5 the Market for Foreign Exchange

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    The Market for

    Foreign

    ExchangeBy Vijay Tita

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    Outline of the chapter

    Objective of the chapter

    The meaning and background of theForeign Exchange Market

    Function and structure of the FXmarket

    The spot Market

    The Forward Market

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    Objective of the Chapter

    To provide an introduction to theorganization and operation of the spotand forward foreign exchange market.

    This chapter provides institutionalarguments of the foreign exchangemarket and details of how foreign

    exchange is quoted and tradedworldwide.

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    Meaning of FX Market

    The FX market encompasses theconversion of purchasing power fromone currency into another, bank

    deposits of foreign currency, theextension of credit denominated in aforeign currency, foreign trade

    financing, trading in foreign currencyoptions & futures contracts andcurrency swaps.

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    Background of the FX market

    Largest financial market

    Remains open 24*7 and 365 days

    The BIS places worldwide daily

    trading of foreign exchange at $1.88tn in 2004

    London remains largest FX trading

    centre Trading volume in UK is estimated at

    $753 bn in 2004, 49% increase from

    2001

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    Shares of reported global FX turnoverby country in 2004

    Country Share in %

    United kingdom 31

    United states 19

    Japan 8

    Singapore 5

    Germany 5Switzerland 3

    Hong kong 4

    Australia 3

    France 3

    Canada 2

    Netherlands 2

    Denmark 2

    Sweden 1

    Russia 1

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    Function of FX market

    primary function is to assist clients inconduct of international commerce

    This function is an extension of one of

    the functions of a commercial banker

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    Structure of the FX market

    The FX market can be viewed as twotier market :

    i) wholesale or interbank market

    ii) retail or client market

    Timings for three major marketsegments

    Foreign Exchange Market participants

    Corresponding Banking relationship

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    FX Market Participants

    International banks

    Bank customers

    Nonbank dealers

    FX brokers

    Central banks

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    Corresponding BankingRelationship The interbank market is a network of

    Correspondent Banking Relationshipwith large commercial banks

    maintaining demand deposit accountswith one another, called correspondingbanking accounts.

    It allows for the efficient functioning ofthe FX market

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    The Spot Market

    Spot rate quotations The Bid-Ask spread

    Spot FX trading

    Cross Exchange Rate quotations Alternative Expression for Cross

    Exchange Rate

    The cross rate Trading Desk Triangular Arbitrage

    Spot FX market Microstructure

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    Spot Rate quotationsa) Direct Quotations

    (American terms)

    b) Indirect Quotations(European terms)

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    Example of Direct quotations from USperspective (dollars):Thursday spot quote for British poundis $1.9077

    Example of Indirect quotations fromUS perspective (pounds):

    Thursday spot quote for British poundis 0.5242

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    The Bid-Ask spread

    Interbank FX traders buy currency forinventory at the bid price and sell

    from inventory at the higher offer orask price.

    There is a reciprocal relationship

    between American and European bidand ask quotations

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    Spot Foreign Exchange Trading

    Spot quotations are good for only afew seconds. If a trader cannot

    immediately make up his mindwhether to buy or sell at given prices,the quotes are likely to be withdrawn

    Interbank FX traders useabbreviations in expressing spotquotations

    big figure and small figure

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    Cross-Exchange Rate Quotations

    A cross exchange rate is an exchangerate between a pair where neither

    currency is the U.S. dollarIt can be calculated from the U.S. $

    exchange rates for the two currencies,

    using either European or Americanterm quotations

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    For example, the / cross rate can becalculated from American termquotes

    s(/) = s($/) / s($/)

    = 1.9077 / 1.3112

    = 1.4549

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    For example, the / cross rate can becalculated from European termquotes

    s(/) = s(/$) / s(/$)

    = 0.7627 / 0.5242

    = 1.4550

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    The cross rate trading deskBanks frequently handle this trade for

    its customers by selling British poundsfor U.S. dollars and then selling U.S.dollars for Swiss Francs.

    suppose a bank operates in more thanone foreign currencies, its trading

    room would be organized withdifferent currency trade desk

    Refer Example 5.2

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    The Spot Market (Cont)

    Triangular Arbitrage opportunity

    it is the process of trading out of U.S.$ into a second currency, then

    trading it for a third currency, which inturn traded for U.S. $

    The purpose is to earn arbitrage

    profit Refer Example 5.3

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    The Forward Market

    Forward Rate Quotations Long and Short Forward positions

    (refer example 5.4)

    Forward Cross-Exchange Rates

    Swap Transactions

    Forward Premium

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    The Forward Market (cont)

    Forward Rate Quotations it can be direct or indirect, one being

    the reciprocal of another

    from U.S. perspective direct quote isin American terms

    s($/SF)= 0.8470

    f1($/SF)= 0.8485f3($/SF)= 0.8517

    f4($/SF)= 0.8573

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    The Forward Market (cont)

    Swap Transactions it can be classified as outright or

    swap transactions

    an outright forward transaction is anuncovered speculative position in acurrency, even though it might be apart of currency hedge to the bank

    customer to the other side of thetransaction

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    The Forward Market (cont)

    Swap Transactions

    Swap transaction is the simultaneoussale (purchase) of spot FX against

    forward purchase (sale) ofapproximately an equal amount of theforeign currency

    Refer Example 5.5

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    Thank You