43808_Course_6_Evaluation Method Spatial Planning Intro and Rating Method

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    Evaluation Methods ofEvaluation Methods of

    Spatial Planning:Spatial Planning:

    Overlay/RatingOverlay/RatingMethodsMethods

    Dr. Doni Prakasa E. PutraDr. Doni Prakasa E. Putra

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    Multi Criteria EvaluationMulti Criteria Evaluation

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     Multi Criteria Analysis

     Multi Criteria Evaluation (MCE)

     Multi Criteria Preference Analysis

    Multi Criteria Decision Making

    Multi Objective Evaluation

    These methods are essentially one and thesame!

     MCE = Multi-criteria evaluation ispriarily concerne! "it# #o" to cobinet#e inforation fro several criteria to

    for a single in!e$ of evaluation

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    BackgroundBackground

    • Early methods (pre computers):

    • Ian McHarg (1969)Design with Nature• Used for suitability analysis

    • Tracing paper overlays

    • Limited to simple Boolean analysis: AND, OR, NOT

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    Maps as a Planning ToolMaps as a Planning Tool

    Coputers #ave ai!e! plannersCoputers #ave ai!e! planners %nforation re&uire! by planners is voluinous%nforation re&uire! by planners is voluinous Coputers #ave playe! an increasing role forCoputers #ave playe! an increasing role for

    planners to anipulate large volues ofplanners to anipulate large volues of

    &uantitative inforation&uantitative inforation

    Geographic Information Systems GIS!Geographic Information Systems GIS! allo" planners to anipulate t#e !ata to seeallo" planners to anipulate t#e !ata to see

    an! use "#at !ata is useful to a planning taskan! use "#at !ata is useful to a planning task

    "#ile inii'e or obscuring uniportant !ata"#ile inii'e or obscuring uniportant !ata

    %* can allo" a planner to see !istinct +layers,%* can allo" a planner to see !istinct +layers,of inforation t#at are iportant to t#eof inforation t#at are iportant to t#e

    !ecision aking process!ecision aking process

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    Evaluation MethodEvaluation Method

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    Post computers: Basic GISPost computers: Basic GIS

     Approaches Approaches

    • Polygon overlay (Boolean logic)

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    8/44"igiti#ed maps can represent data"igiti#ed maps can represent data

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    9/44a composite map for land$use planninga composite map for land$use planning

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    The Basics

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    Principles of MCEPrinciples of MCE• Methodology:

    1.Determine criteria(factors/constraints) to be included

    2.Determining the weights for eachfactor

    3.Sensitivity analysis of results

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    11stst Step: Determine theStep: Determine the

    criteria to be includedcriteria to be included

    •Criteria determine the alternatives

    1.Oversimplification of the decision problem could lead to toofew criteria being used

    2.Using a large number of criteria reduces the influence of anyone criteria

    3.Often proxies must be used since the criteria of interest may

    not be determinable

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    PO/ 

     An application t#at acts as an intere!iary forre&uests fro clients seeking resources froot#ers.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Client_%28computing%29http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Client_%28computing%29

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    Example: Case study of a suitabledam and reservoir site

    Criteria used: River 

     Urban Forest Accumulated water flow Existing reservoir  Watershed boundary City ydraulic head

     Undulation

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    Determine the weightsDetermine the weights

    • A decision is the result of a comparison of oneor more alternatives with respect to one or morecriteria that we consider relevant for the task at

    hand.

    • Among the relevant criteria we consider some asmore important and some as less important;this is equivalent to assigning weights to thecriterion according to their relative importance.

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    2nd stage, assigning weights

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    Weights assigned using the

    an! "rder method

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    Sensitivity analysisSensitivity analysis

    sensitivity analysis: vary the scores/weights of the factors todetermine the sensitivity of the solution to minor changes

    • Choice of criteria (e.g. why included?)

     Assesses the reliability of data: how stable is the final result?• Choice for weighting factors is subjective

    • Will the overall solution change if you use other weighingfactors?

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    %&SE ST'"( ): Ran*ing/Rating Methods%&SE ST'"( ): Ran*ing/Rating Methods

    Selecting Relocation of +and 'se in ,ot MudSelecting Relocation of +and 'se in ,ot Mud"isaster &rea -y &pplying Geo$Environmental"isaster &rea -y &pplying Geo$Environmental

    EvaluationEvaluation

    %ase Study: Sidoar.o East 0ava Indonesia%ase Study: Sidoar.o East 0ava Indonesia

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    1lo2 up an eruptionof hot mud )34 mfrom 1an.ar Pan.i ) 2ell 10P$)! an oile5ploration of PT6+apindo 1rantas

    78 May

    7449

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     AC0%1E M2D 1O3CA4O(5le!ug 6u"uP27ODAD%)

    5A46A3A4

    . A4/A 

    025A4

    *A4%A4 POO4MO8O6E0O 6. A4/A 

    E*%6 

    +ocation of the Study &rea+ocation of the Study &rea

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    O-.ectivesO-.ectives

     Potential geo-#a'ar! in t#is !isaster areaPotential geo-#a'ar! in t#is !isaster areacoes frocoes fro

    (9) t#e u! over:o"s(9) t#e u! over:o"s

    (;) t#e poisonous gases(;) t#e poisonous gases

      (

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    Methodology Methodology 

    Evaluation of eo-environental =actors toEvaluation of eo-environental =actors to

    De>ne t#e suitable places for relocation areaDe>ne t#e suitable places for relocation area

    eo-Environental =actorseo-Environental =actors  9. eology incl. engineering properties9. eology incl. engineering properties

      ;. ?y!rogeology;. ?y!rogeology

     

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    Geology of The StudyGeology of The Study

     &rea &rea

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    Engineering GeologyEngineering Geology

    MapMap The homogenietyThe homogenietycondition used tocondition used to

    divide the Eng6divide the Eng6Geology units areGeology units are

    the characteristic ofthe characteristic of

    the su-surfacethe su-surface

    lithologieslithologies

    geologicalgeological

    discontinuitydiscontinuity

     vertical vertical

    displacementdisplacement

    /su-sidence and/su-sidence and

    depth todepth to

    ground2ater6ground2ater6

     A 

    5

    C

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    ,ydrogeology "epth to,ydrogeology "epth to

    Ground2ater Ground2ater 

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    ,ydrogeology Ground2ater,ydrogeology Ground2ater

    salinity salinity 

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    hot mud over;o2shot mud over;o2s

    ha#ardha#ard

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    ,a#ard of poisonous,a#ard of poisonous

    gasesgases

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    ,a#ard of su-sidence,a#ard of su-sidence?a'ar! of

    subsi!ence

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    EvaluationEvaluation

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    ResultResult

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    %onclusion%onclusion

    5ase! on suitability ap of5ase! on suitability ap of

    relocation area it is reasonable ifrelocation area it is reasonable if

    t#e #ig# risk infrastructures (rail"ayt#e #ig# risk infrastructures (rail"ay

    an! priary roa!s) a@ecte! by t#ean! priary roa!s) a@ecte! by t#e#ot u! blast s#oul! be relocate to#ot u! blast s#oul! be relocate to

    t#e "est-part of t#e stu!y area.t#e "est-part of t#e stu!y area.

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    Than* you for yourThan* you for yourattentionattention