4Q09 Presentation

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Investor Relations Contact Luiz Mauricio de Garcia Paula [email protected] 1 4Q09 and 2009 Results Conference Call Tenda: Cotia Fase 4 SP Alphaville Porto Alegre - RS

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Transcript of 4Q09 Presentation

Page 1: 4Q09 Presentation

Investor Relations ContactLuiz Mauricio de Garcia [email protected]

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4Q09 and 2009 ResultsConference Call

Tenda: Cotia Fase 4 – SP

Alphaville Porto Alegre - RS

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Safe-Harbor Statement

We make forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These statementsare based on the beliefs and assumptions of our management, and on information currently availableto us. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding our intent, belief or currentexpectations or that of our directors or executive officers.

Forward-looking statements also include information concerning our possible or assumed futureresults of operations, as well as statements preceded by, followed by, or that include the words''believes,'' ''may,'' ''will,'' ''continues,'' ''expects,'‘ ''anticipates,'' ''intends,'' ''plans,'' ''estimates'' orsimilar expressions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involverisks, uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to future events and therefore depend oncircumstances that may or may not occur. Our future results and shareholder values may differmaterially from those expressed in or suggested by these forward-looking statements. Many of thefactors that will determine these results and values are beyond our ability to control or predict.

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Financial and Operational Performance – Wilson Amaral, CEO

Overview of 4Q09 and 2009 Results

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Operating and Financial Highlights (R$ million) 4Q09 4Q08 Var. (%) 2009 2008 Var. (%)

Launches 1,000,353 644,969 55% 2,301,224 4,195,698 -63%

Launches, units - '000 4,258 1,469 190% 10,795 30,016 -73%

Contracted sales 1,053,810 588,370 79% 3,248,065 2,577,762 26%

Contracted sales, units - '000 6,413 3,760 71% 22,012 17,114 29%

Net revenues 897,540 561,738 60% 3,022,346 1,740,404 74%

Gross profit 277,418 147,644 88% 878,584 526,003 67%

Adjusted Gross margin (w/o capitalized interest) 34.7% 30.6% 410 bps 32.2% 33.3% -109 bps

Adjusted EBITDA (1)

174,722 82,272 112% 604,476 300,472 101%

Adjusted EBITDA margin (1)

19.5% 14.6% 490 bps 20.0% 17.3% 274 bps

Adjusted EBITDA (2)

167,825 41,264 307% 529,930 259,463 104%

Adjusted EBITDA margin (2)

18.7% 7.3% 1140 bps 17.5% 14.9% 260 bps

Adjusted Net profit (3)

86,074 43,624 97% 312,825 192,792 62%

Adjusted Net margin (3)

9.6% 7.8% 180 bps 10.4% 11.1% -73 bps

Net profit 55,321 12,844 331% 213,540 109,921 94%

EPS (R$/share) 0.3317 0.0988 236% 1.2804 0.8458 51%

Net debt and Investor obligations 1,998,079 1,246,619 60% 1,998,079 1,246,619 60%

Cash and availabilities 1,424,053 605,502 135% 1,424,053 605,502 135%

(Net debt + Obligations) / (Equity + Minorities) 83.8% 59.8% 2400 bps 83.8% 59.8% 1 bps

(1) Adjusted for expenses w ith stock options plans (non-cash)(2) Adjusted for Tenda's goodw ill and net of provisions(3) Adjusted for expenses w ith stock options plans (non-cash), minority shareholders and non recurring expenses

HighlightsStrong Top Line Growth, Operating Margin Improvement and Comfortable Liquidity

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Recent Developments

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Acquisition of remaining 40% of TENDA’s shares approved: Gafisa now operate Tenda as a wholly-owned subsidiary, benefiting from full integration of back offices and enterprise systems.

Approval of R$ 600 million in debentures with Caixa Econômica Federal in December 2009

Strong Sales in Middle and Mid-High Segments: Gafisa and Alphaville brands sold over R$ 670 million during the quarter, logging sales velocities of 23% and 44% respectively.

Diversified Geographies and Products: At the end of 2006 Gafisa-brand had a presence in 10 states and 16 cities with a total of 70 developments. Today well-known brands Gafisa, Alphaville and Tenda are present in 21 states, 100 cities with more than 188 developments, being 310 when accounting all the phases.

Follow-on Share Offering: Today we are announcing that Gafisa intends to proceed with a follow-on equity offering worth an estimated R$ 1 billion.

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510 12 15

22 23

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55

91

Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09

Monthly Evolution of Contracted Units'000 units

Efficiency Gains under “Minha Casa, Minha Vida” ProgramTenda contracted 5,114 units in 2009 and has over 25 thousand units under Caixa’s analysis

Caixa’s efficiency has been improving since the beginning of the program, indicating that could reach its goal of 1 million units by the end of 2010.

R$ 24 billion 2010 FGTS budget is already 25% higher than the amount granted in 2009.

Status – December 09 Units

Units Received 713,990

Units Contracted (Approved) 275,528

Units Analyzed - will approve 38,945

Document pending for analysis 63,998

Engineering analysis concluded 138,315

Pending engineering analysis 197,204

Source: CEF 6

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Concluded Projects

Gafisa completed 152 developments or phases during 2009, representing R$ 1.4 billion of PSV.

Gafisa: 17 projects/phases, R$ 694 million

Alphaville: 5 projects/phases, R$ 204 million

Tenda: 130 projects/phases, R$ 496 million

Gafisa: Colina de São Francisco, SP

Tenda: Valle Verde Cotia, SP

Alphaville 7

Gafisa: Felicità, SP

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Diversified, High-Quality Land Bank Provides Strong Platform for Growth

383 different projects or phases in 21 states

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50.7% acquired by swap agreements.

Affordable entry-level segment represents 52% of potential units in land bank.

/ ‘000 units

PSV - R$ million(%Gafisa)

%SwapTotal

%SwapUnits

%SwapFinancial

Potential units(%Gafisa)

Gafisa ≤ R$500K 4,149 47.2% 39.0% 8.3% 4,490

> R$500K 3,427 38.0% 36.0% 2.1% 14,235

Total 7,576 42.1% 37.3% 4.8% 18,725

Alphaville ≤ R$100K; 404 94.2% 0.0% 94.2% 5,340

> R$100K; ≤ R$500K 3,458 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 18,705

> R$130K 100 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50

Total 3,962 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 24,094

Tenda ≤ R$130K 3,822 24.3% 24.3% 0.0% 44,876

> R$130K 463 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 2,826

Total 4,285 19.4% 19.4% 0.0% 47,703

Consolidated 15,823 50.7% 23.6% 27.1% 90,522

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4Q09 Launches by unit price 4Q09 Pre-sales by unit price

Strong Launches and Sales Performance

Other38%

Rio de Janeiro

7%

São Paulo56%

Other36%

Rio de Janeiro

17%

São Paulo47%

(%Gafisa) - R$ k 4Q09 2009

Gafisa ≤ R$500 k 328,283 612,866

> R$500 k 249,301 651,654Total 577,584 1,264,520Units 1,472 3,413

Alphaville ≤ R$100K; 24,030 24,030

> R$100K; ≤ R$500K 262,000 395,482

> R$500K --- ---

Total 286,030 419,512

Units 1,451 2,096

Tenda 1) ≤ R$130 k 102,507 288,013

> R$130 k 34,232 329,179

Total 136,739 617,191

Units 1,335 5,286

Consolidated Total 1,000,353 2,301,224

Units 4,258 10,7951) Includes Tenda and Fit Residencial in 2008

(%Gafisa) - R$ k 4Q09 2009

Gafisa ≤ R$500 k 185,480 610,494

> R$500 k 281,099 899,581Total 466,579 1,510,075Units 1,210 4,190

Alphaville ≤ R$100K; 7,710 25,697

> R$100K; ≤ R$500K 194,169 331,915

> R$500K 2,456 19,272

Total 204,336 376,885

Units 969 1,952

Tenda 1) ≤ R$130 k 311,403 1,165,171

> R$130 k 71,491 195,934

Total 382,895 1,361,105

Units 4,234 15,871

Consolidated Total 1,053,810 3,248,065

Units 6,413 22,0121) Includes Tenda and Fit Residencial in 2008

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R$ millionInventories beginning

of period Launches Sales

*Inventory Release

+ Other

Inventories end

of periodSales velocity

Gafisa 1,358.1 577.6 466.6 101.3 1,570.4 22.9%

AlphaVille 180.9 286.0 204.3 0.9 263.5 43.7%

Tenda 1,275.9 136.7 382.9 (233.1) 796.6 32.5%

Total 2,814.9 1,000.4 1,053.8 (130.9) 2,630.5 28.6%

-233

1.777 1.581 1.542 1.358 1.570

215199 203

181264

1.402

1.149934 1.276 797

4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

Gafisa Alphaville Tenda

3.394

2,9292,679 2,815 2,631

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Inventories and Sales Velocity - 4Q09The Highest Sales Velocity of 2009 Contributes to Substantial Inventory Reduction

4Q09 Inventory

Inventory reduction (R$ million)

* Tenda’s units reintroduced/blocked

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Financial Performance – Duilio Calciolari, CFO and IR Officer

Overview of 4Q09 and 2009 Results

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Strong Pre-Sales Positively Impact Backlog of Revenues to be Recognized

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Note: Revenues to be recognized are net from PIS/Cofins (3.65%). Backlog of Revenues not adjusted to present value.

1) Includes Fit Residencial and Bairro Novo in 2008

(R$000) 4Q09 4Q08 3Q09 4Q09 x 4Q08 4Q09 x 3Q09

Gafisa Revenues to be recognized 1,662 1,870 1,661 -11.1% 0.1%

Costs to be recognized (1,044) (1,220) (1,051) -14.4% -0.7%

Results to be recognized (REF) 618 650 609 -4.9% 1.4%

REF margin 37.2% 34.8% 36.7% 2423 bps 48 bps

Tenda 1) Revenues to be recognized 1,363 1,018 1,245 33.9% 9.5%

Costs to be recognized (915) (653) (839) 40.2% 9.1%

Results to be recognized (REF) 448 365 406 22.8% 10.3%

REF margin 32.9% 35.8% 32.6% -298 bps 24 bps

Consolidated Revenues to be recognized 3,025 2,888 2,905 4.8% 4.1%

Costs to be recognized (1,959) (1,873) (1,890) 4.6% 3.7%

Results to be recognized (REF) 1,066 1,015 1,015 5.0% 5.0%

REF margin 35.2% 35.1% 35.0% 10 bps 28 bps

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Company 4Q09 4Q08 2009 2008

Consolidated Selling expenses 73,277 66,897 226,621 154,401

G&A expenses 60,298 75,787 233,129 180,838

SG&A 133,575 142,684 459,750 335,239

Selling expenses / Sales 7.0% 11.4% 7.0% 6.0%

G&A expenses / Sales 5.7% 12.9% 7.2% 7.0%

SG&A / Sales 12.7% 24.3% 14.2% 13.0%

Selling expenses / Net revenues 8.2% 11.9% 7.5% 8.9%

G&A expenses / Net revenues 6.7% 13.5% 7.7% 10.4%

SG&A / Net revenues 14.9% 25.4% 15.2% 19.3%

SG&AImprovement over 2008 – Better SG&A Ratios Over Top Line Expected After Tenda’s Integration into Gafisa

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Integrating Tenda into Gafisa should start yield the benefits in the coming quarters mainly due to better

dilution of costs due to higher volumes of launches and sales.

Synergies to be achieved through shared back office functions, the leveraging of office infrastructure, and

the accelerated implementation of systems such as SAP across Tenda’s operations, all resulting in better

SG&A/Top Lines ratios in the coming quarters.

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R$ million 4Q09 3Q09

Total Debt 3,122 2,532

Total Cash 1,424 1,100

Obligation to Investors 300 300

Net Debt & Obligation to Investors 1,998 1,732

(Net Debt & Obligation to Investors) / (Equity + Minorities) 83.8% 74.1%

(Net Debt & Obl.) / (Eq. + Min.) – Exc. Project Finance (SFH + FGTS Debenture)

13.3% 27.3%

Cash-burn rate 348(1) 246

Net Debt/Equity (Excluding Project Finance): 13.3%

74% Long-Term Debt

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Strong Cash Position: R$1.4 billion

Short Term26%

Long Term74%

Debt Maturity

(1) R$ 266 Net Debt change + R$ 82 million of treasury shares sold in the 4Q09.

Company (R$000) TotalUntil

December/2010

Until

December/2011

Until

December/2012

Until

December/2013

After

December/2013

Debentures - FGTS (project finance) 602,648 2,648 0 0 300,000 300,000

Debentures - Working Capital 704,473 108,473 346,000 125,000 125,000 0

Project financing (SFH) 406,643 225,453 152,894 23,536 4,760 0

Working capital 686,082 397,418 221,626 36,078 30,960 0

Total debt - Gafisa 2,399,846 733,992 720,520 184,614 460,720 300,000

Debentures - FGTS (project finance) 611,256 11,256 0 150,000 300,000 150,000

Project finance (SFH) 60,376 44,533 15,843 0 0 0

Working capital 50,654 10,908 23,220 12,240 4,286 0

Total debt - Tenda 1)

722,286 66,697 39,063 162,240 304,286 150,000

Total consolidated debt 3,122,132 800,689 759,583 346,854 765,006 450,000

% Total 26% 24% 11% 25% 14%

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Follow-on Share Offering – Full Primary

Today we are announcing that Gafisa intends to proceed with a follow-on primary

equity offering worth an estimated R$ 1 billion;

A follow-on offering will afford us the opportunity to comfortably fund our business

objectives over the next few years while enhancing our current capital structure;

Intended Use of Proceeds:

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Use of Proceeds %

Land Acquisition 35

Working Capital 25

Launches 20

M&A 20

TOTAL 100

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2010 Outlook

Gafisa expects to launch projects totaling R$ 4 billion to R$ 5 billion during 2010, of

which 40-45% will be dedicated to the affordable entry-level segment through Tenda.

We expect full year 2010 EBITDA margin to reach between 18.5%- 20.5%.

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Volume Diário (R$ MM) Preço (GFSA3)

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Gafisa’s average daily trading volume: R$105.4 million (Nov 1st, 2009 – Jan 29th, 2010)

Average Daily Turnover in the last 90 days over free float: 3.2%

ADTV1 (R$ MM) Price GFSA3 (R$/share)

(1)ADTV = Average Daily Trade Volume

Gafisa: The Most Liquid Brazilian Real Estate Company and the Only One Listed on NYSE