49459414 Commodity Markets

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    Indian Commodity Markets

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    TopicsCommodity markets overview

    Commodity Markets

    Global Commodity markets

    Indian Commodity markets

    Regulations and Risk management

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    INDIA Macro-Economic Indicators

    One of worlds fastest growing

    significant economiesGDP growth rate > 8% pa

    Forex reserves > $ 275 billionPopulation one billion:>110 cr.

    crores growing at 1.5% paThird largest producer of food

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    Commodities- Defined

    Goods with economic value; traded

    in bulk; usually raw material forfurther processing;

    Agri: Food crops, non-food crops;

    Non-agri: metals, energy, polymers

    Others: cattle head, orange juice

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    What is a Commodity ?

    Commodity includes all kinds of goods Commodity futures contracts are

    regulated under the Forward MarketContracts (Regulation) Act, 1952

    FCRA defines goods as every kind ofmovable property other than actionableclaims, money and securities

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    Commodities Segment wise

    COMMODITIES

    MetalsMetals Edible OilsEdible Oils SoftsSofts Other Agri.

    Comm.

    Other Agri.

    Comm.

    Cotton

    Sugar

    Silk

    Gur

    Wheat

    Guar Seed

    Soy Beans

    Castor Mustard

    Urad

    Rice

    Chana Etc..

    Copper

    Nickel

    Tin

    Crude Palm Oil

    Soy Oil

    Mustard Oil

    Gold

    Silver

    Steel

    EnergyEnergy

    BrentcrudeOil

    Furnace Oil

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    Worlds Major

    Commodity Exchanges

    NCDEX

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    Major Global Commodity Exchanges

    CBOT Chicago Board of Trade (1848)

    Oldest existing commodity exchange in the world Initially started with agricultural commodities like corn,

    wheat, soybeans and oats

    Now trading in non-storable agricultural commoditiesand non-agricultural products also

    Electronic trading introduced in 1994 after 150 years of

    existence NYMEX

    Two divisions

    NYMEX division trading in energy and platinum andCOMEX division trading in other metals.

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    Major Global Commodity Exchanges

    CME Chicago Mercantile Exchange (1898)

    Largest futures exchange in the Us and the largest futuresclearing house in the world for futures and options trading Introduced the first financial futures Most volumes in interest rate futures, stock indices and

    foreign exchange futures LME London Metal Exchange (1877)

    Worlds premier non-ferrous metals market, with highly

    liquid contracts IPE International Petroleum Exchange SIMEX Singapore International Monetary Exchange

    Contracts in different Fuels and Gold

    SICOM Singapore Commodity Exchange variousrubbers and robusta coffee

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    Major Global Commodity Exchanges

    KLCE Kuala Lumpur Commodity Exchange Non-fuel commodities

    First exchange to start crude palm oil contracts in 1980

    Brazil Bosla de Mercadorias and Futuros US$denominated coffee, soyabean, live cattle, feedercattle, cotton, crystal sugar, corn and gold

    Buenos Aires Grain Exchange, Australia 1854

    one of the oldest in the world Grain futures started in 1907

    Wheat, maize, sunflowers, soybeans,

    US$ denominated contracts

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    Evolution of Commodity Derivatives

    Age-old phenomenon

    12th century BC: China, Egypt, Austria, India and Japanused forward market.

    In 17th Century, Japanese Rice Farmers have usedfutures market to secure the future value of theirproduction.

    1848 CBOT

    1875 Bombay Cotton Traders Association

    1919 Calcutta Hessian Exchange Ltd which wasnamed in 1945 as EIJHE with the merger of East IndiaJute Association Ltd

    Indian Context Various

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    Indian Context - VariousCommittees

    Khusro Committee

    The Khusro Committee (June 1980) had recommended reintroduction of

    futures tradingin most of the major commodities , including cotton, kapas,raw jute and jute goodsand suggested that steps may be taken forintroducing futures trading in commodities, like potatoes, onions, etc. atappropriate time. The government, accordingly initiated futures trading inPotato during the latter half of 1980 in quite a few markets in Punjab and

    Uttar Pradesh

    Kabra Committee (1994)

    Reintroduction of futures tradingin various commodities like BasmatiRice, Cotton and Kapas, Raw Jute and Jute Goods, Groundnut ,rapeseed/mustard seed , cottonseed , sesame seed , sunflower seed ,safflower seed , copra and soybean , and oils and oilcakes of all of them,Rice bran oil, Castor oil and its oilcake, Linseed, Silver and, Onions.

    Upgradation of existing futures exchanges

    Upgradation of facilities in the physical commodities markets also by way ofimproving the quality of warehousing etc.

    E l ti f I di C dit

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    Evolution of Indian Commodity

    Derivatives 1969 Ban on Commodity Futures

    1990s many committees appointed tostudy need of commodity futures trading

    1997 invitation to set up NMCEs 2003 Ban totally lifted, 54 commodities

    freed up

    P R i it f S tti f

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    Pre-Requisite for Setting up of aCommodity Exchange

    These multi-commodity exchanges have the following

    essential features. De-mutualized form of organization

    On-line trading and clearing system with national reach

    Delivery of underlying commodity backed by a warehouse receipt Real time price and trade information dissemination

    Transparency in operations

    Professional management

    Participation of reliable intermediaries such as Banks/ Institutions/Warehouses

    3 NMCES -- NMCE, MCX and NCDEX

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    Commodity Exchanges

    National CommodityExchange

    Regional CommodityExchange

    1 Compulsory online trading No compulsion for online trading

    2 exchange should bedemutualised

    exchange need not bedemutualises

    3 exchange is recognised on apermanent basis

    Exchange is recognised for a fixedperiod, after which it has to applyfor re-registration

    4 All commodities permitted bygovernment for futures tradingcan be traded

    Exchange has to apply for eachcommodity for futures trading.Sensitive commodities like goldand silver, rice and wheat are not

    permitted for trading

    Obj ti f C dit

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    Objectives of CommodityFutures Trading

    Leads to price discovery and Price RiskManagement Buyers and sellers at the futures exchanges conduct

    trading based on their assessment of inputs regarding

    specific market information, expert views andcomments, the demand supply equilibrium, governmentpolicies, inflation rates, weather forecast, marketdynamics, hopes and fears

    Obtaining protection from uncertain adverse pricemovements

    Provides hedging option

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    Investment in Commodities.. Why?

    A smart Investment choice

    Risk Adjusted returns of a portfolio comprisingcommodities can be better than a pure equityor bond portfolio

    Volatility is much lower in the commoditymarket compared with that in equities andbonds

    Commodity market has little correlation withthe equity and bond markets.

    Thus, commodity futures are an other asset class totraditional equity and bond market investors.

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    Diversification Benefits

    Prtfolio Structure Absolute

    cumulative

    returns

    Risk of

    portfolio

    Adjusted

    Returns

    100% stocks 73.7 24.3 3.0250% stocks + 50% gold 47.8 14.37 3.33

    50% stocks + 50% silver 48.3 13.29 3.63

    100% gold 21.8 10.89 2

    100% silver 22.9 13.14 1.74

    100% bonds 25.2 7.92 3.18

    50% bonds + 50% gold 23.5 8.79 2.67

    50% bonds + 50% silver 24 6.58 3.65

    source: NCDEX

    Risk Adjusted Returns for the period 1997-2003, in %

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    Volatility comparison - Summary

    Average annual volatility

    Sensex or Nifty 25-30%Govt Sec Index 5-10%Gold 12-18%

    Silver 15-25%Cotton 10-12%

    Oil seeds 15-20%Commodities are less volatile compared toequity market, but more volatile as compared

    to G-Secssource: NCDEX and www.ficci.com - conference on commodity derivatives

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    Correlation coefficients in Indian Markets

    Gold Silver Stocks BondsGold 1 0.55 -0.09 -0.028

    Silver 1 -0.06 -0.015Stocks 1 -0.112

    Bonds 1

    Data: LBMA bullion prices, NSE Nifty, NSE G-Sec IndexSource: NCDEX

    Objectives of Commodity

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    Objectives of Commodity

    Futures Trading Integrates players and markets

    Improves cropping pattern Ensures Liquidity

    Provides Leverage Provides Credit Accessibility

    B fi i i

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    Beneficiaries

    Farmers/Primary producers

    Processors/Manufacturers Exporters/Importers

    Traders/Brokers/Speculators

    Government Banks and Financial Institutions

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    Banks as Market Players

    Owner/Promoter (ICICI , PNB, UBI,Canara, BOI, SBI, Corporation etc.)

    Clearing Member (HDFC, ICICI etc.)

    Investor/Trader/Broker

    Financier (PNB, HDFC, Corporation,Axis, SBI, Karur Vysya, ICICI etc.)

    Warehouse Receipts backed by acommodity Exchange

    Non-fund based financing.

    D d & S l D i

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    Demand & Supply Drivers

    Fundamental factors: weather,

    quantum of output, quality, stocks,export / import trade, govt policies,tariffs, taxes, Tastes, prices,

    population, level of economicactivity, income (and changes

    therein);Price drivers: role of funds; geo-

    political concerns; inflation;

    Global Agribusiness

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    Global Agribusiness

    Rising output, falling prices; demand

    trails supplies;Technology (agbiotech) & subsidy

    (OECD) drive output growth

    Growth expected in Asia, bothproduction and consumption;

    Outlook now changing effect ofhigh crude prices? WTO? Diseases?

    Gl b l N i M k

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    Global Non-agri Markets

    Energy, base metals, precious

    metals huge demand surge(China / Asia factor), supply

    constraints, natural calamities,geo-political concerns, inflation

    fears, huge speculativeinterest, role of funds;

    Indian Agribusiness

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    Indian Agribusiness

    Highly fragmented and low scale -

    production, processing, marketing;Uncertainty in output, quality, price;

    Long supply chain; too manyintermediaries; no primary grading/processing; non-standard quality;

    Marketing restrictions

    External & internal challenges

    I di i k t

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    Indian non-agri market

    Economic growth driving

    demand for energy products;base metals; iron ore and steel;

    Will India go the China way?Huge appetite for bullion;

    demand income and priceelastic;

    Thrust of Government Policy

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    Thrust of Government Policy

    Economic liberalisation;internal

    reforms; trade freedom /no controlsNational Agricultural Policy

    Protection to domestic producersWTO compatibility

    Risk management

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    Emerging Scenario

    Expansion of commodity trade

    Shorter supply chain

    Competition from imports

    Entry of multinationals

    Dominance by a few large firms

    S

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    Emerging Scenario

    Waning role of government

    Role for technology: InformationTechnology, agriculture and

    biotechnology applications Integration of domestic market with

    global marketHeightened risk perception

    Global Commodity Market

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    Global Commodity Market

    Market faces uncertainties: high crudeprices threaten global growth; Chinafactor; will supply respond to high prices?

    Rising profile of commodities high

    rewards; investors more aware; pricestouch multi-year highs; media;

    Institutional investor interest rising MFs, pension funds;

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    Commodities MarketsSpot Market

    Derivatives Market

    Spot Commodities Markets

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    p

    (Mandi Trading) Governaned by State Agricultural Marketing

    Boards(SAMB), Mandi Board (Farmers, Traders,

    State) More than 7000 Mandis trading in about 140 crops

    Participants : Farmers, Licensed Traders, Brokers& Wholesale Dealers

    Mandi Inspectors issue type & quantity certificate

    Mandi fees :Transaction fee, Taxes; total variesbetween 4% and 12%

    Trading, Clearing and Settlement

    A D i ti i

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    A Derivative is

    A security or contractdesigned in

    such a way that Its price is derivedfrom the price

    ofAn underlying asset Underlying asset for the derivative

    Equity shares, indices, debt instruments,commodities, currency, interest rate,

    derivatives

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    Derivatives Market

    Derivatives are financial contracts.

    The value of such contracts is derived from the value of someunderlying assets. Such underlying asset may be equity,commodity, currency, or debt instrument or borrowing amountetc.

    With Securities Laws (Second Amendment) Act, 1999, Derivativeshas been included in the definition of Securities. The termDerivative has been defined in Securities Contracts

    (Regulations) Act, as :A Derivative includes :

    (a) A security derived from a debt instrument, share, loan, whether

    secured or unsecured, risk instrument or contract fordifferences or any other form of security;

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    Derivatives Market

    (b) A contract which derives its value from the prices,

    or index of prices, of underlying securities;

    Derivatives are a key part of the financial markets.

    Derivatives market is comprised of

    (a) Derivative products or financial contracts

    (b) Participants in the derivatives market(c) Regulator(s)

    Gl b l D i i I d Ch l f

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    Global Derivatives Industry - Chronology ofInstruments

    Forward contract - is the oldest instrument.

    1874 - Commodity futures. 1972 Futures contract on foreign currencies.

    1973 Equity options.

    1975 Interest rate futures.

    1981 Currency swaps

    1982 Interest rate swaps, equity index futures.

    1983 Stock index options

    1994 Introduction of credit derivatives.

    Derivative Markets in India

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    Derivative Markets in India

    The prohibition on options in SCRA was removed in1995. Foreign currency options in currency pairs otherthan rupee were the first options permitted by RBI.

    The Reserve Bank of India has permitted options,interest rate swaps, currency swaps and other risk

    reductions OTC derivative products. Besides the Forward market in currencies has been a

    vibrant market in India for several decades.

    D i ti M k t i I di

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    Derivative Markets in India

    In addition the Forward Markets Commission has allowed thesetting up of commodities futures exchanges. Today we have 24

    commodities exchanges most of which trade futures.

    e.g. The Indian Pepper and Spice Traders Association (IPSTA) andthe Coffee Owners Futures Exchange of India (COFEI).

    In 2000 an amendment to the SCRA expanded the definition ofsecurities to included Derivatives thereby enabling stockexchanges to trade derivative products.

    In the year 2000 exchange-traded equity derivatives wereintroduced in the Indian market.

    D i ti P d t

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    Derivative Products

    OTC products (over the counter)

    (a) Forward contracts (b) Interest rate swaps

    (c) Forward rate agreements.

    Traded through exchanges

    (a) Futures contracts

    (b) Options contract.

    Forward / Futures

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    Contracts

    Governed by provisions of

    Forward Contracts (Regulation)Act, 1952

    Three broad categories ofcontracts: Ready Delivery;

    Forward; Option in goods.

    Forward / Futures contracts

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    Forward / Futures contracts

    Ready Delivery Contracts:

    contracts for delivery ofgoods where delivery of

    goods and payment thereofcompleted within 11 days

    from contract date; suchcontracts outside purview ofFCR Act.

    Forward / FuturesC

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    Contracts

    Forward Contracts: contracts for

    delivery of goods that are notready delivery contracts (i.e.

    completion of delivery and/orpayment beyond 11 days); such

    contracts governed by FCR Act.

    Forward / FuturesC

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    Contracts

    Option in goods: currently,

    totally prohibited under FCR Act.An agreement which gives option-buyer the right but not obligation to

    buy or sell a particular futurescontract at a stated price at any

    time prior to a specified date

    Forward Contracts two types

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    Forward Contracts two types

    Specific delivery contracts

    Other than specific deliverycontracts though contract of

    second type has not been definedunder FCR Act, it is called futures

    contract in trade parlance.

    Specific Delivery Contracts

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    p y

    Essentially for merchandising;

    enable producers & consumers tomarket / cover a commodity

    Generally negotiated directly

    including contract terms bysellers/buyers

    TSD and NTSD contracts

    Futures Contracts

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    Futures Contracts

    Are forward contracts other than

    specific delivery contracts;Entered into under auspices of an

    exchange or association;

    Contract terms goods quantity,quality, place of delivery and time

    of contract maturity standardised;parties to negotiate only rate

    Futures Contract -St d di ti

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    Standardisation

    Trading in standard unit only

    Price quote for basis variety Delivery month standardised

    All open position marked-to-marketdaily at settlement price

    Tenderable goods must meet contract

    specifications Tendered goods to be certified by

    approved surveyor

    Benefits of Futures Trading

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    g

    Price discovery helps producers/sellers and consumers/buyers as alsoexporters discover price for a futuredate; helps take informed decision;

    Price risk management helps hedgeprice risk or insure against adverseprice movement

    Benefits of Futures Trading

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    e e ts o utu es ad g

    Stabilises prices: helps moderate

    heavy price fluctuations Integrates prices nationwide

    Balances demand-supply over time

    Fosters healthy competition

    Barometer for farmers and traders

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    WHO BENEFITS.

    Speculators benefit through pricefluctuation.

    Intermediaries benefits through priceadvantage between ready and futureprices (Basis) and prices between

    two futures contract (Spread) End users benefit because of lock-in of

    prices.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    IS FUTURES TRADING SAME ASFORWARD TRADING? Futures Trading is a refined approach to the

    forward trading It is a forward contract which isnot a specific delivery contract.

    Forward trading is

    a bilateral contract;

    non-standardised contract specifications

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    WHO ARE THE CONSTITUENTS OFFUTURES TRADING? Hedgers who lock the prices in order to minimise

    the risk.

    Speculators who take advantage of the pricedifferences and play in the market.

    Traders who offer two way quotes and provideliquidity.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    WHAT ARE THE ECONOMIC FUNCTIONSOF FUTURES TRADING? Price Discovery

    Price Risk Mechanism

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    DOES FUTURES TRADING

    GUARANTEE ANY PROFIT? Futures Trading does not guarantee any profit or

    minimise the loss. It is purely a hedginginstrument

    by which the prices are locked in as per the choiceof the parties.

    There is another derivative product called options(not permitted in India for commodities) which actsas an insurance by paying a premium to the writerof the optionswhereby the losses are restricted butthe profits are unlimited.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    WHAT ARE THE CHARACTERISTICS

    OF A GOOD FUTURES MARKET? There should be enough liquidity in the ready

    market.

    There should be large number of players fromdifferent categories.

    The prices quoted in the futures market should

    have linkage with the ready market rates. The tick size should be minimum enough to attract

    enough liquidity.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    FUTURES MARKET SCENARIO IN

    INDIA Illiquid markets

    Fragmented markets

    Multi-commodity risks

    Different contract specifications for the

    same commodity in different Exchanges Absence of Options Trading

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    HOW TO SELECT A COMMODITY FORFUTURES TRADING? Homogenous specification

    Adequate liquidity in the ready market

    Large number of players for the commodity Commodities that can be stored for a

    reasonable period

    Need to have a demand supply mismatch Prices not to be controlled by the Government

    No restriction as to movement of goods

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    COMMODITIES NOT COVERED UNDERTHE PRESENT PROVISION (FC(R)ACT) Present Act permits only moveable property other

    than actionable claims, money and securities.

    Not including intangible items like electricity,weather, indices.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    CONVERGENCE OF FUTURES ANDREADY MARKET: The difference between the ready and futures

    market is generally the carry-over cost.

    On the due date, both the prices converge.

    In case the settlement rates are proper (perfect),then it makes no difference if the deliveries aresettled within or outside the Exchange.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    HOW TO ORGANISE FUTURESTRADING? Select the commodities that fulfill the basic

    criteria for the futures trading.

    Set contract specifications which should be intune with market conditions.

    Set limits for trading.

    Design appropriate risk managementtechniques to ensure default-free trading,clearing and settlement environment.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    HOW TO ORGANISE

    Ensure contract terms are not changed duringthe running of the contract.

    Trading may be open ended or bracketed.

    Positions on the due date is either settled incash or by physical delivery.

    Open positions are not allowed to be carried

    over to the new settlement. Delivery may be compulsory OR at the

    option of the buyer or seller.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    FUTURES TRADING FROM ANINVESTORS POINT OF VIEW Futures trading is a form of investment which

    involves speculating the price of a commodity goingup or down in the future.

    This a highly leveraged instrument: by paying asmall margin, you can play on a large scale.

    High leverage is both advantageous or lossmaking: depending upon you value judgment.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    FUTURES FROM AN INVESTORS

    . Spread trading catches up the fancy of theinvestors; i.e; trade on buy-sell bid (if the currentrate for a derivative product X is say Rs. 400/-,buy at Rs. 402/- and sell at Rs. 398/- ) Trade on thisspread.

    You may put stop-loss order to arrest losses.

    In case of highly liquid market, the volumes arehuge and hence the losses are generally minimalwith an immediate entry/exit.

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    HOW FUTURES WILL HELP YOURBUSINESS? Anticipate profit margins

    Improve your marketing plan

    Maintain or increase your customer base withinnovative pricing contracts

    Reduce the cost of storing commodities

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    FUNCTIONS OF THE COMEXES:

    Membership Trading, Clearing and Settlement

    Margining and Surveillance

    Disputes and Redressal Mechanism

    Disciplinary Procedures

    Emergency Measures Suspension and Defaults

    CONCEPT OF FUTURES TRADING

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    GOVERNANCE OF THE COMEXES:

    AoP, Limited Companies Mutualised and Demutualised

    Board Managed

    3 Public Representatives and oneGovernment Nominee

    Day to day affairs left to professionals Various Committees to manage the

    operations

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    Regulation

    System of Regulation 3-tier

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    Central Govt: broad policy oncommodities, territorial area andrecognition of exchange

    FMC: approval of exchange rules;

    permission for trading in contracts;monitor market conditions;

    Exchange: forum to conduct trade;

    records contracts, execution,settlement, payment etc.

    Regulatory Measures

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    Hedgers: those with underlyinginterest in specific delivery or readydelivery contracts, and use futures toinsure against adverse price

    movement Speculators: may not have an

    interest in ready contract, but see

    opportunity of price movementfavourable to them; provide usefuleconomic function

    Safeguard / Regulatory Measures

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    Limit on open position

    Limit on price fluctuation Special margin

    Minimum/ maximum prices

    Extreme steps: skipping trading;closing market; closing out

    contracts

    Recent Developments

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    Futures / forward trading in mostcommodities allowed

    Three nationwide online tradingexchanges in operation

    Trading volumes expandingSeveral new products launched

    Autonomy for FMC on the cards FCRA amendment

    Commodity RiskManagement

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    Identifying key risksWeather conditions

    Government policiesDemand and supply

    conditions

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    WHAT IS RISK MANAGEMENT? Risk Management is to assess the overall risk of

    the Exchange in respect of one or more derivativeproducts to ensure default-free trading, clearingand settlement mechanism

    Risk mitigation must

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    Stakeholders today face greater price

    risk than ever before; Trade sentimentchanged; Longer the process, greaterthe risk; Someone must assume the

    risk in every economic activity;

    Enter futures trading

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    HOW ARE COMMODITY RISKS ASSESSED?

    Every uncertainty is exposed to risk.

    Commodities, by their very nature, have risks.

    Inherent risks associated with the

    commodities Most of the agricultural commodities undergo

    change in quality over a period of time (shell

    life). Futuristic Risk due to internal, external and

    uncontrollable factors.

    Delivery risk.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO RISK:

    Fungibility Production vagaries of monsoon

    Government interference

    Transportation and Warehousing

    Effect of substitute products

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    HOW IS RISK ASCERTAINED BY THEEXCHANGE? Risk arising out of the

    daily market fluctuation

    speculative transactions

    members open interest

    illiquid markets forcing Exchange to go in formark-up prices

    multi-contract, multi-commodity and multi-exchange.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    HOW ARE RISK MANAGEMENTINSTRUMENTS DESIGNED?

    Circuit Filters

    Circuit Breakers

    Margin calls Regular

    Occasional (Need-based)

    Marked-to-market

    Mark-up prices

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    PRE-REQUSITIES FOR A GOOD RISKMANAGEMENT INSTRUMENT It should not suppress a healthy volume.

    It should be in a position to segregate hedging

    risk and speculative risk. It should be capable of implemented for

    different categories of players at different times.

    The risk should be based on the marketmovement (pulse of the market rather thanprice per se).

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    PRE-REQUSIITES An adequate and efficient surveillance mechanism

    goes hand in hand with the risk managementimplementation

    It should function independently without fear or

    favour. It should be capable of assessing the futuristic risk

    in respect of contracts / members for facilitating

    corrective measures.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    HOW RISK MANAGEMENT ISIMPLEMENTED? Creation of Trade Guarantee Fund.

    Utilisation of Trade Guarantee Fund

    Modus operandifor replenishing the TGF Online collection of margin.

    Daily clearing

    Tab on the price movements on real time basis. Monitoring the exposure of the members.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    HOW TO IMPLEMENT Assess the market at frequent intervals and take

    corrective measures.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    RISK MANAGEMENT FOR TRADING Ensure collection of transaction slips immediately

    after trade (not applicable in case of online trading) Ensure that the slips received / bid-offer rates are

    in consonance with the prevailing rates.

    Have strict vigil over out-trades trades donebeyond the quotes (as they affect the flow of slipsas well as real price discovery)

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    RISK MANAGEMENT FOR TRADING If the trading does not take place due to abnormal

    market behaviour, then re-open the trading withrealistic rates (called mark-up prices) and collectthe difference money immediately. This will avoid

    potential default. Avoid circular trading as this will create unhealthy

    and unreliable market conditions.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    RISK MANAGEMENT FOR TRADING .. It is preferred to impose margin on tapering basis

    (based on the exposure / position of the members). Have check on Negotiated Deals.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    RISK MANAGEMENT FORDELIVERIES Despite being a hedged instrument, the Certified

    Warehouse Receipt (CWR) in itself is subjected toprice risk rates prevailing on the date of

    settlement to the actual handing over of CWR. Delivery margin from the buyer to cover the above

    risk.

    Risk arising out of delivery committed but notactually tendered by the seller..

    Risk arising out of delivery allotted to the buyer but

    not lifted.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    OTHER ASPECTS CONCERNING THE RISKMANAGEMENT:

    Is there any optimum risk that can be ascertainedby the Exchange?

    Risks associated with the constituents.

    Risks associated with the CWRs of one Exchangebeing tendered for delivery in other Exchange.

    Gross Exposure VsNet exposure concept.

    Very negligible or nil deliveries being tendered.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    EFFECT OF RISK MANAGEMENT

    Proper risk management facilitates default-free environment

    Proper risk management ensures that

    trades are done in an orderly manner. A sound risk management ensures that

    even potential default cases are brought to

    notice immediately.

    RISK MANAGEMENT

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    KEY TO TIMING YOUR TRADES When is the best time to buy or sell

    When to use the futures market to hedge apurchase or sale

    Which futures month to place a hedge

    When to accept suppliers offer

    Forward bids to your clients

    Resale bids

    Summary

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    Commodity as an asset class

    Commodity market functions and role Commodities traded

    Regulations

    Risk management