4Q13 Results Conference Call - Adecoagro IR · 2019-06-24 · 4Q13 Results Conference Call . 4.5...

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4Q13 Results Conference Call

Transcript of 4Q13 Results Conference Call - Adecoagro IR · 2019-06-24 · 4Q13 Results Conference Call . 4.5...

Page 1: 4Q13 Results Conference Call - Adecoagro IR · 2019-06-24 · 4Q13 Results Conference Call . 4.5 6.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Crushed Cane 2012 Higher Capacity Utilization

4Q13 Results Conference Call

Page 2: 4Q13 Results Conference Call - Adecoagro IR · 2019-06-24 · 4Q13 Results Conference Call . 4.5 6.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Crushed Cane 2012 Higher Capacity Utilization

4.5

6.4

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Crushed Cane 2012 Higher Capacity Utilization New Capacity (Ivinhema) Crushed Cane 2013

Cru

she

d C

ane

(m

illio

n t

on

s)

0.3 0.31.0 1.1

1.1 1.5

3.5

5.3

1.41.8

4Q12 4Q13 2012 2013

Cluster

UMA

Sugarcane Crushing +43%

+29%

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business

Operational Performance

2

Increase in Crushing Capacity

6.4

4.5

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Rainfall and TRS Evolution

Mato Grosso do Sul 2013 Rainfall and TRS Evolution

3

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

TRS

(kg

/to

n)

Rai

nfa

ll (m

m)

Avg rain 5 years Rain 2013 TRS 2013 TRS Avg 5 years

Excess Rains Frost Average TRS (kg/ton) 2013 = 126 Average TRS (kg/ton) 4Q13 = 127

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47%

28%

26%

2013

8061

6899

70119

Sugar (tons) Ethanol (m3) Energy (MWh)

4Q12

4Q13

282

184239

336268

300

Sugar (tons) Ethanol (m3) Energy (MWh)

2012

2013

Sugar, Ethanol and Energy Production (thousand units)

+23%

+14%

+15%

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business

Operational Performance

4

+19%

+46%

+26%

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178

66

243

96

2012 2013 4Q12 4Q13

317

76

354

116

2012 2013 4Q12 4Q13

273

119

325

153

2012 2013 4Q12 4Q13

5

Sugar Sales Volumes & Net Prices (thousand tons)

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business

Operational Performance

Sugar, Ethanol and Energy Net Sales

486 408

436 389

Average Price US$/ton

Ethanol Sales Volumes & Net Prices (thousand m3)

Inventories (thousand m3 and tons) Energy Sales Volumes & Net Prices (thousand MWh)

601

652

Average Price US$/m3

71 81

86 85

Average Price US$/MWh

507

557

30

5147

74

Sugar Ethanol

2012

2013+59%

+45%

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Sugar, Ethanol & Energy Business

Operational Performance

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Apr/13 May/13 Jun/13 Jul/13 Aug/13 Sep/13 Oct/13 Nov/13 Dec/13 Jan/14 Feb/14 Mar/14

Eth

ano

l P

rice

(B

RL/

m3

)

Vo

lum

e (

m3

)

Production Sales Inventories Anhydrous Price (ESALQ) Hydrous Price (ESALQ)

Ethanol Carry Strategy

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4Q12 4Q13

Others

Energy

Ethanol

Sugar

2012 2013

Others

Energy

Ethanol

Sugar

98115

2012 2013

4235

4Q12 4Q13

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

Adjusted EBITDA & EBITDA Margin 4Q ($ millions)

7

Net Sales FY ($ millions)

Adjusted EBITDA & EBITDA Margin FY ($ millions)

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy

Financial Performance

Financial Performance

+10%

43% 34%

-16%

+9%

Net Sales 4Q13 ($ millions)

40% 36%

+18%

297

23

117

133

29

136

133

273

7

40

52

10

49

50

99 109

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85,663

99,409

12/31/2012 12/31/2013

23,391 25,764

2012 2013

8

Sugarcane Planted Area

(hectares)

Sugarcane Plantation

(hectares)

+10% +16%

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy

Operational Performance

Agricultural Operations

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Ivinhema Construction Update

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy

Ivinhema Construction

Highlights

CONSTRUCTION UPDATE

Phase I completed with 2.0 million tons nominal crushing capacity

Phase II will expand to milling capacity to 5.0 million tons per year by 2015, rather than 4.0 million tons as originally planned.

Annual production capacity is expected to increase to 300,000 tons of sugar, 240,000 cubic meters of ethanol and 360,000 MWh of energy exports.

CAPEX

Total capital expenditure is estimated at BRL 583 million.

Ivinhema Mill Capex Phase I Phase II

Crushing Capacity 2.0 3.0

Capex (BRL Million)

Agriculture Equipment 78 174

Industrial Equipment 388 282

Sugarcane Planting Costs 92 127

Total 559 583

BRL per Ton 279 194

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2013/14 Planted Area Evolution (thousand hectares)

Farming Business

Operational Performance

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Planted Area (hectares) 2013/14 (3) 2012/13 % Chg

Soybean 58,959 62,540 (6%)

Soybean 2nd Crop 24,118 29,563 (18%)

Corn (1) 45,423 41,205 10%

Corn 2nd Crop 5,106 4,528 13%

Wheat (2) 29,289 28,574 3%

Sunflower 12,880 12,478 3%

Cotton 6,217 3,098 101%

Total Crops 181,992 181,985 0%

Rice 36,604 35,249 4%

Total Farming 218,596 217,234 1%

Owned Croppable Area 133,645 128,947 4%

Leased Area 55,728 54,197 3%

Second Crop Area 29,223 34,091 (14%)

Total Farming Area 218,596 217,235 1%

(1) Includes sorghum

(2) Includes barley

(3) As of March 20, 2014

Farming Production Data

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Farming Business

Operational Performance

2012/13 vs 2013/14 Monthly Rainfall Evolution in Argentina Humid Pampas

0

50

100

150

200

250

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

Av

era

ge

Mo

nth

ly R

ain

fall

s (m

m)

2012/13 2013/14

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Gross Sales 2013 ($ millions)

Adjusted EBITDA 2013 ($ millions)

Farming Business

Financial Performance

196

94

19 13

322

185

107

314

327

Crops Rice Dairy Others Farming Consolidated

2012 2013

34

5

-2

4

4137

1310

1

61

Crops Rice Dairy Others Farming Consolidated

2012 2013

+14%

+63% -68%

+1%

+7%

+161% -69%

+48%

-6%

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Sold Hectares

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Land Transformation Business

Financial Performance

Farmland Sales

Sold Farms

3,507 8,714 4,857 5,5005 5,086 2,439 7,680 14,176

1 2 3 1 1 1 2 4

7.6

33.1

15.2

18.8 20.8

8.8

27.4 28.2

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

i. San Agustin: On November 12, 2013, AGRO sold the San Agustin farm for a total price of $17.5 million, equivalent to $3,445 per hectare, representing a 19% premium over the Cushman & Wakefield independent appraisal dated September 30, 2013. This transaction generated approximately $14.9 million of operating profit in the fourth quarter of 2013.

ii. San Martin: On September 13, 2013, AGRO sold the San Martin farm for a total price of $7.8 million, representing a 15% premium over the Cushman & Wakefield independent appraisal dated September 30, 2012. This transaction generated approximately $6.3 million of operating profit in the third quarter of 2013.

iii. Santa Regina: On June 14, 2013, AGRO sold its remaining 49% interest in Santa Regina S.A. located in Buenos Aires, Argentina. The farm was sold for $13.1 million, 16% above Cushman and Wakefield’s independent appraisal dated September 30, 2012.

iv. Lagoa de Oeste and Mimoso: On May 2, 2013, Adecoagro sold the Lagoa de Oeste and Mimoso coffee farms located in Luis Eduardo Magalhaes, Bahia, Brazil. The sale resulted in a total of $20.8 million in cash proceeds representing a 7% premium to the Cushman & Wakefield farm appraisal.

15 farms sold (51K hectares)

Capital gains for over

$160 million

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Adecoagro Consolidated

Financial & Operational Overview

Area & Production 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YoY

Farming Planted Area (hect.) 153,026 183,454 192,207 232,547 217,234 (6.6%)

Sugarcane Planted Area (hect.) 49,470 53,799 65,308 85,663 99,409 16%

Farming Production (tons) 414,962 618,834 666,589 738,847 699,179 (5.4%)

Sugarcane Crushing (tons) 2,215,029 4,066,115 4,168,082 4,488,935 6,417,951 43%

Net Sales 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YoY

Farming & Land Transformation 216,016 197,741 270,766 322,368 327,163 1%

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy 97,587 204,256 258,939 271,447 297,265 10%

Total 313,603 401,997 529,705 593,815 624,428 5%

Adjusted EBITDA 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YoY

Farming & Land Transformation 51,662 65,735 67,444 68,647 88,942 30%

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy (26,903) 51,735 109,507 97,505 115,239 18%

Corporate (22,262) (22,353) (26,885) (25,442) (23,478) (7.7%)

Total 2,497 95,117 150,066 140,710 180,704 28%

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

Farming & Land Transformation(1) 18.8% 27.6% 19.9% 17.3% 23.6% 36.0%

Sugar, Ethanol & Energy(1)(2)

(39.0%) 19.9% 37.1% 31.2% 34.8% 11.5%

Total 0.8% 23.7% 28.3% 23.7% 28.9% 22.1%

(1) Corporate expenses allocated 50% to Farming & Land Transformation and 50% to Sugar, Ethanol & Energy

(2) Calculated over Net Sales. Net Sales is calculated as Sales less sugar and ethanol sales taxes.

Page 15: 4Q13 Results Conference Call - Adecoagro IR · 2019-06-24 · 4Q13 Results Conference Call . 4.5 6.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Crushed Cane 2012 Higher Capacity Utilization

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Net Debt

4Q13 Debt Currency Structure

4Q13 Net debt ($ millions) 4Q13 Debt Term Structure

Total debt as of December 31, 2012, stands

at $660 million

Our long term debt structure increased

from 66% in 3Q13 to 78% during 4Q13

Net debt stands at $428 million

121

428

539

232

Debt Cash Net debt

S&E

Farming

22%

78%

Short term

Long Term

56%39%

5%

Brazilian Reals

US Dollars

Argentine Pesos

660

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87

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105

107

109

111

113

12/3

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13

1/3/

201

4

1/6/

201

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1/9/

201

4

1/12

/201

4

1/15

/201

4

1/18

/201

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1/21

/201

4

1/24

/201

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1/27

/201

4

1/30

/201

4

2/2/

201

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2/5/

201

4

2/8/

201

4

2/11

/201

4

2/14

/201

4

2/17

/201

4

2/20

/201

4

2/23

/201

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2/26

/201

4

3/1/

201

4

3/4/

201

4

3/7/

201

4

3/10

/201

4

3/13

/201

4

3/16

/201

4

Soy (SX4) Corn (CZ4) (Sugar) SBV4 Wheat (WZ4)16

2014 Outlook

4

4.5

5

5.5

6

6.5

7

7.5

8

8.5

3/18/20141/31/201412/18/201311/4/20139/19/20138/6/20136/21/20135/8/20133/25/20132/7/2013

INCREASE IN IVINHEMA CRUSHING CAPACITY

Ivinhema will increase its utilization capacity in 2014

ARS/USD DEVALUATION

The net effect of the devaluation of the Argentine peso is positive to our margins and our core business.

INCREASE IN COMMODITY PRICES

Since the start of the year we are seeing that future commodity prices are increasing

INCREASE IN BRAZIL ENERGY PRICES

Brazil energy prices have increased as a result of low water levels in the Brazilian hydroelectric reservoirs.

ARS/USD Devaluation

Soy, Corn, Sugar & Wheat Futures Prices

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This press release contains forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations, assumptions, estimates and projections about us

and our industry. These forward-looking statements can be identified by words or phrases such as “anticipate,” “forecast”, “believe,” “continue,”

“estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “is/are likely to,” “may,” “plan,” “should,” “would,” or other similar expressions.

The forward-looking statements included in this press release relate to, among others: (i) our business prospects and future results of operations; (ii)

the implementation of our business strategy, including our development of the Ivinhema project; (iii) our plans relating to acquisitions, joint ventures,

strategic alliances or divestitures; (iv) the implementation of our financing strategy and capital expenditure plan; (v) the maintenance of our

relationships with customers; (vi) the competitive nature of the industries in which we operate; (vii) the cost and availability of financing; (viii) future

demand for the commodities we produce; (ix) international prices for commodities; (x) the condition of our land holdings; (xi) the development of the

logistics and infrastructure for transportation of our productions in the countries where we operate; (xii) the performance of the South American and

world economies; (xiii) weather and other natural phenomena; (xiv) the relative value of the Brazilian Real, the Argentine Peso, and the Uruguayan

Peso compared to other currencies; and (xv) developments in, or changes to, the laws, regulations and governmental policies governing our business,

including environmental laws and regulations.

These forward-looking statements involve various risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that our expectations expressed in these forward-

looking statements are reasonable, our expectations may turn out to be incorrect. Our actual results could be materially different from our

expectations. In light of the risks and uncertainties described above, the estimates and forward-looking statements discussed in this press release

might not occur, and our future results and our performance may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements due to,

inclusive, but not limited to, the factors mentioned above. Because of these uncertainties, you should not make any investment decision based on

these estimates and forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements made in this press release related only to events or information as of the date on which the statements are made in

this press release. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the

statements are made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

Disclaimer

Page 18: 4Q13 Results Conference Call - Adecoagro IR · 2019-06-24 · 4Q13 Results Conference Call . 4.5 6.4 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 Crushed Cane 2012 Higher Capacity Utilization

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Investor Relations

Charlie Boero Hughes

CFO

Hernan Walker

IR Manager

E-mail [email protected]

Website www.adecoagro.com