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Transcript of 5 /% w b2(5 Ì4Ä - Board of Audit · S ¦ &g K Z 8 r S>*Caballero, Hoshi and Kashyap>&2008>' c>*...
55
1990
1990
1990
2000 2000 1990
2002
2003 Hosono and Sakuragawa 2003 Peek and Rosengren 2005
1990
Caballero, Hoshi and Kashyap 2008
1990
2007 1990
1 1990 2
1990
2010 "Firm Age and the Evolution of Borrowing Costs:
Evidence from Japanese Small Firms," Journal of Banking and Finance 34 8 , 1970-1981, 2010. "The Effectiveness of Public Credit Guarantees in the Japanese Loan Market," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 24 4 , 457-480, 2010.
182 70-93 2009
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1980
2007
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Peek and Rosengren 2005
ROA
Caballero, Hoshi and Kashyap 2008
2001
Lilien
2007
2
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Syrquin 1984, 1986
Syrquin 1984, 1986
Syrquin 1984, 1986
Syrquin 1984, 1986
n
TFP 4 3
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TFP 5 6
7 TFP 31 TFP 2
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TRE
2. 2
1
1)
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10 9
1 2 3
3. 1
1980 1 2007 4
37
2003
1 1 9 11
1
1 12
1980
1980
1990 2000 1
0.08% 0.06%
0.15%
Fukao, Miyagawa, and Takizawa 2007
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Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
% % % % % % % % % %
1980-1985 -0.083 0.066 -0.003 0.197 -0.027 0.077 -0.017 0.039 0.058 0.081
1986-1990 0.011 0.078 0.108 0.182 0.008 0.057 0.032 0.048 0.142 0.134
1991-1995 -0.022 0.098 -0.014 0.258 -0.008 0.040 0.014 0.019 0.098 0.135
1996-2000 -0.031 0.106 -0.111 0.200 -0.002 0.031 0.037 0.070 0.132 0.182
2001-2007 0.060 0.249 0.069 0.229 -0.006 0.049 0.111 0.320 0.193 0.331
-0.010 0.152 0.014 0.224 -0.008 0.054 0.039 0.169 0.127 0.206
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貸出
社債
株式
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12
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61
1
0.11% 0.11% 0.03%
0.01% 0.02% 0.11% 0.06% 0.19%
2
0.22% 0.05%
0.17% 0.21%
1 1980
1980 1990
2000 1990
1
1993 BIS
1980 1980
1990 2000
1980 2000
1980
1980
1990
1990
2000
1
2
2 11
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1990
3. 2
3.1
11
2
1
2
2 2
11
2
9
2 2
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Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
% % % % % % % % % %
1980-1985 -0.136 0.071 -0.042 0.281 -0.034 0.080 -0.049 0.070 -0.054 0.074
1986-1990 -0.081 0.068 -0.079 0.176 -0.044 0.080 -0.050 0.036 -0.023 0.063
1991-1995 -0.099 0.089 -0.044 0.206 -0.010 0.051 -0.011 0.018 0.023 0.079
1996-2000 -0.015 0.118 -0.047 0.241 0.006 0.037 -0.012 0.059 0.003 0.123
2001-2007 0.018 0.134 0.049 0.230 -0.001 0.039 -0.016 0.207 -0.041 0.233
-0.059 0.116 -0.027 0.232 -0.016 0.062 -0.028 0.112 -0.021 0.140
Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
% % % % % % % % % %
1980-1985 0.053 0.037 0.039 0.132 0.007 0.013 0.032 0.050 0.112 0.086
1986-1990 0.092 0.062 0.187 0.163 0.052 0.039 0.082 0.052 0.166 0.156
1991-1995 0.077 0.064 0.030 0.197 0.002 0.036 0.026 0.028 0.075 0.102
1996-2000 -0.016 0.053 -0.064 0.180 -0.008 0.047 0.049 0.059 0.129 0.141
2001-2007 0.042 0.190 0.020 0.196 -0.005 0.053 0.127 0.211 0.235 0.290
0.049 0.110 0.041 0.189 0.009 0.045 0.067 0.119 0.149 0.186
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-0.2
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0
0.1
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2-2
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% 資本ストック
12
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-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
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19
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q2
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82
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83
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85
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%
貸出社債株式内部留保
12
1980 1980 1980 1
2
2 1 1
2 1980
1980
1980 1
2 2
1 1
2 1980
1980
1980
1
1980
2 1980
3 1980
43
3) 1980
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1980
1 1
1990 1990
1980
1990 1990 1990
1 1
1990
1990 1 2
2
1 1 1990
1990
1
1980 2
3
4
1990
1980
2
1 1 1990
1980
1990
2000 2000 1
2
2
1 1 2000
4) 1990
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2000 1
2
2 1 1 2000
2000
1 2000
M&A 2 2000
2000
2
1980
2000
1 1990
1990
1980
2 1990
1990
1980 1990 20
2000
1980
1980
1990
Syrquin, 1984, 1986
1980 2007
1
2
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3 1990
1990 1980
4 1990
1990
1990
1990
1980
1980
1980
1990
1980
1990
1980
1990
1990
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GDP
2
1980 1
3
1
4
GDP 5
5
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Caballero, R. J., T. Hoshi, and A. K. Kashyap 2008 "Zombie Lending and Depressed Restructuring in Japan,"
American Economic Review 98 5 : 1943-1977.
Fukao, K., T. Miyagawa, and M. Takizawa 2007 " Productivity Growth and Resource Reallocation in Japan,"
Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series 224.
Hosono, K. and M. Sakuragawa 2003 "Soft Budget Problems in the Japanese Credit Market," Nagoya City
University Discussion Papers in Economics 345.
Peek, J. and E. S. Rosengren 2005 "Unnatural Selection: Perverse Incentives and the Misallocation of Credit
in Japan," American Economic Review 95 4 : 1144-1166.
Syrquin, M. 1984 "Resource Allocation and Productivity Growth," in M. Syrquin, L. Taylor, and L. E.
Westphal eds Economic Structure and Performance. Academic Press: 75-101.
Syrquin, M. 1986 "Productivity and Factor Reallocation," in H. Chenery, R. Sherman, and M. Syrquin eds
Industrialization and Growth: A Comparative Study. Oxford University Press: 229-262.
2007
07-J-4
2003
2001
01-16
2002 44 63-87
2003 22 1 129-156
2000
1-32
2000
233-264
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