Ambient and Source Technology Integration Dennis K. Mikel EPA-OAQPS-AQAD.
5/13/10 Epa¢k
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Transcript of 5/13/10 Epa¢k
04/10/23
Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
The Epa¢k Story –
The Making of A Pan-African Mutual Fund
By: Kwesi Amonoo-Neizer Executive Director, Databank Asset Management
Services Limited
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Contents• Background
• Investment Objective
• Investment Policy & Strategy
• Investments of Epack
• Adventuring into Africa
• Performance
• Conclusion
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Background-How Did it Start?
• The Epack concept was borne at presentation to a pre-retirement Association of Bank of Ghana (BoG) workers
• Originally designed to enable 5 BoG staff to participate collectively in the Ghana stock market via an Investment Club.
• Transformed from an investment club into an Investment Company in 1998
• Converted from an investment company into a Mutual Fund in 2002, managed by Databank.
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Background
-Special Feats
• Epa¢k is the 1st licensed equity mutual fund in Ghana
• Epa¢k is listed on the highly reputed global mutual fund website, called the Morning Star
• A pan-African Equity mutual Fund holding investments in 10 countries
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
• Epa¢k is a long-term fund and therefore invests in the shares of listed companies
• As of Dec. 2006, the Fund held investments in Ghana and in 9 other African markets (Nigeria, Botswana, Kenya, South Africa, Mauritius, Uganda, Zambia, Morocco and Malawi).
Background-Type of Fund?
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Background-
Growth of Shareholders
5Over 65,000
Dec. 1996 Sept., 2007
Fig. 1
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Investment Objective
• Objective of the Fund is to provide long-term capital growth via:
• Investing in a diversified portfolio of listed shares in regulated markets in Ghana & Africa.
• It’s mainly an equity fund - up to 80% of portfolio
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Investment Policy & Strategy• Value investments philosophy-That’s identify and
invest in firms which are expected to provide superior returns over a 5-year period.
• Macro economic fundamentals are important but not enough
• Quality/soundness of underlying business of stocks is vital to our investment decision making- ‘Bottom-up Approach’
• Valuation model is based on intrinsic value of stocks
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Fig. 2Investments of Epack
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Investments of Epack
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Share Price ¢179.50 ¢399.1 ¢388.5 ¢465.06 ¢701.37 ¢1,191.63
Epack Value (¢ million) 49.39 385.89 772.08 1,265.17 2,930.64 10,513.95
Epack Value ($ million) 0.02 0.16 0.22 0.18 0.40 1.26
No. of Stocks 11 10 12 13 12 13
Top 5 as % of total portfolio
73% 74% 67% 62% 56% 52%
No. of markets 1 1 1 1 1 1
No. of Industries 6 6 7 7 7 7
Stock as % of total portfolio
96% 98% 95% 86% 85% 76%
Table: 1
* As at 28 Sept, 07
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Investments of Epack
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007*
Share Price ¢2,822.38 ¢4,536.91 ¢4,326.95 ¢5,707.76 ¢7,728
Epack Value (¢ million) 74,998 325,564 254,642 382,921 693,877
Epack Value ($ million ) 8.52 36.05 28.02 41.58 73.59
No. of Stocks 25 52 54 37 39
Top 5 as % of total portfolio
44% 28% 31% 29 24%
No. of markets 2 6 7 9 10
No. of Industries 8 11 11 9 10
Stock as % of total portfolio
69% 76% 87% 77% 77%
Table: 2
* As at 28 Sept, 07
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual FundTop 5 Holdings –Half Yr 07
Ghana Comm. Bank: 8%
Guaranty Trust Plc : 7%
First Bank Nigeria Plc: 6%
Unilever Ghana Ltd: 6%
Standard Chartered Bank:4%/Mauritius Comm Bank: 4%
Fig. 3
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Fig. 4
Investments of Epack -Holdings in Africa
Country Diversification (Equity Portfolio)
3.15%
0.99%7.14%
12.82%
7.81%
20.25%
5.98%
0.02%
0.63%
41.21%
Botswana Ghana Kenya Malawi Mauritius Morocco Nigeria South Africa Uganda Zambia
Half Yr 07
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Internationalisation- Epack’s Adventuring in Africa
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Adventuring in Africa
Fig. 5
Epack Presence
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Adventuring in Africa
Nigeria Experience
• Foray into Nigeria in July 2003;
• At that time, Nigeria was regarded as high risk;
• It was seen to be off limits to foreigners;
• Evidence showed that the NSE was an attractive investment;
• Average dollar return between 1998 – 2003 was 7% compared to -1% for the GSE;
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual FundAdventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
• Several companies traded at attractive valuations;
• Main challenge was to locate a custodian;
• Only one custodian at that time;
• Choice of broker was also challenging;
• Communication systems made T + 3 settlement very challenging;
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
StockPurchases (US$)
Dividends
Sales
Value as at 30/9/07
Total Return
Holding Period
First Bank 1,617,837 216,899 1,581,342 3,709,514 240.44% 4yrs
Union Bank 209,840 11,788 200,053 0.95% 2yrs
Guaranty Trust 552,456 112,455 2,922,574 449.37% 4yrs
United Bank For Africa 719,938 63,134 1,464,290 112.16% 3yrsZenith Bank 785,538 53,989 372,639 1,497,340 144.92% 3yrs
Cadbury 24,036 961 39,188 67.04% 2yrs
7 UP 62,891 5,395 87,781 48.16% 2yrs
Nestle 48,349 3,961 69,476 51.89% 2yrs
UACN 146,222 13,034 501,925 252.18% 4yrs
UAC-Prop 34,323 2,299 43,634 33.83% 2yrs
Total 33,432 2,451 55,824 74.31% 2yrs
Ashakacem 286,752 307,057 7.08% 1yr
Cornerstone 344,541 367,304 557,830 168.51% 1yr
PZ Nigeria 109,244 22,370 315,056 208.87% 4yrs
4,975,399 508,736 4,588,587 9,504,239 193.48%
Table: 5
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual FundAdventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
Mauritius Experience
• First investments made in October 2004;
• Economy had shifted into a low growth phase;
• Traditional economic drivers such as sugar and textiles were in decline;
• Serious debate on how to re-establish high growth levels;
• Tourism and financial sector identified as future growth pillars;
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)• Move to develop a knowledge based economy with
outsourcing at the centre;
• Challenge of how to deploy redundant workforce;
• Friendly foreign investor climate;
• Low levels of liquidity;
• Market seemed fairly valued on historical basis but cheap compared with other markets.
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)Stock
Purchases (US$) Dividends Sales
Value as at 30/9/07 Total Return
Holding Period
MCB 1,463,376 193,079 957,865 2,792,533 169.48% 3yrs
SBM 912,329 237,874 2,005,226 145.87% 3yrs
Rogers 310,597 36,808 764,037 157.84% 3yrs
NMH 234,601 35,399 422,862 95.34% 2yrs
SR 169,348 37,921 335,227 120.34% 3yrs
Medine 1,719,960 13,264 1,499,754 -12.03% 1yr
4,810,212 554,346 1,380,727 7,396,776 94.00%
Table: 6
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual FundAdventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
Kenyan Experience• First investment made in March 2004;
• Country was just coming out of a period of bad governance;
• • Kenya was emerging from a period of low growth rates;
• Perceived to be corrupt;
• Country was experiencing bad foreign press;
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual FundAdventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
• Very little foreign interest in the stock market;
• Relatively well-developed capital markets;
• Domestic interest in the stock market was beginning to pick-up;
• Large capitalized stocks were fairly liquid.
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual FundAdventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
StockPurchases (US$) Dividends Sales
Value as at
30/9/07 Total Return
Holding Period
EABL 102,252 4,356 198,935 98.81%
1yrs
Barclays 155,035 14,433 242,727 65.87% 1yrs
Standard Chartered 148,357 5,704 121,111 -14.52%
1yrs
Kenya Airways 511,060 20,872 1,261,052 438,857 236.71%
2yrs
CMC 326,011 751,736 24,500 138.10% 1yrs
1,242,715 45,365 2,575,561 463,357 148.19%
Table: 7
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)Lessons• A well conceived investment strategy and philosophy can
be applied both domestically and internationally;
• It is possible to enhance returns and reduce risk through international diversification;
• Mobilization of resources in Africa for Africans is possible and very feasible;
• If it can be done in Ghana, it can be done in the other African Countries;
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)• Nearly all the African Funds target non-African investors;
• Need to make these opportunities available to Africans through the creation of collective investment industry for Africans;
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)
Challenges• The need for greater co-operation between regulators and
market operators in the development of the industry;
• Existence of over-regulation in many markets;
• Need to make it easier for capital to flow between African countries;
• Resistance to opening up the capital account;
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Adventuring in Africa (Cont’d)• Pension reforms have increased the pool of capital;
• Doubtful whether all of it can be effectively employed local;
• Be careful that our enthusiasm does not lead to investment bubbles;
• In the mid – 1990’s, Africa was referred to as the last frontier;
• How is this frontier different from the frontier in the mid-1990’s?
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How Has Epack
Performed
?
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Performance-ROI
• Epa¢k has been the best performing mutual fund in Ghana and one of the best in Africa with a consistent 10 year record
• Cumulative ROI since inception was 974% in $ terms as at December 2006 and 1,249% in $ terms as at July 31, 2007
• YTD ROI as at Sept 28, 2007: [ 32.2% in $ terms]
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Performance-ROI
*ABRALL Returns is over 9 years
Fig. 6
1249%
187% 150%30%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
1000%
1200%
1400%
Epack (USD) DSI (USD) ABRALL (USD*) MSCI EM (USD)
Comparative Performance (96-07 Jul)
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Performance-ROI
*ABRALL Returns is over 9 years
Fig. 7
27%
10% 11%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Epack (USD) DSI (USD) ABRALL(USD*)
MSCI EM(USD)
Annualised Yearly Performance (96-07Jul)
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Performance-ROI
Epa¢k Yearly Returns Oct. 1996-Dec. 2006
Source: Databank Research
Table: 8
Year ¢ returns $ returns1996 -2% -2%1997 82% 41%1998 123% 113%1999 -3% -35%2000 20% -39%2001 51% 43%2002 70% 48%2003 137% 125%2004 60% 57%2005 -4% -5%2006 32% 30%Avg AnnualReturns
51% 34%
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
5616%
1696% 1515% 1324%536% 625%
0%
1000%
2000%
3000%
4000%
5000%
6000%
Epack 91-DayBill
Shares I YearBond
Dollar Inflation
Comparative Returns Oct 1996-Dec 2006
Performance-ROI
Source: Databank Research
Fig. 8
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
• Epa¢k started with only ¢250,000 [$27] in 1996.
• Value as of Dec. 2006, was ¢382bn [$41.3m]
• Value is as at 18 Oct., 07) ¢737bn [$78m]
Performance –Value of Funds
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Performance –
Value of Funds Table. 9
Date in ¢ in $ Yearly $ Growth
1997 49 21,951 N/A1998 386 164,488 649%1999 772 220,657 34%2000 1,265 183,643 -17%2001 2,931 403,935 120%2002 10,514 1,258,868 212%2003 74,998 8,517,177 577%2004 325,564 36,054,677 323%2005 254,642 28,019,031 -22%2006 382,921 41,575,618 48%
2007 YTD* 737,182 78,186,562 88%*As at Oct. 18 2007
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Performance –Market Share
• Epa¢k has the biggest market share among all the 9 mutual funds in Ghana (both equity and money market funds)
• Market share by value of funds under management as at Dec. 2006 was 57% (Databank Research)
• Market share by size of customers as at Dec. 2006 was 63% (Databank Research)
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Conclusion
• The introduction of Epa¢k in Ghana in 1996 was an innovation in its own right:
• Epa¢k is not only the 1st licensed mutual Fund in Ghana but also a Pan-African Mutual Fund with investments in 10 African countries
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Conclusion
• Epa¢k has been the best performing mutual fund in Ghana and one of the best in Africa with a consistent 10 year record.
• Cumulative returns on Epa¢k over the last decade has surpassed comparable instruments in the African market.
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Conclusion
• Databank, is a leading brand in investment banking in Ghana/Africa- Credited with many firsts in the market such as:
• First to develop a market index, the Databank Stock Index (DSI) for the GSE;
• First to introduce an equity mutual fund, Epack
• First to introduce a money market mutual fund, Databank Mfund;
• And recently voted as the Best Research Firm in Africa by Ai Index Series Awards in London.
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund Conclusion
• Databank, has leveraged on its:
• Strategic Vision• Well-trained and experienced Human Resources• Sound Management Practices• International Networks• Capabilities & Commitment
• To enable many Ghanaians and other nationals meet various financial goals.
• It can be done for you too!
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Epa¢kGhana’s # 1 Mutual Fund
Thanks for your
Audience Epa¢k – Ghana’s # 1 Mutual Fund!
www.databankgroup.com