4Q12 Disclosure and Results

26
1 Earnings Release | Conference Call – 4Q12 and 2012 March 26 th , 2013

Transcript of 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Page 1: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

1

Earnings Release | Conference Call – 4Q12 and 2012

March 26th, 2013

Page 2: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Agenda

Ricardo Ribeiro

Vice President

Carlos Wollenweber

CFO | IR Officer

2012 Main Figures and

Operating Highlights

Financial Highlights

Page 3: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Main Figures

2012 2011 D %

Launched PSV% Direcional

R$ million 2,346 1,447 62%

Contracted PSV% Direcional

R$ million 2,267 1,230 84%

Sales Over Supply (VSO) % PSV 71.7% 58.8% 12.9 p.p.

Net Revenues R$ million 1,368 1,072 28%

Net Income R$ million 225 175 28%

Net Margin % 16.5% 16.3% 0.2 p.p.

ROE % 17.6% 15.6% 2.0 p.p.

Page 4: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Contracted MCMV Level 1

(R$ million)

58,892

1,647

+215.2%

+20.4%

2012

70,894

2011

522

Average Price Units

Contracted PSV

Contracted MCMV Level 1 - 2012

Contracted Projects 9

Average PSV (R$ million) 183.0

Units/Projects (average) 2,582

Contracted MCMV Level 1

Page 5: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Reduction of 6% to 4% in tax revenues to

developments under the special taxation

regime.

RET1: Price cap Increase from R$ 85k to R$

100k for units sold under the special taxation

regime.

Payroll tax reduction for builders, with

replacement of the INSS on the payroll for tax

corresponding to 2% of gross revenue.

Cash Generation in 4Q12 Federal Government Incentives

4Q12 Highlights

5

7

4Q12 3Q12

-43

2Q12

-50

1Q12

-70

Cash Burn¹

(R$ million)

Cash Generation

1. measured by the net debt variation plus dividends and share repurchases less capital

increases.

Page 6: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Operating Highlights

Launches

Sales

Deliveries

Land Bank

Inventory

Operating Highlights Ricardo Ribeiro

Vice President

Page 7: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Launches

Launched PSV

(R$ million)

Launched PSV – Track Record

(R$ million)

+178%

1,189 +119%

2,346 +62%

2012

1,647

698

2011

1,447

522

793

131

4Q12

988

201

3Q12

543

400

143

4Q11

428

209 218

CAGR +68%

2012

2,346

1,647

698

2011

1,447

522

924

2010

1,067

380

686

2009

783

149

634

2008

710

710

2007

176

176

MCMV Level 1

Development

Project Acquisition

MCMV Level 1

Development

Total

(R$'000)

% Direcional

(R$'000)

# of Units

Launched

Total Units

(All Phases)

1 Emotion Residence Caiçara December Belo Horizonte - MG 46,040 45,994 76 76 Upper-Middle

2 Up Life Residence December Guará - DF 78,147 78,068 148 148 Upper-Middle

3 Magic Garden Houses December Rio de Janeiro - RJ 110,342 77,240 150 150 Upper-Middle

4 Jardim Carandá December Sorocaba - SP 226,304 226,304 2,560 2,560 MCMV Level 1

5 Paranoá Parque December Paranoá - DF 448,731 448,731 6,240 6,240 MCMV Level 1

6 Parque Carioca December Rio de Janeiro - RJ 81,499 81,499 900 900 MCMV Level 1

7 Parque dos Resedás December São João da Boa Vista - SP 78,710 78,710 926 926 MCMV Level 1

8 Bosque Azul December Macaé - RJ 152,490 152,490 2,210 2,210 MCMV Level 1

Total 4Q12 1,222,262 1,189,036 13,210 13,210

Segment4Q12 Projects Date City - State

PSV Units Launched

Page 8: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Launches Breakdown

8

13% 17%14%

2012 2011 4Q12 4Q11

4% 5%

70%

40%

7%

16%

32%

4% 8%

83%

49%

2%

36%

Launches by Segment

(% PSV)

MCMV Level 1

Low-Income

Medium

Upper Middle

Commercial

Launches by Region - Development

(% PSV)

29%39%

14% 20%

2012 2011

33%

38%

4Q12

20%

4Q11

60% 40%

46%

61%

Southeast

North

Midwest

Northeast

Launches by Region - MCMV Level 1

(% PSV)

27%45%

16%

2012

38%

2011 4Q12

24%

4Q11

33% 55%

85%

15%

62%

Southeast

Northeast North

Midwest

MG

6

8

5

7

RJ

3

1

SP

4

DF 2

Page 9: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Contracted Sales

Contracted Sales

(R$ million)

1,129 +102%

2,267 +84%

2012

1,647

620

2011

1,230

522

+208%

619

89

4Q12

988

141

3Q12

558

400

158

4Q11

367

209 158

MCMV Level 1

Development

Project Acquisition

9

3%

5%2%

2012

73%

10% 8%

5%

2011

46%

26%

18% 6% 4%

4Q12

88%

2% 5%

4Q11

57%

22%

15% 5% 1%

MCMV Level 1

Medium

Low-Income

Upper-Middle

Commercial

Sales by Economic Segment

(% PSV)

Sales by Region

(% PSV)

42% 23%

12%

2012

36%

29%

2011

26%

66%

9%

4Q12

54%

4%

4Q11

37%

59%

4%

Southeast

North

Midwest

Northeast

+78%

2012

2,267

1,647

620

2011

1,230

522

708

2010

1,037

380

657

2009

661

149

511

2008

441

441

2007

127

127

Sales Track Record

(R$ million)

MCMV Level 1

Development

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Sales Speed

4Q12

55.4%

15.2%

3Q12

41.3%

18.7%

2Q12

36.5%

21.2%

1Q12

16.1% 16.1%

4Q11

31.8%

18.5%

With MCMV Level 1 project

Without MCMV Level 1 project

Sales-Over-Supply Ratio (VSO)

(Total PSV - %)

4Q11 95% 85% 6%

1%

2%

1%

1Q12 88% 10% 51% 22% 5%

2Q12 94% 88% 3% 2%

3Q12 96% 95% 1%

4Q12 98%

3 M 6 M 9 M 12 M 15 M

Sales by Launching Period -4Q12

(% PSV – Development)

Sales Speed

(% Units)

63% of the PSV sold in the 4Q12 were units launched

before 4Q12;

30% of the sold PSV were to units launched before 2012.

14%

13%

<2011 16%

2011

14% 1Q12

5% 2Q12

3Q12

4Q12 37%

Page 11: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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More than R$ 1.1 billion in PSV delivered

Jardim Alterosa

Total

(R$'000)

% Direcional

(R$'000)

1 Varandas Fazenda da Serra October Belo Horizonte - MG 64,215 32,108 136 Upper-Midle

2 Total Ville Porto Velho - 1st Phase October Porto Velho - RO 48,969 48,969 490 Low-Income

3 Residencial Jardim Alterosa November Belo Horizonte - MG 75,440 75,440 1,640 MCMV Level 1

4 Gran Vista - Tower: A and D December Manaus - AM 55,203 44,163 116 Upper-Midle

5 Gran D'Ouro December Belo Horizonte - MG 8,353 8,194 24 Medium

6 Brisas do Madeira - Tower: 3 and 5 December Porto Velho - RO 32,605 32,605 142 Medium

7 Total Ville Bem Viver Paraiso - 2nd Phase December Manaus - AM 52,985 52,976 448 Low-Income

Total 4Q12 337,771 294,455 2,996

Total 2012 1,213,128 1,126,597 11,334

# Units SegmentDelivered Projects - 4Q12 Date City - State

PSV

Page 12: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Land Bank

61.6% are large scale projects (over 1,000 units)

75.1% are eligible for the MCMV Program

76.2% were acquired by physical or financial Swap

Average acquisition price of 9.1% over PSV

R$ 6.7 Billion

66,381 units

Land Bank by Segment

(% PSV)

Land Bank Track Record in 2012

(R$ million in PSV) 137

347

6,734 -215

2012 Launches

698

Review of

Assumptions

Acquired

Land Bank

2011

6,948

Land Bank by Region

(% PSV)

Type of Payment

(2012 – % PSV)

ES 2%

AM 14%

MG 38%

RO 5%

SP 6%

PA 13%

DF 20% GO

2%

Swap

75.0% Cash 25.0%

Low-Income 56%

Upper-Middle

6%

Medium 35%

Commercial 3%

Page 13: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Inventory

46% of the inventory was launched after 2012

4Q12

23.5%

3Q12 7.7%

2Q12

11.8%

1Q12

2.8%

2,011

25.7%

<2011 12.3%

Finished Units

16.2%

Inventory by Launch Period

(% PSV)

Inventory by Region

(% PSV)

17.7%

Southeast 31.1%

North 51.3%

Midwest

Inventory Evolution

(R$ million)

800 10.9%

2012

670

130

2011

721

668

53

Finished Units

Under Construction

Total % Direcional

Under Construction 782,349 670,008 83.8% 2,251 78.5%

Finished Units 144,945 129,919 16.2% 615 21.5%

Total 927,294 799,928 100.0% 2,866 100.0%

InventoryPSV in Inventory (BRL'000)

% Units in Inventory %

Page 14: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Financial Highlights

Financial Highlights

Cash Burn and Financing Transfers (“Repasse”)

Capital Structure

Deferred Results

Stock Performance

Financial Highlights Carlos Wollenweber

CFO e Diretor de RI

Page 15: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Financial Results

344373296

+27.6%

+16.3%

-7.7%

2012

1,368

2011

1,072

4Q12 3Q12 4Q11

Net Revenue

(R$ million)

MCMV Level 1

98.0% Brokerage Fee

1.1%

Management Fee

0.9%

CAGR +68%

2012

1,368

914

454

2011

1,072

806

266

2010

782

668

114

2009

378

365 13

2008

263

255 8

2007

102

102

Net Revenue – Track Record

(R$ million)

Development

Services

Revenue from Services – Track Record

(R$ million)

Breakdown of Revenue from Services

(4Q12 - %)

2012

457

32.7%

2011

269

24.5%

2010

117

14.5%

Revenue from Service % of Gross Revenue

Page 16: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Focus on Industrialization The Growth Coming From The Very Low-Income

16

Focus on Industrialization

Launched PSV – Total

(R$ million)

CAGR +35%

2012

698

1,647

2011

924

522

2010

686

380

2009

634

149

2008

710

0

Launched PSV - MCMV Level 1

(R$ million)

0 380

2009

149

2008

CAGR +123%

2012

1,647

2011

522

2010

Development

MCMV Level 1

4Q12

70%

23%

7%

4Q11

49%

43%

7%

4Q10

30%

62%

9%

Units Under Construction by Construction Method

(% of Units)

1 Aluminum mold and concrete walls method

Industrial Construction¹

Concrete Blocks

Conventional Structure

(Concrete Pillars)

2012 2011 D %

Units Under Construction 51,009 36,000 42%

Construction Sites 45 37 22%

Average # of Units by

Construction Sites1,134 973 17%

# of Cities 13 10 30%

Page 17: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

17 1 . Gross Margin excluding interest expenses;

83 8

30.5%

4Q11

90

+21.8%

420

+26.3%

2012

370

50

30.7%

2011

332

301

32

31.0%

4Q12

110

96 14

32.0%

Interest Capitalised in COGS Gross Profit Adjusted¹ Gross Margin

Financial Results

Adjusted¹ Gross Profit

(R$ million)

Revenue from Services

(R$ million)

269

24%

+70.1%

2012

457

33%

2011

% of Gross Revenue

Page 18: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Financial Results

1. Adjusted by non-cash expenses (Stock-Options Program).

Adjusted¹ G&A

(R$ million)

Sales Expenses

(R$ million)

97

73

2416

7.1%

4Q11

5.4%

52.5%

+33.8%

2012

7.1%

2011

6.8%

4Q12

39

28

99

-6.1%

+41.4%

2012

2.9%

2011

2.6%

4Q12

2.5%

4Q11

3.1%

Sales Expenses % Net Revenue Adjusted¹ G&A % Net Revenue

21.0%22.7%21.7%21.6%

+16.9%

17.8%

2012

287

2011

243

4Q12

75

4Q11

64

Adjusted¹ EBITDA Margin

Adjusted¹ EBITDA

(R$ million)

227199

6648

4Q12

18.5%

2011

14.1%

2012

16.6% 19.2%

4Q11

16.2%

Adjusted¹ Net Income

(R$ million)

Adjusted¹ Net Income Adjusted¹ Net Margin

Page 19: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Pro Forma Results - Deferred taxes Reversion RET4

19

1 - Provisional Measure No. 601/12 reduced the tax burden for projects developed under the Special Tax Regime (RET) from 6% to 4%. This measure came into force on January 1, 2013,

for cash effects, and allowed for the reversal of the deferred tax in the fourth quarter of 2012, proportionately to the tax reduction. The total amount reversed under “Tax deductions” and

“Income tax and social contribution” was R$ 22.13 million, or R$ 11.62 million and R$ 10.51 respectively.

2 - Gross Margin excluding interest expenses;

3 - Adjusted by non-cash expenses (Stock-Options Program).

2012 2012 D %

(a) Pro Forma (b) (a/b)

Net Revenues R$ million 1,368 1,356 1%

Adjusted Gross Profit² R$ million 420 408 3%

Adjusted Gross Margin² % 30.7% 30.1% 0.6 p.p.

Adjusted Net Income³ R$ million 227 204 11%

Adjusted Net Margin³ % 16.6% 15.1% 1.5 p.p.

Page 20: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

Operational Efficiency

20

Net Debt

(R$ million – 4Q12)

SFH

Corporate

Net Debt

Adjusted By

Receivables from

Delivered Units

Concluídas

191

Receivables from

Delivered Units

511

Net Debt

320

Cash and

Equivalents

437

Total Debt

586

171

Launched PSV

(R$ million)

1,127

+270%

2012

828

299

2011

305

Receivables from Delivered Units

(R$ million)

511

+111%

2012 2011

242

Financing Transfer (“Repasses”)

(R$ million)

455 +43%

2012

233

222

2011

319

124

195

Development

MCMV Level 1

"Crédito Associativo"

SFH

Net cash of $ 191.0

million

ROE of 18% with low leverage

Page 21: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Capital Structure and Cash Burn

Debt Breakdown

2.4% CRI

13.2%

Receivables Assigned

3.8% Securitization 0.5%

SFH

77.5%

Working Capital

2.7%

FINAME and others

2Q12

-43

3Q12

7

4Q12

-50

1Q12

-70

Cash Burn ¹

(R$ million)

Cash Generation

1. measured by the net debt variation plus dividends and share repurchases less

capital increases.

4Q12 3Q12 D %

(BRL million) (a) (b) (a/b)

Debt 756.5 786.5 -3.8%

SFH 585.9 606.2 -3.4%

CRI 99.8 101.2 -1.4%

Securitization 3.6 6.1 -40.9%

Receivables Assigned 28.9 36.8 -21.4%

Working Capital 18.2 16.2 12.8%

FINAME and others 20.1 20.0 0.1%

Cash 436.9 460.0 -5.0%

Net debt 319.6 326.5 -2.1%

Net debt / Equity 22.5% 23.4% -1 p.p.

Page 22: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Deferred Results

Schedule of Deferred Results

(%)

5%

29%

66%

2015 2014 2013

Deferred Results

(R$ million)

22.5%

19.7%

4Q12

686

262

424

3Q12

573

287

287

4Q11

560

334

226

Development

MCMV Level 1

4Q12 3Q12 D %

(R$ million) (a) (b) (a/b)

Consolidated Deferred results (1+2) 686.2 573.3 19.7%

Deferred results - Margin 28.6% 33.1% -4.4 p.p.

Deferred results - Development (1) 262.4 286.7 -8.5%

Margin 39.9% 40.7% -0.8 p.p.

Deferred results - MCMV Level 1 projects (2) 423.8 286.7 47.8%

Margin 24.4% 27.8% -3.5 p.p.

Page 23: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Improvement on DIRR3 Float

Number of Investors

(#)

+55%

1,445

+171%

feb.13

661

784

dec.12

933

480

453

sep.12

652

283

369

jun.12

531

214

317

mar.12

533

217

316

Investment Funds

Personal Investors

+49%

11,584

+811%

2013* 4Q12

7,795

3Q12

2,539

2Q12

1,039

1Q12

1,272

Average Trading Volume

(# of Transactions)

Average Trading Volume

(R$ 000)

616

245108115

1,303

2013* 4Q12 3Q12

+111%

+1,034%

2Q12 1Q12 * Year-to-date 2013

Page 24: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

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Shares Performance

R$ 5

R$ 7

R$ 9

R$ 11

R$ 13

R$ 15

R$ 17

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

Nov

-09

Dec

-09

Jan-

10Ja

n-10

Feb

-10

Mar

-10

Apr

-10

Apr

-10

May

-10

Jun-

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Apr

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May

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Jun-

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Aug

-11

Aug

-11

Sep

-11

Oct

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12Ja

n-12

Feb

-12

Mar

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Mar

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Apr

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Volume Ibovespa (Base 100 - Dec/2011) IMOB (Base 100 - Dec/2011) DIRR3

Page 25: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

25

Disclosure

This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements concerning the business prospects,

projections of operating and financial results and growth potential of the Company, which are based on

management’s current expectations and estimates of the future performance of the Company. Although the

Company believes such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no

assurance that its expectations will be achieved. Expectations and estimates that are based on the future

prospects of the Company are highly dependent upon market behavior, Brazil’s political and economic

situation, existing and future regulations of the industry and international markets and, therefore, are

subject to changes outside the Company’s and management’s control. The Company undertakes no

obligation to update any information contained herein or to revise any forward-looking statement as a result

of new information, future events or other information.

Page 26: 4Q12 Disclosure and Results

26

Contacts

Carlos Wollenweber CFO | IR Officer

Paulo Sousa IR Analyst

www.direcional.com.b/ir

[email protected]

(55 31) 3214-6200

(55 31) 3214-6450