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The magazine of the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries i c u e f A c A A a e F i h F A e h f A c h e c A a e e t t r e e f u T A A tu T h e h h F i d A A e h u u c A e f n c c t F a f e f d h h i h i h t u A h o o c t r s o e A r e e i d t e A u t h i u u e A A t f e s a A s r i u c u y o z m I a e e a F t u e m u t t e t i e z i s e i h h a t e A g a h GENERAL INSURANCE The importance of stress testing in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic INTERVIEW Incoming IFoA president Louise Pryor on climate risk and lifelong learning RISK MANAGEMENT Discussing the many ways in which we can define uncertainty l en l e e b l g b l e e n e b g s b s b s s s n e n e b n b b l b l b l w e m e m w b a m E h b r c a a e a m g g E e m in a changing profession o n p g f n i a a f o g e g e g g e s a e n a n e o e e s e f i i an n h n a i n o r a a a n c h a g a a e a a g JULY 2021 theactuary.com Get the app Did you know you can now read The Actuary magazine on any tablet or Android phone? Click through to read more online, download resources, or share on social media via our links in the app. It’s an exclusive free benefit for our members. Download on the App Store at: www.theactuary.com/ipad Visit: www.play.google.com A s o V COVER: ISTOCK Additional content including daily news can be found at www.theactuary.com Weekly newsletter: for all the latest actuarial news, features and opinion direct to your inbox, sign up at bit.ly/1MN3bXK 12 Up Front 4 Editorial It’s important we continually update our skillset, says Dan Georgescu 5 CEO’s comment Stephen Mann on how the IFoA is using valuable member feedback 6 IFoA news The latest IFoA news and events 11 Letters Features 12 Interview: Make it worthwhile Incoming IFoA president Louise Pryor explains the priorities and main themes for her presidential term 15 General insurance: Rules of the road Nikolaos Kefallinos on national no-claims discount schemes 16 Data science: Get in on the action As data floods the insurance sector, actuaries must be prepared for change, says Edward Plowman 19 Data science: The price is righter Alastair Black considers the effects of data analytics on the way life insurance is priced 22 Technology: Thinking machines What are the different types of artificial intelligence, and what issues do they raise? Joel Walmsley explains 24 Modelling: Under supervision Neptune Jin on the use of supervised learning techniques in claims frequency modelling 28 General insurance: Stresses and strains COVID-19 has shown the importance of stress testing, say Darshan Purmessur and Haedeh Nazari 30 Risk: Uncertain terms What do we mean by ‘risk’? Paul Sweeting explores the terminology, and why it’s important 32 Diversity: A different perspective Chika Aghadiuno examines how our profession can be more supportive of neurodiverse employees 35 Technology: A decentralised future Actuaries have a lot to contribute in the growing field of decentralised technology, says Zhixin Lim 36 Careers: Choose your own adventure Both recent graduates and more established professionals should be thinking about their career paths, say Bradley Shearer and Jane Barrett 38 Careers: A woman with a mission Sarah Rawson shares her experiences as a woman in a senior actuarial leadership role – and her advice 40 Careers: Capital gains Geoff Trickey explains the concept of social capital, and how we can maintain it in an era of home working www.theactuary.com JULY 2021 | THE ACTUARY | 3 Contents July 2021 44 At The Back 42 People/society news The latest news, updates and events 44 Student Participating in the stock market is easier than ever, says Ciara Izuchukwu 45 Forging ahead Cosmin Vlad on the importance of communication skills 46 Puzzles

Transcript of 44 12 - gaintogether.org

Page 1: 44 12 - gaintogether.org

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GENERAL INSURANCEThe importance of stress testing in the wake of the

COVID-19 pandemic

INTERVIEWIncoming IFoA president

Louise Pryor on climate risk and lifelong learning

RISK MANAGEMENT Discussing the many ways

in which we can defi ne uncertainty

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JULY 2021

theactuary.com

1 cover_The Actuary July 2021_The Actuary.indd 11 cover_The Actuary July 2021_The Actuary.indd 1 25/06/2021 11:3425/06/2021 11:34

Get the appDid you know you can now read The Actuary magazine on any tablet or Android phone? Click through to read more online, download resources, or share on social media via our links in the app. It’s an exclusive free benefi t for our members. Download on the App Store at: www.theactuary.com/ipadVisit: www.play.google.com

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Additional content including daily news can be found at www.theactuary.com

Weekly newsletter: for all the latest actuarial news, features and opinion direct to your inbox, sign up at bit.ly/1MN3bXK

12Up Front4 Editorial It’s important we continually update our skillset, says Dan Georgescu

5 CEO’s comment Stephen Mann on how the IFoA is using valuable member feedback

6 IFoA news The latest IFoA news and events

11 Letters

Features12 Interview: Make it worthwhile Incoming IFoA president Louise Pryor explains the priorities and main themes for her presidential term

15 General insurance: Rules of the road

Nikolaos Kefallinos on national no-claims discount schemes

16 Data science: Get in on the action As data fl oods the insurance sector, actuaries must be prepared for change, says Edward Plowman

19 Data science: The price is righter Alastair Black considers the eff ects of data analytics on the way life insurance is priced

22 Technology: Thinking machines What are the diff erent types of artifi cial intelligence, and what issues do they raise? Joel Walmsley explains

24 Modelling: Under supervision Neptune Jin on the use of

supervised learning techniques in claims frequency modelling

28 General insurance: Stresses and strainsCOVID-19 has shown the importance of stress testing, say Darshan Purmessur and Haedeh Nazari

30 Risk: Uncertain terms What do we mean by ‘risk’? Paul Sweeting explores the terminology, and why it’s important

32 Diversity: A diff erent perspective Chika Aghadiuno examines how our profession can be more supportive of neurodiverse employees

35 Technology: A decentralised future Actuaries have a lot to contribute in the growing fi eld of decentralised technology, says Zhixin Lim

36 Careers: Choose your own adventure Both recent graduates and more established professionals should be thinking about their career paths, say Bradley Shearer and Jane Barrett

38 Careers: A woman with a missionSarah Rawson shares her experiences

as a woman in a senior actuarial leadership role – and her advice

40 Careers: Capital gainsGeoff Trickey explains the concept of

social capital, and how we can maintain it in an era of home working

www.theactuary.com JULY 2021 | THE ACTUARY | 3

ContentsJuly 2021

44

At The Back42 People/society news The latest news, updates and events

44 Student Participating in the stock market is easier than ever, says Ciara Izuchukwu

45 Forging ahead Cosmin Vlad on the importance of communication skills

46 Puzzles

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FeaturesDiversity

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eurodiversity is rightly starting to receive more attention, and is an area that the IFoA and its Diversity Action Group (DAG) believe warrants greater awareness. But do we understand what is

meant by neurodiversity, and how we can be ‘neurodiversity smart’?

What is neurodiversity?Neurodiversity refers to the range of diff erences in individual human brain function and behavioural traits. It is estimated that one in seven people are neurodivergent, meaning they experience the world and process information diff erently from most people. Neurodiversity proponents view neurocognitive styles as operating across a continuum, rather than a binary of able/

How can we be more supportive of neurodivergent employees in the workplace? Chika Aghadiuno explains

TABLE 1: Common forms of neurodivergence.

NEURODIVERGENCE WHAT IT MEANS UK PREVALENCEAutism spectrum, including Asperger’s syndrome and other forms of autism (see more in Spotlight on autism overleaf)

Characterised in the DSM-5 (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders) by rigid thinking, restrictive and repetitive behaviours, and social communication challenges. Most people on the autism spectrum also experience some form of sensory sensitivity due to functional hyper-connectivity across multiple brain regions, which, when experienced, may make the individual prone to feeling overwhelmed and anxious.

1-2%

Dyslexia Aff ects the development of literacy and language-related skills, and characterised by diffi culties with phonological processing, rapid naming, working memory, processing speed and the automatic development of skills that may not match up to an individual’s other cognitive abilities.

10%

Dyscalculia Aff ects the ability to acquire arithmetical skills, and characterised by diffi culties with understanding number concepts, learning number facts and procedures, and having an intuitive grasp of numbers.

7%

Developmental co-ordination disorder (dyspraxia)

Aff ects muscle co-ordination and perception. Perception includes vision, hearing and proprioception (awareness of where your limbs are in space).

6%

Attention defi cit (hyperactivity) disorder (AD[H]D)

Characterised by a persistent pattern of inattention and/or hyperactivity and impulsivity. Contrary to common beliefs, AD(H)D brains are under-stimulated, it usually occurs over a person’s lifetime, and it is not limited to children or males.

4%

disabled or less/more intelligent. While labelling can be problematic, understanding the common forms of neurodivergence using the defi cit-based medical model can be helpful (see Table 1).

Please note that this article does not specifi cally cover ‘acquired’ neurodivergence, such as that acquired through brain trauma. Additionally, while bipolar disorder, depression, schizophrenia and anxiety are sometimes included under the umbrella of neurodivergence and/or the umbrella of mental health, and are important to consider in the context of creating an inclusive, eff ective working environment, they are also not specifi cally covered within this article.

The case for neurodiversity‘Neurodiversity-smart’ employers seek to embrace and maximise the talents of people who think diff erently. Not being truly

diverse and inclusive increases the risk of missing out on the best talent and performing sub-optimally in terms of productivity, risk management, customer outcomes and, ultimately, the bottom line.

Despite this, a person’s neurodivergence may be regarded as a disability under the Equality Act 2010, under which fi rms are obliged to ‘make sure workers with disabilities, or physical

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or mental health conditions, are not substantially disadvantaged when doing their jobs’. This means employers need to take consideration of reasonable adjustments seriously.

Due to the fear of discrimination post-disclosure, and many adults not having received a formal diagnosis, there are likely to be more neurodivergent people in the workplace than might be

understood from HR data. There is therefore plenty to gain from having a neurodiversity-inclusive environment.

Being neurodiversity-smartThis is about developing an awareness, understanding and acceptance for neuro-diff erence, celebrating and leveraging the talents it can bring, and creating an adaptive and inclusive workplace environment.

A personal perspectiveAlicja Nocon, a founder member of GAIN, shares her experience working as an actuary on the autism spectrum:

“I have worked as a longevity and risk actuary across consulting, insurance and reinsurance for a decade now. Most of my strengths as an actuary can be linked to the autistic traits as defi ned in the DSM-5 manual used to diagnose the condition. For example, my expertise in longevity is the result of having a ‘fi xated interest that is abnormal in intensity or focus’ in this area. It just so happens that my ‘obsession’ with statistics and population data has been encouraged and valued as an actuary!

Social communication and interaction is more diffi cult, and often anxiety-provoking, for many autistic people. However, job crafting, coaching and having a caring and honest ally in the workplace can reduce the challenges of being wired diff erently. Having spent the last year making sense of my autism diagnosis, which I received in later life, I now want to use my experience to educate others in my role as a neurodiversity and wellbeing consultant.

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FeaturesDiversity

Neurodiversity adjustments can be easy to implement and inexpensive. They can cover a wide area and include:

Fair recruitment and development practices: Clear job descriptions; accessible assessments and tests that are neurodivergent-compatible; thoughtful onboarding process

Inclusive environment: Workspace accommodation (for example allocated seating, lighting, noise, equipment); avoidance of rigid competency-based performance/development frameworks; developing a culture supportive of greater understanding and acceptance of neurodiversity (champions, training).

A comprehensive list of neurodiversity adjustments can be found in the DARE Report on Adjustments (bit.ly/3yMVgmO), which was commissioned by University College, London and autism research charity Autistica, and co-produced with autistic people.

What does this mean for the IFoA?The IFoA and DAG are committed to embracing all aspects of diversity and inclusion in terms of our members, volunteers and member fi rms. We recognise that many within the actuarial

Help and supportIf you would like to connect with others who are neurodiverse and working in the sector, you can contact GAIN (gaintogether.org), the Diversity Project (diversityproject.com), the Insurance Families Network (insurancefamilies.org) and DAG (bit.ly/3ctwxue).

This article is indebted to the excellent CIPD guide Neurodiversity at Work(bit.ly/3vHt5Uo), which readers are encouraged to read.

community may identify as neurodivergent. Many of the strengths associated with neurodivergent individuals play well to the analytical, focused and innovative thinking that we need within our profession.

We are delighted to be working with the Group for Autism, Insurance and Neurodiversity (GAIN) to consider strategies and initiatives we can adopt and

share with our members and member fi rms. GAIN is a new not-for-profi t organisation and hub for insurance, pension, employee benefi ts, wealth and investment colleagues. Its aim is to capitalise on the clear match between the strengths of neurodiverse people and the shortage of these skills in the industry, especially as the dependency on data continues to grow. To fi nd out more about GAIN, please visit gaintogether.org

We are also pleased to have joined forces with the UK’s National Autistic Society to provide guides on autism and the actuarial profession (bit.ly/35Aa3Em). These were launched on the IFoA website on 18 June, which is Autistic Pride Day. The objective is to help raise awareness and understanding of autism, provide support to autistic members and members who work with or line-manage autistic employees, as well as provide information and guidance to autistic people considering a career in the actuarial profession.

CHIKA AGHADIUNOis chair of the IFoA’s Diversity Action Group

Spotlight on autismAccording to the National Autistic Society, one in 100 people are on the autism spectrum and there are around 700,000 autistic adults and children in the UK. Like other forms of neurodivergence, autism should not be seen as a ‘disorder’ but viewed more constructively as a neuroprocessing style that results in a very diff erent experience of the world. People on the autism spectrum often show many of the following tendencies:

Strengths – They are often logical, data-driven thinkers, free from confi rmation bias and strong at problem-solving. They often have a strong ability to focus for long periods of time, and to assimilate and retain detailed information. They are frequently reliable and loyal employees.

Challenges – Autistic people may fi nd elements of social interaction challenging. For example, they may fi nd it hard to ‘read’ other people, and often think literally. They may appear aloof to colleagues due to issues with eye contact, tone of voice, shyness and social anxiety. They often want to socialise and be included, but are anxious and unsure about how to do so.

Some autistic people may fi nd conceptualising and illustrating abstract ideas diffi cult, and may struggle with adapting to changes in structure and routine. Over-stimulation in a busy, noisy workplace can also be a factor that prevents people from performing at their best.

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