제정함. 평가의 제도화를 위해 평가지침에 따른 사업평가 가이드라인을 수립하여 평가실시에 활용하기 위한 목적으로 평가 보고서의 내용을 양식화하여 평가의 제도화, 표준화를 도모함. 구체적인 내용은 첫째, 프로젝트 & 프로그램, 사업형태별 평가를 중심으로 실시, 둘째, 평가의 전문성 및 객관성 확보, 셋째, 평가결과 활용시스템 구축 등에 관한 것으로 중간평가, 종료평가, 사후평가 등 평가별 세부 내용(목적, 실시방법, 평가절차 등)이 제시됨. 특히 정량평가의 평점 부여 및 활용이 제안됨. 평가 항목별 5단계 이상으로 등급화하여 평점을 부여함. 5단계는 A(매우 양호 100점), B(양호 90점), C(보통 80점), D(효과적이지 못함 70점), E등급(매우 비효과적 60점)으로 구분됨(출처: KOICA (2007) 사업평가 가이드라인) 2006년 제2차 개정 내용: 2006년 개정 내용은 세 가지로 요약할 수 있음. 첫째, 국가와 분야의 전문성을 접목하는 조직개편이 단행됨. 구체적으로 기존의 프로젝트 사업으로 묶여 있던 부서가 보건의료, 교육, 행정제도, 정보통신, 지역개발, 산업에너지, 환경 및 여성 등 7대 중점지원 분야로 재편됨. 지역정책팀은 국별 정책수립 기능 강화와 협력대상국 정부와의 정책대화를 위하여 정책기획팀, 지역1팀, 지역2팀으로 구성된 지역정책부로 확대됨. 둘째, 사업평가 기능 강화를 위해 사업평가팀이 사업평가실로 격상되는 등 전체 조직이 정비됨. 이에 따른 단위사업별 시행세부지침 및 기준, 위임전결도 전반적으로 조정됨. 셋째, KOICA는 1996년부터 사업평가를 시행하였으며, 2006년에 별도의 사업평가팀을 신설, 사업평가실로 격상하였으며, 2011년에 평가실을 독립하는 등의 과정을 거침. 2006년의 주요 개정 내용은 2006년부터 평가보고서의 국영문 보고서를 공개, (출처: KOICA 2011; 박숙현 2012). “별도 기관이 신설되었다” 국문을 separate department로 번역하였는데, KOICA(2011) 자료를 검토해보니 기존 사업평가팀을 사업평가실로 격상했다고 되어 있습니다.
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History: KOICA

평가대상

Types Selection Standard Evaluation Cycle

Policy/Strategy/

Thematic Evaluation

1. IF, special demands requests from internal (KOICA) departments or external entities

2. IF, an analysis of development-related issues and major pending issues is required by

the Evaluation Office’s own judgment;

(*Evaluation of beneficiary satisfaction is conducted annually for submission of KOICA evaluation)

when demand

Country Evaluation

1. List of KOICA Key Country Partners

2. Select not to be bias by continent or region

3. Select a country with no Comprehensive Evaluation in the last 3 years and consider the cycle of

Country Partnership Strategies (CPS)

Every 5 years

Sectorial Evaluation1. KOICA 5 Key Sectors

2. Select subject in detail based on programme classification by sector concerned Every 3 years

Porgramme Evaluation 1. Subject to regular and comprehensive inspection of KOICA in the Evaluation Office Every 3 years

Ex post Project

Evaluation

1. First round of selection among the projects with completion evaluation within 2~4 years

2. Second round of selection to projects that are 2 million USD or more

3. Final selection via feasibility studies and evaluation environment among the second round of

selections

Every year

Reference : KOICA (2016), p. 7. 6

I.

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History: ODA Integrated Evaluation

평가대상

Year Contents

May, 2009 ⦁ Implement ODA Integrated Evaluation System

December, 2009⦁ Composition of Evaluation sub-committee ⦁ Enactment of evaluation guidelines and integrated evaluation manuals

2010 ⦁ Conducted an ODA Integrated Evaluation

July, 2010 ⦁ Enforcement of the Framework Act on International Development Cooperation

2011 ⦁ Full implementation of ODA integrated evaluation

July, 2013 ⦁Revised the Framework Act on International Development Cooperation

January, 2014 ⦁ Enactment and revision of regulations related to ODA integrated evaluation

References: :International Development Cooperation Evaluation Committee of the Cabinet Office (2015; 2016), Office of Development Cooperation Policy Management (2018) reinterpretation

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I.

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History:Self-evaluation : Number of evaluation and agencies increased after implementing ‘Mandatory self-evaluation by project implementing agencies(2014)’

평가대상

*Voluntarily self-evaluation: 2010~2013

12

4 5 7

2529

32 33 34

16

21

30

39

80

58

78 7875

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

기관수 건수

Reference: :International Development Cooperation Evaluation Committee of the Cabinet Office (2018), “ODA Integrated Evaluation Improvement Measures” reinterpretation

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I.

Number ofOrgs.

Number ofProjects

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Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Data

평가대상

Reference: www.koica.go.kr ‘Project Evaluation’ reinterpretation (Last assessed on August 24, 2018)

KOICA Project Evaluation Reports (1998-2017)

(N=178)

Ex-post Evaluation 59%

Impact Evaluation 3%

Completion Evaluation

2%

Theme· Sector13%

Programme 7%

Country 4%

Policy·Strategy4%

Beneficiary 4%Joint Evaluation

2%Research

Evaluation2%

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II.

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(N=134)

KOICA Evaluation Reports by Sector (1998-2017)

(N=134)

KOICA Evaluation Reports by Region (1998-2017)

Reference: www.koica.go.kr ‘Project Evaluation 'reinterpretation (Last assessed on August 24, 2018)

II.

19

33

21

36

14

11

PublicAdministration

Education Agriculture andFishery

Development

Public Healthand Medical

IndustrialEnergy

InformationTechnology

77

17

27

7 6

Asia Africa Latin America Middle East Central Asia

Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Data

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KOICA Evaluation via Quantitative Evaluation Method(N=27)

*Value Engineering, Difference in Difference, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process)

Reference: www.koica.go.kr ‘Project Evaluation '(Last assessed on January 6, 2018)

II.

17

5

1

1

1

1

1

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Triangulation Method

Cost-benefit Analysis

Economic Analysis

VE Analysis

DID

DEA

AHP

Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Data

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III.

Indicators

Sustainability

Enhancement of Nation’s position

Cross-cutting Issue

Results

PublicAdministration

Capacity building

Harmonization

Incentive System

Partnership

Ownership

Knowledge sharing

KOICA’s ex-post Evaluation Network Analysis_Findings (1998-2010)

Minority Issue

Network building

Gender Issue

Environment Issue

Local supply

Satisfaction rate

Feasibility study

Baseline survey

Effectiveness Impact

Efficiency

RelevanceManual

Incentive System

Volunteer activity

Economic growthPublic relations

Risk analysis

Ex-post management

Expert issueEconomic growth

Communication

BenchmarkingMonitoringAlignment

SSC

Follow-up project

Retraining

Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Results

*Content Analysis Software: Atlas.ti (7.5.17), UCINET, KrKwic

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III.

Capacity building

Capacity building

Income growth

Economic growth

PartnershipCommunication

Logical FrameworkCross-cutting Issue

Feedback Process

Economic growth Enhancement of Nation’s position

Alignment

Network buildingBaseline survey

Change of perception

Risk analysis

PublicAdministration

Knowledge sharing

Monitoring

Ownership

Exit Strategy

Efficiency

Relevance

Follow-up project

Environment Issue

Gender Issue

Manual

Indicators

Satisfaction rate

Effectiveness

SustainabilityImpact

Results

Experts

Ex-post management

Triangular cooperation

Volunteer issue

Minority issue

Feasibility

Incentive system

Human resource building

Differentiated strategy

Strategy of enterprise

Public relations

Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Results KOICA’s ex-post Evaluation Network Analysis_Findings (2011-2016)

*Content Analysis Software: Atlas.ti (7.5.17), UCINET, KrKwic

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III.

Strategy of enterpriseSatisfaction rate

Benchmarking

Environment Issue

Economic growth

Effectiveness Local supply

Change of perception Public relations

Feasibility studyKnowledge sharing

Sustainability

Effectiveness

Impact

Efficiency

Relevance

Human resource building

Income growth

SSC

Risk analysis

Follow-up project

Responsibility

Network building

Incentive system

Ownership Indicators

Manual

Communication

Volunteer issueEnhancement of Nation’s position

Retraining

Partnership

PublicAdministration

Capacity building Expert issue

Ex-post managementResults

Monitoring

Feedback Process

Feasibility

Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Results KOICA’s ex-post Evaluation Network Analysis_

Lessons & Recommendations (1998-2010)

*Content Analysis Software: Atlas.ti (7.5.17), UCINET, KrKwic

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III.

Strategy of enterprise Public relations

Benchmarking

Alignment

Differentiated strategy

Networking building Incentive system

Harmonization

Sustainability

Effectiveness

Impact

Efficiency

Relevance

Partnership

Human resource building

Relevance

CommunicationRetraining

Triangular cooperation

Local supply

Knowledge sharingPublic administration

Experts

Capacity building

Results

Ex-post management

Feasibility study

MonitoringManual

Indicators

Minority issue

Ownership

Baseline survey

Change of perception

Satisfaction rate

Follow-up project

Economic growth

Feedback ProcessExit strategy

Income growthResponsibility

Environment Issue

Gender Issue

Volunteer issue

Enhancement of Nation’s position

Linkage of Loan & Grant

Logical framework

Cross-cutting Issue

Risk analysis

Analysis of KOICA’s Evaluation Reports: Results KOICA’s ex-post Evaluation Network Analysis_

Lessons & Recommendations (2011-2016)

*Content Analysis Software: Atlas.ti (7.5.17), UCINET, KrKwic

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Integrated Evaluation System: Key Issues

01

02

03

04

• Systematic Limitations of Integrated Evaluation Systems① Poor consistency of evaluation methodology and criteria ② Problem of procedure application③ Poor function of evaluation sub-committee

• Self-evaluation quality deviation① Lack of specific criteria for selection ② Reliability problem of evaluation③ Poor evaluation infrastructure

• Poor Exchange of Integrated Evaluation Results & Public System① Separation of external evaluation and self-evaluation② Limitations in extracting evaluation results and

implementation tasks ③ Poor public disclosure and sharing of evaluation results

Reference: :International Development Cooperation Evaluation Committee of the Cabinet Office (2018), “ODA Integrated Evaluation System Improvement Measures”

III.

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01

02

03

04

• Improvement of integrated evaluation system① Prepare a systematic evaluation base ② Improvement of evaluation guidelines③ Improvement of evaluation procedure④ Strengthening the functions of the evaluation

subcommittee

• Improve quality of self-evaluation ① Rationalize & simplify with selection for evaluation ② Secure objectivity and reliability of evaluation process ③ Expand evaluation infrastructure

• Expanding the practical use of evaluation results① Strengthening the linkage between internal

evaluation and self-evaluation ② Reforming the reflux system③ Expanding the disclosure of information to the public &

partner countries

Integrated Evaluation System: Improvement Measures

III.

Reference: :International Development Cooperation Evaluation Committee of the Cabinet Office (2018), “ODA Integrated Evaluation System Improvement Measures” reinterpretation

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Conclusion : Challenges Ahead

Reference : Kwon et. Al. (2016), 『Meta Evaluation Research on Self-Evaluation of ODA implementing agencies』 Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Quality Improvement Plan for Self-Evaluation: Strengthen Performance Measurementto increase objectivity of evaluation

The selection criteria for evaluation must be strictly enforcedThe role of the assessment

cooperative agency and assessment subcommittee should be strengthened

The internal guidelines need to be changed so that certain portions of the project budget can be organized into performance management and evaluation budgets, and the budget authority needs institutional support.

IV.

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Conclusion : Topics for further discussion

IV.

▶ Independence of evaluation unit within agencies

▶ Centralized vs Decentralized Evaluation System

▶ Selection criteria and procedure for evaluation

▶ Evaluation knowledge management system for better results

▶ Evaluating evaluators and partners

▶ Validation of project completion report

……….

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