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Bluman, Chapter 4 Sec 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules 1 Friday, January 25, 13

Transcript of 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule,...

Page 1: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Sec 4.5

Probability and Counting Rules

1Friday, January 25, 13

Page 2: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

The counting rules can be combined with the probability rules in this chapter to solvemany types of probability problems.

By using the fundamental counting rule, the permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting a full house when 5 cards are dealt or selecting a committee of 3 women and 2 men from a club consisting of 10 women and 10 men.

4.5 Probability and Counting Rules

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Page 3: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Chapter 4Probability and Counting Rules

Section 4-5Example 4-50Page #237

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Page 4: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Four Aces

Find the probability of getting four aces when five cards are drawn from a deck of cards.

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Page 5: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Four Aces

Find the probability of getting four aces when five cards are drawn from a deck of cards.

Make problem simpler!

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Page 6: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

5Friday, January 25, 13

Page 7: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

5Friday, January 25, 13

Page 8: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

5Friday, January 25, 13

Page 9: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

5Friday, January 25, 13

Page 10: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Four of a Kind

Find the probability of getting four of a kind when five cards are drawn from a deck of cards.

6Friday, January 25, 13

Page 11: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Chapter 4Probability and Counting Rules

Section 4-5Example 4-51Page #238

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7Friday, January 25, 13

Page 12: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-51

A box contains 24 transistors, 4 of which are defective. If 4 are sold at random, find the following probabilities.

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Page 13: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-51

A box contains 24 transistors, 4 of which are defective. If 4 are sold at random, find the following probabilities.

A.) Exactly 2 are defective.

8Friday, January 25, 13

Page 14: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-51

A box contains 24 transistors, 4 of which are defective. If 4 are sold at random, find the following probabilities.

A.) Exactly 2 are defective. B.) None is defective.

8Friday, January 25, 13

Page 15: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-51

A box contains 24 transistors, 4 of which are defective. If 4 are sold at random, find the following probabilities.

A.) Exactly 2 are defective. B.) None is defective. C.) All are defective.

8Friday, January 25, 13

Page 16: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-51

A box contains 24 transistors, 4 of which are defective. If 4 are sold at random, find the following probabilities.

A.) Exactly 2 are defective. B.) None is defective. C.) All are defective. D.) At least 1 is defective.

8Friday, January 25, 13

Page 17: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-52: Committee SelectionA store has 6 TV Graphic magazines and 8 Newstime magazines on the counter. If two customers purchased a magazine, find the probability that one of each magazine was purchased.

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Page 18: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-52: Committee SelectionA store has 6 TV Graphic magazines and 8 Newstime magazines on the counter. If two customers purchased a magazine, find the probability that one of each magazine was purchased.

TV Graphic: One magazine of the 6 magazines

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Page 19: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-52: Committee SelectionA store has 6 TV Graphic magazines and 8 Newstime magazines on the counter. If two customers purchased a magazine, find the probability that one of each magazine was purchased.

TV Graphic: One magazine of the 6 magazinesNewstime: One magazine of the 8 magazines

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Page 20: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-52: Committee SelectionA store has 6 TV Graphic magazines and 8 Newstime magazines on the counter. If two customers purchased a magazine, find the probability that one of each magazine was purchased.

TV Graphic: One magazine of the 6 magazinesNewstime: One magazine of the 8 magazinesTotal: Two magazines of the 14 magazines

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Page 21: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-52: Committee SelectionA store has 6 TV Graphic magazines and 8 Newstime magazines on the counter. If two customers purchased a magazine, find the probability that one of each magazine was purchased.

TV Graphic: One magazine of the 6 magazinesNewstime: One magazine of the 8 magazinesTotal: Two magazines of the 14 magazines

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9Friday, January 25, 13

Page 22: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-52: Committee SelectionA store has 6 TV Graphic magazines and 8 Newstime magazines on the counter. If two customers purchased a magazine, find the probability that one of each magazine was purchased.

TV Graphic: One magazine of the 6 magazinesNewstime: One magazine of the 8 magazinesTotal: Two magazines of the 14 magazines

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9Friday, January 25, 13

Page 23: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Chapter 4Probability and Counting Rules

Section 4-5Example 4-52Page #238

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10Friday, January 25, 13

Page 24: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Chapter 4Probability and Counting Rules

Section 4-5Example 4-53Page #239

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Page 25: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-53: Combination LocksA combination lock consists of the 26 letters of the alphabet. If a 3-letter combination is needed, find the probability that the combination will consist of the letters ABC in that order. The same letter can be used more than once. (Note: A combination lock is really apermutation lock.)

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Page 26: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-53: Combination LocksA combination lock consists of the 26 letters of the alphabet. If a 3-letter combination is needed, find the probability that the combination will consist of the letters ABC in that order. The same letter can be used more than once. (Note: A combination lock is really apermutation lock.)

There are 26·26·26 = 17,576 possible combinations.

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Page 27: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-53: Combination LocksA combination lock consists of the 26 letters of the alphabet. If a 3-letter combination is needed, find the probability that the combination will consist of the letters ABC in that order. The same letter can be used more than once. (Note: A combination lock is really apermutation lock.)

There are 26·26·26 = 17,576 possible combinations.The letters ABC in order create one combination.

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12Friday, January 25, 13

Page 28: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

Example 4-53: Combination LocksA combination lock consists of the 26 letters of the alphabet. If a 3-letter combination is needed, find the probability that the combination will consist of the letters ABC in that order. The same letter can be used more than once. (Note: A combination lock is really apermutation lock.)

There are 26·26·26 = 17,576 possible combinations.The letters ABC in order create one combination.

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Page 29: 4.5 Probability and Counting Rules - WordPress.com · permutation rules, and the combination rule, you can compute the probability of outcomes of many experiments, such as getting

Bluman, Chapter 4

On your own:

Read “Speaking of Statistics” on page 240

Sec 4-5 page 240 Exercises #1-17

odds

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