3d industrial revolution -intro to debate

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@fdemeyer [email protected] fredericdemeyer.com Instituteforfutureinsights fdemeyer

Transcript of 3d industrial revolution -intro to debate

@fdemeyer

[email protected]

fredericdemeyer.com

Instituteforfutureinsights

fdemeyer

What do futurists do?

"Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value." Marshal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre

“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers” Thomas Watson (IBM) 1943

“640k ought to be enough for anybody” Bill Gates, 1981

•  Demographic trends –  Ageing population –  Migration patterns –  Urbanization –  Gap rich-poor –  Generation Y –  Generation Z –  War for talent

•  Environment and sustainability

–  Climate change –  Scarce resources –  Peak oil –  Water shortage –  Food stress –  Clean energy –  Smart cities –  Bio materials –  Cradle-to-cradle –  Micro sustainable innovations –  Eco activism

•  Geopolitical trends –  Power shift –  Globalization 3.0 –  Rising middle class –  Energy dependence –  The Market State

•  Consumer & societal trends

–  Mass customization –  Ethical buying –  ‘Buy local’ –  Social & Group buying –  Personalization –  Sharing economy –  Radical transparency –  Massive Open Online Courses

(MOOCs) –  Personal Health –  Digital divide

•  Technology trends –  Big Data/ data science –  Internet of Things (IoT) –  Augmented Reality –  Consumerization of IT (BYOD) –  Technology ‘as a Service’ –  Home 3D printing –  Business 3D printing –  Bioprinting –  Enhanced Humans –  Wearable Technologies

•  Business trends –  Life Cycle Assessment –  Disintermediation –  Crowdsourcing & funding –  Open innovation –  Gamification –  Corporate Social Responsibility

(CSR) –  Cause Marketing –  Social Business Innovation –  Social entrepreneurs –  Intrapreneurship –  Businesses get social –  Virtualization of the corporation

www.fredericdemeyer.com

Internet of Communi-

cation

Internet of Energy

Internet of Logistics

IoT

•  Distributed energy •  3D printing •  MOOCs •  Big Data, Robotics, AI, … •  Rise of the commons •  From ownership to access •  Crowdfunding, social capital,

new entrepreneurship, …

Changing WHY we make things

Changing how we CONCEIVE

things

Changing how we MAKE things

Changing how we MARKET

things

Changing environment

(slightly) less best selling author

Frederic De Meyer

Changing WHY we make things

Changing how we CONCEIVE

things

Changing how we MAKE

things

Changing how we MARKET

things

Changing environment

•  Sharing economy •  Social innovation •  Business model

Disruption •  Biomimicry •  Cradle-to-cradle •  Internet of

Everything •  Peer-to-peer •  Mass customization •  Crowdsourcing

•  3D printing •  Bioprinting •  DIY (Do-it-Yourself) •  Biomaterials •  Co-development and

open innovation

•  Crowdsourcing •  Crowdselling •  Radical Transparency

(LCA’s) •  Gamification •  Cause-marketing •  Desintermediation

•  Eco-activism •  Urbanisation •  Power shift •  Globalization 3.0 •  Ageing population •  Gen Y/Z •  Resource Scarcity

Sharing economy

Changing WHY we make things

Changing how we CONCEIVE

things

Changing how we MAKE things

Changing how we MARKET

things

Changing environment

“I don’t need a drill, I need

a hole in the wall”

willing to share or rent personal items (Nielsen, 2014)

agree they could live happier without the majority of things they own (Havas prosumer report 2014)

of sharers would recommend the last sharing service they used to friends or colleagues (Havas prosumer report 2014)

Sharing Economy market potential set to grow over In coming years (European Commission Business Innovation Observatory, 2014)

There’s so much more…

•  Is the sharing economy threatening global consumerism?

Sharing economy

Changing WHY we make things

Changing how we CONCEIVE

things

Changing how we MAKE things

Changing how we MARKET

things

Changing environment

Is 3D printing just about gadgets?

Is 3D printing just about gadgets?

3D printing in health care

3D printing complex designs

3D printing textile

3D printing spare parts

3D printing houses

3D printing houses

2,800 $ in 1980….

Anyone can build their own 3D printer

Soon in bronze, stone, wood?

Or new material?

What NASA is working on…

What NASA is working on…

What NASA is working on…

What’s next? Bioprinting?

What’s next? 4D Printing?

Is 3D printing threatening global logistics?

Sharing economy

Changing WHY we make things

Changing how we CONCEIVE

things

Changing how we MAKE things

Changing how we MARKET

things

Changing environment

BRIC Countries will grow, for sure…

China in fact IS a superpower already…

of global 500 companies will be in emerging markets…

Asian country’s prosperity is

rising already

But they have challenges

of their own…

challenges

challenges

challenges

Is the new world order threatening Western hegemony?

Is the new world order threatening Western hegemony?

Is 3D printing threatening global logistics?

Is the sharing economy threatening the usual way of doing things?

@fdemeyer

[email protected]

fredericdemeyer.com

Instituteforfutureinsights

fdemeyer

Sources for major slides •  Slide 18 & 19: http://www.wired.com/2013/12/sharing-economy-goes-corporate/ •  Slide 17: h"p://blog.ponoko.com/2011/05/14/aerospace-­‐industry-­‐adop>ng-­‐3d-­‐print-­‐technology/  •  Slide 28: h"p://inhabitat.com/12000-­‐square-­‐foot-­‐3d-­‐printed-­‐mansion-­‐pops-­‐up-­‐in-­‐china/  •  Slide 29: http://www.3Dprintcanalhouse.com •  Slide 32: h"p://inhabitat.com/west-­‐african-­‐inventor-­‐makes-­‐a-­‐100-­‐3d-­‐printer-­‐from-­‐e-­‐waste/  •  Slide 34: h"p://singularityhub.com/2014/02/11/intricate-­‐3d-­‐printed-­‐materials-­‐lighter-­‐than-­‐water-­‐as-­‐strong-­‐as-­‐steel/  •  Slide 37: h"p://newsfeed.>me.com/2013/05/24/nasa-­‐funded-­‐3d-­‐food-­‐printer-­‐could-­‐it-­‐end-­‐world-­‐hunger/  •  Slide 38: h"p://www.explainingthefuture.com/bioprin>ng.html  •  Slide 39: h"p://www.fastcompany.com/3006145/mits-­‐new-­‐self-­‐assembly-­‐lab-­‐building-­‐paradigm-­‐shiG-­‐4-­‐d-­‐manufacturing  •  Slide 43: h"p://uk.businessinsider.com/sta>s>cs-­‐on-­‐chinas-­‐investment-­‐abroad-­‐2015-­‐2?r=US  •  Slide 44: h"p://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/10/03/most-­‐new-­‐large-­‐companies-­‐to-­‐come-­‐from-­‐emerging-­‐markets/?mod=e2tw  •  Slide 45: h"ps://hbr.org/2013/10/four-­‐major-­‐changes-­‐in-­‐global-­‐prosperity/ •  Slide 46: http://uk.businessinsider.com/statistics-on-chinas-investment-abroad-2015-2?r=US •  Slide 48: http://www.21stcentech.com/urban-landscapes-and-agriculture-update-new-technology-to-assess-water-stress/ •  Slide 49: http://climate.nasa.gov/news/645/