8-Jan-14 Busing Report Comparison

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Jan 8, 2014

Dear Trustees:

RE: Report on Bussing to John Barsby & Ladysmith Secondary

First – Happy New Year!

Secon T"is e#ai$ #ay not arri%e to you in ti#e &or you to &u$$y i'est it (e&ore toni'"t)s (oar

#eetin', at w"ic" ti#e *ete Sa(o wi$$ present t"e contents o& t"e SD+8 (ussin' report attac"e-.

/n&ortunate$y, t"e report was not pu($ic$y a%ai$a($e unti$ 2 ays a'o. T"e report cost esti#ates are

#is$eain' an report itse$& is con&usin' (ecause it oesn)t contain i#portant in&or#ation a(out t"e

#et"oo$o'y an t"e assu#ptions use to #ae t"e esti#ates. t wou$ (e a tra%esty i& any ecisions

are #ae (ase upon t"e nu#(ers containe in t"is report.

&ter speain' wit" (ot" Da%e *re%ost an *ete Sa(o, unerstan t"at t"e nu#(ers in t"is (ussin'

report are intene to pro%ie you wit" 3as accurate as possi($e in&or#ation to ai in t"e ecision

w"et"er or not to pro%ie (ussin' to 5ays#it" in aition to Jo"n 6ars(y, &or stuents isp$ace in t"e

June 2+t" 6oar ecision to con%ert 7ear Seconary Sc"oo$ into a #e'a e$e#entary sc"oo$-.

For t"e recor, #ust state t"at it is #y opinion t"at suc" a (usin' ecision is #oot, as it s"ou$ (e non

optiona$ it)s part an parce$ wit" t"e ecision to c$ose 7ear an o&&erin' a 3c"oice in sc"oo$s-. T"e

ecision to c$ose 7ear Seconary put e%ery stuent (eyon wa$in' istance o& any seconary sc"oo$

an now (ussin' #ust (e pro%ie &or e%ery &or#er Spartan. t)s as si#p$e as t"at.

T"at near$y "a$& 189;0- c"ose 5ays#it" Seconary – e%en w"en it ca#e wit" a coerci%e- notice t"at

no (us ser%ice wou$ (e pro%ie – is e%ience t"at 5ays#it" s"ou$ (e t"e 7ear catc"#ent sc"oo$an not Jo"n 6ars(y. T"ere is no ou(t in #y #in t"at "a (ussin' not (een wit""e$, a c$ear #a<ority

wou$ "a%e c"osen 5ays#it"-.

=e'ar$ess, a# writin' now (ecause, e%en a&ter speain' wit" (ot" Da%e an *ete, re#ain con&use

(y (ot" t"e #et"oo$o'y use to create t"e (us report an t"e eri%e cost esti#ates.

T"e report presents two (ussin' cost esti#ates: a- $$ 77SS catc"#ent stuents to 6ar(sy an (-

1891; sp$it (etween 6ars(y an 5ays#it". T"e report conc$ues t"at t"e 6ars(y option wi$$ cost

>4??,88 in t"e &irst year an t"e sp$it option wi$$ cost >8+8,+80 @ nearly twice as much! Auc".

7onsierin' t"at in eit"er case, t"e eBact sa#e nu#(ers o& stuents are (ein' transporte, &in t"e

increase un&at"o#a($e. Furt"er, (e$ie%e t"e report is #ain' so#e incorrect assu#ptions an t"at ita$so &ai$s to aeCuate$y eBp$ain "ow t"e esti#ates were co#pute i.e., w"at assu#ptions an

reasonin' went into t"e ca$cu$ations-.

5et)s co#e at t"is $o'ica$$y an o a (aco&t"e en%e$ope ca$cu$ation an you)$$ soon unerstan w"y

t"ey are con&usin':



Back of the Envelope Busing Costs to Barsby

5et)s start o&& wit" option a-, w"ere a$$ 84 stuents wou$ (e (use to Jo"n 6ars(y. Fro# t"e report,

we now t"at a new (us costs >140,000 an wi$$ transport at #aBi#u#- ?+ seconary stuents. e wi$$a$so assu#e 3#aBi#u# e&&iciency i.e., e%ery (us carrie a &u$$ co#p$i#ent o& ?+ is, w"ic" #ay or

#ay not (e t"e case, epenin' on actua$ routes-.

Di%iin' ?+ into 84 s"ows us t"at it wi$$ tae a #ini#u# o& +.8? (usses roun up to , since it)s

i#possi($e to ri%e 0.8?)s o& a (us aroun town- to transport a$$ stuents to Jo"n 6ars(y or 5ays#it",

i& 5ays#it" were t"e esi'nate catc"#ent sc"oo$ @ t"e &ina$ estination is irre$e%ant &or t"is

ca$cu$ation-.

t a recent 6oar #eetin', one o& #y Cuestions was, 3"at)s t"e a%era'e cost to operate a (us in

SD+8. *"i$ Turin t"an you *"i$- answere t"is Cuestion in an e#ai$ attac"e- an a%ise t"at – on

a%era'e it cost rou'"$y >4?,000 to operate a (us. & we use t"is nu#(er, we can Cuic$y eter#ine it

wi$$ cost approBi#ate$y B >4?,000 or >1?,000 to operate t"ose (uses t"at are reCuire to "au$ 84

stuents to t"eir catc"#ent sc"oo$ w"ic" s"ou$ (e 5ays#it" @ <ust t"ou'"t ) t"row t"at in t"ere, in

case you #isse it (e&ore-.

pparent$y, t"e District oesn)t "a%e (uses it can use &or t"is eucationa$ en"ance#ent p$an t"at

c$oses 7ear Seconary an (usses its is into anot"er co##unity-, so 2 (usses "a%e to (e purc"ase.

Eac" (us costs >140,000 so 2 B >140,000 >280,000.

in' t"e costs o& 2 new (usses an t"e operationa$ costs o& , we 'et an esti#ate &or w"at it s"ou$

cost to sen a$$ is &ro# 7ear to 5ays#it" or 6ars(y, i& you continue to i'nore your constituents-.

>280,000 G >1?,000 >?;?,000

T"is nu#(er is 'reater t"an t"e nu#(er pro%ie in t"e SD+8 (us report.

"y e$$, t"at)s w"y )# con&use. & you $oo at ppeniB 7 t"e top "a$&-, it says not"in' a(out t"e

number of busses inc$ue in t"is cost esti#ate. 6asic #at" ictates a #ini#u# o& (usses are

reCuire, t"ou'" route ine&&iciencies #ay increase t"at to 8 or e%en ; a$$ w"ic" on$y ser%e to raise t"is

3#aBi#u# e&&iciency cost esti#ate-.

T"e iscrepancy "ere is si'ni&icant$y $ar'e. Iore so t"an you s"ou$ (e co#&orta($e wit" an – it)s

i#portant to note – t"at t"e SD+8 report nu#(er is lower (y approBi#ate$y >140,000-.

Bussing to Barsby nly

7apita$ cost o& 2 new (uses >280,000

Aperationa$ cost o& (uses >1?,000

7ost Esti#ate Yr 1- !"#"$%%%



Back of the Envelope Busing Costs to both Ladysmith and Barsby

e)$$ start o&& wit" t"e sa#e in&or#ation we starte o&& t"e $ast ca$cu$ation. 1; stuents are ai#e at

6ars(y, 18 "eain' to 5ays#it", a new (us is >140, t"ey "au$ ?+ stuents an t"e a%era'eoperationa$ cost &or eac" (us is *"i$ Turin)s nu#(er o& >4?.

Di%iin' ?+ into 1; re%ea$s t"at we)$$ nee 4 (uses 'oin' to 6ars(y an anot"er 4 &or 5ays#it". T"e

District on$y "as ?, so we)$$ nee to purc"ase t"ree, at a cost o& B >140,000 >420,000.

Aperationa$ costs &or t"ese 8 (usses wi$$ (e 8 B >4?,000 >+0,000

si#i$ar (aco&t"een%e$ope sp$it (ussin' scenario costs >420,000 G >+0,000 >80,000.

t is interestin' to note a'ain- t"at our (aco&t"een%e$ope ca$cu$ation %aries &ro# t"e SD+8 report

an t"at t"eir nu#(er was "i'"er (y rou'"$y >;0,000 an t"at t"e SD+8 report inc$ues t"e purc"ase o&

4 new (usses, instea o& t"ree.

Conclusions

T"e SD+8 report is con&usin'. ssu#ptions an iscussion are not inc$ue, so it is i#possi($e to

unerstan "ow t"ese %a$ues were 'enerate, w"at t"ey #ean or 'au'e t"eir %a$iity. t)s i#portant to

now t"e 3tota$ nu#(er o& (usses, (ut t"at nu#(er is #issin' entire$y &ro# t"e SD+8 report.

7o#pare to t"e *"i$Turinpro%ie a%era'e operationa$ cost, operationa$ costs in t"e report are

si'ni&icant$y $ower, w"ic" #aes t"e 36ars(yon$y esti#ate appear unrea$istica$$y &a%ora($e. "i$e t"e

report uses 3#aBi#u# (usin' e&&iciency &or t"e 6ars(y esti#ate, it oesn)t &or t"e sp$itcase, ain'

anot"er new (us, w"ic" ri%es up t"e esti#ate an #aes any co#parison 3app$estooran'es.

6y esi'n or "appenstance, t"e report sews t"e nu#(ers, su''estin' a "u'e cost isparity (etween t"e

two c"oices. ccorin' to t"is report t"e sp$it(ussin' option wi$$ (e near$y ou($e >412,802 #ore t"an

>4??,88, a ;1 increase-, w"ic" is not supporte (y any $o'ica$, (aco&t"een%e$ope ca$cu$ation.

n rea$ity, an usin' a #ore e'a$itarian, app$estoapp$es co#parison, we see t"at t"e esti#ate

increase to t"e District wou$ (e an aitiona$ (us an its associate operationa$ costs approBi#ate$y

>180,000 o%er >?;?,000, a 0 increase-.

Bussing to Both

7apita$ cost o& new (uses >420,000

Aperationa$ cost o& 8 (uses >+0,000

7ost Esti#ate Yr 1- !'%$%%%



Fina$ Note

asn)t t"e operationa$ cost o& 7ear 7o##unity Seconary Sc"oo$ <ust a ta o%er >+00,000 per year

ow, it $oos $ie any sa%in's &ro# s"uttin' own t"e sc"oo$s wi$$ (e eaten up (y (ussin' a$one. T"e

ori'ina$ p$an sai it wou$ on$y (e >2?+,000 &or (ussin' @ o" "ow &ast t"ose nu#(ers (eco#e $ar'er,

e"-

T"ans &or tain' t"e ti#e to rea, co#pre"en an uti$iKe t"e in&or#ation "erein.

7"eers,

Scott Li#$er

8-Jan-14 Busing Report Comparison

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